6.7% Below Target

The consensus price target for AZN is $186.67, close to the current price of $174.93 (6.7% implied move). Based on 41 analyst estimates, the stock appears fairly valued near current levels.

AZN has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 41 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is mixed, with 15 Hold ratings making up the largest segment. The consensus 12-month price target of $186.67 implies 6.7% upside from current levels.

With a forward P/E of 17.0131x, AZN trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $186.67 implies 6.7% appreciation, suggesting the market may be pricing in risks.

The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $216 for AZN, while the most conservative target is $158. The consensus of $186.67 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $282 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.

AZN is heavily covered by Wall Street, with 41 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 1 have Strong Buy ratings, 19 have Buy ratings, 15 recommend Hold, and 6 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.

The 12-month AZN stock forecast based on 41 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $186.67, with estimates ranging from $158 (bear case) to $216 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $214, with bear/bull scenarios of $135/$282.

Our quantitative valuation model calculates AZN's fair value at $214 (base case), with a bear case of $135 and bull case of $282. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 49/100.

AZN trades at a forward P/E ratio of 17.0x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 26.7x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.

AZN appears fairly valued according to analysts, with a "Buy" rating and minimal upside to the $186.67 target. Consider your investment thesis and risk tolerance. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

AZN analyst price targets range from $158 to $216, a 31% moderate spread showing some variance in outlooks. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $186.67 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $135-$282 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.