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LWLamb Weston Holdings, Inc.
$55.24$7.6B
Overview & Tools
OverviewChart Terminal ↗Visualize
Valuation & Forecasts
Valuation ModelsEstimatesDCF Model
Price & Analyst Data
Analyst TargetsPrice History
Financial Statements
Income StatementBalance SheetCash FlowRatios & Margins
Performance
P/E HistoryRevenue HistoryEarnings HistoryDividend HistoryTotal Return
Discovery & Screens
Live BreakoutsStock ScreenerOwnership
LW logo

Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc.

LW
NYSE · Packaged Foods
$55.24
At close - Nov 6, 4:00 PM EST - USD
Market Cap$7.59B
P/E29.9x
52W High$62.87
Volume1.54M
OverviewTerminalAnalysisFinancialsValuationEarningsBreakoutsOwnership
VCP Research Verdict2027Q1

Gross Margin Collapse Strains Leveraged Potato Processor

Lamb Weston appears caught between stagnant pricing power and an asset-heavy fixed-cost footprint, with revenue growth stalling at 0.7% in 2027Q1 while gross margin compressed roughly 810 basis points to 16.0% from 24.1% in late 2024, suggesting input cost inflation on potatoes, oils, and energy is no longer being…

GrowthDecelerating
ProfitabilityStrained
ValuationExpensive
TechnicalsStrong
Explore valuation models
MARKET ACTION

LW price & volume

Price trend, volume and key moving averages

Launch Terminal
Loading chart...
Decision Checklist4 Core Signals

What matters now

The signals most likely to change the investment case.

01

Earnings momentum

9/12 Beats

EPS beat 9 of last 12 quarters

02

Valuation risk

+39% Peers

P/E is 39% above peer median

03

Market leadership

RS 86 · Leader

High momentum (Outperforming 86% of market)

04

Strong Uptrend

Strong Trend

Price > 20DMA > 50DMA > 200DMA

Next CatalystConfirmed earnings · Dec 18
01

Build the investment case

Start with the evidence for owning the stock and the risks that can break the thesis.

EXECUTIVE THESIS

The Investment Case

Full Analysis
Fundamental Trajectory

Revenue growth has flattened to 0.7% year-over-year on $1.7B of quarterly sales while gross margin slid to 16.0% and diluted EPS declined 54.3% to $0.21, suggesting the pricing actions taken over recent quarters are no longer offsetting underlying volume softness in the QSR channel.

Analyst Consensus-2.8% target
Hold(19 analysts)
6 Buy12 Hold1 Sell

The Bull Case

Upside Catalysts

Market overreaction to guidance

The recent stock volatility is seen as an overreaction to management's transparent and de-risked 2026 guidance, suggesting potential undervaluation.

Strong cash generation

The underlying cash generation and dividend stability remain fundamentally sound, supporting the investment thesis.

Market share growth

The bullish case emphasizes capturing market share through volume growth, indicating potential revenue upside.

The Bear Case

Key Downside Risks

Market performance

Price History →

Trailing total returns as of 11/8/2026, which may include dividends or other distributions. Benchmark is S&P 500 (^GSPC).

YTD Return
LW+34.22%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+7.63%
1-Year Return
LW-8.29%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+9.69%
3-Year Return
LW-36.63%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+69.09%
5-Year Return
LW+6.28%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+57.18%
02

Test the fundamentals

Check whether operating performance supports the current valuation.

VALUATION & INTRINSIC VALUE

Valuation Scenarios

Valuation Analysis
Trailing P/E5Y High
29.9x
Forward P/EExpansion
19.9x
EV/EBITDA60th %ile
12.5x
FCF YieldCash Flow
6.7%

Valuation vs 5-Year History

Multiple Range
Metric
Current
5Y Median
Historical Range
Percentile
P/E
29.9x
20.8x
80th· High
EV/EBITDA
12.5x
12.2x
60th· Fair
Price/FCF
14.9x
77.2x
25th· Low
Current Multiple
5Y Median (50th %ile)

Intrinsic Value Scenarios

DCF Projection
Bear$25.97-53.0%
Base (Fair)$69.95+26.6%
Bull$138.37+150.5%
$25.97 Bear$69.95 Base$138.37 Bull
Current Market Price: $55.24
Trades at a 21.0% discount to Base DCF ($69.95)
Open DCF & Valuation Models →Chart Terminal ↗

Growth & profitability

Annual revenue & EPS trend
Revenue FY26
$6.61B+2.5% YoY
Net income FY26
$290M-18.8% YoY
Free cash flow FY26
$540M+134.8% YoY
Operating margin FY26
8.9%-1.4 pts YoY
ROIC (FY26)7.7%
Avg ROIC 5Y12.8%
ROE (TTM)14.1%
Piotroski Score7 / 9
Financial Statements →
03

Monitor what changed

Recent results and news deserve attention only when they alter the forward view.

OPERATING RESULTS

Recent Earnings

Earnings History
EPS Beat Rate9/12 (75%)
Revenue Beat Rate9/12 (75%)
QuarterEPS (Act vs Est)Revenue (Act vs Est)
Q4 2026Latest
Oct 6, 2026
$0.75+27.8%
vs $0.59
$1.7B+1.0%
vs $1.7B
Q3 2026
Jul 24, 2026
$0.87+39.0%
vs $0.63
$1.8B+4.3%
vs $1.7B
Q2 2026
Apr 1, 2026
$0.72+15.0%
vs $0.63
$1.6B+4.6%
vs $1.5B
Q4 2025
Dec 19, 2025
$0.69+7.1%
vs $0.64
$1.6B+1.7%
vs $1.6B
Historical baseline: 12 quarters analyzedGAAP / Adjusted
MARKET COVERAGE

Latest News

4 Stories
Defense World·Oct 20, 2026
Lamb Weston $LW Stock Sold by State of Alaska Department of Revenue

State of Alaska Department of Revenue trimmed its holdings in shares of Lamb Weston (NYSE: LW) by 32.2% during the third quarter, according to its most recent Form 13F filing with the SEC. The firm owned 35,477 shares of the specialty retailer's stock after selling 16,820 shares during the period. State of Alaska

Zacks Investment Research·Oct 15, 2026
Buy 5 High-Flying Consumer Staples Stocks for a Stable Portfolio in Q4

CO, MO, LW, SJM and ELF have delivered over 20% YTD returns, backed by growth strategies and favorable earnings trends.

Zacks Investment Research·Oct 14, 2026
Earnings Estimates Rising for Lamb Weston (LW): Will It Gain?

Lamb Weston (LW) shares have started gaining and might continue moving higher in the near term, as indicated by solid earnings estimate revisions.

Zacks Investment Research·Oct 13, 2026
Lamb Weston Stock Rallies 13% Since Q1 Earnings: What's Next for LW?

Lamb Weston's nearly 13% rally since its Q1 earnings release reflects strong results and raised guidance, with volume growth, cost savings and inflation shaping its outlook.

Filtered for Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc.More Headlines
04

Compare before deciding

Benchmark LW against direct peers instead of judging its metrics in isolation.

Peers Comparison

Key metrics vs top competitors for Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. (LW)

Full Screener →
CompanyPriceMarket CapP/E RatioRev Growth (1Y)Net MarginROEDiv Yield
LW logoLWLamb Weston Holdings, Inc.Current
$55.24$7.59B29.942.5%3.85%14.13%2.7%
CAG logoCAGConagra Brands, Inc.
$15.24$7.29B-3.84-2.85%-16.95%-26.28%9.17%
NOMD logoNOMDNomad Foods Limited
$11.75$1.64B11.13-2.17%4.46%5.24%5.77%
SMPL logoSMPLThe Simply Good Foods Company
$12.05$1.07B-6.84-6.51%-11.49%-10.23%—
FRPT logoFRPTFreshpet, Inc.
$64.39$3.16B26.8013.01%10.9%10.65%—
SJM logoSJMThe J. M. Smucker Company
$130.55$13.92B60.923.72%2.51%4.06%3.34%

Compare LW vs Peers

Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. (LW) vs competitors — business, growth, and fundamentals comparison against the closest industry rivals.

Closest Rival

vs CAG

Most directly comparable listed peer for LW.

Scale Benchmark

vs MCD

Larger-name benchmark to compare LW against a more recognizable public peer.

Peer Set

Compare Top 5

vs CAG, NOMD, SMPL, FRPT

05

Keep researching

Verify the primary filings, follow material updates, and answer the remaining questions.

LW SEC Filings & Documents

Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. (LW) SEC filings — annual & quarterly reports (10-K, 10-Q)

8-K Announcements

6
Material company update

Oct 6, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Oct 6, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Sep 16, 2026·SEC

10-K Annual Reports

3
FY 2026

Jul 24, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Jul 23, 2025·SEC

FY 2024

Jul 24, 2024·SEC

10-Q Quarterly Reports

6
FY 2026

Oct 6, 2026·SEC

FY 2026

Apr 1, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Dec 19, 2025·SEC

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LW Frequently Asked Questions

Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. (LW) stock FAQ — growth, dividends, profitability & financials explained

Growth & Financials
What is Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc.'s revenue?

Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. (LW) reported $6.61B in revenue in fiscal year 2026, which is also its trailing twelve months. That is 135% more than the $2.82B of fiscal year 2014.

How fast is Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. growing?

Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. (LW) grew revenue by 2.6% over the trailing twelve months, compared with the twelve months before.

Is LW profitable?

Yes. Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. (LW) earned $254.8M in net income over the trailing twelve months (a 3.8% net margin).

Dividend & Returns
Does LW pay dividends?

Yes. Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. (LW) pays a dividend that yields 2.70% at the current price, a moderate yield.

What is LW's return on equity?

Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. (LW) had a return on equity (ROE) of 14.1% over the trailing twelve months. That is in line with the market's typical 10-15%.

What is Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc.'s free cash flow?

Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. (LW) generated $508.5M in free cash flow over the trailing twelve months.

What if you invested $1,000 in LW back in 2014?

Total return calculator · dividends reinvested · 12+ years of data

See returns →