VCP Scanner
Stock Screener
Filter stocks with fundamental & technical criteria
Technical Scanner
RSI, Moving averages & volume momentum signals
Market Themes
Curated industry baskets & thematic leaders
Earnings Hub
Calendar, EPS surprise stats & earnings transcripts
Market News
Real-time market intelligence & AI overviews
Insider Buying
SEC Form 4 corporate insider purchases
Minervini — VCPContraction bases in Stage 2 uptrends
Minervini — Trend TemplateFull 8-rule Stage 2 screen
O'Neil — Cup with HandleBase breakouts with RS leadership
O'Neil — CANSLIM LeadersGrowth leaders with RS ≥ 85
Qullamaggie — High Tight FlagsPower plays after a large advance
Qullamaggie — Momentum Leaders1/3/6-month strength leaders
Livermore — Pivotal PointsMulti-touch resistance breakouts
View All Playbooks...
Breakouts
FAANG & Tech
AAPL vs MSFTNVDA vs AMDGOOGL vs META
Cloud & Cyber
CRM vs NOWCRWD vs PANWSNOW vs DDOG
Consumer & Auto
TSLA vs FAMZN vs WMTNFLX vs DIS
Finance & Crypto
JPM vs BACV vs MACOIN vs MSTR
Index & ETFs
SPY vs QQQVTI vs VOOSPY vs IWM
Compare Any Stocks...
DCF ValuationCalculate intrinsic value of US stocks
Market ValuationBuffett indicator, CAPE & macro gauges
Total ReturnSee dividends + price return history
DCA CalculatorSimulate recurring buys & compounding
VisualizeInteractive multi-year financial charts
Watchlist
Breakouts
WatchlistPricing
Ctrl K
Pricing
TOL
← Back to Screener
VCP ScannerFree US Stock Screener & Financial Analysis

Find stocks. Analyze deeply. Research with clarity.

Data updated daily

Product

  • Screener
  • Themes
  • Valuation
  • Total Return
  • DCA Calculator
  • Pricing
  • News
  • Earnings

Resources

  • Market Valuation
  • Compare
  • Insider Activity
  • Methodology
  • How It Works
  • Glossary
  • Learn

Get Ideas

Get weekly market insights — free

© 2026 VCP Scanner
AboutPrivacyTermsRefund Policy
Not financial advice. Do your own research.
ScreenerBreakoutsCompareWatchlist
TOLToll Brothers, Inc.
$137.57$12.6B
Overview & Tools
OverviewChart Terminal ↗Visualize
Valuation & Forecasts
Valuation ModelsEstimatesDCF Model
Price & Analyst Data
Analyst TargetsPrice History
Financial Statements
Income StatementBalance SheetCash FlowRatios & Margins
Performance
P/E HistoryRevenue HistoryEarnings HistoryDividend HistoryTotal Return
Discovery & Screens
Live BreakoutsStock ScreenerOwnership
TOL logo

Toll Brothers, Inc.

TOL
NYSE · Homebuilders
$137.57
At close - Sep 22, 4:00 PM EDT - USD
Market Cap$12.86B
P/E10.2x
52W High$168.36
Volume1.4M
OverviewTerminalAnalysisFinancialsValuationEarningsBreakoutsOwnership
VCP Research Verdict2026Q3

Accelerating Margin Erosion Threatens Luxury Pricing Power

Toll Brothers faces a fundamental challenge as its core luxury pricing power thesis is undermined by accelerating gross margin compression, which has fallen from 27.2% in 2024Q3 to 23.5% in 2026Q3, creating negative operating leverage. While the company mainta...

GrowthDecelerating
ProfitabilityModerate
ValuationAttractive
TechnicalsWeak
Explore valuation models
MARKET ACTION

TOL price & volume

Price trend, volume and key moving averages

Launch Terminal
Loading chart...
Decision Checklist4 Core Signals

What matters now

The signals most likely to change the investment case.

01

Earnings momentum

10/12 Beats

EPS beat 10 of last 12 quarters

02

Valuation risk

-30% Peers

P/E is 30% below peer median

03

Market leadership

RS 40 · Lag

Laggard (Underperforming 60% of market)

04

Weak Trend

Below 200DMA

Price < 200DMA

Next CatalystEstimated earnings · Nov 18
01

Build the investment case

Start with the evidence for owning the stock and the risks that can break the thesis.

EXECUTIVE THESIS

The Investment Case

Full Analysis
Fundamental Trajectory

Revenue growth has decelerated into a 9.7% YoY decline in Q3 2026, while gross margin has compressed 380 basis points over two years to 23.5%, amplifying operating income pressure through negative operating leverage.

Analyst Consensus+23.9% target
Buy(46 analysts)
23 Buy21 Hold2 Sell

The Bull Case

Upside Catalysts

Resilient housing market performance

Toll Brothers has emerged as a resilient outlier in the housing market, maintaining margins despite interest rate volatility and inventory shortages.

Strong moat and business model

The company has a strong moat and a robust business model, which is highlighted in investment memos and analysis.

Potential revenue growth from rate cuts

If interest rates fall faster, Toll Brothers could see an 8% revenue growth in the bull case scenario.

The Bear Case

Key Downside Risks

Market performance

Price History →

Trailing total returns as of 9/24/2026, which may include dividends or other distributions. Benchmark is S&P 500 (^GSPC).

YTD Return
TOL+2.04%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+13.20%
1-Year Return
TOL+1.74%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+15.98%
3-Year Return
TOL+89.59%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+81.31%
5-Year Return
TOL+135.08%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+77.76%
02

Test the fundamentals

Check whether operating performance supports the current valuation.

VALUATION & INTRINSIC VALUE

Valuation Scenarios

Valuation Analysis
Trailing P/E5Y High
10.0x
Forward P/E
10.6x
EV/EBITDA40th %ile
7.9x
FCF YieldCash Flow
8.1%

Valuation vs 5-Year History

Multiple Range
Metric
Current
5Y Median
Historical Range
Percentile
P/E
10.0x
9.1x
100th· High
EV/EBITDA
7.9x
8.0x
40th· Fair
Price/FCF
12.3x
6.6x
60th· Fair
Current Multiple
5Y Median (50th %ile)

Intrinsic Value Scenarios

DCF Projection
Bear$81.79-40.5%
Base (Fair)$141.46+6.2%
Bull$192.96+40.3%
$81.79 Bear$141.46 Base$192.96 Bull
Current Market Price: $137.57
Trades at a 2.7% discount to Base DCF ($141.46)
Open DCF & Valuation Models →Chart Terminal ↗

Growth & profitability

Annual revenue & EPS trend
Revenue
$10.97B+1.1% YoY
Net income
$1.35B-14.3% YoY
Free cash flow
$1.03B+9.6% YoY
Operating margin
15.7%-3.1 pts YoY
ROIC (TTM)13.4%
Avg ROIC 5Y-
ROE (TTM)16.9%
Piotroski Score4 / 9
Financial Statements →
03

Monitor what changed

Recent results and news deserve attention only when they alter the forward view.

OPERATING RESULTS

Recent Earnings

Earnings History
EPS Beat Rate10/12 (83%)
Revenue Beat Rate11/12 (92%)
QuarterEPS (Act vs Est)Revenue (Act vs Est)
Q3 2026Latest
Aug 18, 2026
$2.97+1.4%
vs $2.93
$2.7B+1.5%
vs $2.6B
Q2 2026
May 19, 2026
$2.72+5.4%
vs $2.58
$2.5B+4.8%
vs $2.4B
Q1 2026
Feb 17, 2026
$2.19+6.8%
vs $2.05
$2.1B+15.7%
vs $1.9B
Q4 2025
Dec 8, 2025
$4.58-6.1%
vs $4.88
$3.4B+3.7%
vs $3.3B
Historical baseline: 12 quarters analyzedGAAP / Adjusted
MARKET COVERAGE

Latest News

5 Stories
GlobeNewsWire·Sep 16, 2026
Toll Brothers Announces Cash Dividend

FORT WASHINGTON, Pa., Sept. 16, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Toll Brothers, Inc. (NYSE:TOL) (TollBrothers.com), the nation's leading builder of luxury homes, today announced that its Board of Directors has approved a quarterly cash dividend to shareholders. The dividend of $0.26 per share will be paid on October 23, 2026 to shareholders of record at the close of business on October 9, 2026.

Seeking Alpha·Sep 16, 2026
Baron Real Estate Fund Q2 2026 Portfolio Activity

Baron Real Estate Fund delivered strong results in the second quarter. The Fund increased 11.89% (Institutional Shares). Shares of Hyatt Hotels Corporation appreciated materially following strong first quarter results and an Investor Day in May that outlined strong long-term growth targets. Shares of AAON, Inc. rose during the quarter following an exceptionally strong earnings report which saw the company see drastically faster growth in its data center business, BasX, than expected.

GlobeNewsWire·Sep 16, 2026
Toll Brothers Announces Grand Opening of Luxury Model Home at Enclave Community in Corona, California

New model home to debut this Saturday, Sept 19 at exclusive community New model home to debut this Saturday, Sept 19 at exclusive community

GlobeNewsWire·Sep 15, 2026
Toll Brothers Announces Opening of Two New Home Collections in Bickford Ranch Master Plan near Sacramento, California

Hillside and Crestview at Bickford to Open with Hard Hat Tour Event on Saturday, Sept. 19 Hillside and Crestview at Bickford to Open with Hard Hat Tour Event on Saturday, Sept. 19

Filtered for Toll Brothers, Inc.More Headlines
04

Compare before deciding

Benchmark TOL against direct peers instead of judging its metrics in isolation.

Peers Comparison

Key metrics vs top competitors for Toll Brothers, Inc. (TOL)

Full Screener →
CompanyPriceMarket CapP/E RatioRev Growth (1Y)Net MarginROEDiv Yield
TOL logoTOLToll Brothers, Inc.Current
$137.57$12.86B10.201.11%12.28%16.86%0.71%
DHI logoDHID.R. Horton, Inc.
$144.11$40.31B12.46-6.93%9.15%12.47%—
LEN logoLENLennar Corporation
$83.06$20.62B10.41-3.54%5.39%7.98%—
PHM logoPHMPulteGroup, Inc.
$122.29$23.6B11.00-3.54%11.62%14.73%—
NVR logoNVRNVR, Inc.
$6338.92$17.11B14.52-2.08%12.11%31.02%—
MHO logoMHOM/I Homes, Inc.
$142.67$3.68B9.68-1.93%7.44%9.97%—

Compare TOL vs Peers

Toll Brothers, Inc. (TOL) vs competitors — business, growth, and fundamentals comparison against the closest industry rivals.

Closest Rival

vs DHI

Most directly comparable listed peer for TOL.

Scale Benchmark

vs SHW

Larger-name benchmark to compare TOL against a more recognizable public peer.

Peer Set

Compare Top 5

vs DHI, LEN, PHM, NVR

05

Keep researching

Verify the primary filings, follow material updates, and answer the remaining questions.

TOL SEC Filings & Documents

Toll Brothers, Inc. (TOL) SEC filings — annual & quarterly reports (10-K, 10-Q)

8-K Announcements

6
Material company update

Aug 18, 2026·SEC

Material company update

May 19, 2026·SEC

Material company update

May 13, 2026·SEC

10-K Annual Reports

3
FY 2025

Dec 19, 2025·SEC

FY 2024

Dec 20, 2024·SEC

FY 2023

Dec 21, 2023·SEC

10-Q Quarterly Reports

6
FY 2026

Aug 28, 2026·SEC

FY 2026

May 29, 2026·SEC

FY 2026

Feb 27, 2026·SEC

Get notified when TOL posts new earnings or crosses analyst targets

Free. No account needed. Unsubscribe any time.

Free. Unsubscribe any time.

TOL Frequently Asked Questions

Toll Brothers, Inc. (TOL) stock FAQ — growth, dividends, profitability & financials explained

Growth & Financials
What is Toll Brothers, Inc.'s revenue?

Toll Brothers, Inc. (TOL) reported $10.76B in revenue for fiscal year 2025. This represents a 1314% increase from $760.7M in 1996.

How fast is Toll Brothers, Inc. growing?

Toll Brothers, Inc. (TOL) grew revenue by 1.1% over the past year. Growth has been modest.

Is TOL profitable?

Yes, Toll Brothers, Inc. (TOL) is profitable, generating $1.20B in net income for fiscal year 2025 (12.3% net margin).

Dividend & Returns
Does TOL pay dividends?

Yes, Toll Brothers, Inc. (TOL) pays a dividend with a yield of 0.71%. This makes it attractive for income-focused investors.

What is TOL's return on equity?

Toll Brothers, Inc. (TOL) has a return on equity (ROE) of 16.9%. This is reasonable for most industries.

What is Toll Brothers, Inc.'s free cash flow?

Toll Brothers, Inc. (TOL) generated $1.09B in free cash flow for fiscal year 2025. Positive FCF indicates the company can fund dividends, buybacks, or reinvestment.

What if you invested $1,000 in TOL back in 1996?

Total return calculator · dividends reinvested · 30+ years of data

See returns →