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MUSAMurphy USA Inc.
$506.24$9.4B
Overview & Tools
OverviewChart Terminal ↗Visualize
Valuation & Forecasts
Valuation ModelsEstimatesDCF Model
Price & Analyst Data
Analyst TargetsPrice History
Financial Statements
Income StatementBalance SheetCash FlowRatios & Margins
Performance
P/E HistoryRevenue HistoryEarnings HistoryDividend HistoryTotal Return
Discovery & Screens
Live BreakoutsStock ScreenerOwnership
MUSA logo

Murphy USA Inc.

MUSA
NYSE · Specialty Retail
$506.24
At close - Sep 23, 4:00 PM EDT - USD
Market Cap$9.35B
P/E21.0x
52W High$636.04
Volume292.87K
OverviewTerminalAnalysisFinancialsValuationEarningsBreakoutsOwnership
VCP Research Verdict2026Q2

Fuel Margin Windfall Masks Rising Leverage Risk

Murphy USA's recent earnings surge, driven by a 560 basis point gross margin expansion to 11.0% in 2026Q2, underscores its operational leverage and cost discipline, yet the sustainability of these fuel margins is questionable. The company's aggressive share re...

GrowthMixed
ProfitabilityStrong
ValuationAttractive
TechnicalsMixed
Explore valuation models
MARKET ACTION

MUSA price & volume

Price trend, volume and key moving averages

Launch Terminal
Loading chart...
Decision Checklist4 Core Signals

What matters now

The signals most likely to change the investment case.

01

Earnings momentum

9/12 Beats

EPS beat 9 of last 12 quarters

02

Valuation risk

-5% Peers

P/E is 5% below peer median

03

Market leadership

RS 53 · Avg

Average momentum (RS Rating: 53)

04

Mixed Trend

Mixed

Price < 50DMA but > 200DMA

Next CatalystEstimated earnings · Nov 5
01

Build the investment case

Start with the evidence for owning the stock and the risks that can break the thesis.

EXECUTIVE THESIS

The Investment Case

Full Analysis
Fundamental Trajectory

Revenue surged 36.0% in 2026Q2 to $6.8B, with gross margin expanding to 11.0% from 5.4% a year earlier, driving EPS of $11.27, though this appears fueled by non-durable fuel margin windfalls.

Analyst Consensus+19.6% target
Hold(11 analysts)
3 Buy6 Hold2 Sell

The Bull Case

Upside Catalysts

Strong fuel margins

Murphy USA's fuel margins are a key driver of profitability, as highlighted by analysts.

Walmart-adjacent locations

The company benefits from high-traffic locations near Walmart stores, enhancing customer footfall and sales.

Potential share buybacks

Murphy USA's potential share repurchases could provide additional upside for investors.

The Bear Case

Key Downside Risks

Market performance

Price History →

Trailing total returns as of 9/24/2026, which may include dividends or other distributions. Benchmark is S&P 500 (^GSPC).

YTD Return
MUSA+25.37%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+12.39%
1-Year Return
MUSA+29.67%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+15.77%
3-Year Return
MUSA+48.67%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+75.69%
5-Year Return
MUSA+215.87%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+71.24%
02

Test the fundamentals

Check whether operating performance supports the current valuation.

VALUATION & INTRINSIC VALUE

Valuation Scenarios

Valuation Analysis
Trailing P/E5Y High
21.0x
Forward P/EExpansion
14.5x
EV/EBITDA80th %ile
12.3x
FCF YieldCash Flow
4.0%

Valuation vs 5-Year History

Multiple Range
Metric
Current
5Y Median
Historical Range
Percentile
P/E
21.0x
14.0x
100th· High
EV/EBITDA
12.3x
9.4x
80th· High
Price/FCF
25.0x
17.4x
80th· High
Current Multiple
5Y Median (50th %ile)

Intrinsic Value Scenarios

DCF Projection
Bear$65.64-87.0%
Base (Fair)$350.32-33.4%
Bull$666.66+31.7%
$65.64 Bear$350.32 Base$666.66 Bull
Current Market Price: $506.24
Trades at a 44.5% premium to Base DCF ($350.32)
Open DCF & Valuation Models →Chart Terminal ↗

Growth & profitability

Annual revenue & EPS trend
Revenue
$19.38B-4.2% YoY
Net income
$471M-6.3% YoY
Free cash flow
$374M-3.9% YoY
Operating margin
3.8%+0.1 pts YoY
ROIC (TTM)15.8%
Avg ROIC 5Y-
ROE (TTM)64.3%
Piotroski Score5 / 9
Financial Statements →
03

Monitor what changed

Recent results and news deserve attention only when they alter the forward view.

OPERATING RESULTS

Recent Earnings

Earnings History
EPS Beat Rate9/12 (75%)
Revenue Beat Rate4/12 (33%)
QuarterEPS (Act vs Est)Revenue (Act vs Est)
Q3 2026Latest
Aug 5, 2026
$11.27+13.3%
vs $9.95
$6.8B+12.8%
vs $6.0B
Q2 2026
Apr 29, 2026
$7.28+35.6%
vs $5.37
$4.8B+2.6%
vs $4.7B
Q1 2026
Feb 4, 2026
$7.53+12.9%
vs $6.67
$4.7B-1.9%
vs $4.8B
Q4 2025
Oct 29, 2025
$7.25+9.8%
vs $6.60
$5.1B+4.7%
vs $4.9B
Historical baseline: 12 quarters analyzedGAAP / Adjusted
MARKET COVERAGE

Latest News

5 Stories
GuruFocus·2d ago
Murphy USA Inc (MUSA) Stock Down 3.2% -- Now Undervalued? GF Score: 74/100

On September 21, 2026, Murphy USA Inc (MUSA) shares fell 3.2% to $508.98, marking a decline of 10.6% over the past month. The stock has traded within a 52-week

Business Wire·6d ago
Murphy USA Schedules Third Quarter 2026 Results Conference Call

EL DORADO, Ark.--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Murphy USA Inc. (NYSE: MUSA) will announce third quarter 2026 financial results along with management commentary after the market closes on Wednesday, October 28, 2026, followed by a question-and-answer session at 10:00 a.m. CT on Thursday, October 29, 2026. The earnings release information and management commentary will be available on the Investor Relations section of the Murphy USA website at http://ir.corporate.murphyusa.com.The live Q&A webcast will beg.

Zacks Investment Research·Sep 16, 2026
Why Murphy USA (MUSA) is a Top Value Stock for the Long-Term

The Zacks Style Scores offers investors a way to easily find top-rated stocks based on their investing style. Here's why you should take advantage.

Defense World·Sep 11, 2026
Hsbc Holdings PLC Buys Shares of 6,968 Murphy USA Inc. $MUSA

Hsbc Holdings PLC acquired a new stake in Murphy USA Inc. (NYSE: MUSA) during the second quarter, according to the company in its most recent 13F filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission. The firm acquired 6,968 shares of the specialty retailer's stock, valued at approximately $3,771,000. Other institutional investors and hedge funds

Filtered for Murphy USA Inc.More Headlines
04

Compare before deciding

Benchmark MUSA against direct peers instead of judging its metrics in isolation.

Peers Comparison

Key metrics vs top competitors for Murphy USA Inc. (MUSA)

Full Screener →
CompanyPriceMarket CapP/E RatioRev Growth (1Y)Net MarginROEDiv Yield
MUSA logoMUSAMurphy USA Inc.Current
$506.24$9.35B21.01-4.25%2.43%64.31%0.42%
CASY logoCASYCasey's General Stores, Inc.
$597.31$22.14B31.1710.16%4.14%19.68%—
ARKO logoARKOArko Corp.
$4.23$474.55M28.20-12.47%0.19%3.16%—
SUN logoSUNSunoco LP
$75.06$10.27B20.5111.05%2.81%14.72%—
DINO logoDINOHF Sinclair Corporation
$106.14$19.13B34.13-5.99%6.13%19.73%—
NTB logoNTBThe Bank of N.T. Butterfield & Son Limited
$58.11$2.3B10.624.27%32.58%20.68%—

Compare MUSA vs Peers

Murphy USA Inc. (MUSA) vs competitors — business, growth, and fundamentals comparison against the closest industry rivals.

Closest Rival

vs CASY

Most directly comparable listed peer for MUSA.

Scale Benchmark

vs WMT

Larger-name benchmark to compare MUSA against a more recognizable public peer.

Peer Set

Compare Top 5

vs CASY, ARKO, SUN, DINO

05

Keep researching

Verify the primary filings, follow material updates, and answer the remaining questions.

MUSA SEC Filings & Documents

Murphy USA Inc. (MUSA) SEC filings — annual & quarterly reports (10-K, 10-Q)

8-K Announcements

6
Material company update

Aug 5, 2026·SEC

Material company update

May 27, 2026·SEC

Material company update

May 12, 2026·SEC

10-K Annual Reports

2
FY 2026

Feb 18, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Feb 20, 2025·SEC

10-Q Quarterly Reports

6
FY 2026

Aug 6, 2026·SEC

FY 2026

May 7, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Oct 30, 2025·SEC

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MUSA Frequently Asked Questions

Murphy USA Inc. (MUSA) stock FAQ — growth, dividends, profitability & financials explained

Growth & Financials
What is Murphy USA Inc.'s revenue?

Murphy USA Inc. (MUSA) reported $21.48B in revenue for fiscal year 2025. This represents a 14% increase from $18.92B in 2011.

How fast is Murphy USA Inc. growing?

Murphy USA Inc. (MUSA) saw revenue decline by 4.2% over the past year.

Is MUSA profitable?

Yes, Murphy USA Inc. (MUSA) is profitable, generating $617.2M in net income for fiscal year 2025 (2.4% net margin).

Dividend & Returns
Does MUSA pay dividends?

Yes, Murphy USA Inc. (MUSA) pays a dividend with a yield of 0.42%. This makes it attractive for income-focused investors.

What is MUSA's return on equity?

Murphy USA Inc. (MUSA) has a return on equity (ROE) of 64.3%. This is excellent, indicating efficient use of shareholder capital.

What is Murphy USA Inc.'s free cash flow?

Murphy USA Inc. (MUSA) generated $541.5M in free cash flow for fiscal year 2025. Positive FCF indicates the company can fund dividends, buybacks, or reinvestment.

What if you invested $1,000 in MUSA back in 2011?

Total return calculator · dividends reinvested · 15+ years of data

See returns →