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COSTCostco Wholesale Corporation
$923.52$409.6B
Overview & Tools
OverviewChart Terminal ↗AnalysisVisualize
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Valuation ModelsEstimatesDCF Model
Price & Analyst Data
Analyst TargetsPrice History
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Income StatementBalance SheetCash FlowRatios & Margins
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COST logo

Costco Wholesale Corporation

COST
NASDAQ · Discount Stores
$923.52
At close - Oct 5, 4:00 PM EDT - USD
Market Cap$409.56B
P/E50.7x
52W High$1096.50
Volume1.95M
OverviewTerminalAnalysisFinancialsValuationEarningsBreakoutsOwnership
VCP Research Verdict2026Q4

Revenue Acceleration Amid Margin Sustainability Questions

Costco exhibits accelerating revenue growth, reaching 11.1% in 2026Q4, underpinned by robust consumer demand and a strengthening financial position with cash of $20.2B and a debt-to-equity ratio of just 0.13. However, the company's investment thesis is complic...

GrowthAccelerating
ProfitabilityStable
ValuationExpensive
TechnicalsWeak
Explore valuation models
MARKET ACTION

COST price & volume

Price trend, volume and key moving averages

Launch Terminal
Loading chart...
Decision Checklist4 Core Signals

What matters now

The signals most likely to change the investment case.

01

Earnings momentum

10/12 Beats

EPS beat 10 of last 12 quarters

02

Valuation risk

+130% Peers

P/E is 130% above peer median

03

Market leadership

RS 46 · Lag

Laggard (Underperforming 54% of market)

04

Weak Trend

Below 200DMA

Price < 200DMA

Next CatalystEstimated earnings · Dec 24
01

Build the investment case

Start with the evidence for owning the stock and the risks that can break the thesis.

EXECUTIVE THESIS

The Investment Case

Full Analysis
Fundamental Trajectory

Revenue growth has accelerated to 11.1% in 2026Q4, but the reported gross margin of 27.7% represents a significant deviation from the stable 12.5-13.0% baseline, masking the sustainability of core operational profitability.

Analyst Consensus+18.3% target
Buy(59 analysts)
39 Buy19 Hold1 Sell

The Bull Case

Upside Catalysts

Consistent Growth and Strong Fundamentals

In Q1 of fiscal year 2026, Costco's revenue increased by 8.2%, with comparable sales up 6.4% and digital sales growing by 20.5%.

International Expansion and New Formats

Costco is expanding globally, opening new warehouses and exploring business centers to drive future revenue growth.

Resilient Business Model

Costco's value-focused model and Kirkland Signature brand appeal to a loyal customer base, helping it navigate economic challenges.

The Bear Case

Key Downside Risks

High Valuation

Costco's stock is trading at a premium valuation, with a high price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, leaving little room for error.

Margin Pressure

Rising costs related to labor, supply chains, and competition could pressure Costco's profit margins.

Market Sensitivity

Costco's stock can be sensitive to broader market sentiment and macroeconomic shifts.

Market performance

Price History →

Trailing total returns as of 10/6/2026, which may include dividends or other distributions. Benchmark is S&P 500 (^GSPC).

YTD Return
COST+8.57%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+13.42%
1-Year Return
COST+1.99%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+15.37%
3-Year Return
COST+67.39%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+83.62%
5-Year Return
COST+115.26%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+76.91%
02

Test the fundamentals

Check whether operating performance supports the current valuation.

VALUATION & INTRINSIC VALUE

Valuation Scenarios

Valuation Analysis
Trailing P/EMedian
50.7x
Forward P/EExpansion
40.5x
EV/EBITDA60th %ile
31.5x
FCF YieldCash Flow
1.9%

Valuation vs 5-Year History

Multiple Range
Metric
Current
5Y Median
Historical Range
Percentile
P/E
50.7x
40.5x
60th· Fair
EV/EBITDA
31.5x
24.3x
60th· Fair
Price/FCF
52.3x
53.5x
40th· Fair
Current Multiple
5Y Median (50th %ile)

Intrinsic Value Scenarios

DCF Projection
Bear$249.29-73.0%
Base (Fair)$556.09-39.6%
Bull$710.88-23.0%
$249.29 Bear$556.09 Base$710.88 Bull
Current Market Price: $923.52
Trades at a 66.1% premium to Base DCF ($556.09)
Open DCF & Valuation Models →Chart Terminal ↗

Growth & profitability

Annual revenue & EPS trend
Revenue
$275.24B+8.2% YoY
Net income
$8.1B+9.9% YoY
Free cash flow
$7.84B+18.2% YoY
Operating margin
3.8%+0.1 pts YoY
ROIC (TTM)34.5%
Avg ROIC 5Y-
ROE (TTM)30.7%
Piotroski Score7 / 9
Financial Statements →
03

Monitor what changed

Recent results and news deserve attention only when they alter the forward view.

OPERATING RESULTS

Recent Earnings

Earnings History
EPS Beat Rate10/12 (83%)
Revenue Beat Rate9/12 (75%)
QuarterEPS (Act vs Est)Revenue (Act vs Est)
Q4 2026Latest
Sep 24, 2026
$6.75+3.2%
vs $6.54
$93.9B-1.2%
vs $95.0B
Q2 2026
May 28, 2026
$4.93-1.4%
vs $5.00
$70.5B+1.0%
vs $69.8B
Q2 2026
Mar 5, 2026
$4.58+0.7%
vs $4.55
$69.6B+0.4%
vs $69.3B
Q4 2025
Dec 11, 2025
$4.50+5.4%
vs $4.27
$67.3B+0.2%
vs $67.1B
Historical baseline: 12 quarters analyzedGAAP / Adjusted
MARKET COVERAGE

Latest News

5 Stories
Zacks Investment Research·6d ago
Should You Buy, Hold or Sell Costco Stock After Its Q4 Earnings Beat?

Costco's Q4 earnings beat highlights membership strength, digital growth and warehouse expansion as investors assess growth amid valuation and margin concerns.

MarketBeat·6d ago
4 Stocks That Could Split Next—and Why Investors Are Watching

Stock splits don't change fundamentals or company value; they do a lot for investors, ultimately driving equity gains. At face value, a stock split signals underlying company strength: the stock is trending higher at “unreasonably” high price levels and is expected to continue rising, as only fundamentally strong companies can.

24/7 Wall Street·6d ago
Costco Has One of Retail's Strongest Businesses. Here's What That Could Mean for the Stock

Costco just posted its fifth consecutive earnings beat and carries a renewal rate that almost no retailer can match, yet the stock sits well off its highs. Our model reveals whether that gap is an opportunity or a warning.

The Motley Fool·6d ago
Should Investors Buy Costco Stock Instead of Walmart Stock?

Walmart (WMT -1.77%) and Costco (COST +0.18%) operate similar business models.

Filtered for Costco Wholesale CorporationMore Headlines
04

Compare before deciding

Benchmark COST against direct peers instead of judging its metrics in isolation.

Peers Comparison

Key metrics vs top competitors for Costco Wholesale Corporation (COST)

Full Screener →
CompanyPriceMarket CapP/E RatioRev Growth (1Y)Net MarginROEDiv Yield
COST logoCOSTCostco Wholesale CorporationCurrent
$923.52$409.56B50.728.17%2.94%30.69%0.53%
WMT logoWMTWalmart Inc.
$105.07$837.51B38.494.73%3.04%21.64%—
TGT logoTGTTarget Corporation
$152.99$69.49B18.82-1.68%4.08%26.66%—
BJ logoBJBJ's Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc.
$93.82$11.98B21.424.66%2.61%26.19%—
KR logoKRThe Kroger Co.
$58.78$36.24B38.170.35%0.73%17.15%—
ACI logoACIAlbertsons Companies, Inc.
$11.51$5.64B28.783.46%0.08%2.91%—

Compare COST vs Peers

Costco Wholesale Corporation (COST) vs competitors — business, growth, and fundamentals comparison against the closest industry rivals.

Closest Rival

vs WMT

Most directly comparable listed peer for COST.

Scale Benchmark

vs AMZN

Larger-name benchmark to compare COST against a more recognizable public peer.

Peer Set

Compare Top 5

vs WMT, TGT, BJ, KR

05

Keep researching

Verify the primary filings, follow material updates, and answer the remaining questions.

COST SEC Filings & Documents

Costco Wholesale Corporation (COST) SEC filings — annual & quarterly reports (10-K, 10-Q)

8-K Announcements

6
Material company update

Sep 24, 2026·SEC

Material company update

May 28, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Apr 15, 2026·SEC

10-K Annual Reports

2
FY 2025

Oct 8, 2025·SEC

FY 2024

Oct 9, 2024·SEC

10-Q Quarterly Reports

6
FY 2026

Mar 11, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Dec 17, 2025·SEC

FY 2025

Jun 5, 2025·SEC

Get notified when COST posts new earnings or crosses analyst targets

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COST Frequently Asked Questions

Costco Wholesale Corporation (COST) stock FAQ — growth, dividends, profitability & financials explained

Growth & Financials
What is Costco Wholesale Corporation's revenue?

Costco Wholesale Corporation (COST) reported $303.15B in revenue for fiscal year 2025. This represents a 1449% increase from $19.57B in 1996.

How fast is Costco Wholesale Corporation growing?

Costco Wholesale Corporation (COST) grew revenue by 8.2% over the past year. This is steady growth.

Is COST profitable?

Yes, Costco Wholesale Corporation (COST) is profitable, generating $9.23B in net income for fiscal year 2025 (2.9% net margin).

Dividend & Returns
Does COST pay dividends?

Yes, Costco Wholesale Corporation (COST) pays a dividend with a yield of 0.53%. This makes it attractive for income-focused investors.

What is COST's return on equity?

Costco Wholesale Corporation (COST) has a return on equity (ROE) of 30.7%. This is excellent, indicating efficient use of shareholder capital.

What is Costco Wholesale Corporation's free cash flow?

Costco Wholesale Corporation (COST) generated $9.39B in free cash flow for fiscal year 2025. Positive FCF indicates the company can fund dividends, buybacks, or reinvestment.

What if you invested $1,000 in COST back in 1996?

Total return calculator · dividends reinvested · 30+ years of data

See returns →