Paper, Lumber & Forest Products
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Side-by-side financial analysisStock Comparison
ITP vs CLW vs MERC
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Paper, Lumber & Forest Products
Paper, Lumber & Forest Products
ITP vs CLW vs MERC — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Industry | Paper, Lumber & Forest Products | Paper, Lumber & Forest Products | Paper, Lumber & Forest Products |
| Market Cap | $3M | $271M | $58M |
| Revenue (TTM) | $79M | $1.54B | $1.85B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $-11M | $-27M | $-528M |
| Gross Margin | 5.7% | 5.1% | -3.7% |
| Operating Margin | -12.6% | -0.1% | -12.0% |
| Total Debt | $10M | $422M | $1.61B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $6M | $31K | $187M |
ITP vs CLW vs MERC — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | Jun 20 | Jun 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| IT Tech Packaging, … (ITP) | 100 | 3.1 | -96.9% |
| Clearwater Paper Co… (CLW) | 100 | 46.5 | -53.5% |
| Mercer Internationa… (MERC) | 100 | 10.5 | -89.5% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: ITP vs CLW vs MERC
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
ITP is the clearest fit if your priority is income & stability and sleep-well-at-night.
- Dividend streak 0 yrs, beta 0.86
- Lower volatility, beta 0.86, Low D/E 6.2%, current ratio 1.41x
- Beta 0.86, current ratio 1.41x
CLW carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for growth exposure.
- Rev growth 12.4%, EPS growth -110.6%, 3Y rev CAGR -9.2%
- 12.4% revenue growth vs ITP's -12.4%
- -1.8% margin vs MERC's -28.5%
MERC is the clearest fit if your priority is long-term compounding.
- -46.9% 10Y total return vs CLW's -73.2%
- 17.5% yield; the other 2 pay no meaningful dividend
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 12.4% revenue growth vs ITP's -12.4% | |
| Quality / Margins | -1.8% margin vs MERC's -28.5% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.86 vs MERC's 2.06, lower leverage | |
| Dividends | 17.5% yield; the other 2 pay no meaningful dividend | |
| Momentum (1Y) | -3.3% vs MERC's -72.8% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | -1.7% ROA vs MERC's -24.3%, ROIC 1.2% vs -8.5% |
ITP vs CLW vs MERC — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
ITP vs CLW vs MERC — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 3 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
ITP leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
MERC is the larger business by revenue, generating $1.9B annually — 23.4x ITP's $79M. CLW is the more profitable business, keeping -1.8% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to MERC's -28.5%. On growth, ITP holds the edge at +2.1% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $79M | $1.5B | $1.9B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $5M | $69M | -$61M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | -$11M | -$27M | -$528M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $4M | -$54M | -$156M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +5.7% | +5.1% | -3.7% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | -12.6% | -0.1% | -12.0% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | -13.9% | -1.8% | -28.5% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +4.8% | -3.5% | -8.4% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +2.1% | -4.7% | -3.5% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +40.0% | -110.5% | -136.4% |
Valuation Metrics
ITP leads this category, winning 2 of 4 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
On an enterprise value basis, ITP's 1.1x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than CLW's 6.2x.
| Metric | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $3M | $271M | $58M |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $7M | $693M | $1.5B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | -0.19x | -13.54x | -0.12x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | — | — | — |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | — | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 1.15x | 6.21x | — |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 0.04x | 0.17x | 0.03x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 0.01x | 0.33x | 0.84x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 0.54x | — | — |
Profitability & Efficiency
CLW leads this category, winning 5 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
CLW delivers a -3.3% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $-3 in annual profit, vs $-2 for MERC. ITP carries lower financial leverage with a 0.06x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to MERC's 23.64x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), CLW scores 7/9 vs MERC's 3/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | -7.1% | -3.3% | -2.4% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | -6.2% | -1.7% | -24.3% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | -3.7% | +1.2% | -8.5% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | -5.0% | +1.4% | -9.7% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 6 | 7 | 3 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.06x | 0.51x | 23.64x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $4M | $422M | $1.4B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $6M | $30,700 | $187M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $10M | $422M | $1.6B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | -16.46x | -4.32x | -3.35x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
CLW leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in CLW five years ago would be worth $5,854 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $417 for ITP. Over the past 12 months, ITP leads with a -3.3% total return vs MERC's -72.8%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors CLW at -18.3% vs MERC's -44.1% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -20.8% | -5.1% | -56.2% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | -3.3% | -37.2% | -72.8% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -58.7% | -45.5% | -82.5% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -95.8% | -41.5% | -82.9% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -98.2% | -73.2% | -46.9% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | -25.5% | -18.3% | -44.1% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — ITP and CLW each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
ITP is the less volatile stock with a 0.86 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than MERC's 2.06 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. CLW currently trades 54.2% from its 52-week high vs MERC's 19.2% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.86x | 1.28x | 2.06x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $0.39 | $30.96 | $4.47 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $0.16 | $11.73 | $0.75 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +48.7% | +54.2% | +19.2% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 46.7 | 58.9 | 44.9 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 1.9M | 184K | 528K |
Analyst Outlook
Insufficient data to determine a leader in this category.
Analyst Outlook
Analyst consensus: CLW as "Buy", MERC as "Hold". Consensus price targets imply 161.9% upside for MERC (target: $2) vs -7.7% for CLW (target: $16). MERC is the only dividend payer here at 17.46% yield — a key consideration for income-focused portfolios.
| Metric | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | — | Buy | Hold |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | — | $15.50 | $2.25 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | — | 10 | 9 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | — | +17.5% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 0 | — | 0 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | — | $0.15 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | +6.4% | 0.0% |
ITP leads in 2 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Valuation Metrics). CLW leads in 2 (Profitability & Efficiency, Total Returns). 1 tied.
ITP vs CLW vs MERC: Key Questions Answered
8 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is ITP or CLW or MERC a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Clearwater Paper Corporation (CLW) is the stronger pick with 12.
4% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -12. 4% for IT Tech Packaging, Inc. (ITP). Analysts rate Clearwater Paper Corporation (CLW) a "Buy" — based on 10 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which is the better long-term investment — ITP or CLW or MERC?
Over the past 5 years, Clearwater Paper Corporation (CLW) delivered a total return of -41.
5%, compared to -95. 8% for IT Tech Packaging, Inc. (ITP). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: MERC returned -46. 9% versus ITP's -98. 2%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
03Which is safer — ITP or CLW or MERC?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), IT Tech Packaging, Inc.
(ITP) is the lower-risk stock at 0. 86β versus Mercer International Inc. 's 2. 06β — meaning MERC is approximately 141% more volatile than ITP relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, IT Tech Packaging, Inc. (ITP) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 6% versus 24% for Mercer International Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
04Which is growing faster — ITP or CLW or MERC?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Clearwater Paper Corporation (CLW) is pulling ahead at 12.
4% versus -12. 4% for IT Tech Packaging, Inc. (ITP). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: IT Tech Packaging, Inc. grew EPS 1. 0% year-over-year, compared to -485. 8% for Mercer International Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, MERC leads at -6. 4% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
05Which has better profit margins — ITP or CLW or MERC?
Clearwater Paper Corporation (CLW) is the more profitable company, earning -1.
3% net margin versus -26. 7% for Mercer International Inc. — meaning it keeps -1. 3% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: CLW leads at 1. 2% versus -10. 8% for ITP. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — ITP leads at 8. 8%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
06Which pays a better dividend — ITP or CLW or MERC?
In this comparison, MERC (17.
5% yield) pays a dividend. ITP, CLW do not pay a meaningful dividend and should not be held primarily for income.
07Is ITP or CLW or MERC better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, IT Tech Packaging, Inc.
(ITP) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0. 86)). Mercer International Inc. (MERC) carries a higher beta of 2. 06 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (ITP: -98. 2%, MERC: -46. 9%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
08What are the main differences between ITP and CLW and MERC?
Both stocks operate in the Basic Materials sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: ITP is a small-cap quality compounder stock; CLW is a small-cap quality compounder stock; MERC is a small-cap income-oriented stock. MERC pays a dividend while ITP, CLW do not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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