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VLOValero Energy Corporation
$377.14$112.0B
Overview & Tools
OverviewChart Terminal ↗Visualize
Valuation & Forecasts
Valuation ModelsEstimatesDCF Model
Price & Analyst Data
Analyst TargetsPrice History
Financial Statements
Income StatementBalance SheetCash FlowRatios & Margins
Performance
P/E HistoryRevenue HistoryEarnings HistoryDividend HistoryTotal Return
Discovery & Screens
Live BreakoutsStock ScreenerOwnership
VLO logo

Valero Energy Corporation

VLO
NYSE · Oil Refining & Marketing
$377.14
At close - Sep 22, 4:00 PM EDT - USD
Market Cap$111.99B
P/E49.8x
52W High$416.66
Volume7.39M
OverviewTerminalAnalysisFinancialsValuationEarningsBreakoutsOwnership
VCP Research Verdict2026Q2

Cyclical Margin Recovery Drives Record Cash Returns

Valero's 2026Q2 results demonstrate a powerful cyclical recovery, with gross margins expanding to 19.5% from a 1.6% trough in 2025Q1, driving EPS to $12.62 and FCF to $5.7B. The company's conservative leverage (D/E 0.40) and low capital intensity (CapEx/Revenu...

GrowthMixed
ProfitabilityStable
ValuationAttractive
TechnicalsHealthy
Explore valuation models
MARKET ACTION

VLO price & volume

Price trend, volume and key moving averages

Launch Terminal
Loading chart...
Decision Checklist4 Core Signals

What matters now

The signals most likely to change the investment case.

01

Earnings momentum

12/12 Beats

EPS beat 12 of last 12 quarters

02

Valuation risk

+110% Peers

P/E is 110% above peer median

03

Market leadership

RS 95 · Leader

High momentum (Outperforming 95% of market)

04

Healthy Uptrend

Uptrend

Price > 50DMA > 200DMA

Next CatalystEstimated earnings · Oct 30
01

Build the investment case

Start with the evidence for owning the stock and the risks that can break the thesis.

EXECUTIVE THESIS

The Investment Case

Full Analysis
Fundamental Trajectory

Revenue rebounded 22.6% year-over-year to $36.6B in 2026Q2, with gross margin surging to 19.5% from a 1.6% trough in 2025Q1, driving operating margin to 14.2% and net income to $3.7B.

Analyst Consensus-2.7% target
Buy(37 analysts)
22 Buy14 Hold1 Sell

The Bull Case

Upside Catalysts

Record refining throughput

Valero Energy Corporation has posted record refining throughput, indicating strong operational performance and capacity utilization.

Dividend hike

The company has increased its dividend, signaling confidence in its financial health and commitment to returning capital to shareholders.

Share repurchase programs

Fully executed share repurchase programs demonstrate management's belief in undervaluation and commitment to enhancing shareholder value.

The Bear Case

Key Downside Risks

Market performance

Price History →

Trailing total returns as of 9/23/2026, which may include dividends or other distributions. Benchmark is S&P 500 (^GSPC).

YTD Return
VLO+130.32%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+13.20%
1-Year Return
VLO+129.43%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+15.98%
3-Year Return
VLO+168.85%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+72.87%
5-Year Return
VLO+510.10%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+61.07%
02

Test the fundamentals

Check whether operating performance supports the current valuation.

VALUATION & INTRINSIC VALUE

Valuation Scenarios

Valuation Analysis
Trailing P/E5Y High
49.8x
Forward P/EExpansion
8.0x
EV/EBITDA100th %ile
15.9x
FCF YieldCash Flow
4.5%

Valuation vs 5-Year History

Multiple Range
Metric
Current
5Y Median
Historical Range
Percentile
P/E
49.8x
14.3x
100th· High
EV/EBITDA
15.9x
7.1x
100th· High
Price/FCF
22.3x
6.8x
100th· High
Current Multiple
5Y Median (50th %ile)

Intrinsic Value Scenarios

DCF Projection
No DCF Model AvailableIntrinsic value modeling is not supported for this equity.

Growth & profitability

Annual revenue & EPS trend
Revenue
$122.69B-5.5% YoY
Net income
$2.35B-15.2% YoY
Free cash flow
$5.03B-12.9% YoY
Operating margin
3.5%+0.6 pts YoY
ROIC (TTM)9.5%
Avg ROIC 5Y-
ROE (TTM)8.7%
Piotroski Score6 / 9
Financial Statements →
03

Monitor what changed

Recent results and news deserve attention only when they alter the forward view.

OPERATING RESULTS

Recent Earnings

Earnings History
EPS Beat Rate12/12 (100%)
Revenue Beat Rate9/12 (75%)
QuarterEPS (Act vs Est)Revenue (Act vs Est)
Q3 2026Latest
Jul 30, 2026
$12.54+24.0%
vs $10.11
$44.5B+12.7%
vs $39.5B
Q2 2026
Apr 30, 2026
$4.22+33.5%
vs $3.16
$32.4B+3.2%
vs $31.4B
Q1 2026
Jan 29, 2026
$3.82+16.8%
vs $3.27
$30.4B+6.5%
vs $28.5B
Q4 2025
Oct 23, 2025
$3.66+20.0%
vs $3.05
$32.2B+7.4%
vs $30.0B
Historical baseline: 12 quarters analyzedGAAP / Adjusted
MARKET COVERAGE

Latest News

5 Stories
Barrons·1d ago
Diesel Hits a Record. Why Valero and Marathon Stock Could Be Running Out of Gas.

Record diesel prices have been a boon for Valero and Marathon Petroleum. Now demand destruction and the threat of an export ban are creating new risks for refining stocks.

Zacks Investment Research·1d ago
Why Investors Need to Take Advantage of These 2 Oils and Energy Stocks Now

Why investors should use the Zacks Earnings ESP tool to help find stocks that are poised to top quarterly earnings estimates.

Benzinga·1d ago
This Marathon Petroleum Analyst Is No Longer Bullish; Here Are Top 4 Downgrades For Tuesday

Top Wall Street analysts changed their outlook on these top names. For a complete view of all analyst rating changes, including upgrades, downgrades and initiations, please see our analyst ratings page.

Zacks Investment Research·2d ago
5 Top-Ranked Stocks Likely to Deliver Earnings Beats

Top-ranked stocks AVAH, FTNT, THC, ARW and VLO are likely to beat on the bottom line in their upcoming releases.

Filtered for Valero Energy CorporationMore Headlines
04

Compare before deciding

Benchmark VLO against direct peers instead of judging its metrics in isolation.

Peers Comparison

Key metrics vs top competitors for Valero Energy Corporation (VLO)

Full Screener →
CompanyPriceMarket CapP/E RatioRev Growth (1Y)Net MarginROEDiv Yield
VLO logoVLOValero Energy CorporationCurrent
$377.14$111.99B49.82-5.54%1.91%8.68%1.21%
MPC logoMPCMarathon Petroleum Corporation
$389.68$113.76B29.37-4.44%5.56%35.23%—
PSX logoPSXPhillips 66
$256.78$102.95B23.80-7.64%4.62%23.51%—
PBF logoPBFPBF Energy Inc.
$71.44$8.45B-51.40-11.42%3.94%23.52%—
DK logoDKDelek US Holdings, Inc.
$73.34$4.49B-193.00-9.53%1.86%45.98%—
PARR logoPARRPar Pacific Holdings, Inc.
$79.11$3.97B11.05-6.39%9.94%56.63%—

Compare VLO vs Peers

Valero Energy Corporation (VLO) vs competitors — business, growth, and fundamentals comparison against the closest industry rivals.

Closest Rival

vs MPC

Most directly comparable listed peer for VLO.

Scale Benchmark

vs XOM

Larger-name benchmark to compare VLO against a more recognizable public peer.

Peer Set

Compare Top 5

vs MPC, PSX, PBF, DK

05

Keep researching

Verify the primary filings, follow material updates, and answer the remaining questions.

VLO SEC Filings & Documents

Valero Energy Corporation (VLO) SEC filings — annual & quarterly reports (10-K, 10-Q)

8-K Announcements

6
Material company update

Jul 30, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Jul 16, 2026·SEC

Material company update

May 8, 2026·SEC

10-K Annual Reports

3
FY 2026

Feb 25, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Feb 26, 2025·SEC

FY 2024

Feb 22, 2024·SEC

10-Q Quarterly Reports

6
FY 2026

Jul 30, 2026·SEC

FY 2026

Apr 30, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Oct 23, 2025·SEC

Get notified when VLO posts new earnings or crosses analyst targets

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VLO Frequently Asked Questions

Valero Energy Corporation (VLO) stock FAQ — growth, dividends, profitability & financials explained

Growth & Financials
What is Valero Energy Corporation's revenue?

Valero Energy Corporation (VLO) reported $132.93B in revenue for fiscal year 2025. This represents a 2564% increase from $4.99B in 1996.

How fast is Valero Energy Corporation growing?

Valero Energy Corporation (VLO) saw revenue decline by 5.5% over the past year.

Is VLO profitable?

Yes, Valero Energy Corporation (VLO) is profitable, generating $7.21B in net income for fiscal year 2025 (1.9% net margin).

Dividend & Returns
Does VLO pay dividends?

Yes, Valero Energy Corporation (VLO) pays a dividend with a yield of 1.21%. This makes it attractive for income-focused investors.

What is VLO's return on equity?

Valero Energy Corporation (VLO) has a return on equity (ROE) of 8.7%. This is below average, suggesting room for improvement.

What is Valero Energy Corporation's free cash flow?

Valero Energy Corporation (VLO) generated $10.48B in free cash flow for fiscal year 2025. Positive FCF indicates the company can fund dividends, buybacks, or reinvestment.

What if you invested $1,000 in VLO back in 1996?

Total return calculator · dividends reinvested · 30+ years of data

See returns →