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LWLamb Weston Holdings, Inc.
$46.36$6.4B
Overview & Tools
OverviewChart Terminal ↗Visualize
Valuation & Forecasts
Valuation ModelsEstimatesDCF Model
Price & Analyst Data
Analyst TargetsPrice History
Financial Statements
Income StatementBalance SheetCash FlowRatios & Margins
Performance
P/E HistoryRevenue HistoryEarnings HistoryDividend HistoryTotal Return
Discovery & Screens
Live BreakoutsStock ScreenerOwnership
LW logo

Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc.

LW
NYSE · Packaged Foods
$46.36
At close - Sep 22, 4:00 PM EDT - USD
Market Cap$6.37B
P/E22.3x
52W High$67.07
Volume1.41M
OverviewTerminalAnalysisFinancialsValuationEarningsBreakoutsOwnership
VCP Research Verdict2026Q4

Margin Recovery Tempered by Elevated Leverage and ERP Disruption

Lamb Weston is navigating a post-ERP disruption recovery, with revenue growth stabilizing at 5.6% in 2026Q4 and gross margins recovering to 20.4% from a trough of 17.4% in 2025Q2. The company's dominant position in frozen potato products and recent capacity in...

GrowthMixed
ProfitabilityStrained
ValuationExpensive
TechnicalsWeak
Explore valuation models
MARKET ACTION

LW price & volume

Price trend, volume and key moving averages

Launch Terminal
Loading chart...
Decision Checklist4 Core Signals

What matters now

The signals most likely to change the investment case.

01

Earnings momentum

9/12 Beats

EPS beat 9 of last 12 quarters

02

Valuation risk

+18% Peers

P/E is 18% above peer median

03

Market leadership

RS 65 · Avg

Average momentum (RS Rating: 65)

04

Weak Trend

Below 200DMA

Price < 200DMA

Next CatalystEstimated earnings · Oct 24
01

Build the investment case

Start with the evidence for owning the stock and the risks that can break the thesis.

EXECUTIVE THESIS

The Investment Case

Full Analysis
Fundamental Trajectory

Revenue growth has stabilized at 5.6% in 2026Q4, but gross margin remains 740 basis points below its 2025Q3 peak of 27.8%, reflecting persistent cost pressures and ERP-related inefficiencies.

Analyst Consensus+16.2% target
Hold(19 analysts)
6 Buy12 Hold1 Sell

The Bull Case

Upside Catalysts

Market overreaction to guidance

The recent stock volatility is seen as an overreaction to management's transparent and de-risked 2026 guidance, suggesting potential undervaluation.

Strong cash generation

The underlying cash generation and dividend stability remain fundamentally sound, supporting the investment thesis.

Market share growth

The bullish case emphasizes capturing market share through volume growth, indicating potential revenue upside.

The Bear Case

Key Downside Risks

Market performance

Price History →

Trailing total returns as of 9/23/2026, which may include dividends or other distributions. Benchmark is S&P 500 (^GSPC).

YTD Return
LW+12.32%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+13.20%
1-Year Return
LW-13.55%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+15.98%
3-Year Return
LW-46.09%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+79.62%
5-Year Return
LW-13.54%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+74.56%
02

Test the fundamentals

Check whether operating performance supports the current valuation.

VALUATION & INTRINSIC VALUE

Valuation Scenarios

Valuation Analysis
Trailing P/E5Y High
22.3x
Forward P/EExpansion
16.7x
EV/EBITDA80th %ile
17.3x
FCF YieldCash Flow
10.0%

Valuation vs 5-Year History

Multiple Range
Metric
Current
5Y Median
Historical Range
Percentile
P/E
22.3x
20.2x
80th· High
EV/EBITDA
17.3x
16.7x
80th· High
Price/FCF
10.0x
77.2x
25th· Low
Current Multiple
5Y Median (50th %ile)

Intrinsic Value Scenarios

DCF Projection
Bear$35.13-24.2%
Base (Fair)$85.55+83.3%
Bull$158.37+241.6%
$35.13 Bear$85.55 Base$158.37 Bull
Current Market Price: $46.36
Trades at a 45.8% discount to Base DCF ($85.55)
Open DCF & Valuation Models →Chart Terminal ↗

Growth & profitability

Annual revenue & EPS trend
Revenue
$6.61B+2.5% YoY
Net income
$290M-18.8% YoY
Free cash flow
$637M+176.7% YoY
Operating margin
8.9%-1.4 pts YoY
ROIC (TTM)7.7%
Avg ROIC 5Y-
ROE (TTM)16.3%
Piotroski Score7 / 9
Financial Statements →
03

Monitor what changed

Recent results and news deserve attention only when they alter the forward view.

OPERATING RESULTS

Recent Earnings

Earnings History
EPS Beat Rate9/12 (75%)
Revenue Beat Rate9/12 (75%)
QuarterEPS (Act vs Est)Revenue (Act vs Est)
Q3 2026Latest
Jul 24, 2026
$0.87+39.0%
vs $0.63
$1.8B+4.3%
vs $1.7B
Q2 2026
Apr 1, 2026
$0.72+15.0%
vs $0.63
$1.6B+4.6%
vs $1.5B
Q4 2025
Dec 19, 2025
$0.69+7.1%
vs $0.64
$1.6B+1.7%
vs $1.6B
Q4 2025
Sep 30, 2025
$0.74+35.8%
vs $0.55
$1.7B+2.6%
vs $1.6B
Historical baseline: 12 quarters analyzedGAAP / Adjusted
MARKET COVERAGE

Latest News

5 Stories
Defense World·6d ago
Tidal Investments LLC Has $2.11 Million Stock Position in Lamb Weston $LW

Tidal Investments LLC boosted its position in shares of Lamb Weston (NYSE: LW) by 44.6% in the second quarter, according to the company in its most recent 13F filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission. The institutional investor owned 48,963 shares of the specialty retailer's stock after purchasing an additional 15,092 shares during

GlobeNewsWire·Sep 16, 2026
Bragar Eagel & Squire, P.C. is Investigating Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. on Behalf of Long-Term Stockholders and Encourages Investors to Contact the Firm

Bragar Eagel & Squire, P.C.  Litigation Partner  Brandon Walker  Encourages Investors Who Suffered Losses In Lamb Weston (LW) To Contact Him Directly To Discuss Their Options

Defense World·Sep 12, 2026
Amundi Sells 297,760 Shares of Lamb Weston $LW

Amundi decreased its stake in Lamb Weston (NYSE: LW) by 51.1% in the second quarter, according to the company in its most recent Form 13F filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission. The institutional investor owned 284,598 shares of the specialty retailer's stock after selling 297,760 shares during the quarter. Amundi owned approximately

Defense World·Sep 1, 2026
Canada Pension Plan Investment Board Buys Shares of 24,400 Lamb Weston $LW

Canada Pension Plan Investment Board purchased a new stake in Lamb Weston (NYSE: LW) during the undefined quarter, according to the company in its most recent filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission. The firm purchased 24,400 shares of the specialty retailer's stock, valued at approximately $1,054,000. A number of other institutional investors

Filtered for Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc.More Headlines
04

Compare before deciding

Benchmark LW against direct peers instead of judging its metrics in isolation.

Peers Comparison

Key metrics vs top competitors for Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. (LW)

Full Screener →
CompanyPriceMarket CapP/E RatioRev Growth (1Y)Net MarginROEDiv Yield
LW logoLWLamb Weston Holdings, Inc.Current
$46.36$6.37B22.292.5%4.39%16.28%3.22%
CAG logoCAGConagra Brands, Inc.
$14.79$7.08B-3.70-2.85%-0.39%-0.51%—
NOMD logoNOMDNomad Foods Limited
$10.50$1.47B10.06-2.17%4.19%4.96%—
SMPL logoSMPLThe Simply Good Foods Company
$10.01$885.3M9.818.98%-14.28%-12.33%—
FRPT logoFRPTFreshpet, Inc.
$60.13$2.95B22.7813.01%17.28%16.65%—
SJM logoSJMThe J. M. Smucker Company
$121.11$12.92B-93.163.72%2.51%4.06%—

Compare LW vs Peers

Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. (LW) vs competitors — business, growth, and fundamentals comparison against the closest industry rivals.

Closest Rival

vs CAG

Most directly comparable listed peer for LW.

Scale Benchmark

vs MCD

Larger-name benchmark to compare LW against a more recognizable public peer.

Peer Set

Compare Top 5

vs CAG, NOMD, SMPL, FRPT

05

Keep researching

Verify the primary filings, follow material updates, and answer the remaining questions.

LW SEC Filings & Documents

Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. (LW) SEC filings — annual & quarterly reports (10-K, 10-Q)

8-K Announcements

6
Material company update

Jul 24, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Jul 15, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Jun 4, 2026·SEC

10-K Annual Reports

3
FY 2026

Jul 24, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Jul 23, 2025·SEC

FY 2024

Jul 24, 2024·SEC

10-Q Quarterly Reports

6
FY 2026

Apr 1, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Dec 19, 2025·SEC

FY 2025

Sep 30, 2025·SEC

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LW Frequently Asked Questions

Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. (LW) stock FAQ — growth, dividends, profitability & financials explained

Growth & Financials
What is Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc.'s revenue?

Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. (LW) reported $6.67B in revenue for fiscal year 2026. This represents a 137% increase from $2.82B in 2014.

How fast is Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. growing?

Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. (LW) grew revenue by 2.5% over the past year. Growth has been modest.

Is LW profitable?

Yes, Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. (LW) is profitable, generating $347.8M in net income for fiscal year 2026 (4.4% net margin).

Dividend & Returns
Does LW pay dividends?

Yes, Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. (LW) pays a dividend with a yield of 3.22%. This makes it attractive for income-focused investors.

What is LW's return on equity?

Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. (LW) has a return on equity (ROE) of 16.3%. This is reasonable for most industries.

What is Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc.'s free cash flow?

Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. (LW) generated $831.0M in free cash flow for fiscal year 2026. Positive FCF indicates the company can fund dividends, buybacks, or reinvestment.

What if you invested $1,000 in LW back in 2014?

Total return calculator · dividends reinvested · 12+ years of data

See returns →