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MRKMerck & Co., Inc.
$150.91$372.7B
Overview & Tools
OverviewChart Terminal ↗AnalysisVisualize
Valuation & Forecasts
Valuation ModelsEstimatesDCF Model
Price & Analyst Data
Analyst TargetsPrice History
Financial Statements
Income StatementBalance SheetCash FlowRatios & Margins
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P/E HistoryRevenue HistoryEarnings HistoryDividend HistoryTotal Return
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MRK logo

Merck & Co., Inc.

MRK
NYSE · Large Pharma
$150.91
At close - Sep 22, 4:00 PM EDT - USD
Market Cap$372.73B
P/E20.7x
52W High$156.91
Volume11.01M
OverviewTerminalAnalysisFinancialsValuationEarningsBreakoutsOwnership
VCP Research Verdict2026Q2

R&D Surge Strains Margins Amid Keytruda Cliff

Merck's near-term earnings are being distorted by a deliberate R&D surge, with spending tripling to $12.6B in 2026Q1 and driving operating losses, yet the company maintains a stable top line with 5.1% revenue growth in 2026Q2. The balance sheet shows rising le...

GrowthStable
ProfitabilityStrained
ValuationExpensive
TechnicalsStrong
Explore valuation models
MARKET ACTION

MRK price & volume

Price trend, volume and key moving averages

Launch Terminal
Loading chart...
Decision Checklist4 Core Signals

What matters now

The signals most likely to change the investment case.

01

Earnings momentum

11/12 Beats

EPS beat 11 of last 12 quarters

02

Valuation risk

-13% Peers

P/E is 13% below peer median

03

Market leadership

RS 84 · Leader

High momentum (Outperforming 84% of market)

04

Strong Uptrend

Strong Trend

Price > 20DMA > 50DMA > 200DMA

Next CatalystEstimated earnings · Nov 4
01

Build the investment case

Start with the evidence for owning the stock and the risks that can break the thesis.

EXECUTIVE THESIS

The Investment Case

Full Analysis
Fundamental Trajectory

Revenue growth is stable at 5.1% in 2026Q2, but operating margins have swung from a 43.4% profit in 2025Q3 to a -4.1% loss in 2026Q2 due to R&D spending surging to $12.6B in 2026Q1.

Analyst Consensus+4.8% target
Buy(38 analysts)
26 Buy11 Hold1 Sell

The Bull Case

Upside Catalysts

Strong Earnings Growth

Merck has achieved an annual earnings growth of 16.8% over the last five years, outpacing revenue growth.

Robust Pipeline Potential

Management projects over $70 billion in commercial opportunities by the mid-2030s, with key drugs like Welireg showing strong growth.

Attractive Valuation Metrics

Merck's P/E ratio stands at 14.8x, below the industry average, and offers a dividend yield of 3.11%.

The Bear Case

Key Downside Risks

Heavy Keytruda Dependence

Keytruda accounts for roughly half of Merck's revenue, raising concerns about earnings impact post-2028 patent loss.

Potential Overvaluation Risks

Some DCF analyses suggest fair value prices significantly lower than the current trading price, indicating possible overvaluation.

Bearish Technical Indicators

Recent technical analysis shows bearish signals, including a 10-day moving average crossing below the 50-day moving average.

Market performance

Price History →

Trailing total returns as of 9/23/2026, which may include dividends or other distributions. Benchmark is S&P 500 (^GSPC).

YTD Return
MRK+44.17%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+13.20%
1-Year Return
MRK+91.93%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+15.98%
3-Year Return
MRK+51.06%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+81.81%
5-Year Return
MRK+130.86%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+78.04%
02

Test the fundamentals

Check whether operating performance supports the current valuation.

VALUATION & INTRINSIC VALUE

Valuation Scenarios

Valuation Analysis
Trailing P/E5Y High
20.7x
Forward P/E
55.0x
EV/EBITDA80th %ile
13.9x
FCF YieldCash Flow
3.3%

Valuation vs 5-Year History

Multiple Range
Metric
Current
5Y Median
Historical Range
Percentile
P/E
20.7x
14.9x
100th· High
EV/EBITDA
13.9x
13.5x
80th· High
Price/FCF
30.2x
20.1x
80th· High
Current Multiple
5Y Median (50th %ile)

Intrinsic Value Scenarios

DCF Projection
Bear$67.49-55.3%
Base (Fair)$133.41-9.1%
Bull$199.98+32.5%
$67.49 Bear$133.41 Base$199.98 Bull
Current Market Price: $150.92
Trades at a 13.1% premium to Base DCF ($133.41)
Open DCF & Valuation Models →Chart Terminal ↗

Growth & profitability

Annual revenue & EPS trend
Revenue
$64.93B+1.2% YoY
Net income
$18.25B+6.6% YoY
Free cash flow
$12.36B-31.7% YoY
Operating margin
36.2%+4.7 pts YoY
ROIC (TTM)22%
Avg ROIC 5Y-
ROE (TTM)36.9%
Piotroski Score4 / 9
Financial Statements →
03

Monitor what changed

Recent results and news deserve attention only when they alter the forward view.

OPERATING RESULTS

Recent Earnings

Earnings History
EPS Beat Rate11/12 (92%)
Revenue Beat Rate11/12 (92%)
QuarterEPS (Act vs Est)Revenue (Act vs Est)
Q3 2026Latest
Aug 4, 2026
-$0.13+51.9%
vs -$0.27
$16.6B+1.5%
vs $16.4B
Q2 2026
Apr 30, 2026
-$1.28+12.9%
vs -$1.47
$16.3B+2.8%
vs $15.8B
Q1 2026
Feb 3, 2026
$2.04+1.5%
vs $2.01
$16.4B+1.2%
vs $16.2B
Q4 2025
Oct 30, 2025
$2.58+9.3%
vs $2.36
$17.3B+1.8%
vs $17.0B
Historical baseline: 12 quarters analyzedGAAP / Adjusted
MARKET COVERAGE

Latest News

5 Stories
Zacks Investment Research·1d ago
Wall Street Analysts Think Merck (MRK) Is a Good Investment: Is It?

When deciding whether to buy, sell, or hold a stock, investors often rely on analyst recommendations. Media reports about rating changes by these brokerage-firm-employed (or sell-side) analysts often influence a stock's price, but are they really important?

Business Wire·1d ago
U.S. FDA Approves Update to the Label for WINREVAIR™ (sotatercept-csrk) to Include Data from the Phase 3 HYPERION Trial Evaluating Adults Recently Diagnosed with Pulmonary Arterial Hypertension (PAH, WHO* Group 1 Pulmonary Hypertension)

RAHWAY, N.J.--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Merck (NYSE: MRK), known as MSD outside of the United States and Canada, today announced the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) has approved an update to the U.S. product label for WINREVAIR™ (sotatercept-csrk) for injection, 45mg, 60mg, based on the Phase 3 HYPERION trial. WINREVAIR, an activin signaling inhibitor, is FDA-approved for the treatment of adults with pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH, WHO Group 1 pulmonary hypertension) to improve exercise ca.

Zacks Investment Research·2d ago
Merck Gets CHMP Backing for Keytruda-Padcev Combo in Bladder Cancer

MRK's Keytruda plus Padcev combo gets CHMP backing as perioperative treatment for eligible patients with resectable muscle-invasive bladder cancer.

Zacks Investment Research·2d ago
AZN vs. MRK: Comparing Keytruda, Pipelines and Growth Strategies

AZN and MRK bring distinct oncology strengths, growth plans, pipeline opportunities and patent-related challenges to the table.

Filtered for Merck & Co., Inc.More Headlines
04

Compare before deciding

Benchmark MRK against direct peers instead of judging its metrics in isolation.

Peers Comparison

Key metrics vs top competitors for Merck & Co., Inc. (MRK)

Full Screener →
CompanyPriceMarket CapP/E RatioRev Growth (1Y)Net MarginROEDiv Yield
MRK logoMRKMerck & Co., Inc.Current
$150.92$372.73B20.731.18%28.12%36.86%2.16%
PFE logoPFEPfizer Inc.
$27.93$159.19B20.54-1.65%6.81%4.87%—
LLY logoLLYEli Lilly and Company
$1170.48$1.1T51.0044.7%33.53%92.53%—
ABBV logoABBVAbbVie Inc.
$265.32$468.77B111.958.57%9.81%——
BMY logoBMYBristol-Myers Squibb Company
$62.25$127.12B18.04-0.22%18.87%46.69%—
AMGN logoAMGNAmgen Inc.
$410.24$221.41B28.839.92%22.93%89.32%—

Compare MRK vs Peers

Merck & Co., Inc. (MRK) vs competitors — business, growth, and fundamentals comparison against the closest industry rivals.

Closest Rival

vs PFE

Most directly comparable listed peer for MRK.

Scale Benchmark

vs LLY

Larger-name benchmark to compare MRK against a more recognizable public peer.

Peer Set

Compare Top 5

vs PFE, LLY, ABBV, BMY

05

Keep researching

Verify the primary filings, follow material updates, and answer the remaining questions.

MRK SEC Filings & Documents

Merck & Co., Inc. (MRK) SEC filings — annual & quarterly reports (10-K, 10-Q)

8-K Announcements

6
Material company update

Aug 4, 2026·SEC

Material company update

May 28, 2026·SEC

Material company update

May 22, 2026·SEC

10-K Annual Reports

2
FY 2026

Feb 24, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Feb 25, 2025·SEC

10-Q Quarterly Reports

6
FY 2026

Aug 7, 2026·SEC

FY 2026

May 4, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Nov 5, 2025·SEC

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MRK Frequently Asked Questions

Merck & Co., Inc. (MRK) stock FAQ — growth, dividends, profitability & financials explained

Growth & Financials
What is Merck & Co., Inc.'s revenue?

Merck & Co., Inc. (MRK) reported $66.40B in revenue for fiscal year 2025. This represents a 235% increase from $19.83B in 1996.

How fast is Merck & Co., Inc. growing?

Merck & Co., Inc. (MRK) grew revenue by 1.2% over the past year. Growth has been modest.

Is MRK profitable?

Yes, Merck & Co., Inc. (MRK) is profitable, generating $3.17B in net income for fiscal year 2025 (28.1% net margin).

Dividend & Returns
Does MRK pay dividends?

Yes, Merck & Co., Inc. (MRK) pays a dividend with a yield of 2.16%. This makes it attractive for income-focused investors.

What is MRK's return on equity?

Merck & Co., Inc. (MRK) has a return on equity (ROE) of 36.9%. This is excellent, indicating efficient use of shareholder capital.

What is Merck & Co., Inc.'s free cash flow?

Merck & Co., Inc. (MRK) generated $16.06B in free cash flow for fiscal year 2025. Positive FCF indicates the company can fund dividends, buybacks, or reinvestment.

What if you invested $1,000 in MRK back in 1996?

Total return calculator · dividends reinvested · 30+ years of data

See returns →