Comprehensive Stock Comparison
Compare Epsilon Energy Ltd. (EPSN) vs Expand Energy Corporation (EXE) Stock
Analyze side-by-side fundamentals, valuation, growth, and profitability to decide which stock is the better buy.
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Quick Verdict
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | EXE | 187.2% revenue growth vs EPSN's 2.6% |
| Value | EXE | Lower P/E (12.0x vs 15.1x) |
| Quality / Margins | EXE | 15.0% net margin vs EPSN's 12.9% |
| Stability / Safety | EXE | Beta 0.49 vs EPSN's 0.57 |
| Dividends | EXE | 100.0% yield, 1-year raise streak, vs EPSN's 4.9% |
| Momentum (1Y) | EXE | +11.8% vs EPSN's -18.6% |
| Efficiency (ROA) | EXE | 6.4% ROA vs EPSN's 4.7%, ROIC 7.4% vs 2.9% |
Who Each Stock Is For
Income & stability
Growth exposure
Long-term compounding (10Y)
Sleep-well-at-night portfolio
Defensive / Recession hedge
Business Model
What each company does and how it makes money
Epsilon Energy is an independent oil and gas company that acquires, develops, and produces natural gas and oil reserves in the United States. It generates revenue primarily through its Upstream segment—which produces natural gas from Pennsylvania's Marcellus shale and oil/gas from Oklahoma's Anadarko Basin—and its Gathering System segment that processes and transports gas for fees. The company's competitive advantage lies in its strategic acreage positions in prolific shale basins and its integrated gathering infrastructure that provides operational control and additional revenue streams.
Expand Energy Corporation is an independent oil and gas exploration and production company focused on unconventional natural gas resources in the United States. It generates revenue primarily from natural gas sales — with additional contributions from oil and natural gas liquids — through its extensive portfolio of approximately 5,000 wells across key shale plays like the Marcellus and Haynesville formations. The company's competitive advantage lies in its large-scale, low-cost position in premier natural gas basins and its operational expertise in unconventional resource development.
Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
Financial Metrics Comparison
Side-by-side fundamentals across 2 stocks. BestLagging
Financial Scorecard
EXE leads in 6 of 6 categories — strongest in Financial Metrics and Valuation Metrics.
Financial Metrics (TTM)
EXE is the larger business by revenue, generating $12.1B annually — 265.2x EPSN's $46M. Profitability is closely matched — net margins range from 15.0% (EXE) to 12.9% (EPSN). On growth, EXE holds the edge at +63.7% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | EPSNEpsilon Energy Lt… | EXEExpand Energy Cor… |
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $46M | $12.1B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $22M | $5.3B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $6M | $1.8B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $10M | $1.8B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +47.6% | +80.4% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +21.9% | +18.8% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +12.9% | +15.0% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +22.7% | +15.2% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +23.2% | +63.7% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +2.0% | +2.3% |
Valuation Metrics
At 14.3x trailing earnings, EXE trades at a 76% valuation discount to EPSN's 58.2x P/E. On an enterprise value basis, EXE's 5.0x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than EPSN's 7.9x.
| Metric | EPSNEpsilon Energy Lt… | EXEExpand Energy Cor… |
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $113M | $25.7B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $107M | $25.1B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 58.25x | 14.26x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 15.06x | 12.05x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 7.85x | 5.00x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 3.58x | 2.12x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 1.16x | 0.00x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | — | 13.98x |
Profitability & Efficiency
EXE delivers a 9.8% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $10 in annual profit, vs $6 for EPSN. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), EXE scores 8/9 vs EPSN's 6/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | EPSNEpsilon Energy Lt… | EXEExpand Energy Cor… |
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +5.9% | +9.8% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +4.7% | +6.4% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +2.9% | +7.4% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +3.0% | +8.1% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 6 | 8 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.00x | — |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | -$6M | -$616M |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $7M | $616M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $476,911 | $0 |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 157.74x | 9.91x |
Total Returns (with DRIP)
A $10,000 investment in EXE five years ago would be worth $28,500 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $15,612 for EPSN. Over the past 12 months, EXE leads with a +11.8% total return vs EPSN's -18.6%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors EXE at 13.0% vs EPSN's 0.7% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | EPSNEpsilon Energy Lt… | EXEExpand Energy Cor… |
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +11.3% | -1.7% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | -18.6% | +11.8% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +2.1% | +44.3% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +56.1% | +185.0% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -99.9% | +197.4% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +0.7% | +13.0% |
Risk & Volatility
EXE is the less volatile stock with a 0.49 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than EPSN's 0.57 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. EXE currently trades 85.2% from its 52-week high vs EPSN's 60.2% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | EPSNEpsilon Energy Lt… | EXEExpand Energy Cor… |
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.57x | 0.49x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $8.50 | $126.62 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $4.20 | $91.02 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +60.2% | +85.2% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 54.2 | 50.9 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 137K | 2.9M |
Analyst Outlook
Consensus price targets imply 64.1% upside for EPSN (target: $8) vs 27.7% for EXE (target: $138). For income investors, EXE offers the higher dividend yield at 100.00% vs EPSN's 4.89%.
| Metric | EPSNEpsilon Energy Lt… | EXEExpand Energy Cor… |
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | — | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $8.40 | $137.80 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | — | 19 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +4.9% | +100.0% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 1 | 1 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $0.25 | $3182.59 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +1.6% | +0.4% |
Historical Charts
Charts are rendered on first load. Hover for details.
Chart 1Total Return — 5 Years (Rebased to 100)
| Stock | Mar 21 | Feb 26 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Epsilon Energy Ltd. (EPSN) | 100 | 121.94 | +21.9% |
| Expand Energy Corpo… (EXE) | 104.37 | 249.86 | +139.4% |
Expand Energy Corpo… (EXE) returned +185% over 5 years vs Epsilon Energy Ltd. (EPSN)'s +56%. A $10,000 investment in EXE 5 years ago would be worth $28,500 today (including dividends reinvested).
Chart 2Revenue Growth — 10 Years
| Stock | 2016 | 2025 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Epsilon Energy Ltd. (EPSN) | $25M | $32M | +24.1% |
| Expand Energy Corpo… (EXE) | $7.9B | $12.1B | +54.0% |
Expand Energy Corporation's revenue grew from $7.9B (2016) to $12.1B (2025) — a 4.9% CAGR.
Chart 3Net Margin Trend — 10 Years
| Stock | 2016 | 2025 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Epsilon Energy Ltd. (EPSN) | -11.6% | 6.1% | +152.6% |
| Expand Energy Corpo… (EXE) | -55.8% | 15.0% | +126.9% |
Expand Energy Corporation's net margin went from -56% (2016) to 15% (2025).
Chart 4P/E Ratio History — 9 Years
| Stock | 2017 | 2025 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Epsilon Energy Ltd. (EPSN) | 263.4 | 70.6 | -73.2% |
| Expand Energy Corpo… (EXE) | 1.2 | 14.6 | +1116.7% |
Epsilon Energy Ltd. has traded in a 4x–263x P/E range over 8 years; current trailing P/E is ~58x. Expand Energy Corporation has traded in a 1x–15x P/E range over 4 years; current trailing P/E is ~14x.
Chart 5EPS Growth — 10 Years
| Stock | 2016 | 2025 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Epsilon Energy Ltd. (EPSN) | -0.13 | 0.09 | +167.6% |
| Expand Energy Corpo… (EXE) | -1,278 | 7.57 | +100.6% |
Expand Energy Corporation's EPS grew from $-1278.00 (2016) to $7.57 (2025).
Chart 6Free Cash Flow — 5 Years
Epsilon Energy Ltd. generated $-20M FCF in 2024 (-231% vs 2021). Expand Energy Corporation generated $2B FCF in 2025 (+75% vs 2021).
EPSN vs EXE: Frequently Asked Questions
9 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is EPSN or EXE a better buy right now?
Expand Energy Corporation (EXE) offers the better valuation at 14.3x trailing P/E (12.0x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Expand Energy Corporation (EXE) a "Buy" — based on 19 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — EPSN or EXE?
On trailing P/E, Expand Energy Corporation (EXE) is the cheapest at 14.3x versus Epsilon Energy Ltd. at 58.2x. On forward P/E, Expand Energy Corporation is actually cheaper at 12.0x.
03Which is the better long-term investment — EPSN or EXE?
Over the past 5 years, Expand Energy Corporation (EXE) delivered a total return of +185.0%, compared to +56.1% for Epsilon Energy Ltd. (EPSN). A $10,000 investment in EXE five years ago would be worth approximately $28K today (assuming dividends reinvested). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: EXE returned +197.4% versus EPSN's -99.9%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — EPSN or EXE?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Expand Energy Corporation (EXE) is the lower-risk stock at 0.49β versus Epsilon Energy Ltd.'s 0.57β — meaning EPSN is approximately 16% more volatile than EXE relative to the S&P 500.
05Which has better profit margins — EPSN or EXE?
Expand Energy Corporation (EXE) is the more profitable company, earning 15.0% net margin versus 6.1% for Epsilon Energy Ltd. — meaning it keeps 15.0% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: EXE leads at 16.8% versus 10.9% for EPSN. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — EXE leads at 80.4%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
06Is EPSN or EXE more undervalued right now?
On forward earnings alone, Expand Energy Corporation (EXE) trades at 12.0x forward P/E versus 15.1x for Epsilon Energy Ltd. — 3.0x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for EPSN: 64.1% to $8.40.
07Which pays a better dividend — EPSN or EXE?
All stocks in this comparison pay dividends. Expand Energy Corporation (EXE) offers the highest yield at 100.0%, versus 4.9% for Epsilon Energy Ltd. (EPSN).
08Is EPSN or EXE better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Expand Energy Corporation (EXE) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0.49), 100.0% yield, +197.4% 10Y return). Both have compounded well over 10 years (EXE: +197.4%, EPSN: -99.9%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
09What are the main differences between EPSN and EXE?
Both stocks operate in the Energy sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both. In terms of investment character: EPSN is a small-cap income-oriented stock; EXE is a mid-cap deep-value stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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