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XPOXPO Logistics, Inc.
$176.95$20.8B
Overview & Tools
OverviewChart Terminal ↗Visualize
Valuation & Forecasts
Valuation ModelsEstimatesDCF Model
Price & Analyst Data
Analyst TargetsPrice History
Financial Statements
Income StatementBalance SheetCash FlowRatios & Margins
Performance
P/E HistoryRevenue HistoryEarnings HistoryDividend HistoryTotal Return
Discovery & Screens
Live BreakoutsStock ScreenerOwnership
XPO logo

XPO Logistics, Inc.

XPO
NYSE · Trucking
$176.95
At close - Nov 6, 4:00 PM EST - USD
Market Cap$20.78B
P/E41.5x
52W High$232.05
Volume1.49M
OverviewTerminalAnalysisFinancialsValuationEarningsBreakoutsOwnership
VCP Research Verdict2026Q3

XPO Recovery Gains Face Volatile Reporting and Leverage Constraints

XPO's revenue has reaccelerated to 12.4% year-over-year growth in 2026Q3 to roughly $2.4B, and operating margin has held between 8.1% and 12.1%, suggesting a cyclical recovery in freight demand is taking hold.

GrowthMixed
ProfitabilityModerate
ValuationExpensive
TechnicalsWeak
Explore valuation models
MARKET ACTION

XPO price & volume

Price trend, volume and key moving averages

Launch Terminal
Loading chart...
Decision Checklist4 Core Signals

What matters now

The signals most likely to change the investment case.

01

Earnings momentum

12/12 Beats

EPS beat 12 of last 12 quarters

02

Valuation risk

+83% Peers

P/E is 83% above peer median

03

Market leadership

RS 42 · Lag

Laggard (Underperforming 58% of market)

04

Weak Trend

Below 200DMA

Price < 200DMA

Next CatalystEstimated earnings · Jan 29
01

Build the investment case

Start with the evidence for owning the stock and the risks that can break the thesis.

EXECUTIVE THESIS

The Investment Case

Full Analysis
Fundamental Trajectory

Revenue grew 12.4% year-over-year to roughly $2.4B in 2026Q3 and operating margin reached 12.1%, though gross margin volatility from 11.4% to 46.9% across quarters suggests presentation issues warrant investigation.

Analyst Consensus+28.5% target
Buy(32 analysts)
23 Buy8 Hold1 Sell

The Bull Case

Upside Catalysts

Strong LTL Market Position

XPO is one of the largest providers of asset-based less-than-truckload (LTL) freight transportation in North America, offering optimized shipping with fast transit times.

Institutional Investor Confidence

Recent institutional activity, including selling $115 strike puts expiring in 2026, indicates strong confidence with a ~22% margin of safety at current stock prices.

Compelling Valuation Opportunity

The stock presents a bullish opportunity due to strong fundamentals and a significant margin of safety, as highlighted by recent trades and market analysis.

The Bear Case

Key Downside Risks

Market performance

Price History →

Trailing total returns as of 11/8/2026, which may include dividends or other distributions. Benchmark is S&P 500 (^GSPC).

YTD Return
XPO+27.49%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+7.63%
1-Year Return
XPO+29.88%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+9.69%
3-Year Return
XPO+122.63%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+69.26%
5-Year Return
XPO+274.26%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+57.30%
02

Test the fundamentals

Check whether operating performance supports the current valuation.

VALUATION & INTRINSIC VALUE

Valuation Scenarios

Valuation Analysis
Trailing P/EMedian
41.5x
Forward P/EExpansion
30.7x
EV/EBITDA100th %ile
17.3x
FCF YieldCash Flow
3.2%

Valuation vs 5-Year History

Multiple Range
Metric
Current
5Y Median
Historical Range
Percentile
P/E
41.5x
40.6x
60th· Fair
EV/EBITDA
17.3x
16.1x
100th· High
Price/FCF
31.6x
12.4x
67th· Fair
Current Multiple
5Y Median (50th %ile)

Intrinsic Value Scenarios

DCF Projection
Bear$18.93-89.3%
Base (Fair)$74.56-57.9%
Bull$109.82-37.9%
$18.93 Bear$74.56 Base$109.82 Bull
Current Market Price: $176.95
Trades at a 137.3% premium to Base DCF ($74.56)
Open DCF & Valuation Models →Chart Terminal ↗

Growth & profitability

Annual revenue & EPS trend
Revenue FY25
$8.16B+1.1% YoY
Net income FY25
$316M-18.3% YoY
Free cash flow FY25
$329M+1631.6% YoY
Operating margin FY25
8.9%+0.8 pts YoY
ROIC (FY25)9.3%
Avg ROIC 5Y7.2%
ROE (TTM)26.3%
Piotroski Score5 / 9
Financial Statements →
03

Monitor what changed

Recent results and news deserve attention only when they alter the forward view.

OPERATING RESULTS

Recent Earnings

Earnings History
EPS Beat Rate12/12 (100%)
Revenue Beat Rate9/12 (75%)
QuarterEPS (Act vs Est)Revenue (Act vs Est)
Q4 2026Latest
Oct 29, 2026
$1.70+7.6%
vs $1.58
$2.4B-0.3%
vs $2.4B
Q3 2026
Jul 30, 2026
$1.70+14.9%
vs $1.48
$2.4B+3.4%
vs $2.3B
Q2 2026
Apr 30, 2026
$1.01+14.9%
vs $0.88
$2.1B+2.8%
vs $2.0B
Q1 2026
Feb 5, 2026
$0.88+15.2%
vs $0.76
$2.0B+2.8%
vs $2.0B
Historical baseline: 12 quarters analyzedGAAP / Adjusted
MARKET COVERAGE

Latest News

4 Stories
The Motley Fool·Oct 29, 2026
After Another Strong Quarter, XPO Sees More Room for Margin Improvements

XPO saw 5% tonnage growth in the third quarter, its best performance in years. Including a fuel surcharge, North American LTL revenue was up by 17%.

Seeking Alpha·Oct 29, 2026
XPO, Inc. (XPO) Q3 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

XPO, Inc. (XPO) Q3 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Zacks Investment Research·Oct 29, 2026
XPO (XPO) Reports Q3 Earnings: What Key Metrics Have to Say

The headline numbers for XPO (XPO) give insight into how the company performed in the quarter ended September 2026, but it may be worthwhile to compare some of its key metrics to Wall Street estimates and the year-ago actuals.

Zacks Investment Research·Oct 29, 2026
XPO (XPO) Beats Q3 Earnings Estimates

XPO (XPO) came out with quarterly earnings of $1.7 per share, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.56 per share. This compares to earnings of $1.07 per share a year ago.

Filtered for XPO Logistics, Inc.More Headlines
04

Compare before deciding

Benchmark XPO against direct peers instead of judging its metrics in isolation.

Peers Comparison

Key metrics vs top competitors for XPO Logistics, Inc. (XPO)

Full Screener →
CompanyPriceMarket CapP/E RatioRev Growth (1Y)Net MarginROEDiv Yield
XPO logoXPOXPO Logistics, Inc.Current
$176.95$20.78B41.511.05%5.69%26.31%—
ODFL logoODFLOld Dominion Freight Line, Inc.
$164.92$34.3B29.54-5.48%20.08%25.92%0.68%
SAIA logoSAIASaia, Inc.
$331.90$8.85B31.440.79%8.01%10.53%—
ARCB logoARCBArcBest Corp
$127.91$2.85B100.02-4.04%0.66%2.23%0.37%
TFII logoTFIITFI International Inc.
$94.94$7.8B20.3231.1%4.21%14.16%2.66%
UPS logoUPSUnited Parcel Service, Inc.
$108.30$92B20.87-2.46%4.84%28.45%5.86%

Compare XPO vs Peers

XPO Logistics, Inc. (XPO) vs competitors — business, growth, and fundamentals comparison against the closest industry rivals.

Closest Rival

vs ODFL

Most directly comparable listed peer for XPO.

Scale Benchmark

vs ORCL

Larger-name benchmark to compare XPO against a more recognizable public peer.

Peer Set

Compare Top 5

vs ODFL, SAIA, ARCB, TFII

05

Keep researching

Verify the primary filings, follow material updates, and answer the remaining questions.

XPO SEC Filings & Documents

XPO Logistics, Inc. (XPO) SEC filings — annual & quarterly reports (10-K, 10-Q)

8-K Announcements

6
Material company update

Oct 29, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Oct 29, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Jul 30, 2026·SEC

10-K Annual Reports

2
FY 2026

Feb 5, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Feb 7, 2025·SEC

10-Q Quarterly Reports

6
FY 2026

Oct 29, 2026·SEC

FY 2026

Jul 30, 2026·SEC

FY 2026

Apr 30, 2026·SEC

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XPO Frequently Asked Questions

XPO Logistics, Inc. (XPO) stock FAQ — growth, dividends, profitability & financials explained

Growth & Financials
What is XPO Logistics, Inc.'s revenue?

XPO Logistics, Inc. (XPO) reported $8.84B in revenue over the trailing twelve months. Revenue was $8.16B in fiscal year 2025. That is 96236% more than the $8.5M of fiscal year 2001.

How fast is XPO Logistics, Inc. growing?

XPO Logistics, Inc. (XPO) grew revenue by 9.5% over the trailing twelve months, compared with the twelve months before.

Is XPO profitable?

Yes. XPO Logistics, Inc. (XPO) earned $503.0M in net income over the trailing twelve months (a 5.7% net margin).

Dividend & Returns
What is XPO's return on equity?

XPO Logistics, Inc. (XPO) had a return on equity (ROE) of 26.3% over the trailing twelve months. That is well above the market's typical 10-15%.

What is XPO Logistics, Inc.'s free cash flow?

XPO Logistics, Inc. (XPO) generated $657.0M in free cash flow over the trailing twelve months.

What if you invested $1,000 in XPO back in 2001?

Total return calculator · dividends reinvested · 25+ years of data

See returns →