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XOMExxon Mobil Corporation
$158.69$657.8B
Overview & Tools
OverviewChart Terminal ↗AnalysisVisualize
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Analyst TargetsPrice History
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XOM logo

Exxon Mobil Corporation

XOM
NYSE · Integrated Oil & Gas
$158.69
At close - Sep 22, 4:00 PM EDT - USD
Market Cap$657.76B
P/E23.7x
52W High$176.41
Volume13.84M
OverviewTerminalAnalysisFinancialsValuationEarningsBreakoutsOwnership
VCP Research Verdict2026Q2

Cyclical Earnings Inflection Meets Fortress Balance Sheet

Exxon Mobil's 2026Q2 results mark a sharp cyclical inflection, with revenue surging 44.1% YoY to $114.5B and EPS up 112.2%, reversing a year of contraction. The company's fortress balance sheet, evidenced by a D/E of 0.16 and $42.4B total debt, supports aggres...

GrowthMixed
ProfitabilityStable
ValuationExpensive
TechnicalsHealthy
Explore valuation models
MARKET ACTION

XOM price & volume

Price trend, volume and key moving averages

Launch Terminal
Loading chart...
Decision Checklist4 Core Signals

What matters now

The signals most likely to change the investment case.

01

Earnings momentum

8/12 Beats

EPS beat 8 of last 12 quarters

02

Valuation risk

+5% Peers

P/E is 5% above peer median

03

Market leadership

RS 73 · Avg

Average momentum (RS Rating: 73)

04

Healthy Uptrend

Uptrend

Price > 50DMA > 200DMA

Next CatalystEstimated earnings · Oct 31
01

Build the investment case

Start with the evidence for owning the stock and the risks that can break the thesis.

EXECUTIVE THESIS

The Investment Case

Full Analysis
Fundamental Trajectory

Revenue surged 44.1% YoY to $114.5B in 2026Q2, but gross margin compressed to 22.4% from 37.7% sequentially, highlighting volatile pricing and operating leverage that swung operating income 243% quarter-over-quarter.

Analyst Consensus+9.3% target
Hold(55 analysts)
21 Buy30 Hold4 Sell

The Bull Case

Upside Catalysts

Production Growth Potential

ExxonMobil's recent gains in Permian production are expected to boost overall production capacity and revenues, with a breakeven price below $40/bbl.

Rising Oil Prices Catalyst

Geopolitical factors could drive oil prices above $110/bbl, significantly boosting Exxon's earnings.

Strong Shareholder Returns

A $20 billion share buyback program for 2026 and a solid dividend yield of approximately 2.6-3.5% provide attractive returns.

The Bear Case

Key Downside Risks

Geopolitical Risks

A ceasefire or reopening of the Strait of Hormuz could remove the 'war premium' from oil prices, potentially dropping them to $60-$70.

High Valuation Concerns

With a P/E ratio of around 22x, the stock may be overvalued, especially if oil prices decline.

Increased Competition

Competitor BP is currently outperforming ExxonMobil, which could lead to investment reallocation.

Market performance

Price History →

Trailing total returns as of 9/23/2026, which may include dividends or other distributions. Benchmark is S&P 500 (^GSPC).

YTD Return
XOM+31.90%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+13.20%
1-Year Return
XOM+45.34%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+15.98%
3-Year Return
XOM+48.40%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+79.70%
5-Year Return
XOM+221.92%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+71.26%
02

Test the fundamentals

Check whether operating performance supports the current valuation.

VALUATION & INTRINSIC VALUE

Valuation Scenarios

Valuation Analysis
Trailing P/E5Y High
23.7x
Forward P/EExpansion
13.6x
EV/EBITDA100th %ile
11.5x
FCF YieldCash Flow
3.6%

Valuation vs 5-Year History

Multiple Range
Metric
Current
5Y Median
Historical Range
Percentile
P/E
23.7x
11.4x
100th· High
EV/EBITDA
11.5x
6.8x
100th· High
Price/FCF
27.9x
12.1x
100th· High
Current Multiple
5Y Median (50th %ile)

Intrinsic Value Scenarios

DCF Projection
Bear$79.33-50.0%
Base (Fair)$161.46-1.1%
Bull$260.74+64.3%
$79.33 Bear$161.46 Base$260.74 Bull
Current Market Price: $158.69
Trades at a 1.7% discount to Base DCF ($161.46)
Open DCF & Valuation Models →Chart Terminal ↗

Growth & profitability

Annual revenue & EPS trend
Revenue
$323.9B-4.5% YoY
Net income
$28.84B-14.4% YoY
Free cash flow
$23.61B-23.1% YoY
Operating margin
10.5%-1.2 pts YoY
ROIC (TTM)8.6%
Avg ROIC 5Y-
ROE (TTM)10.7%
Piotroski Score3 / 9
Financial Statements →
03

Monitor what changed

Recent results and news deserve attention only when they alter the forward view.

OPERATING RESULTS

Recent Earnings

Earnings History
EPS Beat Rate8/12 (67%)
Revenue Beat Rate4/12 (33%)
QuarterEPS (Act vs Est)Revenue (Act vs Est)
Q3 2026Latest
Jul 31, 2026
$3.52-1.1%
vs $3.56
$116.0B+5.5%
vs $109.9B
Q2 2026
May 1, 2026
$1.16+17.9%
vs $0.98
$85.1B+4.9%
vs $81.1B
Q1 2026
Jan 30, 2026
$1.71+0.6%
vs $1.70
$82.3B+2.1%
vs $80.6B
Q4 2025
Oct 31, 2025
$1.88+3.3%
vs $1.82
$83.3B-3.6%
vs $86.5B
Historical baseline: 12 quarters analyzedGAAP / Adjusted
MARKET COVERAGE

Latest News

5 Stories
Zacks Investment Research·1d ago
4 Integrated Energy Stocks to Benefit From Industry Tailwinds

Solid oil prices, a stable integrated business model and robust midstream operations make the Zacks Oil and Gas Integrated International industry's outlook bright. XOM, CVX, BP and E will make the most of the favorable business scenario.

CNBC·1d ago
Sullivan: Wall Street admits it doesn't know where oil is headed. There's one stock they do agree on

JPMorgan's commodity team admitted what many are thinking on the Iran situation and oil: We just don't know. The biggest energy stock getting some analyst love is Chevron.

The Motley Fool·1d ago
Exxon Just Set a Bold 2030 Target for LNG Sales. Here's What 50 Million Tons Actually Means.

Exxon plans to double its global LNG business by 2030. LNG is one of its three main upstream growth drivers.

Zacks Investment Research·1d ago
Exxon Mobil Holdings (XOM) Stock Drops Despite Market Gains: Important Facts to Note

Exxon Mobil Holdings (XOM) concluded the recent trading session at $158.3, signifying a -3.2% move from its prior day's close.

Filtered for Exxon Mobil CorporationMore Headlines
04

Compare before deciding

Benchmark XOM against direct peers instead of judging its metrics in isolation.

Peers Comparison

Key metrics vs top competitors for Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM)

Full Screener →
CompanyPriceMarket CapP/E RatioRev Growth (1Y)Net MarginROEDiv Yield
XOM logoXOMExxon Mobil CorporationCurrent
$158.69$657.76B23.69-4.52%8.91%10.74%2.52%
CVX logoCVXChevron Corporation
$202.43$403.16B30.53-4.64%9.87%10.66%—
COP logoCOPConocoPhillips
$125.27$152.62B19.737.51%14.87%14.32%—
BP logoBPBP p.l.c.
$43.10$112.54B2112.750.08%2.51%7.19%—
SHEL logoSHELShell plc
$93.93$261.89B15.66-6.13%8.76%14.64%—
TTE logoTTETotalEnergies SE
$89.85$200.1B15.55-6.78%9.07%14.5%—

Compare XOM vs Peers

Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM) vs competitors — business, growth, and fundamentals comparison against the closest industry rivals.

Closest Rival

vs CVX

Most directly comparable listed peer for XOM.

Scale Benchmark

vs SHEL

Larger-name benchmark to compare XOM against a more recognizable public peer.

Peer Set

Compare Top 5

vs CVX, COP, BP, SHEL

05

Keep researching

Verify the primary filings, follow material updates, and answer the remaining questions.

XOM SEC Filings & Documents

Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM) SEC filings — annual & quarterly reports (10-K, 10-Q)

8-K Announcements

6
Material company update

Jul 1, 2026·SEC

Material company update

May 29, 2026·SEC

Material company update

May 4, 2026·SEC

10-K Annual Reports

2
FY 2026

Feb 18, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Feb 19, 2025·SEC

10-Q Quarterly Reports

6
FY 2026

Aug 3, 2026·SEC

FY 2026

May 4, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Nov 3, 2025·SEC

Get notified when XOM posts new earnings or crosses analyst targets

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XOM Frequently Asked Questions

Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM) stock FAQ — growth, dividends, profitability & financials explained

Growth & Financials
What is Exxon Mobil Corporation's revenue?

Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM) reported $361.06B in revenue for fiscal year 2025. This represents a 209% increase from $116.73B in 1996.

How fast is Exxon Mobil Corporation growing?

Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM) saw revenue decline by 4.5% over the past year.

Is XOM profitable?

Yes, Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM) is profitable, generating $32.76B in net income for fiscal year 2025 (8.9% net margin).

Dividend & Returns
Does XOM pay dividends?

Yes, Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM) pays a dividend with a yield of 2.52%. This makes it attractive for income-focused investors.

What is XOM's return on equity?

Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM) has a return on equity (ROE) of 10.7%. This is reasonable for most industries.

What is Exxon Mobil Corporation's free cash flow?

Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM) generated $30.55B in free cash flow for fiscal year 2025. Positive FCF indicates the company can fund dividends, buybacks, or reinvestment.

What if you invested $1,000 in XOM back in 1996?

Total return calculator · dividends reinvested · 30+ years of data

See returns →