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MPCMarathon Petroleum Corporation
$388.38$113.4B
Overview & Tools
OverviewChart Terminal ↗Visualize
Valuation & Forecasts
Valuation ModelsEstimatesDCF Model
Price & Analyst Data
Analyst TargetsPrice History
Financial Statements
Income StatementBalance SheetCash FlowRatios & Margins
Performance
P/E HistoryRevenue HistoryEarnings HistoryDividend HistoryTotal Return
Discovery & Screens
Live BreakoutsStock ScreenerOwnership
MPC logo

Marathon Petroleum Corporation

MPC
NYSE · Oil Refining & Marketing
$388.38
At close - Sep 23, 4:00 PM EDT - USD
Market Cap$113.38B
P/E29.3x
52W High$431.08
Volume4.12M
OverviewTerminalAnalysisFinancialsValuationEarningsBreakoutsOwnership
VCP Research Verdict2026Q2

Cyclical Margin Surge Masks Structural Leverage Risks

Marathon Petroleum's 2026Q2 results demonstrate exceptional operating leverage, with gross margin expanding to 17.2% and EPS reaching $17.68, but this appears to be a cyclical peak given the prior nine-quarter average of 8.4%. The company's disciplined SG&A (r...

GrowthMixed
ProfitabilityStrong
ValuationAttractive
TechnicalsHealthy
Explore valuation models
MARKET ACTION

MPC price & volume

Price trend, volume and key moving averages

Launch Terminal
Loading chart...
Decision Checklist4 Core Signals

What matters now

The signals most likely to change the investment case.

01

Earnings momentum

11/12 Beats

EPS beat 11 of last 12 quarters

02

Valuation risk

+39% Peers

P/E is 39% above peer median

03

Market leadership

RS 96 · Leader

High momentum (Outperforming 96% of market)

04

Healthy Uptrend

Uptrend

Price > 50DMA > 200DMA

Next CatalystEstimated earnings · Nov 4
01

Build the investment case

Start with the evidence for owning the stock and the risks that can break the thesis.

EXECUTIVE THESIS

The Investment Case

Full Analysis
Fundamental Trajectory

Revenue surged 53.8% YoY to $52.0B in 2026Q2, with gross margin at 17.2%—more than triple Valero's 4.4%—but this follows a volatile trajectory averaging only 1.4% growth in prior quarters, indicating crack-spread-driven cyclicality.

Analyst Consensus+0.1% target
Buy(33 analysts)
26 Buy7 Hold0 Sell

The Bull Case

Upside Catalysts

Tighter global fuel markets

Marathon Petroleum benefits from tighter global fuel markets due to disruptions like the Strait of Hormuz closure, which has lifted refining margins.

Strong refining margins

The company is seeing increased refining margins as a result of global supply disruptions, enhancing profitability.

Growing midstream earnings

Marathon Petroleum's midstream segment is contributing to earnings growth, adding diversification and stability to its revenue streams.

The Bear Case

Key Downside Risks

Market performance

Price History →

Trailing total returns as of 9/24/2026, which may include dividends or other distributions. Benchmark is S&P 500 (^GSPC).

YTD Return
MPC+137.00%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+12.39%
1-Year Return
MPC+105.57%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+15.77%
3-Year Return
MPC+158.96%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+76.02%
5-Year Return
MPC+554.76%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+65.62%
02

Test the fundamentals

Check whether operating performance supports the current valuation.

VALUATION & INTRINSIC VALUE

Valuation Scenarios

Valuation Analysis
Trailing P/E5Y High
29.3x
Forward P/EExpansion
7.0x
EV/EBITDA100th %ile
16.0x
FCF YieldCash Flow
4.2%

Valuation vs 5-Year History

Multiple Range
Metric
Current
5Y Median
Historical Range
Percentile
P/E
29.3x
12.3x
100th· High
EV/EBITDA
16.0x
8.1x
100th· High
Price/FCF
23.8x
7.8x
100th· High
Current Multiple
5Y Median (50th %ile)

Intrinsic Value Scenarios

DCF Projection
Bear$0.00N/A
Base (Fair)$124.11-70.8%
Bull$233.23-39.9%
$0.00 Bear$124.11 Base$233.23 Bull
Current Market Price: $388.38
Trades at a 212.9% premium to Base DCF ($124.11)
Open DCF & Valuation Models →Chart Terminal ↗

Growth & profitability

Annual revenue & EPS trend
Revenue
$132.7B-4.4% YoY
Net income
$4.05B+17.5% YoY
Free cash flow
$4.77B-22.3% YoY
Operating margin
4.3%+0.6 pts YoY
ROIC (TTM)8.3%
Avg ROIC 5Y-
ROE (TTM)16.7%
Piotroski Score7 / 9
Financial Statements →
03

Monitor what changed

Recent results and news deserve attention only when they alter the forward view.

OPERATING RESULTS

Recent Earnings

Earnings History
EPS Beat Rate11/12 (92%)
Revenue Beat Rate11/12 (92%)
QuarterEPS (Act vs Est)Revenue (Act vs Est)
Q3 2026Latest
Aug 4, 2026
$17.73+24.2%
vs $14.27
$52.3B+28.1%
vs $40.9B
Q2 2026
May 5, 2026
$1.65+123.3%
vs $0.74
$34.6B+3.4%
vs $33.4B
Q1 2026
Feb 3, 2026
$4.07+49.6%
vs $2.72
$33.4B+7.5%
vs $31.1B
Q4 2025
Nov 4, 2025
$3.01-4.4%
vs $3.15
$34.8B+4.1%
vs $33.5B
Historical baseline: 12 quarters analyzedGAAP / Adjusted
MARKET COVERAGE

Latest News

5 Stories
The Motley Fool·1d ago
Why Marathon Petroleum Stock Slipped Today

At this point, it's mulling over different options and might not opt for a full ban. Marathon is a major producer of diesel in this country.

Barrons·1d ago
Diesel Hits a Record. Why Valero and Marathon Stock Could Be Running Out of Gas.

Record diesel prices have been a boon for Valero and Marathon Petroleum. Now demand destruction and the threat of an export ban are creating new risks for refining stocks.

Zacks Investment Research·1d ago
Investors Heavily Search Marathon Petroleum Corporation (MPC): Here is What You Need to Know

Zacks.com users have recently been watching Marathon Petroleum (MPC) quite a bit. Thus, it is worth knowing the facts that could determine the stock's prospects.

Benzinga·1d ago
This Marathon Petroleum Analyst Is No Longer Bullish; Here Are Top 4 Downgrades For Tuesday

Top Wall Street analysts changed their outlook on these top names. For a complete view of all analyst rating changes, including upgrades, downgrades and initiations, please see our analyst ratings page.

Filtered for Marathon Petroleum CorporationMore Headlines
04

Compare before deciding

Benchmark MPC against direct peers instead of judging its metrics in isolation.

Peers Comparison

Key metrics vs top competitors for Marathon Petroleum Corporation (MPC)

Full Screener →
CompanyPriceMarket CapP/E RatioRev Growth (1Y)Net MarginROEDiv Yield
MPC logoMPCMarathon Petroleum CorporationCurrent
$388.38$113.38B29.27-4.44%3.05%16.66%0.96%
VLO logoVLOValero Energy Corporation
$375.84$111.6B49.65-5.54%5.43%26.57%—
PSX logoPSXPhillips 66
$256.48$102.83B23.77-7.64%4.62%23.51%—
PBF logoPBFPBF Energy Inc.
$70.47$8.34B-50.70-11.42%3.94%23.52%—
DK logoDKDelek US Holdings, Inc.
$72.26$4.43B-190.16-9.53%1.86%45.98%—
MPLX logoMPLXMPLX Lp
$58.81$59.68B12.208.37%36.75%32.9%—

Compare MPC vs Peers

Marathon Petroleum Corporation (MPC) vs competitors — business, growth, and fundamentals comparison against the closest industry rivals.

Closest Rival

vs VLO

Most directly comparable listed peer for MPC.

Scale Benchmark

vs XOM

Larger-name benchmark to compare MPC against a more recognizable public peer.

Peer Set

Compare Top 5

vs VLO, PSX, PBF, DK

05

Keep researching

Verify the primary filings, follow material updates, and answer the remaining questions.

MPC SEC Filings & Documents

Marathon Petroleum Corporation (MPC) SEC filings — annual & quarterly reports (10-K, 10-Q)

8-K Announcements

6
Material company update

Aug 4, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Jun 29, 2026·SEC

Material company update

May 5, 2026·SEC

10-K Annual Reports

3
FY 2026

Feb 26, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Feb 27, 2025·SEC

FY 2024

Feb 28, 2024·SEC

10-Q Quarterly Reports

6
FY 2026

Aug 4, 2026·SEC

FY 2026

May 5, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Nov 4, 2025·SEC

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MPC Frequently Asked Questions

Marathon Petroleum Corporation (MPC) stock FAQ — growth, dividends, profitability & financials explained

Growth & Financials
What is Marathon Petroleum Corporation's revenue?

Marathon Petroleum Corporation (MPC) reported $153.94B in revenue for fiscal year 2025. This represents a 136% increase from $65.26B in 2008.

How fast is Marathon Petroleum Corporation growing?

Marathon Petroleum Corporation (MPC) saw revenue decline by 4.4% over the past year.

Is MPC profitable?

Yes, Marathon Petroleum Corporation (MPC) is profitable, generating $8.55B in net income for fiscal year 2025 (3.0% net margin).

Dividend & Returns
Does MPC pay dividends?

Yes, Marathon Petroleum Corporation (MPC) pays a dividend with a yield of 0.96%. This makes it attractive for income-focused investors.

What is MPC's return on equity?

Marathon Petroleum Corporation (MPC) has a return on equity (ROE) of 16.7%. This is reasonable for most industries.

What is Marathon Petroleum Corporation's free cash flow?

Marathon Petroleum Corporation (MPC) generated $12.90B in free cash flow for fiscal year 2025. Positive FCF indicates the company can fund dividends, buybacks, or reinvestment.

What if you invested $1,000 in MPC back in 2008?

Total return calculator · dividends reinvested · 18+ years of data

See returns →