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XPOXPO Logistics, Inc.
$177.67$20.9B
Overview & Tools
OverviewChart Terminal ↗Visualize
Valuation & Forecasts
Valuation ModelsEstimatesDCF Model
Price & Analyst Data
Analyst TargetsPrice History
Financial Statements
Income StatementBalance SheetCash FlowRatios & Margins
Performance
P/E HistoryRevenue HistoryEarnings HistoryDividend HistoryTotal Return
Discovery & Screens
Live BreakoutsStock ScreenerOwnership
XPO logo

XPO Logistics, Inc.

XPO
NYSE · Freight & Logistics
$177.67
At close - Sep 22, 4:00 PM EDT - USD
Market Cap$20.86B
P/E67.3x
52W High$232.05
Volume947.83K
OverviewTerminalAnalysisFinancialsValuationEarningsBreakoutsOwnership
VCP Research Verdict2026Q2

Margin Spike Masks Structural Leverage Concerns

XPO's revenue growth reaccelerated to 13.2% in 2026Q2, with operating leverage driving a 47% sequential increase in operating income to $271M. However, the dramatic gross margin spike to 46.9% from 11.4% in the prior quarter raises questions about earnings qua...

GrowthAccelerating
ProfitabilityModerate
ValuationExpensive
TechnicalsWeak
Explore valuation models
MARKET ACTION

XPO price & volume

Price trend, volume and key moving averages

Launch Terminal
Loading chart...
Decision Checklist4 Core Signals

What matters now

The signals most likely to change the investment case.

01

Earnings momentum

12/12 Beats

EPS beat 12 of last 12 quarters

02

Valuation risk

+138% Peers

P/E is 138% above peer median

03

Market leadership

RS 37 · Lag

Laggard (Underperforming 63% of market)

04

Weak Trend

Below 200DMA

Price < 200DMA

Next CatalystEstimated earnings · Oct 30
01

Build the investment case

Start with the evidence for owning the stock and the risks that can break the thesis.

EXECUTIVE THESIS

The Investment Case

Full Analysis
Fundamental Trajectory

Revenue growth accelerated to 13.2% in 2026Q2, but gross margin spiked to 46.9% from 11.4% in 2026Q1, an outlier versus the 10-13% range in prior quarters, warranting scrutiny.

Analyst Consensus+31.0% target
Buy(32 analysts)
22 Buy9 Hold1 Sell

The Bull Case

Upside Catalysts

Strong LTL Market Position

XPO is one of the largest providers of asset-based less-than-truckload (LTL) freight transportation in North America, offering optimized shipping with fast transit times.

Institutional Investor Confidence

Recent institutional activity, including selling $115 strike puts expiring in 2026, indicates strong confidence with a ~22% margin of safety at current stock prices.

Compelling Valuation Opportunity

The stock presents a bullish opportunity due to strong fundamentals and a significant margin of safety, as highlighted by recent trades and market analysis.

The Bear Case

Key Downside Risks

Market performance

Price History →

Trailing total returns as of 9/23/2026, which may include dividends or other distributions. Benchmark is S&P 500 (^GSPC).

YTD Return
XPO+28.01%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+13.20%
1-Year Return
XPO+35.25%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+15.98%
3-Year Return
XPO+158.96%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+81.35%
5-Year Return
XPO+256.77%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+80.33%
02

Test the fundamentals

Check whether operating performance supports the current valuation.

VALUATION & INTRINSIC VALUE

Valuation Scenarios

Valuation Analysis
Trailing P/E5Y High
67.3x
Forward P/EExpansion
32.4x
EV/EBITDA100th %ile
20.2x
FCF YieldCash Flow
1.6%

Valuation vs 5-Year History

Multiple Range
Metric
Current
5Y Median
Historical Range
Percentile
P/E
67.3x
40.6x
100th· High
EV/EBITDA
20.2x
16.1x
100th· High
Price/FCF
63.4x
12.4x
100th· High
Current Multiple
5Y Median (50th %ile)

Intrinsic Value Scenarios

DCF Projection
Bear$13.38-92.5%
Base (Fair)$60.83-65.1%
Bull$91.68-48.4%
$13.38 Bear$60.83 Base$91.68 Bull
Current Market Price: $177.67
Trades at a 192.1% premium to Base DCF ($60.83)
Open DCF & Valuation Models →Chart Terminal ↗

Growth & profitability

Annual revenue & EPS trend
Revenue
$8.16B+1.1% YoY
Net income
$316M-18.3% YoY
Free cash flow
$329M+2093.3% YoY
Operating margin
8.9%+0.8 pts YoY
ROIC (TTM)9.3%
Avg ROIC 5Y-
ROE (TTM)18.3%
Piotroski Score5 / 9
Financial Statements →
03

Monitor what changed

Recent results and news deserve attention only when they alter the forward view.

OPERATING RESULTS

Recent Earnings

Earnings History
EPS Beat Rate12/12 (100%)
Revenue Beat Rate10/12 (83%)
QuarterEPS (Act vs Est)Revenue (Act vs Est)
Q3 2026Latest
Jul 30, 2026
$1.70+14.9%
vs $1.48
$2.4B+3.4%
vs $2.3B
Q2 2026
Apr 30, 2026
$1.01+14.9%
vs $0.88
$2.1B+2.8%
vs $2.0B
Q1 2026
Feb 5, 2026
$0.88+15.2%
vs $0.76
$2.0B+2.8%
vs $2.0B
Q4 2025
Oct 30, 2025
$1.07+4.9%
vs $1.02
$2.1B+1.9%
vs $2.1B
Historical baseline: 12 quarters analyzedGAAP / Adjusted
MARKET COVERAGE

Latest News

5 Stories
Schaeffers Research·Sep 16, 2026
Stocks Trade Mixed Ahead of Interest Rate Announcement

Major indexes are moving mixed as investors await the September Fed decision today

Zacks Investment Research·Sep 11, 2026
XPO (XPO) Upgraded to Strong Buy: Here's What You Should Know

XPO (XPO) has been upgraded to a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), reflecting growing optimism about the company's earnings prospects. This might drive the stock higher in the near term.

Defense World·Sep 11, 2026
Baird Financial Group Inc. Reduces Holdings in XPO, Inc. $XPO

Baird Financial Group Inc. cut its holdings in XPO, Inc. (NYSE: XPO) by 15.5% in the undefined quarter, according to the company in its most recent filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission. The firm owned 142,900 shares of the transportation company's stock after selling 26,133 shares during the period. Baird Financial Group

Barrons·Sep 10, 2026
Trucking Stocks Have Been Pummeled but Wall Street Sees Four to Buy

XPO, Saia, Knight-Swift, and Paccar could benefit as tightening trucking capacity and improving freight rates outweigh the hit from soaring diesel prices.

Filtered for XPO Logistics, Inc.More Headlines
04

Compare before deciding

Benchmark XPO against direct peers instead of judging its metrics in isolation.

Peers Comparison

Key metrics vs top competitors for XPO Logistics, Inc. (XPO)

Full Screener →
CompanyPriceMarket CapP/E RatioRev Growth (1Y)Net MarginROEDiv Yield
XPO logoXPOXPO Logistics, Inc.Current
$177.67$20.86B67.301.05%3.87%18.26%—
ODFL logoODFLOld Dominion Freight Line, Inc.
$177.31$36.87B36.71-5.48%19.44%24.87%—
SAIA logoSAIASaia, Inc.
$348.38$9.29B36.590.79%8.19%10.63%—
ARCB logoARCBArcBest Corp
$131.71$2.93B50.27-4.04%0.39%1.26%—
TFII logoTFIITFI International Inc.
$125.04$10.28B24.0531.1%4.1%13.57%—
UPS logoUPSUnited Parcel Service, Inc.
$95.86$81.43B14.61-2.46%5.08%29.02%—

Compare XPO vs Peers

XPO Logistics, Inc. (XPO) vs competitors — business, growth, and fundamentals comparison against the closest industry rivals.

Closest Rival

vs ODFL

Most directly comparable listed peer for XPO.

Scale Benchmark

vs ORCL

Larger-name benchmark to compare XPO against a more recognizable public peer.

Peer Set

Compare Top 5

vs ODFL, SAIA, ARCB, TFII

05

Keep researching

Verify the primary filings, follow material updates, and answer the remaining questions.

XPO SEC Filings & Documents

XPO Logistics, Inc. (XPO) SEC filings — annual & quarterly reports (10-K, 10-Q)

8-K Announcements

6
Material company update

Jul 30, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Jul 30, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Jul 27, 2026·SEC

10-K Annual Reports

2
FY 2026

Feb 5, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Feb 7, 2025·SEC

10-Q Quarterly Reports

6
FY 2026

Jul 30, 2026·SEC

FY 2026

Apr 30, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Oct 30, 2025·SEC

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XPO Frequently Asked Questions

XPO Logistics, Inc. (XPO) stock FAQ — growth, dividends, profitability & financials explained

Growth & Financials
What is XPO Logistics, Inc.'s revenue?

XPO Logistics, Inc. (XPO) reported $8.57B in revenue for fiscal year 2025. This represents a 101149% increase from $8.5M in 2001.

How fast is XPO Logistics, Inc. growing?

XPO Logistics, Inc. (XPO) grew revenue by 1.1% over the past year. Growth has been modest.

Is XPO profitable?

Yes, XPO Logistics, Inc. (XPO) is profitable, generating $404.0M in net income for fiscal year 2025 (3.9% net margin).

Dividend & Returns
What is XPO's return on equity?

XPO Logistics, Inc. (XPO) has a return on equity (ROE) of 18.3%. This is reasonable for most industries.

What is XPO Logistics, Inc.'s free cash flow?

XPO Logistics, Inc. (XPO) generated $404.0M in free cash flow for fiscal year 2025. Positive FCF indicates the company can fund dividends, buybacks, or reinvestment.

What if you invested $1,000 in XPO back in 2001?

Total return calculator · dividends reinvested · 25+ years of data

See returns →