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MRKMerck & Co., Inc.
$146.71$362.4B
Overview & Tools
OverviewChart Terminal ↗AnalysisVisualize
Valuation & Forecasts
Valuation ModelsEstimatesDCF Model
Price & Analyst Data
Analyst TargetsPrice History
Financial Statements
Income StatementBalance SheetCash FlowRatios & Margins
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P/E HistoryRevenue HistoryEarnings HistoryDividend HistoryTotal Return
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MRK logo

Merck & Co., Inc.

MRK
NYSE · Big Pharma
$146.71
At close - USD
Market Cap$362.35B
P/E20.2x
52W High$156.92
Volume7.46M
OverviewTerminalAnalysisFinancialsValuationEarningsBreakoutsOwnership
VCP Research Verdict2026Q2

R&D Surge Strains Margins Amid Keytruda Cliff

Merck's near-term earnings are being distorted by a deliberate R&D surge, with spending tripling to $12.6B in 2026Q1 and driving operating losses, yet the company maintains a stable top line with 5.1% revenue growth in 2026Q2.

GrowthStable
ProfitabilityStrained
ValuationExpensive
TechnicalsHealthy
Explore valuation models
MARKET ACTION

MRK price & volume

Price trend, volume and key moving averages

Launch Terminal
Loading chart...
Decision Checklist4 Core Signals

What matters now

The signals most likely to change the investment case.

01

Earnings momentum

11/12 Beats

EPS beat 11 of last 12 quarters

02

Valuation risk

-23% Peers

P/E is 23% below peer median

03

Market leadership

RS 81 · Leader

High momentum (Outperforming 81% of market)

04

Healthy Uptrend

Uptrend

Price > 50DMA > 200DMA

Next CatalystEstimated earnings · Jan 29
01

Build the investment case

Start with the evidence for owning the stock and the risks that can break the thesis.

EXECUTIVE THESIS

The Investment Case

Full Analysis
Fundamental Trajectory

Revenue growth is stable at 5.1% in 2026Q2, but operating margins have swung from a 43.4% profit in 2025Q3 to a -4.1% loss in 2026Q2 due to R&D spending surging to $12.6B in 2026Q1.

Analyst Consensus+9.4% target
Buy(38 analysts)
26 Buy11 Hold1 Sell

The Bull Case

Upside Catalysts

Strong Earnings Growth

Merck has achieved an annual earnings growth of 16.8% over the last five years, outpacing revenue growth.

Robust Pipeline Potential

Management projects over $70 billion in commercial opportunities by the mid-2030s, with key drugs like Welireg showing strong growth.

Attractive Valuation Metrics

Merck's P/E ratio stands at 14.8x, below the industry average, and offers a dividend yield of 3.11%.

The Bear Case

Key Downside Risks

Heavy Keytruda Dependence

Keytruda accounts for roughly half of Merck's revenue, raising concerns about earnings impact post-2028 patent loss.

Potential Overvaluation Risks

Some DCF analyses suggest fair value prices significantly lower than the current trading price, indicating possible overvaluation.

Bearish Technical Indicators

Recent technical analysis shows bearish signals, including a 10-day moving average crossing below the 50-day moving average.

Market performance

Price History →

Trailing total returns as of 11/7/2026, which may include dividends or other distributions. Benchmark is S&P 500 (^GSPC).

YTD Return
MRK+40.22%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+7.63%
1-Year Return
MRK+74.99%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+9.69%
3-Year Return
MRK+49.92%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+68.53%
5-Year Return
MRK+96.07%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+56.57%
02

Test the fundamentals

Check whether operating performance supports the current valuation.

VALUATION & INTRINSIC VALUE

Valuation Scenarios

Valuation Analysis
Trailing P/E5Y High
148.2x
Forward P/EExpansion
53.0x
EV/EBITDA80th %ile
24.2x
FCF YieldCash Flow
4.1%

Valuation vs 5-Year History

Multiple Range
Metric
Current
5Y Median
Historical Range
Percentile
P/E
148.2x
14.9x
100th· High
EV/EBITDA
24.2x
13.5x
80th· High
Price/FCF
24.6x
20.1x
80th· High
Current Multiple
5Y Median (50th %ile)

Intrinsic Value Scenarios

DCF Projection
Bear$66.09-55.0%
Base (Fair)$132.13-9.9%
Bull$195.94+33.6%
$66.09 Bear$132.13 Base$195.94 Bull
Current Market Price: $146.71
Trades at a 11.0% premium to Base DCF ($132.13)
Open DCF & Valuation Models →Chart Terminal ↗

Growth & profitability

Annual revenue & EPS trend
Revenue FY25
$64.93B+1.2% YoY
Net income FY25
$18.25B+6.6% YoY
Free cash flow FY25
$12.36B-31.7% YoY
Operating margin FY25
36.2%+4.7 pts YoY
ROIC (FY25)22%
Avg ROIC 5Y-
ROE (FY25)36.9%
Piotroski Score4 / 9
Financial Statements →
03

Monitor what changed

Recent results and news deserve attention only when they alter the forward view.

OPERATING RESULTS

Recent Earnings

Earnings History
EPS Beat Rate11/12 (92%)
Revenue Beat Rate11/12 (92%)
QuarterEPS (Act vs Est)Revenue (Act vs Est)
Q4 2026Latest
Oct 29, 2026
$2.49+19.1%
vs $2.09
$18.1B+4.4%
vs $17.3B
Q3 2026
Aug 4, 2026
-$0.13+51.9%
vs -$0.27
$16.6B+1.5%
vs $16.4B
Q2 2026
Apr 30, 2026
-$1.28+12.9%
vs -$1.47
$16.3B+2.8%
vs $15.8B
Q1 2026
Feb 3, 2026
$2.04+1.5%
vs $2.01
$16.4B+1.2%
vs $16.2B
Historical baseline: 12 quarters analyzedGAAP / Adjusted
MARKET COVERAGE

Latest News

4 Stories
Zacks Investment Research·1d ago
Merck Stock Shows Sustained Strength: Time to Buy, Sell or Hold?

MRK's growth momentum faces patent and competitive risks as Keytruda demand and new launches support growth.

Defense World·1d ago
Merck & Co., Inc. $MRK Stock Acquired by Compass Financial Management LLC

Compass Financial Management LLC lifted its position in shares of Merck and Co., Inc. (NYSE: MRK) by 256.3% during the undefined quarter, according to its most recent disclosure with the Securities and Exchange Commission. The institutional investor owned 9,733 shares of the company's stock after purchasing an additional 7,001 shares during the quarter.

Zacks Investment Research·2d ago
MRK's Keytruda & Gardasil Sales Rise in Q3: Can the Momentum Last?

Merck's Keytruda and Gardasil sales rise in Q3, but inventory reversals, slowing demand and looming competition could challenge growth.

Defense World·2d ago
Merck & Co., Inc. $MRK Shares Sold by Boston Trust Walden Corp

Boston Trust Walden Corp cut its holdings in shares of Merck and Co., Inc. (NYSE: MRK) by 12.0% during the third quarter, according to its most recent filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission. The firm owned 393,390 shares of the company's stock after selling 53,672 shares during the period. Boston Trust Walden

Filtered for Merck & Co., Inc.More Headlines
04

Compare before deciding

Benchmark MRK against direct peers instead of judging its metrics in isolation.

Peers Comparison

Key metrics vs top competitors for Merck & Co., Inc. (MRK)

Full Screener →
CompanyPriceMarket CapP/E RatioRev Growth (1Y)Net MarginROEDiv Yield
MRK logoMRKMerck & Co., Inc.Current
$146.71$362.35B20.151.18%28.12%36.86%2.22%
PFE logoPFEPfizer Inc.
$29.39$167.51B21.61-1.65%6.34%4.59%5.85%
LLY logoLLYEli Lilly and Company
$1354.00$1.28T59.0044.7%31.9%83.64%0.44%
ABBV logoABBVAbbVie Inc.
$291.31$514.68B122.928.57%15.68%286.66%2.26%
BMY logoBMYBristol-Myers Squibb Company
$62.14$126.89B18.01-0.22%18.47%43.84%3.98%
AMGN logoAMGNAmgen Inc.
$460.42$248.49B32.369.92%24.12%85.59%2.05%

Compare MRK vs Peers

Merck & Co., Inc. (MRK) vs competitors — business, growth, and fundamentals comparison against the closest industry rivals.

Closest Rival

vs PFE

Most directly comparable listed peer for MRK.

Scale Benchmark

vs LLY

Larger-name benchmark to compare MRK against a more recognizable public peer.

Peer Set

Compare Top 5

vs PFE, LLY, ABBV, BMY

05

Keep researching

Verify the primary filings, follow material updates, and answer the remaining questions.

MRK SEC Filings & Documents

Merck & Co., Inc. (MRK) SEC filings — annual & quarterly reports (10-K, 10-Q)

8-K Announcements

6
Material company update

Aug 4, 2026·SEC

Material company update

May 28, 2026·SEC

Material company update

May 22, 2026·SEC

10-K Annual Reports

2
FY 2026

Feb 24, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Feb 25, 2025·SEC

10-Q Quarterly Reports

6
FY 2026

Aug 7, 2026·SEC

FY 2026

May 4, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Nov 5, 2025·SEC

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MRK Frequently Asked Questions

Merck & Co., Inc. (MRK) stock FAQ — growth, dividends, profitability & financials explained

Growth & Financials
What is Merck & Co., Inc.'s revenue?

Merck & Co., Inc. (MRK) reported $66.40B in revenue over the trailing twelve months. Revenue was $64.93B in fiscal year 2025. That is 227% more than the $19.83B of fiscal year 1996.

How fast is Merck & Co., Inc. growing?

Merck & Co., Inc. (MRK) grew revenue by 1.2% in fiscal year 2025, compared with the prior fiscal year.

Is MRK profitable?

Yes. Merck & Co., Inc. (MRK) earned $3.17B in net income over the trailing twelve months (a 4.8% net margin).

Dividend & Returns
Does MRK pay dividends?

Yes. Merck & Co., Inc. (MRK) pays a dividend that yields 2.22% at the current price, a moderate yield.

What is MRK's return on equity?

Merck & Co., Inc. (MRK) had a return on equity (ROE) of 36.9% in fiscal year 2025. That is well above the market's typical 10-15%.

What is Merck & Co., Inc.'s free cash flow?

Merck & Co., Inc. (MRK) generated $16.06B in free cash flow over the trailing twelve months.

What if you invested $1,000 in MRK back in 1996?

Total return calculator · dividends reinvested · 30+ years of data

See returns →