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EXEExpand Energy Corporation
$84.60$19.6B
Overview & Tools
OverviewChart Terminal ↗Visualize
Valuation & Forecasts
Valuation ModelsEstimatesDCF Model
Price & Analyst Data
Analyst TargetsPrice History
Financial Statements
Income StatementBalance SheetCash FlowRatios & Margins
Performance
P/E HistoryRevenue HistoryEarnings HistoryDividend HistoryTotal Return
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EXE logo

Expand Energy Corporation

EXE
NASDAQ · Oil & Gas Producers
$84.60
At close - Nov 6, 4:00 PM EST - USD
Market Cap$19.59B
P/E7.1x
52W High$126.62
Volume2.05M
OverviewTerminalAnalysisFinancialsValuationEarningsBreakoutsOwnership
VCP Research Verdict2026Q3

Zero Debt Merger整合 Masks Margin Volatility, Buybacks Exceed FCF

Expand Energy's Southwestern merger integration has doubled the asset base to $29.7B and driven an operating income swing from a -$268M loss in 2025Q1 to $1.5B in 2026Q1, but the inorganic growth engine appears exhausted as revenue growth decelerated to 10.8% in 2026Q3.

GrowthMixed
ProfitabilityModerate
ValuationAttractive
TechnicalsWeak
Explore valuation models
MARKET ACTION

EXE price & volume

Price trend, volume and key moving averages

Launch Terminal
Loading chart...
Decision Checklist4 Core Signals

What matters now

The signals most likely to change the investment case.

01

Earnings momentum

10/12 Beats

EPS beat 10 of last 12 quarters

02

Valuation risk

-39% Peers

P/E is 39% below peer median

03

Market leadership

RS 40 · Lag

Laggard (Underperforming 60% of market)

04

Weak Trend

Below 200DMA

Price < 200DMA

Next CatalystEstimated earnings · Jan 27
01

Build the investment case

Start with the evidence for owning the stock and the risks that can break the thesis.

EXECUTIVE THESIS

The Investment Case

Full Analysis
Fundamental Trajectory

Revenue growth has cooled from 100.2% acquisition-driven surges in 2026Q1 to 10.8% in 2026Q3, with gross margins swinging violently between -37.6% and 79.4% and SG&A fluctuating between $40M and $999M, suggesting reported results remain highly commodity-levered and clouded by non-recurring merger charges.

Analyst Consensus+44.6% target
Buy(22 analysts)
17 Buy5 Hold0 Sell

The Bull Case

Upside Catalysts

Strong financial turnaround

Expand Energy Corporation reported a sharp turnaround with revenue of US$4,397 million and net income of US$1,159 million in Q1 2026, reversing prior year losses.

Attractive valuation metrics

EXE's trailing P/E ratio of 6.61x and forward P/E of 9.27x suggest the stock is undervalued compared to its historical performance and growth potential.

Bullish analyst coverage

A bullish thesis on Expand Energy Corporation was highlighted by @MoneyShow on X.com, indicating positive sentiment among investors and analysts.

The Bear Case

Key Downside Risks

Market performance

Price History →

Trailing total returns as of 11/7/2026, which may include dividends or other distributions. Benchmark is S&P 500 (^GSPC).

YTD Return
EXE-21.36%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+7.63%
1-Year Return
EXE-21.44%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+9.69%
3-Year Return
EXE+8.58%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+67.61%
5-Year Return
EXE+59.47%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+55.71%
02

Test the fundamentals

Check whether operating performance supports the current valuation.

VALUATION & INTRINSIC VALUE

Valuation Scenarios

Valuation Analysis
Trailing P/E5Y High
7.1x
Forward P/E
9.8x
EV/EBITDA60th %ile
3.8x
FCF YieldCash Flow
12.5%

Valuation vs 5-Year History

Multiple Range
Metric
Current
5Y Median
Historical Range
Percentile
P/E
7.1x
4.5x
75th· Fair
EV/EBITDA
3.8x
3.0x
60th· Fair
Price/FCF
8.0x
14.4x
50th· Fair
Current Multiple
5Y Median (50th %ile)

Intrinsic Value Scenarios

DCF Projection
Bear$273.50+223.3%
Base (Fair)$430.90+409.3%
Bull$834.19+886.0%
$273.50 Bear$430.90 Base$834.19 Bull
Current Market Price: $84.60
Trades at a 80.4% discount to Base DCF ($430.90)
Open DCF & Valuation Models →Chart Terminal ↗

Growth & profitability

Annual revenue & EPS trend
Revenue FY25
$11.65B+176.0% YoY
Net income FY25
$1.82B+354.8% YoY
Free cash flow FY25
$1.84B+22887.5% YoY
Operating margin FY25
17.5%+36.5 pts YoY
ROIC (FY25)6.6%
Avg ROIC 5Y30.8%
ROE (TTM)14.3%
Piotroski Score8 / 9
Financial Statements →
03

Monitor what changed

Recent results and news deserve attention only when they alter the forward view.

OPERATING RESULTS

Recent Earnings

Earnings History
EPS Beat Rate10/12 (83%)
Revenue Beat Rate7/12 (58%)
QuarterEPS (Act vs Est)Revenue (Act vs Est)
Q4 2026Latest
Oct 27, 2026
$1.46+13.2%
vs $1.29
$3.3B+15.5%
vs $2.8B
Q3 2026
Jul 28, 2026
$1.33+17.7%
vs $1.13
$3.0B-2.9%
vs $3.0B
Q2 2026
Apr 28, 2026
$3.83+3.8%
vs $3.69
$4.4B+24.6%
vs $3.5B
Q1 2026
Feb 17, 2026
$2.00+7.0%
vs $1.87
$3.3B+11.4%
vs $2.9B
Historical baseline: 12 quarters analyzedGAAP / Adjusted
MARKET COVERAGE

Latest News

4 Stories
24/7 Wall Street·1d ago
Diamondback Just Raised Its Dividend 7.3%. These 3 Energy Stocks Are Paying Investors Too

Four oil and gas producers just paired earnings with fresh payouts, but one dividend is built to survive $30 oil and another sits on a thin gas price cushion. Which checks are truly safe, and which come with a catch?

Defense World·1d ago
Critical Survey: Expand Energy (NASDAQ:EXE) versus Plains All American Pipeline (NASDAQ:PAA)

Expand Energy (NASDAQ: EXE - Get Free Report) and Plains All American Pipeline (NASDAQ: PAA - Get Free Report) are both large-cap energy companies, but which is the superior investment? We will compare the two businesses based on the strength of their risk, valuation, analyst recommendations, profitability, earnings, dividends and institutional ownership. Insider and Institutional Ownership 97.9%

Seeking Alpha·6d ago
Expand Energy: Addressing Common Push-Back And Raising Targets

Expand Energy rates a strong buy, with a DCF-based price target of $140—implying 55% upside and limited downside risk. EXE's robust hedging program shields 58–60% of 2027 production, adding $930M to cash flow and mitigating El Niño and Permian supply risks. The recent CEO appointment of Danny Brown, with a strong operational track record, alleviates management quality concerns.

Zacks Investment Research·Oct 30, 2026
EXE Q3 Earnings Beat on Higher Output and Strong Liquids Prices

Expand Energy's Q3 earnings beat estimates on higher production and stronger liquids prices, while Twin Eagle boosted marketing and free cash flow slipped.

Filtered for Expand Energy CorporationMore Headlines
04

Compare before deciding

Benchmark EXE against direct peers instead of judging its metrics in isolation.

Peers Comparison

Key metrics vs top competitors for Expand Energy Corporation (EXE)

Full Screener →
CompanyPriceMarket CapP/E RatioRev Growth (1Y)Net MarginROEDiv Yield
EXE logoEXEExpand Energy CorporationCurrent
$84.60$19.59B7.12175.95%20.11%14.29%3.76%
AR logoARAntero Resources Corporation
$36.08$11.09B8.1021.73%22.74%16.72%—
RRC logoRRCRange Resources Corporation
$48.72$11.38B12.8527.56%25.48%19.27%0.73%
CNX logoCNXCNX Resources Corporation
$34.92$4.94B5.6548.87%36.22%19.58%—
EQT logoEQTEQT Corporation
$49.40$30.9B11.1473.74%30.23%9.79%1.26%
CRK logoCRKComstock Resources, Inc.
$13.41$3.94B8.8153.83%24.44%14.33%—

Compare EXE vs Peers

Expand Energy Corporation (EXE) vs competitors — business, growth, and fundamentals comparison against the closest industry rivals.

Closest Rival

vs AR

Most directly comparable listed peer for EXE.

Scale Benchmark

vs XOM

Larger-name benchmark to compare EXE against a more recognizable public peer.

Peer Set

Compare Top 5

vs AR, RRC, CNX, EQT

05

Keep researching

Verify the primary filings, follow material updates, and answer the remaining questions.

EXE SEC Filings & Documents

Expand Energy Corporation (EXE) SEC filings — annual & quarterly reports (10-K, 10-Q)

8-K Announcements

6
Material company update

Oct 27, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Oct 19, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Oct 13, 2026·SEC

10-K Annual Reports

3
FY 2026

Feb 18, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Feb 26, 2025·SEC

FY 2024

Feb 21, 2024·SEC

10-Q Quarterly Reports

6
FY 2026

Oct 27, 2026·SEC

FY 2026

Jul 28, 2026·SEC

FY 2026

Apr 28, 2026·SEC

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EXE Frequently Asked Questions

Expand Energy Corporation (EXE) stock FAQ — growth, dividends, profitability & financials explained

Growth & Financials
What is Expand Energy Corporation's revenue?

Expand Energy Corporation (EXE) reported $13.69B in revenue over the trailing twelve months. Revenue was $11.65B in fiscal year 2025. That is 7900% more than the $145.6M of fiscal year 1995.

How fast is Expand Energy Corporation growing?

Expand Energy Corporation (EXE) grew revenue by 26.2% over the trailing twelve months, compared with the twelve months before.

Is EXE profitable?

Yes. Expand Energy Corporation (EXE) earned $2.75B in net income over the trailing twelve months (a 20.1% net margin).

Dividend & Returns
Does EXE pay dividends?

Yes. Expand Energy Corporation (EXE) pays a dividend that yields 3.76% at the current price, a moderate yield.

What is EXE's return on equity?

Expand Energy Corporation (EXE) had a return on equity (ROE) of 14.3% over the trailing twelve months. That is in line with the market's typical 10-15%.

What is Expand Energy Corporation's free cash flow?

Expand Energy Corporation (EXE) generated $2.46B in free cash flow over the trailing twelve months.

What if you invested $1,000 in EXE back in 1995?

Total return calculator · dividends reinvested · 31+ years of data

See returns →