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TPLTexas Pacific Land Corporation
$330.94
Analysis updated: Jan 16, 2026

Investment Thesis

TPL is a market laggard (RS 2/99, Top 98%) with moderate fundamentals. avoid chasing - protect capital. Smart traders skip this one until the setup improves.

Weak relative strength + ordinary growth = Pass

Key Takeaways

Earnings Momentum

+5%
Q4'24
$5.14
+5%
Q1'25
$5.24
+1%
Q2'25
$5.05
+14%
Q3'25
$5.27
Earnings Growing

Price Structure

Broken Structure
Price
$330.94
50 DMA
$704.07
100 DMA
$814.96
150 DMA
$872.91
200 DMA
$970.47
Alignment Score: 0/4

TPL Price Chart

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50 DMA150 DMA200 DMA
LEADERSHIP TEST FAILED

RS Rating 2/99 is in Bottom 2% of market. Minervini target: Top 20% (RS 80+)

Why Not BUY Yet?

RS Rating
2 (Top 98%)>80 (Top 20%)
EPS Growth
14%>25% (Strong) or 40%+ (Elite)
Pattern
No base formingVCP or constructive base
Trend
DowntrendAbove 200 DMA
Breakout Status
-60.8% below entry ($844.90)Price above breakout entry

What Would Change Our Mind?

To turn bullish on TPL, we need:

Twin Engines Dashboard

Technical Health

RS Rating
2/99
Top 98% (Need 80+)
Trend
Downtrend
Below 200 DMA
RSI (14)
26
OVERSOLD
VCP Setup
COOL
Score: 1/9
Volume
238K
+12% vs avg
From Entry
-60.8%
$844.90

Fundamental Horsepower

EPS Qtr YoY
+14%
Accelerating
EPS 3Y CAGR
+19%
Annual Earnings
Revenue Qtr
+17%
Accelerating
F-Score
6/9
Piotroski Quality
ROE
42%
Return on Equity
EPS Rank
47/99
Percentile

Trade Plan

Breakout Failed

Breakout failed — now -60.8% from entry.

Setup invalid. Wait for new base to form before considering re-entry.

Entry Price$844.90Breakout price
Current Loss-60.8%Below entry
Stop Was$777.31Should have exited

If/Then Playbook

IF: RS Rating improves to >80
THEN: Re-evaluate for WATCHLIST
IF: Price closes below 200 DMA
THEN: Remove from radar entirely
IF: EPS growth accelerates to >40% next quarter
THEN: Reassess as potential turnaround

Key Price Levels

Resistance

  • 20 DMA$390.53+18.0%
  • 50 DMA$704.07+112.7%
  • 200 DMA$970.47+193.2%
Current$330.94

Support

  • 52W Low$280.95-15.1%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is TPL stock a buy now?

TPL is a market laggard (RS 2/99, Top 98%) with moderate fundamentals. avoid chasing - protect capital. Smart traders skip this one until the setup improves.

What is the buy point for TPL?

TPL's breakout at $844.90 has failed (now -60.8% below entry). The setup is no longer valid — wait for a new base pattern to form.

What is TPL's RS Rating?

TPL has an RS Rating of 2/99, meaning it's in the Top 98% of all stocks for relative price performance over the past 12 months. Minervini recommends RS 80+ for momentum trades.

Important Disclosure: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. Technical and fundamental indicators are based on historical data and do not guarantee future performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.