Comprehensive Stock Comparison
Compare The Carlyle Group Inc. 4.625% Subordinated Notes due 2061 (CGABL) vs Capital One Financial Corporation (COF) Stock
Analyze side-by-side fundamentals, valuation, growth, and profitability to decide which stock is the better buy.
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Quick Verdict
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | CGABL | 83.1% revenue growth vs COF's 9.0% |
| Value | CGABL | Lower P/E (6.4x vs 9.7x) |
| Quality / Margins | CGABL | 18.8% net margin vs COF's 8.8% |
| Stability / Safety | CGABL | Beta 0.20 vs COF's 1.53 |
| Dividends | CGABL | 7.8% yield, vs COF's 1.2% |
| Momentum (1Y) | CGABL | +4.0% vs COF's -1.1% |
| Efficiency (ROA) | CGABL | 2.9% ROA vs COF's 0.2%, ROIC 15.3% vs 4.1% |
Who Each Stock Is For
Income & stability
Growth exposure
Long-term compounding (10Y)
Sleep-well-at-night portfolio
Defensive / Recession hedge
Business Model
What each company does and how it makes money
The Carlyle Group Inc. 4.625% Subordinated Notes due 2061 is a financing subsidiary that issues long-term debt securities to raise capital for The Carlyle Group's investment activities. It generates revenue through interest payments on these notes — which are subordinated to other debt — providing investors with fixed income while funding Carlyle's private equity, real estate, and credit investments. Its key advantage lies in being backed by The Carlyle Group's established global investment platform and creditworthiness, though the notes themselves represent a specific debt obligation rather than equity in the parent company.
Capital One is a diversified financial services company that operates primarily as a credit card issuer and consumer bank. It generates revenue through three main segments: credit card interest and fees (its largest segment), consumer banking services, and commercial banking operations. The company's key advantage lies in its sophisticated data analytics and technology platform—which enables targeted marketing and risk assessment—coupled with its direct banking model that reduces physical branch costs.
Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
Financial Metrics Comparison
Side-by-side fundamentals across 2 stocks. BestLagging
Financial Scorecard
CGABL leads in 3 of 6 categories (Valuation Metrics, Profitability & Efficiency). COF leads in 2 (Financial Metrics, Total Returns). 1 tied.
Financial Metrics (TTM)
COF is the larger business by revenue, generating $53.9B annually — 9.9x CGABL's $5.4B. CGABL is the more profitable business, keeping 18.8% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to COF's 8.8%.
| Metric | CGABLThe Carlyle Group… | COFCapital One Finan… |
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $5.4B | $53.9B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $249M | $6.1B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $773M | $1.4B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $1.1B | $20.8B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +50.1% | +50.8% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +25.2% | +11.0% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +18.8% | +8.8% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +18.6% | +31.4% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | — | — |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -81.6% | +9.5% |
Valuation Metrics
At 6.4x trailing earnings, CGABL trades at a 62% valuation discount to COF's 16.9x P/E. On an enterprise value basis, CGABL's 3.3x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than COF's 13.9x.
| Metric | CGABLThe Carlyle Group… | COFCapital One Finan… |
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $6.3B | $124.4B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $5.1B | $126.7B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 6.35x | 16.88x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | — | 9.67x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | 10.08x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 3.26x | 13.85x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 1.17x | 2.31x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 0.91x | 1.23x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 6.26x | 7.34x |
Profitability & Efficiency
CGABL delivers a 9.6% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $10 in annual profit, vs $1 for COF. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), CGABL scores 6/9 vs COF's 5/9, reflecting solid financial health.
| Metric | CGABLThe Carlyle Group… | COFCapital One Finan… |
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +9.6% | +1.2% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +2.9% | +0.2% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +15.3% | +4.1% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +6.2% | +4.6% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 6 | 5 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | — | 0.75x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | -$1.3B | $2.3B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $1.3B | $43.2B |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $0 | $45.6B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 2.60x | 0.11x |
Total Returns (with DRIP)
A $10,000 investment in COF five years ago would be worth $16,819 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $9,271 for CGABL. Over the past 12 months, CGABL leads with a +4.0% total return vs COF's -1.1%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors COF at 23.1% vs CGABL's 4.6% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | CGABLThe Carlyle Group… | COFCapital One Finan… |
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +2.9% | -20.8% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +4.0% | -1.1% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +14.4% | +86.3% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -7.3% | +68.2% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -7.3% | +228.4% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +4.6% | +23.1% |
Risk & Volatility
CGABL is the less volatile stock with a 0.20 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than COF's 1.53 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. CGABL currently trades 93.6% from its 52-week high vs COF's 75.4% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | CGABLThe Carlyle Group… | COFCapital One Finan… |
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.20x | 1.53x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $18.80 | $259.64 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $16.43 | $143.22 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +93.6% | +75.4% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 49.8 | 45.1 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 34K | 4.5M |
Analyst Outlook
For income investors, CGABL offers the higher dividend yield at 7.77% vs COF's 1.24%.
| Metric | CGABLThe Carlyle Group… | COFCapital One Finan… |
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | — | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | — | $273.62 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | — | 56 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +7.8% | +1.2% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 0 | 2 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $1.37 | $2.43 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +8.8% | +0.6% |
Historical Charts
Charts are rendered on first load. Hover for details.
Chart 1Total Return — 5 Years (Rebased to 100)
| Stock | May 21 | Feb 26 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| The Carlyle Group I… (CGABL) | 100 | 69.85 | -30.1% |
| Capital One Financi… (COF) | 100 | 134.54 | +34.5% |
Capital One Financi… (COF) returned +68% over 5 years vs The Carlyle Group I… (CGABL)'s -7%. A $10,000 investment in COF 5 years ago would be worth $16,819 today (including dividends reinvested).
Chart 2Revenue Growth — 10 Years
| Stock | 2015 | 2024 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| The Carlyle Group I… (CGABL) | $3.0B | $5.4B | +80.5% |
| Capital One Financi… (COF) | $25.0B | $53.9B | +115.4% |
The Carlyle Group Inc. 4.625% Subordinated Notes due 2061's revenue grew from $3.0B (2015) to $5.4B (2024) — a 6.8% CAGR. Capital One Financial Corporation's revenue grew from $25.0B (2015) to $53.9B (2024) — a 8.9% CAGR.
Chart 3Net Margin Trend — 10 Years
| Stock | 2015 | 2024 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| The Carlyle Group I… (CGABL) | 13.3% | 18.8% | +41.3% |
| Capital One Financi… (COF) | 16.2% | 8.8% | -45.6% |
The Carlyle Group Inc. 4.625% Subordinated Notes due 2061's net margin went from 13% (2015) to 19% (2024). Capital One Financial Corporation's net margin went from 16% (2015) to 9% (2024).
Chart 4P/E Ratio History — 8 Years
| Stock | 2017 | 2024 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| The Carlyle Group I… (CGABL) | 3 | 6.4 | +113.3% |
| Capital One Financi… (COF) | 28.5 | 15.4 | -46.0% |
The Carlyle Group Inc. 4.625% Subordinated Notes due 2061 has traded in a 3x–6x P/E range over 3 years; current trailing P/E is ~6x. Capital One Financial Corporation has traded in a 5x–29x P/E range over 8 years; current trailing P/E is ~17x.
Chart 5EPS Growth — 10 Years
| Stock | 2015 | 2024 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| The Carlyle Group I… (CGABL) | 1.34 | 2.77 | +106.7% |
| Capital One Financi… (COF) | 7.07 | 11.59 | +63.9% |
The Carlyle Group Inc. 4.625% Subordinated Notes due 2061's EPS grew from $1.34 (2015) to $2.77 (2024) — a 8% CAGR. Capital One Financial Corporation's EPS grew from $7.07 (2015) to $11.59 (2024) — a 6% CAGR.
Chart 6Free Cash Flow — 5 Years
The Carlyle Group Inc. 4.625% Subordinated Notes due 2061 generated $1B FCF in 2024 (-42% vs 2021). Capital One Financial Corporation generated $17B FCF in 2024 (+46% vs 2021).
CGABL vs COF: Frequently Asked Questions
8 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is CGABL or COF a better buy right now?
The Carlyle Group Inc. 4.625% Subordinated Notes due 2061 (CGABL) offers the better valuation at 6.4x trailing P/E, making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Capital One Financial Corporation (COF) a "Buy" — based on 56 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — CGABL or COF?
On trailing P/E, The Carlyle Group Inc. 4.625% Subordinated Notes due 2061 (CGABL) is the cheapest at 6.4x versus Capital One Financial Corporation at 16.9x.
03Which is the better long-term investment — CGABL or COF?
Over the past 5 years, Capital One Financial Corporation (COF) delivered a total return of +68.2%, compared to -7.3% for The Carlyle Group Inc. 4.625% Subordinated Notes due 2061 (CGABL). A $10,000 investment in COF five years ago would be worth approximately $17K today (assuming dividends reinvested). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: COF returned +228.4% versus CGABL's -7.3%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — CGABL or COF?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), The Carlyle Group Inc. 4.625% Subordinated Notes due 2061 (CGABL) is the lower-risk stock at 0.20β versus Capital One Financial Corporation's 1.53β — meaning COF is approximately 651% more volatile than CGABL relative to the S&P 500.
05Which has better profit margins — CGABL or COF?
The Carlyle Group Inc. 4.625% Subordinated Notes due 2061 (CGABL) is the more profitable company, earning 18.8% net margin versus 8.8% for Capital One Financial Corporation — meaning it keeps 18.8% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: CGABL leads at 25.2% versus 11.0% for COF. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — COF leads at 50.8%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
06Which pays a better dividend — CGABL or COF?
All stocks in this comparison pay dividends. The Carlyle Group Inc. 4.625% Subordinated Notes due 2061 (CGABL) offers the highest yield at 7.8%, versus 1.2% for Capital One Financial Corporation (COF).
07Is CGABL or COF better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, The Carlyle Group Inc. 4.625% Subordinated Notes due 2061 (CGABL) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0.20), 7.8% yield). Capital One Financial Corporation (COF) carries a higher beta of 1.53 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (CGABL: -7.3%, COF: +228.4%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
08What are the main differences between CGABL and COF?
Both stocks operate in the Financial Services sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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