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NWGNatWest Group plc
$17.91$35.6B
Overview & Tools
OverviewChart Terminal ↗Visualize
Valuation & Forecasts
Valuation ModelsEstimatesDCF Model
Price & Analyst Data
Analyst TargetsPrice History
Financial Statements
Income StatementBalance SheetCash FlowRatios & Margins
Performance
P/E HistoryRevenue HistoryEarnings HistoryDividend HistoryTotal Return
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NWG logo

NatWest Group plc

NWG
NYSE · Diversified Banks
$17.91
At close - Sep 23, 4:00 PM EDT - USD
Market Cap$35.61B
P/E5.0x
52W High$19.42
Volume3.35M
OverviewTerminalAnalysisFinancialsValuationEarningsBreakoutsOwnership
VCP Research Verdict2026Q2

NII Growth and Efficiency Offset Rate Cut Risk

NatWest's accelerating net interest income, up 13.6% YoY to $3.5B in 2026Q2, and improved efficiency ratio of 29.0% underscore strong operational momentum. However, the bank's thin 0.5% NIM and high sensitivity to UK rate cuts pose a margin compression risk, w...

GrowthAccelerating
ProfitabilityStrong
ValuationAttractive
TechnicalsMixed
Explore valuation models
MARKET ACTION

NWG price & volume

Price trend, volume and key moving averages

Launch Terminal
Loading chart...
Decision Checklist4 Core Signals

What matters now

The signals most likely to change the investment case.

01

Earnings momentum

12/12 Beats

EPS beat 12 of last 12 quarters

02

Valuation risk

-66% Peers

P/E is 66% below peer median

03

Market leadership

RS 74 · Avg

Average momentum (RS Rating: 74)

04

Mixed Trend

Mixed

Price < 50DMA but > 200DMA

Next CatalystEstimated earnings · Oct 31
01

Build the investment case

Start with the evidence for owning the stock and the risks that can break the thesis.

EXECUTIVE THESIS

The Investment Case

Full Analysis
Fundamental Trajectory

Revenue growth is robust with NII up 13.6% YoY to $3.5B in 2026Q2, while the efficiency ratio improved to 29.0%, but NIM remains thin at 0.5% and fee income is only 15.4% of total revenue.

Analyst Consensus+1.6% target
Buy(6 analysts)
3 Buy2 Hold1 Sell

The Bull Case

Upside Catalysts

Potential Upside Over 56%

Analysts have raised price targets for NWG, signaling a potential upside of more than 56%. This reflects strong market confidence and a favorable outlook for the stock.

Robust Financial Performance & Growth

NWG has shown solid return on equity and positive net margins, with recent results indicating strong revenue and earnings growth. Management is guiding for continued growth in net interest income, underscoring the company’s solid financial health.

Dividend Growth Leader in Top 25%

NWG is a leading dividend payer, offering a competitive yield that places it in the top 25% of dividend-paying stocks. The company has a history of dividend growth and maintains a sustainable payout ratio.

The Bear Case

Key Downside Risks

Market performance

Price History →

Trailing total returns as of 9/24/2026, which may include dividends or other distributions. Benchmark is S&P 500 (^GSPC).

YTD Return
NWG+5.80%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+12.39%
1-Year Return
NWG+35.35%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+15.77%
3-Year Return
NWG+239.74%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+71.30%
5-Year Return
NWG+227.62%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+62.45%
02

Test the fundamentals

Check whether operating performance supports the current valuation.

VALUATION & INTRINSIC VALUE

Valuation Scenarios

Valuation Analysis
Trailing P/EMedian
5.0x
Forward P/E
8.9x
EV/EBITDA0th %ile
1.5x
FCF YieldCash Flow
21.5%

Valuation vs 5-Year History

Multiple Range
Metric
Current
5Y Median
Historical Range
Percentile
P/E
5.0x
4.8x
60th· Fair
EV/EBITDA
1.5x
2.5x
0th· Low
Price/FCF
4.6x
6.1x
33rd· Fair
Current Multiple
5Y Median (50th %ile)

Intrinsic Value Scenarios

DCF Projection
Bear$20.86+16.5%
Base (Fair)$35.15+88.3%
Bull$51.60+188.1%
$20.86 Bear$35.15 Base$51.60 Bull
Current Market Price: $17.91
Trades at a 49.0% discount to Base DCF ($35.15)
Open DCF & Valuation Models →Chart Terminal ↗

Growth & profitability

Annual revenue & EPS trend
Revenue
$16.61B+13.3% YoY
Net income
$5.83B+21.4% YoY
Free cash flow
$5.79B+734.3% YoY
Operating margin
26.1%+4.5 pts YoY
ROIC (TTM)5.3%
Avg ROIC 5Y-
ROE (TTM)14.2%
Piotroski Score7 / 9
Financial Statements →
03

Monitor what changed

Recent results and news deserve attention only when they alter the forward view.

OPERATING RESULTS

Recent Earnings

Earnings History
EPS Beat Rate12/12 (100%)
Revenue Beat Rate5/12 (42%)
QuarterEPS (Act vs Est)Revenue (Act vs Est)
Q3 2026Latest
Jul 31, 2026
$0.54+20.0%
vs $0.45
$6.1B+2.8%
vs $5.9B
Q2 2026
May 1, 2026
$0.48+9.1%
vs $0.44
$5.9B+2.4%
vs $5.8B
Q1 2026
Feb 13, 2026
$0.46+21.1%
vs $0.38
$5.9B+3.6%
vs $5.7B
Q4 2025
Oct 24, 2025
$0.53+26.9%
vs $0.42
$4.3B-22.3%
vs $5.6B
Historical baseline: 12 quarters analyzedGAAP / Adjusted
MARKET COVERAGE

Latest News

5 Stories
Seeking Alpha·Sep 15, 2026
NatWest Group plc (NWG) Presents at Barclays 24th Annual Global Financial Services Conference Transcript

NatWest Group plc (NWG) Presents at Barclays 24th Annual Global Financial Services Conference Transcript

Defense World·Sep 14, 2026
NatWest Group plc $NWG Shares Acquired by Engineers Gate Manager LP

Engineers Gate Manager LP increased its holdings in shares of NatWest Group plc (NYSE: NWG) by 104.6% in the second quarter, according to the company in its most recent filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission. The firm owned 175,888 shares of the company's stock after purchasing an additional 89,928 shares during the

Seeking Alpha·Sep 12, 2026
5 Relatively Secure And Cheap Dividend Stocks, Yields Up To 8% (September 2026)

This article is part of our monthly series where we highlight five large-cap, relatively safe, dividend-paying companies offering significant discounts to their historical norms. We go over our filtering process to select just five conservative DGI stocks from more than 7,500 companies that are traded on U.S. exchanges, including OTC networks. In addition to the primary list that yields 4.6%, we present two other groups of five DGI stocks each, from moderate to high yields of up to 8%.

Proactive Investors·Sep 8, 2026
JP Morgan stays overweight on European banks, names NatWest a top pick

JP Morgan has reiterated its 'overweight' rating on European banks, arguing the sector remains in what it calls a "perfect environment" for growth despite early signs of the interest rate cycle turning. Analyst Kian Abouhossein said the sector benefits from a "sweet spot" of European Central Bank rates between 2% and 3%, alongside lending momentum supported partly by artificial intelligence capital expenditure.

Filtered for NatWest Group plcMore Headlines
04

Compare before deciding

Benchmark NWG against direct peers instead of judging its metrics in isolation.

Peers Comparison

Key metrics vs top competitors for NatWest Group plc (NWG)

Full Screener →
CompanyPriceMarket CapP/E RatioRev Growth (1Y)Net MarginROEDiv Yield
NWG logoNWGNatWest Group plcCurrent
$17.91$35.61B5.0113.35%19.78%14.22%8.65%
HSBC logoHSBCHSBC Holdings plc
$100.25$344.53B16.5725.58%18.95%12.76%—
BCS logoBCSBarclays PLC
$24.29$81.9B10.19-6.28%19.76%10.1%—
LYG logoLYGLloyds Banking Group plc
$5.64$81.86B15.78157.3%7.17%9.92%—
DB logoDBDeutsche Bank AG
$35.87$67.4B10.206.86%27.87%9.38%—
ING logoINGING Groep N.V.
$35.92$103.82B14.882.26%16.53%13.08%—

Compare NWG vs Peers

NatWest Group plc (NWG) vs competitors — business, growth, and fundamentals comparison against the closest industry rivals.

Closest Rival

vs HSBC

Most directly comparable listed peer for NWG.

Scale Benchmark

vs JPM

Larger-name benchmark to compare NWG against a more recognizable public peer.

Peer Set

Compare Top 5

vs HSBC, BCS, LYG, DB

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NWG Frequently Asked Questions

NatWest Group plc (NWG) stock FAQ — growth, dividends, profitability & financials explained

Growth & Financials
How fast is NatWest Group plc growing?

NatWest Group plc (NWG) grew revenue by 13.3% over the past year. This is steady growth.

Is NWG profitable?

Yes, NatWest Group plc (NWG) is profitable, generating $6.35B in net income for fiscal year 2025 (19.8% net margin).

Dividend & Returns
Does NWG pay dividends?

Yes, NatWest Group plc (NWG) pays a dividend with a yield of 8.65%. This makes it attractive for income-focused investors.

What is NWG's return on equity?

NatWest Group plc (NWG) has a return on equity (ROE) of 14.2%. This is reasonable for most industries.

Industry Metrics
What is NatWest Group plc's net interest margin?

NatWest Group plc (NWG) has a net interest margin (NIM) of 1.8%. NIM has been under pressure due to interest rate environment.

What is NatWest Group plc's efficiency ratio?

NatWest Group plc (NWG) has an efficiency ratio of 30.2%. This is excellent, indicating strong cost control.

What if you invested $1,000 in NWG back in 1996?

Total return calculator · dividends reinvested · 30+ years of data

See returns →