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MTCHMatch Group, Inc.
$39.03$9.1B
Overview & Tools
OverviewChart Terminal ↗Visualize
Valuation & Forecasts
Valuation ModelsEstimatesDCF Model
Price & Analyst Data
Analyst TargetsPrice History
Financial Statements
Income StatementBalance SheetCash FlowRatios & Margins
Performance
P/E HistoryRevenue HistoryEarnings HistoryDividend HistoryTotal Return
Discovery & Screens
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MTCH logo

Match Group, Inc.

MTCH
NASDAQ · Search & Social Media
$39.03
At close - USD
Market Cap$9.1B
P/E16.4x
52W High$46.67
Volume3.69M
OverviewTerminalAnalysisFinancialsValuationEarningsBreakoutsOwnership
VCP Research Verdict2026Q3

Cash Generation Strong, But Revenue Growth and Equity Deficit Persist

Match Group's revenue has stalled near flat, with the latest quarter at $891.2M showing a 2.5% year-over-year decline, while gross margin expanded roughly 520 basis points to 76.8%, suggesting pricing and mix gains are carrying profitability.

GrowthMixed
ProfitabilityModerate
ValuationAttractive
TechnicalsMixed
Explore valuation models
MARKET ACTION

MTCH price & volume

Price trend, volume and key moving averages

Launch Terminal
Loading chart...
Decision Checklist4 Core Signals

What matters now

The signals most likely to change the investment case.

01

Earnings momentum

8/12 Beats

EPS beat 8 of last 12 quarters

02

Valuation risk

-31% Peers

P/E is 31% below peer median

03

Market leadership

RS 69 · Avg

Average momentum (RS Rating: 69)

04

Mixed Trend

Mixed

Price < 50DMA but > 200DMA

Next CatalystEstimated earnings · Feb 2
01

Build the investment case

Start with the evidence for owning the stock and the risks that can break the thesis.

EXECUTIVE THESIS

The Investment Case

Full Analysis
Fundamental Trajectory

Revenue has oscillated between roughly -3.3% and +4.2% growth over the past ten quarters while gross margin rose to 76.8% and operating margin ranged from 20.8% to 32.4%, suggesting profitability gains are real but earnings volatility (diluted EPS from $0.44 to $0.83) warrants further investigation.

Analyst Consensus+15.3% target
Buy(32 analysts)
18 Buy14 Hold0 Sell

The Bull Case

Upside Catalysts

Strong revenue growth

Match Group has demonstrated strong revenue growth, supporting bullish sentiment and stock appreciation.

Aggressive share buybacks

The company's aggressive buyback strategy has contributed to capital returns and positive investor sentiment.

Expansion into high-growth markets

Match Group is expanding into high-growth markets, which is expected to drive future revenue and user base growth.

The Bear Case

Key Downside Risks

Market performance

Price History →

Trailing total returns as of 11/7/2026, which may include dividends or other distributions. Benchmark is S&P 500 (^GSPC).

YTD Return
MTCH+25.46%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+7.63%
1-Year Return
MTCH+21.96%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+9.69%
3-Year Return
MTCH+42.64%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+68.25%
5-Year Return
MTCH-73.97%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+56.45%
02

Test the fundamentals

Check whether operating performance supports the current valuation.

VALUATION & INTRINSIC VALUE

Valuation Scenarios

Valuation Analysis
Trailing P/E5Y Low
13.1x
Forward P/E
14.0x
EV/EBITDA0th %ile
10.5x
FCF YieldCash Flow
12.5%

Valuation vs 5-Year History

Multiple Range
Metric
Current
5Y Median
Historical Range
Percentile
P/E
13.1x
16.2x
0th· Low
EV/EBITDA
10.5x
13.3x
0th· Low
Price/FCF
8.0x
12.9x
0th· Low
Current Multiple
5Y Median (50th %ile)

Intrinsic Value Scenarios

DCF Projection
Bear$39.13+0.3%
Base (Fair)$65.94+68.9%
Bull$113.72+191.4%
$39.13 Bear$65.94 Base$113.72 Bull
Current Market Price: $39.03
Trades at a 40.8% discount to Base DCF ($65.94)
Open DCF & Valuation Models →Chart Terminal ↗

Growth & profitability

Annual revenue & EPS trend
Revenue FY25
$3.49B+0.2% YoY
Net income FY25
$613M+11.3% YoY
Free cash flow FY25
$1.02B+16.0% YoY
Operating margin FY25
25%+1.4 pts YoY
ROIC (FY25)23.7%
Avg ROIC 5Y-
ROE (FY25)-
Piotroski Score7 / 9
Financial Statements →
03

Monitor what changed

Recent results and news deserve attention only when they alter the forward view.

OPERATING RESULTS

Recent Earnings

Earnings History
EPS Beat Rate8/12 (67%)
Revenue Beat Rate6/12 (50%)
QuarterEPS (Act vs Est)Revenue (Act vs Est)
Q4 2026Latest
Nov 2, 2026
$0.73+2.2%
vs $0.71
$891M-0.1%
vs $892M
Q3 2026
Aug 4, 2026
$0.70+7.2%
vs $0.65
$853M-0.5%
vs $858M
Q2 2026
May 5, 2026
$0.69-4.2%
vs $0.72
$864M+1.1%
vs $855M
Q1 2026
Feb 3, 2026
$0.86+6.2%
vs $0.81
$878M+0.7%
vs $872M
Historical baseline: 12 quarters analyzedGAAP / Adjusted
MARKET COVERAGE

Latest News

4 Stories
24/7 Wall Street·Oct 27, 2026
Will Tinder's Radical Rebrand Save Match Group From Permanent Decline?

Match Group (NASDAQ:MTCH | MTCH Price Prediction) reports third-quarter results on Monday, November 2, after the bell. Tinder's first full rebrand in nearly a decade is now live globally.

24/7 Wall Street·Oct 13, 2026
Bumble Soars 56% as Ithaca Holdings Agrees to Take It Private at $6.05 a Share; Match Group Advances 2%

Bumble (NASDAQ:BMBL) stock is up 56% to $5.94 in morning trading after the dating-app operator agreed to be taken private by Ithaca Holdings, an unlisted buyer.

PRNewsWire·Oct 12, 2026
Match Group to Announce Third Quarter 2026 Results

LOS ANGELES, Oct. 12, 2026 /PRNewswire/ -- Match Group (NASDAQ: MTCH) will release financial results and full prepared remarks for the third quarter 2026 on Monday, November 2, 2026 after-market close. The company will host its quarterly conference call on the same day at 5:00 p.m.

Seeking Alpha·Sep 30, 2026
Match Group: I Am Swiping Right On The Stock (Buy)

Match Group is regaining investor confidence, with recent stock re-rating driven by margin expansion and Hinge's robust growth. MTCH's dominant market share, strong cash generation, and improving user churn support a turnaround to sustainable top-line growth. Profitability improvements—gross margin up to 76%—stem from web billing and operational efficiencies, offsetting legacy app declines.

Filtered for Match Group, Inc.More Headlines
04

Compare before deciding

Benchmark MTCH against direct peers instead of judging its metrics in isolation.

Peers Comparison

Key metrics vs top competitors for Match Group, Inc. (MTCH)

Full Screener →
CompanyPriceMarket CapP/E RatioRev Growth (1Y)Net MarginROEDiv Yield
MTCH logoMTCHMatch Group, Inc.Current
$39.03$9.1B16.400.22%17.59%—1.82%
BMBL logoBMBLBumble Inc.
$5.97$778.67M-1.00-9.89%-58.99%-68.91%—
MFG logoMFGMizuho Financial Group, Inc.
$9.40$114.51B13.9030.2%15.44%12.28%2.12%
IAC logoIACIAC Inc.
$38.76$2.88B-29.14-37.14%19.66%8.53%—
META logoMETAMeta Platforms, Inc.
$610.15$1.55T25.9722.17%31.15%30.27%0.34%
SNAP logoSNAPSnap Inc.
$4.96$8.34B-18.3710.63%-4.9%-14.61%—

Compare MTCH vs Peers

Match Group, Inc. (MTCH) vs competitors — business, growth, and fundamentals comparison against the closest industry rivals.

Closest Rival

vs BMBL

Most directly comparable listed peer for MTCH.

Scale Benchmark

vs AAPL

Larger-name benchmark to compare MTCH against a more recognizable public peer.

Peer Set

Compare Top 5

vs BMBL, MFG, IAC, META

05

Keep researching

Verify the primary filings, follow material updates, and answer the remaining questions.

MTCH SEC Filings & Documents

Match Group, Inc. (MTCH) SEC filings — annual & quarterly reports (10-K, 10-Q)

8-K Announcements

6
Material company update

Nov 2, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Aug 4, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Jun 18, 2026·SEC

10-K Annual Reports

2
FY 2026

Feb 26, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Feb 27, 2025·SEC

10-Q Quarterly Reports

6
FY 2026

Nov 3, 2026·SEC

FY 2026

Aug 5, 2026·SEC

FY 2026

May 6, 2026·SEC

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MTCH Frequently Asked Questions

Match Group, Inc. (MTCH) stock FAQ — growth, dividends, profitability & financials explained

Growth & Financials
What is Match Group, Inc.'s revenue?

Match Group, Inc. (MTCH) reported $3.49B in revenue in fiscal year 2025, which is also its trailing twelve months. That is 4537% more than the $75.2M of fiscal year 1996.

How fast is Match Group, Inc. growing?

Match Group, Inc. (MTCH) grew revenue by 0.2% in fiscal year 2025, compared with the prior fiscal year.

Is MTCH profitable?

Yes. Match Group, Inc. (MTCH) earned $721.4M in net income over the trailing twelve months (a 20.7% net margin).

Dividend & Returns
Does MTCH pay dividends?

Yes. Match Group, Inc. (MTCH) pays a dividend that yields 1.82% at the current price, a moderate yield.

What is Match Group, Inc.'s free cash flow?

Match Group, Inc. (MTCH) generated $1.14B in free cash flow over the trailing twelve months.

What if you invested $1,000 in MTCH back in 1996?

Total return calculator · dividends reinvested · 30+ years of data

See returns →