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MPCMarathon Petroleum Corporation
$372.74$108.8B
Overview & Tools
OverviewChart Terminal ↗Visualize
Valuation & Forecasts
Valuation ModelsEstimatesDCF Model
Price & Analyst Data
Analyst TargetsPrice History
Financial Statements
Income StatementBalance SheetCash FlowRatios & Margins
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P/E HistoryRevenue HistoryEarnings HistoryDividend HistoryTotal Return
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MPC logo

Marathon Petroleum Corporation

MPC
NYSE · Refining & Fuel Marketing
$372.74
At close - USD
Market Cap$108.82B
P/E28.1x
52W High$493.98
Volume2.4M
OverviewTerminalAnalysisFinancialsValuationEarningsBreakoutsOwnership
VCP Research Verdict2026Q3

Refining Spread Recovery Drives Cash Surge, Cycle Risk Persists

MPC's recent earnings and cash generation have surged, with quarterly revenue reaching $56.0B in 2026Q3 and free cash flow of $9.6B, suggesting refining spread capture is the dominant driver rather than structural expansion.

GrowthMixed
ProfitabilityStrong
ValuationAttractive
TechnicalsMixed
Explore valuation models
MARKET ACTION

MPC price & volume

Price trend, volume and key moving averages

Launch Terminal
Loading chart...
Decision Checklist4 Core Signals

What matters now

The signals most likely to change the investment case.

01

Earnings momentum

11/12 Beats

EPS beat 11 of last 12 quarters

02

Valuation risk

+32% Peers

P/E is 32% above peer median

03

Market leadership

RS 93 · Leader

High momentum (Outperforming 93% of market)

04

Mixed Trend

Mixed

Price < 50DMA but > 200DMA

Next CatalystEstimated earnings · Feb 3
01

Build the investment case

Start with the evidence for owning the stock and the risks that can break the thesis.

EXECUTIVE THESIS

The Investment Case

Full Analysis
Fundamental Trajectory

Revenue climbed to $56.0B in 2026Q3 and gross margin widened from 4.3% in 2025Q1 to 21.8%, suggesting refinery spread capture rather than cost discipline is driving profitability, with operating margin reaching 18.7%.

Analyst Consensus+19.4% target
Buy(33 analysts)
25 Buy8 Hold0 Sell

The Bull Case

Upside Catalysts

Tighter global fuel markets

Marathon Petroleum benefits from tighter global fuel markets due to disruptions like the Strait of Hormuz closure, which has lifted refining margins.

Strong refining margins

The company is seeing increased refining margins as a result of global supply disruptions, enhancing profitability.

Growing midstream earnings

Marathon Petroleum's midstream segment is contributing to earnings growth, adding diversification and stability to its revenue streams.

The Bear Case

Key Downside Risks

Market performance

Price History →

Trailing total returns as of 11/7/2026, which may include dividends or other distributions. Benchmark is S&P 500 (^GSPC).

YTD Return
MPC+127.53%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+7.63%
1-Year Return
MPC+95.49%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+9.69%
3-Year Return
MPC+155.92%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+66.47%
5-Year Return
MPC+492.35%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+54.42%
02

Test the fundamentals

Check whether operating performance supports the current valuation.

VALUATION & INTRINSIC VALUE

Valuation Scenarios

Valuation Analysis
Trailing P/EMedian
7.1x
Forward P/EExpansion
5.7x
EV/EBITDA40th %ile
5.7x
FCF YieldCash Flow
19.2%

Valuation vs 5-Year History

Multiple Range
Metric
Current
5Y Median
Historical Range
Percentile
P/E
7.1x
12.3x
40th· Fair
EV/EBITDA
5.7x
8.1x
40th· Fair
Price/FCF
5.2x
7.8x
40th· Fair
Current Multiple
5Y Median (50th %ile)

Intrinsic Value Scenarios

DCF Projection
Bear$70.24-81.2%
Base (Fair)$409.27+9.8%
Bull$700.55+87.9%
$70.24 Bear$409.27 Base$700.55 Bull
Current Market Price: $372.74
Trades at a 8.9% discount to Base DCF ($409.27)
Open DCF & Valuation Models →Chart Terminal ↗

Growth & profitability

Annual revenue & EPS trend
Revenue FY25
$132.7B-4.4% YoY
Net income FY25
$4.05B+17.5% YoY
Free cash flow FY25
$4.77B-22.3% YoY
Operating margin FY25
4.3%+0.6 pts YoY
ROIC (FY25)8.3%
Avg ROIC 5Y-
ROE (FY25)16.7%
Piotroski Score7 / 9
Financial Statements →
03

Monitor what changed

Recent results and news deserve attention only when they alter the forward view.

OPERATING RESULTS

Recent Earnings

Earnings History
EPS Beat Rate11/12 (92%)
Revenue Beat Rate11/12 (92%)
QuarterEPS (Act vs Est)Revenue (Act vs Est)
Q4 2026Latest
Nov 3, 2026
$26.93+6.1%
vs $25.37
$56.5B+21.2%
vs $46.6B
Q3 2026
Aug 4, 2026
$17.73+24.2%
vs $14.27
$52.3B+28.1%
vs $40.9B
Q2 2026
May 5, 2026
$1.65+123.3%
vs $0.74
$34.6B+3.4%
vs $33.4B
Q1 2026
Feb 3, 2026
$4.07+49.6%
vs $2.72
$33.4B+7.5%
vs $31.1B
Historical baseline: 12 quarters analyzedGAAP / Adjusted
MARKET COVERAGE

Latest News

4 Stories
Zacks Investment Research·1d ago
3 Refining Stocks That Have Doubled in 2026: What's Next?

VLO, PBF and MPC could see further upside as global refinery outages, tight fuel inventories and cheaper heavy crude support favorable refining margins.

Zacks Investment Research·2d ago
Can MPC's Gulf Coast Focus Fuel Stronger Future Refining Returns?

Marathon Petroleum's $4.2B asset sale sets the stage for Gulf Coast investments aimed at boosting diesel output, crude throughput and premium gasoline exports.

Zacks Investment Research·2d ago
Are Investors Undervaluing Marathon Petroleum (MPC) Right Now?

Here at Zacks, our focus is on the proven Zacks Rank system, which emphasizes earnings estimates and estimate revisions to find great stocks. Nevertheless, we are always paying attention to the latest value, growth, and momentum trends to underscore strong picks.

Zacks Investment Research·2d ago
Why Marathon Petroleum (MPC) is a Top Value Stock for the Long-Term

The Zacks Style Scores offers investors a way to easily find top-rated stocks based on their investing style. Here's why you should take advantage.

Filtered for Marathon Petroleum CorporationMore Headlines
04

Compare before deciding

Benchmark MPC against direct peers instead of judging its metrics in isolation.

Peers Comparison

Key metrics vs top competitors for Marathon Petroleum Corporation (MPC)

Full Screener →
CompanyPriceMarket CapP/E RatioRev Growth (1Y)Net MarginROEDiv Yield
MPC logoMPCMarathon Petroleum CorporationCurrent
$372.74$108.82B28.09-4.44%3.05%16.66%1%
VLO logoVLOValero Energy Corporation
$346.45$102.87B45.77-5.54%8.81%45.87%1.31%
PSX logoPSXPhillips 66
$245.72$98.52B22.77-7.64%7.41%39.26%1.92%
PBF logoPBFPBF Energy Inc.
$67.27$7.96B-48.40-11.42%6.98%42.13%1.64%
DK logoDKDelek US Holdings, Inc.
$63.95$3.92B-168.29-9.53%1.86%45.98%1.6%
MPLX logoMPLXMPLX Lp
$55.91$56.73B11.608.37%33.83%30.37%7.05%

Compare MPC vs Peers

Marathon Petroleum Corporation (MPC) vs competitors — business, growth, and fundamentals comparison against the closest industry rivals.

Closest Rival

vs VLO

Most directly comparable listed peer for MPC.

Scale Benchmark

vs XOM

Larger-name benchmark to compare MPC against a more recognizable public peer.

Peer Set

Compare Top 5

vs VLO, PSX, PBF, DK

05

Keep researching

Verify the primary filings, follow material updates, and answer the remaining questions.

MPC SEC Filings & Documents

Marathon Petroleum Corporation (MPC) SEC filings — annual & quarterly reports (10-K, 10-Q)

8-K Announcements

6
Material company update

Nov 3, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Oct 29, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Aug 4, 2026·SEC

10-K Annual Reports

3
FY 2026

Feb 26, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Feb 27, 2025·SEC

FY 2024

Feb 28, 2024·SEC

10-Q Quarterly Reports

6
FY 2026

Nov 3, 2026·SEC

FY 2026

Aug 4, 2026·SEC

FY 2026

May 5, 2026·SEC

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MPC Frequently Asked Questions

Marathon Petroleum Corporation (MPC) stock FAQ — growth, dividends, profitability & financials explained

Growth & Financials
What is Marathon Petroleum Corporation's revenue?

Marathon Petroleum Corporation (MPC) reported $175.17B in revenue over the trailing twelve months. Revenue was $132.70B in fiscal year 2025. That is 103% more than the $65.26B of fiscal year 2008.

How fast is Marathon Petroleum Corporation growing?

Marathon Petroleum Corporation (MPC) revenue fell by 4.4% in fiscal year 2025, compared with the prior fiscal year.

Is MPC profitable?

Yes. Marathon Petroleum Corporation (MPC) earned $14.63B in net income over the trailing twelve months (a 8.4% net margin).

Dividend & Returns
Does MPC pay dividends?

Yes. Marathon Petroleum Corporation (MPC) pays a dividend that yields 1.00% at the current price, a moderate yield.

What is MPC's return on equity?

Marathon Petroleum Corporation (MPC) had a return on equity (ROE) of 16.7% in fiscal year 2025. That is above the market's typical 10-15%.

What is Marathon Petroleum Corporation's free cash flow?

Marathon Petroleum Corporation (MPC) generated $20.84B in free cash flow over the trailing twelve months.

What if you invested $1,000 in MPC back in 2008?

Total return calculator · dividends reinvested · 18+ years of data

See returns →