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EXELExelixis, Inc.
$44.08
Financials
WATCHLIST
Analysis updated: Jan 15, 2026

Investment Thesis

EXEL has SUPER PERFORMER fundamentals but no low-risk entry point yet. Watch for base formation or pullback entry. Set a price alert and revisit when conditions improve.

Good earnings but no pattern = Wait for setup

Key Takeaways

Earnings Momentum

+74%
Q4'24
$0.47
+358%
Q1'25
$0.55
-16%
Q2'25
$0.65
+72%
Q3'25
$0.69
Earnings Accelerating

Price Structure

Partial Alignment
Price
$44.08
50 DMA
$42.87
100 DMA
$40.85
150 DMA
$41.11
200 DMA
$40.62
Alignment Score: 3/4

EXEL Price Chart

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50 DMA150 DMA200 DMA

Why Not BUY Yet?

RS Rating
58 (Top 42%)>80 (Top 20%)
Pattern
No base formingVCP or constructive base
Breakout Status
-4.6% from entry ($46.19)Breakout confirmation (hold above entry)

What Would Change Our Mind?

To turn bullish on EXEL, we need:

Twin Engines Dashboard

Technical Health

RS Rating
58/99
Top 42% (Need 80+)
Trend
Uptrend
Above 200 DMA
RSI (14)
52
NEUTRAL
VCP Setup
COOL
Score: 3/9
Volume
2.1M
-20% vs avg
From Entry
-4.6%
$46.19

Fundamental Horsepower

EPS Qtr YoY
+73%
Accelerating
EPS 3Y CAGR
+35%
Annual Earnings
Revenue Qtr
+11%
Accelerating
F-Score
8/9
Piotroski Quality
ROE
23%
Return on Equity
EPS Rank
72/99
Percentile

Trade Plan

Struggling

Broke out 3 weeks ago — now -4.6% from entry.

Below entry. Consider cutting losses or wait for reclaim of $46.19.

Breakout Date2025-12-2224 days ago
Entry Price$46.19-4.6% since
Trail Stop$46.19Breakeven or 21 EMA
Breakout Quality5/10Normal volume

If/Then Playbook

IF: Stock begins forming a base (pullback 10-20%)
THEN: Add to active watch for VCP development
IF: VCP pattern develops (base tightens)
THEN: Calculate pivot and prepare trade plan
IF: Price drops >20% from highs
THEN: Watch for Stage 2 breakdown
IF: Next earnings confirms growth acceleration
THEN: Maintain on priority list

Key Price Levels

Resistance

  • 20 DMA$44.13+0.1%
  • 52W High$49.62+12.6%
Current$44.08

Support

  • 50 DMA$42.87-2.7%
  • 200 DMA$40.62-7.9%
  • 52W Low$31.90-27.6%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is EXEL stock a buy now?

EXEL has SUPER PERFORMER fundamentals but no low-risk entry point yet. Watch for base formation or pullback entry. Set a price alert and revisit when conditions improve.

What is the buy point for EXEL?

EXEL broke out at $46.19 but is flat/slightly down (-4.6%). Monitor for breakout confirmation before entry.

What is EXEL's RS Rating?

EXEL has an RS Rating of 58/99, meaning it's in the Top 42% of all stocks for relative price performance over the past 12 months. Minervini recommends RS 80+ for momentum trades.

Important Disclosure: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. Technical and fundamental indicators are based on historical data and do not guarantee future performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.