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COFCapital One Financial Corporation
$201.87$123.8B
Overview & Tools
OverviewChart Terminal ↗Visualize
Valuation & Forecasts
Valuation ModelsEstimatesDCF Model
Price & Analyst Data
Analyst TargetsPrice History
Financial Statements
Income StatementBalance SheetCash FlowRatios & Margins
Performance
P/E HistoryRevenue HistoryEarnings HistoryDividend HistoryTotal Return
Discovery & Screens
Live BreakoutsStock ScreenerOwnership
COF logo

Capital One Financial Corporation

COF
NYSE · Consumer Finance
$201.87
At close - USD
Market Cap$123.84B
P/E50.1x
52W High$259.64
Volume3.49M
OverviewTerminalAnalysisFinancialsValuationEarningsBreakoutsOwnership
VCP Research Verdict2026Q3

Discover Integration Lifts Earnings But Credit Volatility Persists

Capital One's balance sheet expanded from $480.0B in 2024Q2 to $672.9B in 2026Q3, with net interest income rebounding to $12.9B in 2026Q3 and EPS of $5.61 beating consensus by roughly 17%, suggesting the Discover consolidation is beginning to contribute earnings.

GrowthMixed
ProfitabilityModerate
ValuationAttractive
TechnicalsMixed
Explore valuation models
MARKET ACTION

COF price & volume

Price trend, volume and key moving averages

Launch Terminal
Loading chart...
Decision Checklist4 Core Signals

What matters now

The signals most likely to change the investment case.

01

Earnings momentum

7/12 Beats

EPS beat 7 of last 12 quarters

02

Valuation risk

+189% Peers

P/E is 189% above peer median

03

Market leadership

RS 59 · Avg

Average momentum (RS Rating: 59)

04

Mixed Trend

Mixed

Price < 50DMA but > 200DMA

Next CatalystEstimated earnings · Jan 20
01

Build the investment case

Start with the evidence for owning the stock and the risks that can break the thesis.

EXECUTIVE THESIS

The Investment Case

Full Analysis
Fundamental Trajectory

Net interest income climbed to $12.9B in 2026Q3 from $12.1B in 2026Q1, a 3.9% sequential rise, though the net interest margin of 1.9% remains roughly flat with 2025 levels, suggesting funding cost pressure may be offsetting asset yield gains.

Analyst Consensus+25.3% target
Buy(57 analysts)
36 Buy17 Hold4 Sell

The Bull Case

Upside Catalysts

Discover Acquisition Synergies ($2.7B)

The acquisition of Discover is expected to unlock $2.7B in synergies through cost efficiencies, network optimization, and revenue growth. Successful integration would enhance earnings power and position Capital One as a payments leader.

Vertical Integration & Closed‑Loop Network

By owning both issuer and payment network, Capital One can internalize transaction rails, bypass interchange fees charged by Visa and Mastercard, and build a closed‑loop system that creates network effects and switching costs.

Revenue & Earnings Growth to 2028

Analysts project revenue of $66.2B and earnings of $16.9B by 2028, reflecting strong growth potential from the expanded card portfolio and payment services.

The Bear Case

Key Downside Risks

Market performance

Price History →

Trailing total returns as of 11/7/2026, which may include dividends or other distributions. Benchmark is S&P 500 (^GSPC).

YTD Return
COF-17.61%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+7.63%
1-Year Return
COF-5.45%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+9.69%
3-Year Return
COF+99.02%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+67.10%
5-Year Return
COF+38.03%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+55.41%
02

Test the fundamentals

Check whether operating performance supports the current valuation.

VALUATION & INTRINSIC VALUE

Valuation Scenarios

Valuation Analysis
Trailing P/EMedian
11.3x
Forward P/EExpansion
9.3x
EV/EBITDA40th %ile
5.5x
FCF YieldCash Flow
23.2%

Valuation vs 5-Year History

Multiple Range
Metric
Current
5Y Median
Historical Range
Percentile
P/E
11.3x
11.0x
60th· Fair
EV/EBITDA
5.5x
6.1x
40th· Fair
Price/FCF
4.3x
4.0x
60th· Fair
Current Multiple
5Y Median (50th %ile)

Intrinsic Value Scenarios

DCF Projection
Bear$65.90-67.4%
Base (Fair)$135.03-33.1%
Bull$90.91-55.0%
$65.90 Bear$135.03 Base$90.91 Bull
Current Market Price: $201.87
Trades at a 49.5% premium to Base DCF ($135.03)
Open DCF & Valuation Models →Chart Terminal ↗

Growth & profitability

Annual revenue & EPS trend
Revenue FY25
$53.43B+36.6% YoY
Net income FY25
$2.45B-48.4% YoY
Free cash flow FY25
$26.14B+54.2% YoY
Operating margin FY25
4.3%-10.8 pts YoY
ROIC (FY25)1.3%
Avg ROIC 5Y-
ROE (FY25)2.8%
Piotroski Score6 / 9
Financial Statements →
03

Monitor what changed

Recent results and news deserve attention only when they alter the forward view.

OPERATING RESULTS

Recent Earnings

Earnings History
EPS Beat Rate7/12 (58%)
Revenue Beat Rate8/12 (67%)
QuarterEPS (Act vs Est)Revenue (Act vs Est)
Q4 2026Latest
Oct 20, 2026
$6.69+21.0%
vs $5.53
$16.3B+0.3%
vs $16.2B
Q3 2026
Jul 21, 2026
$5.81+21.3%
vs $4.79
$15.8B+0.6%
vs $15.8B
Q2 2026
Apr 21, 2026
$4.42-1.8%
vs $4.50
$15.2B-0.7%
vs $15.3B
Q1 2026
Jan 22, 2026
$3.86-6.8%
vs $4.14
$15.6B+0.7%
vs $15.5B
Historical baseline: 12 quarters analyzedGAAP / Adjusted
MARKET COVERAGE

Latest News

4 Stories
Zacks Investment Research·2d ago
Midterm Election Results: What's Ahead for Financial Stocks?

The 2026 U.S. midterm elections have reshaped Washington's political landscape, with Democrats securing control of both the House of Representatives and the Senate. The outcome introduces a divided government under President Donald Trump, potentially slowing the administration's financial deregulation agenda and increasing congressional scrutiny of the banking and financial services industry.

Business Wire·2d ago
Capital One Announces Quarterly Dividend

MCLEAN, Va.--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Capital One Financial Corporation (NYSE: COF) today announced a quarterly dividend of $0.80 per common share payable December 1, 2026, to stockholders of record at the close of business on November 16, 2026. The company has announced dividends on its common stock every quarter since it became an independent company on February 28, 1995. Dividends declared by the company are eligible for direct reinvestment in the company's common stock under its Dividend Reinvestme.

Fool - Investing News·3d ago
5 Payment Stocks That Earn a Fee Every Time You Swipe

Each of these businesses gets paid when you pay. Why does the market price some of those fees at around three times the rest?

Zacks Investment Research·4d ago
What Makes Capital One (COF) a New Buy Stock

Capital One (COF) has been upgraded to a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy), reflecting growing optimism about the company's earnings prospects. This might drive the stock higher in the near term.

Filtered for Capital One Financial CorporationMore Headlines
04

Compare before deciding

Benchmark COF against direct peers instead of judging its metrics in isolation.

Peers Comparison

Key metrics vs top competitors for Capital One Financial Corporation (COF)

Full Screener →
CompanyPriceMarket CapP/E RatioRev Growth (1Y)Net MarginROEDiv Yield
COF logoCOFCapital One Financial CorporationCurrent
$201.87$123.84B50.0936.62%4.59%2.81%1.39%
SYF logoSYFSynchrony Financial
$73.74$23.99B7.94-7.09%20.88%19.99%1.62%
AXP logoAXPAmerican Express Company
$320.99$216.77B20.879.52%13.68%5.71%1.02%
BAC logoBACBank of America Corporation
$49.42$350.71B12.9411%30.93%10.46%2.56%
JPM logoJPMJPMorgan Chase & Co.
$334.49$896.27B16.687.32%30.8%16.23%1.78%
C logoCCitigroup Inc.
$119.08$204.21B17.045.11%19.09%8.08%2.42%

Compare COF vs Peers

Capital One Financial Corporation (COF) vs competitors — business, growth, and fundamentals comparison against the closest industry rivals.

Closest Rival

vs SYF

Most directly comparable listed peer for COF.

Scale Benchmark

vs JPM

Larger-name benchmark to compare COF against a more recognizable public peer.

Peer Set

Compare Top 5

vs SYF, AXP, BAC, JPM

05

Keep researching

Verify the primary filings, follow material updates, and answer the remaining questions.

COF SEC Filings & Documents

Capital One Financial Corporation (COF) SEC filings — annual & quarterly reports (10-K, 10-Q)

8-K Announcements

6
Material company update

Oct 20, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Oct 20, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Aug 20, 2026·SEC

10-K Annual Reports

1
FY 2026

Feb 19, 2026·SEC

10-Q Quarterly Reports

6
FY 2026

Nov 3, 2026·SEC

FY 2026

Jul 28, 2026·SEC

FY 2026

May 7, 2026·SEC

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COF Frequently Asked Questions

Capital One Financial Corporation (COF) stock FAQ — growth, dividends, profitability & financials explained

Growth & Financials
How fast is Capital One Financial Corporation growing?

Capital One Financial Corporation (COF) grew revenue by 36.6% in fiscal year 2025, compared with the prior fiscal year.

Is COF profitable?

Yes. Capital One Financial Corporation (COF) earned $10.87B in net income over the trailing twelve months (a 17.3% net margin).

Dividend & Returns
Does COF pay dividends?

Yes. Capital One Financial Corporation (COF) pays a dividend that yields 1.39% at the current price, a moderate yield.

What is COF's return on equity?

Capital One Financial Corporation (COF) had a return on equity (ROE) of 2.8% in fiscal year 2025. That is below the market's typical 10-15%.

Industry Metrics
What is Capital One Financial Corporation's net interest margin?

Capital One Financial Corporation (COF) has a net interest margin (NIM) of 6.4%. This indicates healthy earnings from lending activities.

What is Capital One Financial Corporation's efficiency ratio?

Capital One Financial Corporation (COF) has an efficiency ratio of 57.1%. This is reasonable for a bank.

What if you invested $1,000 in COF back in 1996?

Total return calculator · dividends reinvested · 30+ years of data

See returns →