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GRAF vs ARES
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Asset Management
GRAF vs ARES — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Shell Companies | Asset Management |
| Market Cap | $312M | $44.30B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $0.00 | $5.86B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $8M | $527M |
| Gross Margin | — | 58.3% |
| Operating Margin | — | 19.7% |
| Forward P/E | 38.8x | 22.5x |
| Total Debt | $0.00 | $14.91B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $699.00 | $1.50B |
GRAF vs ARES — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | Jun 20 | Jun 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Graf Global Corp. (GRAF) | 100 | 78.1 | -21.9% |
| Ares Management Cor… (ARES) | 100 | 339.8 | +239.8% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: GRAF vs ARES
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
GRAF is the clearest fit if your priority is momentum and efficiency.
- +3.9% vs ARES's -18.3%
- 3.3% ROA vs ARES's 1.9%, ROIC -0.6% vs 6.1%
ARES carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for growth exposure and long-term compounding.
- Rev growth 66.6%, EPS growth -5.3%
- 10.6% 10Y total return vs GRAF's 14.1%
- Lower volatility, beta 1.69, current ratio 2.24x
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Value | Lower P/E (22.5x vs 38.8x), PEG 1.27 vs 2.34 | |
| Quality / Margins | 9.0% margin vs GRAF's 4.0% | |
| Dividends | 6.0% yield; 6-year raise streak; the other pay no meaningful dividend | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +3.9% vs ARES's -18.3% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 3.3% ROA vs ARES's 1.9%, ROIC -0.6% vs 6.1% |
GRAF vs ARES — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
Segment breakdown not available.
GRAF vs ARES — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
GRAF leads this category, winning 1 of 1 comparable metric.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
ARES and GRAF operate at a comparable scale, with $5.9B and $0 in trailing revenue.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $0 | $5.9B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | -$2M | $1.8B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $8M | $527M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | -$393,929 | $1.5B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | — | +58.3% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | — | +19.7% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | — | +9.0% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | — | +26.3% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | — | — |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -70.1% | -80.9% |
Valuation Metrics
GRAF leads this category, winning 3 of 3 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 38.8x trailing earnings, GRAF trades at a 44% valuation discount to ARES's 68.8x P/E. Adjusting for growth (PEG ratio), GRAF offers better value at 2.34x vs ARES's 3.90x — a lower PEG means you pay less per unit of expected earnings growth.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $312M | $44.3B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $312M | $57.7B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 38.79x | 68.83x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | — | 22.46x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | 2.34x | 3.90x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | — | 28.81x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | — | 6.85x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 1.33x | 3.37x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | — | 28.69x |
Profitability & Efficiency
ARES leads this category, winning 4 of 7 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
ARES delivers a 6.2% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $6 in annual profit, vs $3 for GRAF. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), ARES scores 8/9 vs GRAF's 2/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +3.5% | +6.2% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +3.3% | +1.9% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | -0.6% | +6.1% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | -0.8% | +7.3% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 2 | 8 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | — | 1.71x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | -$699 | $13.4B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $699 | $1.5B |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $0 | $14.9B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | — | 2.68x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
GRAF leads this category, winning 2 of 3 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
Over the past 12 months, GRAF leads with a +3.9% total return vs ARES's -18.3%.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +1.9% | -18.1% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +3.9% | -18.3% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | — | +57.9% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | — | +158.2% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +14.1% | +1055.2% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | — | +16.5% |
Risk & Volatility
GRAF leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
GRAF is the less volatile stock with a -0.03 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than ARES's 1.69 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. GRAF currently trades 91.6% from its 52-week high vs ARES's 69.1% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | -0.03x | 1.69x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $11.85 | $195.26 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $10.26 | $95.80 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +91.6% | +69.1% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 58.7 | 61.0 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 59K | 2.7M |
Analyst Outlook
Insufficient data to determine a leader in this category.
Analyst Outlook
ARES is the only dividend payer here at 5.99% yield — a key consideration for income-focused portfolios.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | — | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | — | $171.13 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | — | 22 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | +6.0% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | — | 6 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | $8.08 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | 0.0% |
GRAF leads in 4 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Valuation Metrics). ARES leads in 1 (Profitability & Efficiency).
GRAF vs ARES: Frequently Asked Questions
9 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is GRAF or ARES a better buy right now?
Graf Global Corp.
(GRAF) offers the better valuation at 38. 8x trailing P/E, making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Ares Management Corporation (ARES) a "Buy" — based on 22 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — GRAF or ARES?
On trailing P/E, Graf Global Corp.
(GRAF) is the cheapest at 38. 8x versus Ares Management Corporation at 68. 8x.
03Which is the better long-term investment — GRAF or ARES?
Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: ARES returned +1055% versus GRAF's +14.
1%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — GRAF or ARES?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Graf Global Corp.
(GRAF) is the lower-risk stock at -0. 03β versus Ares Management Corporation's 1. 69β — meaning ARES is approximately -5944% more volatile than GRAF relative to the S&P 500.
05Which is growing faster — GRAF or ARES?
On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Ares Management Corporation grew EPS -5.
3% year-over-year, compared to -36. 4% for Graf Global Corp.. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — GRAF or ARES?
Ares Management Corporation (ARES) is the more profitable company, earning 8.
2% net margin versus 0. 0% for Graf Global Corp. — meaning it keeps 8. 2% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: ARES leads at 27. 2% versus 0. 0% for GRAF. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — ARES leads at 74. 8%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Which pays a better dividend — GRAF or ARES?
In this comparison, ARES (6.
0% yield) pays a dividend. GRAF does not pay a meaningful dividend and should not be held primarily for income.
08Is GRAF or ARES better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Graf Global Corp.
(GRAF) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β -0. 03)). Ares Management Corporation (ARES) carries a higher beta of 1. 69 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (GRAF: +14. 1%, ARES: +1055%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
09What are the main differences between GRAF and ARES?
Both stocks operate in the Financial Services sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: GRAF is a small-cap quality compounder stock; ARES is a mid-cap high-growth stock. ARES pays a dividend while GRAF does not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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