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COSTCostco Wholesale Corporation
$941.93
Analysis updated: Jan 14, 2026

Investment Thesis

COST is a market laggard (RS 37/99, Top 63%) with moderate fundamentals. avoid chasing - protect capital. Smart traders skip this one until the setup improves.

Weak relative strength + ordinary growth = Pass

Key Takeaways

Earnings Momentum

+3%
Q2'25
$4.02
+13%
Q3'25
$4.28
+11%
Q4'25
$5.87
+11%
Q1'26
$4.50
Earnings Growing

Price Structure

Broken Structure
Price
$941.93
50 DMA
$895.44
100 DMA
$918.22
150 DMA
$936.15
200 DMA
$950.29
Alignment Score: 1/4

COST Price Chart

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50 DMA150 DMA200 DMA
LEADERSHIP TEST FAILED

RS Rating 37/99 is in Bottom 37% of market. Minervini target: Top 20% (RS 80+)

Why Not BUY Yet?

RS Rating
37 (Top 63%)>80 (Top 20%)
EPS Growth
11%>25% (Strong) or 40%+ (Elite)
Pattern Stage
AT_PIVOTAt pivot or near breakout
Trend
DowntrendAbove 200 DMA
Breakout Status
-7.8% below entry ($1021.86)Price above breakout entry

What Would Change Our Mind?

To turn bullish on COST, we need:

Twin Engines Dashboard

Technical Health

RS Rating
37/99
Top 63% (Need 80+)
Trend
Downtrend
Below 200 DMA
RSI (14)
70
BULLISH
VCP Setup
COOL
Score: 4/9
Volume
2.2M
-19% vs avg
From Entry
-7.8%
$1021.86

Fundamental Horsepower

EPS Qtr YoY
+11%
Accelerating
EPS 3Y CAGR
+11%
Annual Earnings
Revenue Qtr
+8%
WEAK
F-Score
7/9
Piotroski Quality
ROE
31%
Return on Equity
EPS Rank
50/99
Percentile

Trade Plan

Breakout Failed

Breakout failed — now -7.8% from entry.

Setup invalid. Wait for new base to form before considering re-entry.

Entry Price$1021.86Breakout price
Current Loss-7.8%Below entry
Stop Was$940.11Should have exited

If/Then Playbook

IF: RS Rating improves to >80
THEN: Re-evaluate for WATCHLIST
IF: Price closes below 200 DMA
THEN: Remove from radar entirely
IF: EPS growth accelerates to >40% next quarter
THEN: Reassess as potential turnaround

Key Price Levels

Resistance

  • 200 DMA$950.29+0.9%
  • Pivot$981.00+4.1%
  • 52W High$1078.23+14.5%
Current$941.93

Support

  • 50 DMA$895.44-4.9%
  • 20 DMA$878.14-6.8%
  • 52W Low$846.80-10.1%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is COST stock a buy now?

COST is a market laggard (RS 37/99, Top 63%) with moderate fundamentals. avoid chasing - protect capital. Smart traders skip this one until the setup improves.

What is the buy point for COST?

COST's breakout at $1021.86 has failed (now -7.8% below entry). The setup is no longer valid — wait for a new base pattern to form.

What is COST's RS Rating?

COST has an RS Rating of 37/99, meaning it's in the Top 63% of all stocks for relative price performance over the past 12 months. Minervini recommends RS 80+ for momentum trades.

Important Disclosure: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. Technical and fundamental indicators are based on historical data and do not guarantee future performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.