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VLOValero Energy Corporation
$346.45$102.9B
Overview & Tools
OverviewChart Terminal ↗Visualize
Valuation & Forecasts
Valuation ModelsEstimatesDCF Model
Price & Analyst Data
Analyst TargetsPrice History
Financial Statements
Income StatementBalance SheetCash FlowRatios & Margins
Performance
P/E HistoryRevenue HistoryEarnings HistoryDividend HistoryTotal Return
Discovery & Screens
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VLO logo

Valero Energy Corporation

VLO
NYSE · Refining & Fuel Marketing
$346.45
At close - USD
Market Cap$102.87B
P/E45.8x
52W High$461.52
Volume2.9M
OverviewTerminalAnalysisFinancialsValuationEarningsBreakoutsOwnership
VCP Research Verdict2026Q3

Cyclical Refining Rebound Drives Record Earnings, Peak Risk Persists

Valero's revenue surged from $29.9B in 2025Q2 to $46.1B in 2026Q3 and gross margin expanded from 1.6% to 20.4% over the same span, suggesting a sharp refining-spread recovery rather than a durable structural expansion.

GrowthMixed
ProfitabilityModerate
ValuationAttractive
TechnicalsMixed
Explore valuation models
MARKET ACTION

VLO price & volume

Price trend, volume and key moving averages

Launch Terminal
Loading chart...
Decision Checklist4 Core Signals

What matters now

The signals most likely to change the investment case.

01

Earnings momentum

12/12 Beats

EPS beat 12 of last 12 quarters

02

Valuation risk

+101% Peers

P/E is 101% above peer median

03

Market leadership

RS 90 · Leader

High momentum (Outperforming 90% of market)

04

Mixed Trend

Mixed

Price < 50DMA but > 200DMA

Next CatalystEstimated earnings · Jan 22
01

Build the investment case

Start with the evidence for owning the stock and the risks that can break the thesis.

EXECUTIVE THESIS

The Investment Case

Full Analysis
Fundamental Trajectory

Revenue rose 43.3% year-over-year to $46.1B in 2026Q3 while operating margin climbed to 19.7% from 5.3% in 2026Q1, indicating earnings are highly sensitive to refining spreads.

Analyst Consensus+30.2% target
Buy(38 analysts)
20 Buy16 Hold2 Sell

The Bull Case

Upside Catalysts

Record refining throughput

Valero Energy Corporation has posted record refining throughput, indicating strong operational performance and capacity utilization.

Dividend hike

The company has increased its dividend, signaling confidence in its financial health and commitment to returning capital to shareholders.

Share repurchase programs

Fully executed share repurchase programs demonstrate management's belief in undervaluation and commitment to enhancing shareholder value.

The Bear Case

Key Downside Risks

Market performance

Price History →

Trailing total returns as of 11/7/2026, which may include dividends or other distributions. Benchmark is S&P 500 (^GSPC).

YTD Return
VLO+111.75%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+7.63%
1-Year Return
VLO+99.52%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+9.69%
3-Year Return
VLO+186.02%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+66.12%
5-Year Return
VLO+372.91%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+54.29%
02

Test the fundamentals

Check whether operating performance supports the current valuation.

VALUATION & INTRINSIC VALUE

Valuation Scenarios

Valuation Analysis
Trailing P/EMedian
7.6x
Forward P/EExpansion
5.8x
EV/EBITDA40th %ile
5.3x
FCF YieldCash Flow
14.7%

Valuation vs 5-Year History

Multiple Range
Metric
Current
5Y Median
Historical Range
Percentile
P/E
7.6x
14.3x
40th· Fair
EV/EBITDA
5.3x
7.1x
40th· Fair
Price/FCF
6.8x
6.8x
40th· Fair
Current Multiple
5Y Median (50th %ile)

Intrinsic Value Scenarios

DCF Projection
Bear$1.43-99.6%
Base (Fair)$196.66-43.2%
Bull$347.13+0.2%
$1.43 Bear$196.66 Base$347.13 Bull
Current Market Price: $346.45
Trades at a 76.2% premium to Base DCF ($196.66)
Open DCF & Valuation Models →Chart Terminal ↗

Growth & profitability

Annual revenue & EPS trend
Revenue FY25
$122.69B-5.5% YoY
Net income FY25
$2.35B-15.2% YoY
Free cash flow FY25
$5.03B-12.9% YoY
Operating margin FY25
3.5%+0.6 pts YoY
ROIC (FY25)9.5%
Avg ROIC 5Y-
ROE (FY25)8.7%
Piotroski Score6 / 9
Financial Statements →
03

Monitor what changed

Recent results and news deserve attention only when they alter the forward view.

OPERATING RESULTS

Recent Earnings

Earnings History
EPS Beat Rate12/12 (100%)
Revenue Beat Rate10/12 (83%)
QuarterEPS (Act vs Est)Revenue (Act vs Est)
Q4 2026Latest
Oct 22, 2026
$23.90+12.9%
vs $21.17
$46.1B+7.9%
vs $42.7B
Q3 2026
Jul 30, 2026
$12.54+24.0%
vs $10.11
$44.5B+12.7%
vs $39.5B
Q2 2026
Apr 30, 2026
$4.22+33.5%
vs $3.16
$32.4B+3.2%
vs $31.4B
Q1 2026
Jan 29, 2026
$3.82+16.8%
vs $3.27
$30.4B+6.5%
vs $28.5B
Historical baseline: 12 quarters analyzedGAAP / Adjusted
MARKET COVERAGE

Latest News

4 Stories
Zacks Investment Research·1d ago
3 Refining Stocks That Have Doubled in 2026: What's Next?

VLO, PBF and MPC could see further upside as global refinery outages, tight fuel inventories and cheaper heavy crude support favorable refining margins.

Zacks Investment Research·2d ago
Best Growth Stocks to Buy for November 5th

BLCO, VLO, and HAS it to the Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) growth stocks list on November 5, 2026.

Zacks Investment Research·3d ago
Bet on These Oil & Gas ETFs Capitalizing on the US-Iran War Windfall

The US-Iran war has fueled record profits for American oil and gas giants. Discover four ETFs offering diversified exposure to this energy windfall.

Zacks Investment Research·3d ago
Valero's $320.5M Houston Refinery Deal: A Growth Catalyst for VLO?

VLO's $320.5 million Houston refinery acquisition adds 165,000 barrels per day of planned capacity, expanding its Gulf Coast footprint.

Filtered for Valero Energy CorporationMore Headlines
04

Compare before deciding

Benchmark VLO against direct peers instead of judging its metrics in isolation.

Peers Comparison

Key metrics vs top competitors for Valero Energy Corporation (VLO)

Full Screener →
CompanyPriceMarket CapP/E RatioRev Growth (1Y)Net MarginROEDiv Yield
VLO logoVLOValero Energy CorporationCurrent
$346.45$102.87B45.77-5.54%1.91%8.68%1.31%
MPC logoMPCMarathon Petroleum Corporation
$372.74$108.82B28.09-4.44%8.35%56.77%1%
PSX logoPSXPhillips 66
$245.72$98.52B22.77-7.64%7.41%39.26%1.92%
PBF logoPBFPBF Energy Inc.
$67.27$7.96B-48.40-11.42%6.98%42.13%1.64%
DK logoDKDelek US Holdings, Inc.
$63.95$3.92B-168.29-9.53%1.86%45.98%1.6%
PARR logoPARRPar Pacific Holdings, Inc.
$68.06$3.41B9.51-6.39%9.81%53.95%—

Compare VLO vs Peers

Valero Energy Corporation (VLO) vs competitors — business, growth, and fundamentals comparison against the closest industry rivals.

Closest Rival

vs MPC

Most directly comparable listed peer for VLO.

Scale Benchmark

vs XOM

Larger-name benchmark to compare VLO against a more recognizable public peer.

Peer Set

Compare Top 5

vs MPC, PSX, PBF, DK

05

Keep researching

Verify the primary filings, follow material updates, and answer the remaining questions.

VLO SEC Filings & Documents

Valero Energy Corporation (VLO) SEC filings — annual & quarterly reports (10-K, 10-Q)

8-K Announcements

6
Material company update

Oct 30, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Oct 22, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Jul 30, 2026·SEC

10-K Annual Reports

3
FY 2026

Feb 25, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Feb 26, 2025·SEC

FY 2024

Feb 22, 2024·SEC

10-Q Quarterly Reports

6
FY 2026

Oct 28, 2026·SEC

FY 2026

Jul 30, 2026·SEC

FY 2026

Apr 30, 2026·SEC

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VLO Frequently Asked Questions

Valero Energy Corporation (VLO) stock FAQ — growth, dividends, profitability & financials explained

Growth & Financials
What is Valero Energy Corporation's revenue?

Valero Energy Corporation (VLO) reported $146.86B in revenue over the trailing twelve months. Revenue was $122.69B in fiscal year 2025. That is 2358% more than the $4.99B of fiscal year 1996.

How fast is Valero Energy Corporation growing?

Valero Energy Corporation (VLO) revenue fell by 5.5% in fiscal year 2025, compared with the prior fiscal year.

Is VLO profitable?

Yes. Valero Energy Corporation (VLO) earned $12.95B in net income over the trailing twelve months (a 8.8% net margin).

Dividend & Returns
Does VLO pay dividends?

Yes. Valero Energy Corporation (VLO) pays a dividend that yields 1.31% at the current price, a moderate yield.

What is VLO's return on equity?

Valero Energy Corporation (VLO) had a return on equity (ROE) of 8.7% in fiscal year 2025. That is below the market's typical 10-15%.

What is Valero Energy Corporation's free cash flow?

Valero Energy Corporation (VLO) generated $15.44B in free cash flow over the trailing twelve months.

What if you invested $1,000 in VLO back in 1996?

Total return calculator · dividends reinvested · 30+ years of data

See returns →