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COFCapital One Financial Corporation
$200.55$123.0B
Overview & Tools
OverviewChart Terminal ↗Visualize
Valuation & Forecasts
Valuation ModelsEstimatesDCF Model
Price & Analyst Data
Analyst TargetsPrice History
Financial Statements
Income StatementBalance SheetCash FlowRatios & Margins
Performance
P/E HistoryRevenue HistoryEarnings HistoryDividend HistoryTotal Return
Discovery & Screens
Live BreakoutsStock ScreenerOwnership
COF logo

Capital One Financial Corporation

COF
NYSE · Credit Services
$200.55
At close - Sep 22, 4:00 PM EDT - USD
Market Cap$123.03B
P/E49.8x
52W High$259.64
Volume2.89M
OverviewTerminalAnalysisFinancialsValuationEarningsBreakoutsOwnership
VCP Research Verdict2026Q2

Discover Integration Drives Revenue Volatility and Margin Compression

Capital One's acquisition of Discover has transformed its balance sheet, with total assets expanding 37% year-over-year to $673.8B in 2026Q2, but the integration has introduced significant earnings volatility, including a swing from a $4.3B net loss in 2025Q2 ...

GrowthMixed
ProfitabilityStrained
ValuationAttractive
TechnicalsWeak
Explore valuation models
MARKET ACTION

COF price & volume

Price trend, volume and key moving averages

Launch Terminal
Loading chart...
Decision Checklist4 Core Signals

What matters now

The signals most likely to change the investment case.

01

Earnings momentum

7/12 Beats

EPS beat 7 of last 12 quarters

02

Valuation risk

+163% Peers

P/E is 163% above peer median

03

Market leadership

RS 50 · Avg

Average momentum (RS Rating: 50)

04

Weak Trend

Below 200DMA

Price < 200DMA

Next CatalystEstimated earnings · Oct 21
01

Build the investment case

Start with the evidence for owning the stock and the risks that can break the thesis.

EXECUTIVE THESIS

The Investment Case

Full Analysis
Fundamental Trajectory

Revenue and profitability have been highly volatile post-Discover, with net interest income swinging from $12.5B in 2025Q4 to -$4.0B in 2026Q2, driving NIM to -0.6% and a 48% efficiency ratio, though net income recovered to $3.0B in 2026Q2 from a $4.3B loss in 2025Q2.

Analyst Consensus+26.2% target
Buy(57 analysts)
36 Buy17 Hold4 Sell

The Bull Case

Upside Catalysts

Discover Acquisition Synergies ($2.7B)

The acquisition of Discover is expected to unlock $2.7B in synergies through cost efficiencies, network optimization, and revenue growth. Successful integration would enhance earnings power and position Capital One as a payments leader.

Vertical Integration & Closed‑Loop Network

By owning both issuer and payment network, Capital One can internalize transaction rails, bypass interchange fees charged by Visa and Mastercard, and build a closed‑loop system that creates network effects and switching costs.

Revenue & Earnings Growth to 2028

Analysts project revenue of $66.2B and earnings of $16.9B by 2028, reflecting strong growth potential from the expanded card portfolio and payment services.

The Bear Case

Key Downside Risks

Market performance

Price History →

Trailing total returns as of 9/23/2026, which may include dividends or other distributions. Benchmark is S&P 500 (^GSPC).

YTD Return
COF-18.14%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+13.20%
1-Year Return
COF-9.61%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+15.98%
3-Year Return
COF+112.22%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+77.02%
5-Year Return
COF+33.66%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+70.02%
02

Test the fundamentals

Check whether operating performance supports the current valuation.

VALUATION & INTRINSIC VALUE

Valuation Scenarios

Valuation Analysis
Trailing P/E5Y High
49.8x
Forward P/EExpansion
9.8x
EV/EBITDA80th %ile
15.5x
FCF YieldCash Flow
21.2%

Valuation vs 5-Year History

Multiple Range
Metric
Current
5Y Median
Historical Range
Percentile
P/E
49.8x
11.0x
80th· High
EV/EBITDA
15.5x
6.1x
80th· High
Price/FCF
4.7x
4.0x
60th· Fair
Current Multiple
5Y Median (50th %ile)

Intrinsic Value Scenarios

DCF Projection
Bear$63.10-68.5%
Base (Fair)$133.17-34.2%
Bull$84.80-57.7%
$63.10 Bear$133.17 Base$84.80 Bull
Current Market Price: $200.55
Trades at a 50.6% premium to Base DCF ($133.17)
Open DCF & Valuation Models →Chart Terminal ↗

Growth & profitability

Annual revenue & EPS trend
Revenue
$53.43B+36.6% YoY
Net income
$2.45B-48.4% YoY
Free cash flow
$26.14B+54.2% YoY
Operating margin
3.3%-7.7 pts YoY
ROIC (TTM)1.3%
Avg ROIC 5Y-
ROE (TTM)2.8%
Piotroski Score5 / 9
Financial Statements →
03

Monitor what changed

Recent results and news deserve attention only when they alter the forward view.

OPERATING RESULTS

Recent Earnings

Earnings History
EPS Beat Rate7/12 (58%)
Revenue Beat Rate8/12 (67%)
QuarterEPS (Act vs Est)Revenue (Act vs Est)
Q3 2026Latest
Jul 21, 2026
$5.81+21.3%
vs $4.79
$15.8B+0.6%
vs $15.8B
Q2 2026
Apr 21, 2026
$4.42-1.8%
vs $4.50
$15.2B-0.7%
vs $15.3B
Q1 2026
Jan 22, 2026
$3.86-6.8%
vs $4.14
$15.6B+0.7%
vs $15.5B
Q4 2025
Oct 21, 2025
$5.95+32.5%
vs $4.49
$15.4B+1.9%
vs $15.1B
Historical baseline: 12 quarters analyzedGAAP / Adjusted
MARKET COVERAGE

Latest News

5 Stories
MarketBeat·5d ago
Capital One Sees Resilient Consumers as Discover Integration Targets 2027 Finish

Capital One Financial NYSE: COF CEO Richard Fairbank said the company continues to see consumer strength across its portfolio, with credit performance, spending trends and bank balances remaining resilient despite concerns about inflation, energy prices and broader economic uncertainty.

Seeking Alpha·6d ago
Capital One Financial Corporation (COF) Presents at Barclays 24th Annual Global Financial Services Conference Transcript

Capital One Financial Corporation (COF) Presents at Barclays 24th Annual Global Financial Services Conference Transcript

Benzinga·Sep 16, 2026
Warren Buffett, Donald Trump Bet on Same 17 Stocks — Some Might Surprise You

President Donald Trump has disclosed over 20,000 stock trades made over the past 12 months. The trades, which the White House says Trump has no knowledge of, span a wide range of sectors and dollar amounts.

247 Wallst·Sep 15, 2026
The Forgotten Generation Is Broke: 50% of All New Bankruptcies Are 40-59 Year Olds

Something unusual is happening inside America's bankruptcy courts, and it has nothing to do with reckless young borrowers drowning in student loans. The age group that should be approaching its financial peak is quietly becoming the face of collapse, and banks are starting to feel it.

Filtered for Capital One Financial CorporationMore Headlines
04

Compare before deciding

Benchmark COF against direct peers instead of judging its metrics in isolation.

Peers Comparison

Key metrics vs top competitors for Capital One Financial Corporation (COF)

Full Screener →
CompanyPriceMarket CapP/E RatioRev Growth (1Y)Net MarginROEDiv Yield
COF logoCOFCapital One Financial CorporationCurrent
$200.55$123.03B49.7636.62%3.54%2.81%1.4%
SYF logoSYFSynchrony Financial
$72.67$23.64B7.82-7.09%22.03%20.94%—
AXP logoAXPAmerican Express Company
$305.07$206.02B19.849.52%10.89%5%—
BAC logoBACBank of America Corporation
$56.20$398.83B14.7111%18.13%10.5%—
JPM logoJPMJPMorgan Chase & Co.
$340.00$911.03B16.967.32%20.66%16.32%—
C logoCCitigroup Inc.
$132.47$227.17B18.955.11%9.34%7.49%—

Compare COF vs Peers

Capital One Financial Corporation (COF) vs competitors — business, growth, and fundamentals comparison against the closest industry rivals.

Closest Rival

vs SYF

Most directly comparable listed peer for COF.

Scale Benchmark

vs JPM

Larger-name benchmark to compare COF against a more recognizable public peer.

Peer Set

Compare Top 5

vs SYF, AXP, BAC, JPM

05

Keep researching

Verify the primary filings, follow material updates, and answer the remaining questions.

COF SEC Filings & Documents

Capital One Financial Corporation (COF) SEC filings — annual & quarterly reports (10-K, 10-Q)

8-K Announcements

6
Material company update

Aug 20, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Aug 17, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Jul 21, 2026·SEC

10-K Annual Reports

1
FY 2026

Feb 19, 2026·SEC

10-Q Quarterly Reports

5
FY 2026

Jul 28, 2026·SEC

FY 2026

May 7, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Nov 3, 2025·SEC

Get notified when COF posts new earnings or crosses analyst targets

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COF Frequently Asked Questions

Capital One Financial Corporation (COF) stock FAQ — growth, dividends, profitability & financials explained

Growth & Financials
How fast is Capital One Financial Corporation growing?

Capital One Financial Corporation (COF) grew revenue by 36.6% over the past year. This is strong growth.

Is COF profitable?

Yes, Capital One Financial Corporation (COF) is profitable, generating $10.52B in net income for fiscal year 2025 (3.5% net margin).

Dividend & Returns
Does COF pay dividends?

Yes, Capital One Financial Corporation (COF) pays a dividend with a yield of 1.40%. This makes it attractive for income-focused investors.

What is COF's return on equity?

Capital One Financial Corporation (COF) has a return on equity (ROE) of 2.8%. This is below average, suggesting room for improvement.

Industry Metrics
What is Capital One Financial Corporation's net interest margin?

Capital One Financial Corporation (COF) has a net interest margin (NIM) of 6.4%. This indicates healthy earnings from lending activities.

What is Capital One Financial Corporation's efficiency ratio?

Capital One Financial Corporation (COF) has an efficiency ratio of 44.0%. This is excellent, indicating strong cost control.

What if you invested $1,000 in COF back in 1996?

Total return calculator · dividends reinvested · 30+ years of data

See returns →