Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
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NOG vs CIVI vs JPM
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
Banks - Diversified
NOG vs CIVI vs JPM — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Industry | Oil & Gas Exploration & Production | Oil & Gas Exploration & Production | Banks - Diversified |
| Market Cap | $2.06B | $2.34B | $908.57B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $2.06B | $4.71B | $280.33B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $-623M | $638M | $57.05B |
| Gross Margin | 30.6% | 43.9% | 60.0% |
| Operating Margin | 26.0% | 31.1% | 25.9% |
| Forward P/E | 4.9x | 6.8x | 14.6x |
| Total Debt | $2.40B | $4.49B | $942.38B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $14M | $76M | $343.34B |
NOG vs CIVI vs JPM — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | Jun 20 | Jun 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Northern Oil and Ga… (NOG) | 100 | 231.7 | +131.7% |
| Civitas Resources, … (CIVI) | 100 | 182.8 | +82.8% |
| JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM) | 100 | 345.8 | +245.8% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: NOG vs CIVI vs JPM
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
NOG is the clearest fit if your priority is income & stability and sleep-well-at-night.
- Dividend streak 5 yrs, beta 0.16, yield 9.0%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.16, current ratio 1.09x
- Beta 0.16, yield 9.0%, current ratio 1.09x
CIVI carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for growth exposure and valuation efficiency.
- Rev growth 49.8%, EPS growth -6.2%, 3Y rev CAGR 77.5%
- PEG 0.32 vs JPM's 0.83
- 49.8% revenue growth vs NOG's -3.2%
JPM is the clearest fit if your priority is long-term compounding.
- 481.2% 10Y total return vs NOG's -47.2%
- 20.4% margin vs NOG's -30.3%
- +20.9% vs NOG's -32.1%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 49.8% revenue growth vs NOG's -3.2% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (6.8x vs 14.6x), PEG 0.32 vs 0.83 | |
| Quality / Margins | 20.4% margin vs NOG's -30.3% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.16 vs JPM's 0.87, lower leverage | |
| Dividends | 18.2% yield, 1-year raise streak, vs JPM's 1.8% | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +20.9% vs NOG's -32.1% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 4.2% ROA vs NOG's -11.3%, ROIC 10.8% vs 10.0% |
NOG vs CIVI vs JPM — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
NOG vs CIVI vs JPM — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 3 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
JPM leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
JPM is the larger business by revenue, generating $280.3B annually — 136.2x NOG's $2.1B. JPM is the more profitable business, keeping 20.4% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to NOG's -30.3%.
| Metric | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $2.1B | $4.7B | $280.3B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $1.3B | $3.4B | $81.4B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | -$623M | $638M | $57.0B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | -$115M | $934M | $100.9B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +30.6% | +43.9% | +60.0% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +26.0% | +31.1% | +25.9% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | -30.3% | +13.6% | +20.4% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | -5.6% | +19.8% | +36.0% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -6.2% | -8.1% | — |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -4.8% | -33.9% | +16.0% |
Valuation Metrics
CIVI leads this category, winning 6 of 7 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 3.2x trailing earnings, CIVI trades at a 94% valuation discount to NOG's 49.8x P/E. Adjusting for growth (PEG ratio), CIVI offers better value at 0.15x vs JPM's 0.92x — a lower PEG means you pay less per unit of expected earnings growth.
| Metric | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $2.1B | $2.3B | $908.6B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $4.4B | $6.8B | $1.51T |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 49.85x | 3.24x | 16.22x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 4.93x | 6.75x | 14.60x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | 0.15x | 0.92x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 3.11x | 1.89x | 18.52x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 0.98x | 0.45x | 3.25x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 0.91x | 0.41x | 2.51x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 8.13x | 2.61x | 9.01x |
Profitability & Efficiency
Evenly matched — NOG and CIVI each lead in 4 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
JPM delivers a 15.9% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $16 in annual profit, vs $-29 for NOG. CIVI carries lower financial leverage with a 0.68x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to JPM's 2.60x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), NOG scores 6/9 vs JPM's 5/9, reflecting solid financial health.
| Metric | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | -29.1% | +9.5% | +15.9% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | -11.3% | +4.2% | +1.3% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +10.0% | +10.8% | +4.5% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +12.4% | +12.1% | +8.9% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 6 | 5 | 5 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 1.13x | 0.68x | 2.60x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $2.4B | $4.4B | $599.0B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $14M | $76M | $343.3B |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $2.4B | $4.5B | $942.4B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 0.94x | 2.80x | 0.74x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
JPM leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in JPM five years ago would be worth $23,548 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $10,447 for CIVI. Over the past 12 months, JPM leads with a +20.9% total return vs NOG's -32.1%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors JPM at 33.7% vs CIVI's -16.6% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -9.6% | -1.5% | +0.8% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | -32.1% | -11.3% | +20.9% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -26.3% | -41.9% | +138.8% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +35.7% | +4.5% | +135.5% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -47.2% | -81.0% | +481.2% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | -9.7% | -16.6% | +33.7% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — NOG and JPM each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
NOG is the less volatile stock with a 0.16 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than JPM's 0.87 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. JPM currently trades 96.2% from its 52-week high vs NOG's 60.4% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.16x | 0.86x | 0.87x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $32.17 | $37.45 | $338.09 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $18.75 | $25.38 | $269.72 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +60.4% | +73.1% | +96.2% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 30.2 | 54.8 | 72.1 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 2.5M | 22.4M | 7.4M |
Analyst Outlook
Evenly matched — CIVI and JPM each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Analyst consensus: NOG as "Buy", CIVI as "Hold", JPM as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 58.4% upside for NOG (target: $31) vs 4.5% for JPM (target: $340). For income investors, CIVI offers the higher dividend yield at 18.19% vs JPM's 1.83%.
| Metric | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Hold | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $30.80 | $33.00 | $339.75 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 13 | 16 | 61 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +9.0% | +18.2% | +1.8% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 5 | 1 | 15 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $1.75 | $4.98 | $5.95 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +2.8% | +18.3% | +3.8% |
JPM leads in 2 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Total Returns). CIVI leads in 1 (Valuation Metrics). 3 tied.
NOG vs CIVI vs JPM: Key Questions Answered
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is NOG or CIVI or JPM a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Civitas Resources, Inc.
(CIVI) is the stronger pick with 49. 8% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -3. 2% for Northern Oil and Gas, Inc. (NOG). Civitas Resources, Inc. (CIVI) offers the better valuation at 3. 2x trailing P/E (6. 8x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Northern Oil and Gas, Inc. (NOG) a "Buy" — based on 13 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — NOG or CIVI or JPM?
On trailing P/E, Civitas Resources, Inc.
(CIVI) is the cheapest at 3. 2x versus Northern Oil and Gas, Inc. at 49. 8x. On forward P/E, Northern Oil and Gas, Inc. is actually cheaper at 4. 9x — notably different from the trailing picture, reflecting expected earnings growth. The PEG ratio (P/E divided by earnings growth rate) is the most growth-adjusted single valuation metric: Civitas Resources, Inc. wins at 0. 32x versus JPMorgan Chase & Co. 's 0. 83x — a PEG below 1. 0 traditionally signals the market is underpricing earnings growth.
03Which is the better long-term investment — NOG or CIVI or JPM?
Over the past 5 years, JPMorgan Chase & Co.
(JPM) delivered a total return of +135. 5%, compared to +4. 5% for Civitas Resources, Inc. (CIVI). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: JPM returned +481. 2% versus CIVI's -81. 0%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — NOG or CIVI or JPM?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Northern Oil and Gas, Inc.
(NOG) is the lower-risk stock at 0. 16β versus JPMorgan Chase & Co. 's 0. 87β — meaning JPM is approximately 446% more volatile than NOG relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Civitas Resources, Inc. (CIVI) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 68% versus 3% for JPMorgan Chase & Co. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — NOG or CIVI or JPM?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Civitas Resources, Inc.
(CIVI) is pulling ahead at 49. 8% versus -3. 2% for Northern Oil and Gas, Inc. (NOG). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: JPMorgan Chase & Co. grew EPS 1. 5% year-over-year, compared to -92. 4% for Northern Oil and Gas, Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, CIVI leads at 77. 5% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — NOG or CIVI or JPM?
JPMorgan Chase & Co.
(JPM) is the more profitable company, earning 20. 4% net margin versus 1. 9% for Northern Oil and Gas, Inc. — meaning it keeps 20. 4% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: NOG leads at 29. 3% versus 26. 0% for JPM. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — JPM leads at 59. 9%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is NOG or CIVI or JPM more undervalued right now?
The PEG ratio (forward P/E divided by expected earnings growth rate) is the most precise measure of undervaluation relative to growth potential.
By this metric, Civitas Resources, Inc. (CIVI) is the more undervalued stock at a PEG of 0. 32x versus JPMorgan Chase & Co. 's 0. 83x. A PEG below 1. 0 is traditionally considered the threshold for growth-adjusted undervaluation. On forward earnings alone, Northern Oil and Gas, Inc. (NOG) trades at 4. 9x forward P/E versus 14. 6x for JPMorgan Chase & Co. — 9. 7x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for NOG: 58. 4% to $30. 80.
08Which pays a better dividend — NOG or CIVI or JPM?
All stocks in this comparison pay dividends.
Civitas Resources, Inc. (CIVI) offers the highest yield at 18. 2%, versus 1. 8% for JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM).
09Is NOG or CIVI or JPM better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Northern Oil and Gas, Inc.
(NOG) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0. 16), 9. 0% yield). Both have compounded well over 10 years (NOG: -47. 2%, CIVI: -81. 0%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between NOG and CIVI and JPM?
These companies operate in different sectors (NOG (Energy) and CIVI (Energy) and JPM (Financial Services)), which means they face different economic cycles, regulatory environments, and macro sensitivities — making direct comparison nuanced.
In terms of investment character: NOG is a small-cap income-oriented stock; CIVI is a small-cap high-growth stock; JPM is a large-cap deep-value stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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