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KEYKeyCorp
$20.85$22.5B
Overview & Tools
OverviewChart Terminal ↗Visualize
Valuation & Forecasts
Valuation ModelsEstimatesDCF Model
Price & Analyst Data
Analyst TargetsPrice History
Financial Statements
Income StatementBalance SheetCash FlowRatios & Margins
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P/E HistoryRevenue HistoryEarnings HistoryDividend HistoryTotal Return
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KEY logo

KeyCorp

KEY
NYSE · Large & Global Banks
$20.85
At close - Nov 6, 4:00 PM EST - USD
Market Cap$22.5B
P/E10.5x
52W High$24.07
Volume13.91M
OverviewTerminalAnalysisFinancialsValuationEarningsBreakoutsOwnership
VCP Research Verdict2026Q3

Rebuilding Net Interest Income Meets Thin Margins and Fee Volatility

KeyCorp's net interest income has risen from roughly $887M in Q2 2024 to about $1.3B in Q3 2026, with 9.8% year-over-year growth in the latest quarter, suggesting loan volume and repricing are offsetting funding pressure.

GrowthMixed
ProfitabilityModerate
ValuationAttractive
TechnicalsWeak
Explore valuation models
MARKET ACTION

KEY price & volume

Price trend, volume and key moving averages

Launch Terminal
Loading chart...
Decision Checklist4 Core Signals

What matters now

The signals most likely to change the investment case.

01

Earnings momentum

11/12 Beats

EPS beat 11 of last 12 quarters

02

Valuation risk

-10% Peers

P/E is 10% below peer median

03

Market leadership

RS 54 · Avg

Average momentum (RS Rating: 54)

04

Weak Trend

Below 200DMA

Price < 200DMA

Next CatalystEstimated earnings · Jan 20
01

Build the investment case

Start with the evidence for owning the stock and the risks that can break the thesis.

EXECUTIVE THESIS

The Investment Case

Full Analysis
Fundamental Trajectory

Net interest income grew 9.8% year-over-year to about $1.3B in Q3 2026, but the net interest margin of roughly 0.7% and a volatile fee line that swung from $782M to zero across recent quarters leave earnings quality dependent on fee stability.

Analyst Consensus+20.5% target
Buy(51 analysts)
31 Buy18 Hold2 Sell

The Bull Case

Upside Catalysts

Undervalued Assets and Real Estate Holdings

Kohl's is considered deeply undervalued due to its significant real estate holdings, estimated to be worth between $5 billion and $10 billion. This real estate is largely unrecognized by the market, leading some to view Kohl's as essentially a real estate company with a retail business.

Short Squeeze Potential

Kohl's has experienced extremely high short interest, with a significant percentage of its float sold short. This creates the potential for a short squeeze, where a rapid increase in the stock price forces short sellers to buy back shares, further driving up the price.

Financial Stability and Debt Management

Concerns about Kohl's debt are considered overblown by some analysts. The company has no major debt maturities until 2030, and recent financial maneuvers suggest efforts to unlock hidden asset value.

The Bear Case

Key Downside Risks

Market performance

Price History →

Trailing total returns as of 11/8/2026, which may include dividends or other distributions. Benchmark is S&P 500 (^GSPC).

YTD Return
KEY+2.31%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+7.63%
1-Year Return
KEY+23.20%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+9.69%
3-Year Return
KEY+106.83%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+67.91%
5-Year Return
KEY+5.11%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+56.16%
02

Test the fundamentals

Check whether operating performance supports the current valuation.

VALUATION & INTRINSIC VALUE

Valuation Scenarios

Valuation Analysis
Trailing P/EMedian
10.5x
Forward P/E
11.0x
EV/EBITDA50th %ile
15.9x
FCF YieldCash Flow
3.7%

Valuation vs 5-Year History

Multiple Range
Metric
Current
5Y Median
Historical Range
Percentile
P/E
10.5x
13.6x
50th· Fair
EV/EBITDA
15.9x
17.7x
50th· Fair
Price/FCF
27.0x
10.8x
80th· High
Current Multiple
5Y Median (50th %ile)

Intrinsic Value Scenarios

DCF Projection
Bear$13.49-35.3%
Base (Fair)$23.88+14.5%
Bull$36.66+75.8%
$13.49 Bear$23.88 Base$36.66 Bull
Current Market Price: $20.85
Trades at a 12.7% discount to Base DCF ($23.88)
Open DCF & Valuation Models →Chart Terminal ↗

Growth & profitability

Annual revenue & EPS trend
Revenue FY25
$7.44B+69.3% YoY
Net income FY25
$1.83B+1236.0% YoY
Free cash flow FY25
$2.1B+250.8% YoY
Operating margin FY25
31%+37.9 pts YoY
ROIC (FY25)5.4%
Avg ROIC 5Y3.9%
ROE (TTM)10.9%
Piotroski Score8 / 9
Financial Statements →
03

Monitor what changed

Recent results and news deserve attention only when they alter the forward view.

OPERATING RESULTS

Recent Earnings

Earnings History
EPS Beat Rate11/12 (92%)
Revenue Beat Rate6/12 (50%)
QuarterEPS (Act vs Est)Revenue (Act vs Est)
Q4 2026Latest
Oct 20, 2026
$0.51+9.8%
vs $0.46
$2.0B-0.2%
vs $2.0B
Q3 2026
Jul 21, 2026
$0.44+4.2%
vs $0.42
$2.0B-0.3%
vs $2.0B
Q2 2026
Apr 16, 2026
$0.44+6.4%
vs $0.41
$2.0B+0.8%
vs $1.9B
Q1 2026
Jan 20, 2026
$0.41+5.9%
vs $0.39
$2.0B+2.2%
vs $2.0B
Historical baseline: 12 quarters analyzedGAAP / Adjusted
MARKET COVERAGE

Latest News

4 Stories
Zacks Investment Research·Oct 23, 2026
KEY vs. NTRS: Which Stock Should Value Investors Buy Now?

Investors with an interest in Banks - Major Regional stocks have likely encountered both KeyCorp (KEY) and Northern Trust Corporation (NTRS). But which of these two stocks presents investors with the better value opportunity right now?

Seeking Alpha·Oct 21, 2026
KeyCorp: Right In The Sweet Spot With NII Growth (Rating Upgrade)

KeyCorp delivered strong Q3 results, beating earnings estimates on robust commercial loan growth and higher net interest income. KEY's net interest income rose 10% year-over-year, with total revenues up 8% and earnings up 18%, reflecting a favorable lending environment. Shares trade at 1.23x book value versus a 1.21x 3-year average, suggesting valuation upside as commercial loan growth and rate hikes persist.

GuruFocus·Oct 21, 2026
KeyCorp (KEY) Q3 2026 Earnings Call Highlights: Record Revenue, Strong Deposit Growth and a Clear Path to Higher Margins

Earnings Per Share: $0.51, up 24% year over year.Revenue: Record quarterly revenue over $2 billion, up 8% year over year.Pre-Provision Net Revenue (PPNR): Recor

The Motley Fool·Oct 20, 2026
KeyCorp: 3 Key Takeaways for Long-Term Investors

Commercial and industrial loans grew 5% sequentially in the third quarter. Average total deposits increased by $3.6 billion during the third quarter.

Filtered for KeyCorpMore Headlines
04

Compare before deciding

Benchmark KEY against direct peers instead of judging its metrics in isolation.

Peers Comparison

Key metrics vs top competitors for KeyCorp (KEY)

Full Screener →
CompanyPriceMarket CapP/E RatioRev Growth (1Y)Net MarginROEDiv Yield
KEY logoKEYKeyCorpCurrent
$20.85$22.5B10.4769.31%29.3%10.88%4.62%
RF logoRFRegions Financial Corporation
$28.31$24.16B10.566.25%29.89%12.26%3.66%
CFG logoCFGCitizens Financial Group, Inc.
$63.24$26.74B11.87-5.85%25.4%8.74%2.74%
HBAN logoHBANHuntington Bancshares Incorporated
$15.47$31.26B12.7210.58%24%8.17%3.9%
FITB logoFITBFifth Third Bancorp
$53.04$48.07B18.988.37%21.86%8.3%3.28%
MTB logoMTBM&T Bank Corporation
$217.75$31.56B10.48-4.98%30.21%10.65%2.64%

Compare KEY vs Peers

KeyCorp (KEY) vs competitors — business, growth, and fundamentals comparison against the closest industry rivals.

Closest Rival

vs RF

Most directly comparable listed peer for KEY.

Scale Benchmark

vs JPM

Larger-name benchmark to compare KEY against a more recognizable public peer.

Peer Set

Compare Top 5

vs RF, CFG, HBAN, FITB

05

Keep researching

Verify the primary filings, follow material updates, and answer the remaining questions.

KEY SEC Filings & Documents

KeyCorp (KEY) SEC filings — annual & quarterly reports (10-K, 10-Q)

8-K Announcements

6
Material company update

Nov 2, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Oct 20, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Aug 14, 2026·SEC

10-K Annual Reports

2
FY 2026

Feb 23, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Feb 21, 2025·SEC

10-Q Quarterly Reports

6
FY 2026

Nov 3, 2026·SEC

FY 2026

Aug 4, 2026·SEC

FY 2026

May 5, 2026·SEC

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KEY Frequently Asked Questions

KeyCorp (KEY) stock FAQ — growth, dividends, profitability & financials explained

Growth & Financials
How fast is KeyCorp growing?

KeyCorp (KEY) grew revenue by 16.1% over the trailing twelve months, compared with the twelve months before.

Is KEY profitable?

Yes. KeyCorp (KEY) earned $2.12B in net income over the trailing twelve months (a 29.3% net margin).

Dividend & Returns
Does KEY pay dividends?

Yes. KeyCorp (KEY) pays a dividend that yields 4.62% at the current price, a high yield.

What is KEY's return on equity?

KeyCorp (KEY) had a return on equity (ROE) of 10.9% over the trailing twelve months. That is in line with the market's typical 10-15%.

Industry Metrics
What is KeyCorp's net interest margin?

KeyCorp (KEY) has a net interest margin (NIM) of 2.5%. NIM has been under pressure due to interest rate environment.

What is KeyCorp's efficiency ratio?

KeyCorp (KEY) has an efficiency ratio of 62.7%. This is reasonable for a bank.

What if you invested $1,000 in KEY back in 1996?

Total return calculator · dividends reinvested · 30+ years of data

See returns →