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WMGWarner Music Group Corp.
$31.30$16.3B
Overview & Tools
OverviewChart Terminal ↗Visualize
Valuation & Forecasts
Valuation ModelsEstimatesDCF Model
Price & Analyst Data
Analyst TargetsPrice History
Financial Statements
Income StatementBalance SheetCash FlowRatios & Margins
Performance
P/E HistoryRevenue HistoryEarnings HistoryDividend HistoryTotal Return
Discovery & Screens
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WMG logo

Warner Music Group Corp.

WMG
NASDAQ · Music & Audio
$31.30
At close - Nov 6, 4:00 PM EST - USD
Market Cap$16.33B
P/E24.4x
52W High$35.42
Volume1.28M
OverviewTerminalAnalysisFinancialsValuationEarningsBreakoutsOwnership
VCP Research Verdict2026Q3

Margin Expansion Masks Leverage and Cash Volatility

Warner Music Group is demonstrating accelerating revenue growth (10.4% in 2026Q3) and significant operating margin expansion (16.4% vs. 10.0% a year ago), driven by disciplined SG&A control.

GrowthAccelerating
ProfitabilityModerate
ValuationAttractive
TechnicalsStrong
Explore valuation models
MARKET ACTION

WMG price & volume

Price trend, volume and key moving averages

Launch Terminal
Loading chart...
Decision Checklist4 Core Signals

What matters now

The signals most likely to change the investment case.

01

Earnings momentum

6/12 Beats

EPS beat 6 of last 12 quarters

02

Valuation risk

+17% Peers

P/E is 17% above peer median

03

Market leadership

RS 79 · Avg

Average momentum (RS Rating: 79)

04

Strong Uptrend

Strong Trend

Price > 20DMA > 50DMA > 200DMA

Next CatalystConfirmed earnings · Nov 19
01

Build the investment case

Start with the evidence for owning the stock and the risks that can break the thesis.

EXECUTIVE THESIS

The Investment Case

Full Analysis
Fundamental Trajectory

Revenue growth accelerated to 10.4% in 2026Q3, with operating margin expanding to 16.4% from 10.0% a year earlier, though net income remains volatile (swinging from -$16M to $204M).

Analyst Consensus+26.2% target
Buy(24 analysts)
16 Buy7 Hold1 Sell

The Bull Case

Upside Catalysts

Strategic partnerships and cost discipline

Warner Music Group is leveraging strategic partnerships and maintaining cost discipline to capitalize on high-margin opportunities, positioning itself for outsized returns by 2026.

Strong Q2 financial performance

The company reported higher Q2 sales and net income compared to the previous year, alongside margin expansion, indicating robust financial health.

Streaming growth above consensus

The bull case assumes continued high CAGR in streaming revenue, exceeding current consensus estimates, which could drive significant upside.

The Bear Case

Key Downside Risks

Market performance

Price History →

Trailing total returns as of 11/8/2026, which may include dividends or other distributions. Benchmark is S&P 500 (^GSPC).

YTD Return
WMG+4.73%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+7.63%
1-Year Return
WMG+7.80%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+9.69%
3-Year Return
WMG+2.70%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+66.15%
5-Year Return
WMG-27.99%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+54.44%
02

Test the fundamentals

Check whether operating performance supports the current valuation.

VALUATION & INTRINSIC VALUE

Valuation Scenarios

Valuation Analysis
Trailing P/E5Y Low
24.4x
Forward P/EExpansion
21.0x
EV/EBITDA0th %ile
14.0x
FCF YieldCash Flow
5.0%

Valuation vs 5-Year History

Multiple Range
Metric
Current
5Y Median
Historical Range
Percentile
P/E
24.4x
38.3x
20th· Low
EV/EBITDA
14.0x
17.7x
0th· Low
Price/FCF
20.1x
32.8x
0th· Low
Current Multiple
5Y Median (50th %ile)

Intrinsic Value Scenarios

DCF Projection
Bear$15.51-50.4%
Base (Fair)$36.04+15.1%
Bull$62.68+100.3%
$15.51 Bear$36.04 Base$62.68 Bull
Current Market Price: $31.30
Trades at a 13.2% discount to Base DCF ($36.04)
Open DCF & Valuation Models →Chart Terminal ↗

Growth & profitability

Annual revenue & EPS trend
Revenue FY25
$6.71B+4.4% YoY
Net income FY25
$365M-16.1% YoY
Free cash flow FY25
$539M-15.5% YoY
Operating margin FY25
10.3%-2.5 pts YoY
ROIC (FY25)11.4%
Avg ROIC 5Y14.5%
ROE (TTM)73.8%
Piotroski Score3 / 9
Financial Statements →
03

Monitor what changed

Recent results and news deserve attention only when they alter the forward view.

OPERATING RESULTS

Recent Earnings

Earnings History
EPS Beat Rate6/12 (50%)
Revenue Beat Rate10/12 (83%)
QuarterEPS (Act vs Est)Revenue (Act vs Est)
Q3 2026Latest
Aug 5, 2026
$0.38+10.6%
vs $0.34
$1.9B+3.0%
vs $1.8B
Q2 2026
May 7, 2026
$0.34+27.2%
vs $0.27
$1.7B+7.4%
vs $1.6B
Q1 2026
Feb 5, 2026
$0.33-17.5%
vs $0.40
$1.8B+3.8%
vs $1.8B
Q4 2025
Nov 20, 2025
$0.21-40.0%
vs $0.35
$1.9B+5.4%
vs $1.8B
Historical baseline: 12 quarters analyzedGAAP / Adjusted
MARKET COVERAGE

Latest News

4 Stories
24/7 Wall Street·Oct 30, 2026
Spotify Climbs 6% on Report of Paid AI Remix Service; Sirius XM Edges Higher, Warner Music and Netflix Hold Steady

On a day when the market is punishing heavy spenders on AI, Spotify (NYSE:SPOT | SPOT Price Prediction) is being rewarded for a plan to charge customers for it. Spotify stock is at $587.91, up 6% in afternoon trading.

Defense World·Oct 26, 2026
Warner Music Group Corp. $WMG Stock Sold by Robeco Institutional Asset Management B.V.

Robeco Institutional Asset Management B.V. lowered its stake in shares of Warner Music Group Corp. (NASDAQ: WMG) by 28.3% during the third quarter, according to its most recent disclosure with the Securities and Exchange Commission. The firm owned 74,893 shares of the company's stock after selling 29,528 shares during the quarter. Robeco Institutional

GuruFocus·Oct 21, 2026
Warner Music Group Corp. to Conduct Earnings Conference Call on Thursday, November 19, 2026

Warner Music Group Corp. will release its financial results on Thursday, November 19, 2026, for the fourth quarter and fiscal year ended September 30, 2026, and

Zacks Investment Research·Oct 16, 2026
Warner Music Group (WMG) Moves 6.2% Higher: Will This Strength Last?

Warner Music Group (WMG) was a big mover last session on higher-than-average trading volume. The latest trend in earnings estimate revisions might not help the stock continue moving higher in the near term.

Filtered for Warner Music Group Corp.More Headlines
04

Compare before deciding

Benchmark WMG against direct peers instead of judging its metrics in isolation.

Peers Comparison

Key metrics vs top competitors for Warner Music Group Corp. (WMG)

Full Screener →
CompanyPriceMarket CapP/E RatioRev Growth (1Y)Net MarginROEDiv Yield
WMG logoWMGWarner Music Group Corp.Current
$31.30$16.33B24.434.37%9.2%73.77%2.36%
SONY logoSONYSony Group Corporation
$27.00$159.77B-114.213.7%-1.75%-2.62%0.53%
LYV logoLYVLive Nation Entertainment, Inc.
$175.25$40.78B297.398.83%0.54%9.66%—
MMYT logoMMYTMakeMyTrip Limited
$51.10$4.81B146.256.71%3.23%——
SPOT logoSPOTSpotify Technology S.A.
$603.01$123.97B38.149.65%15.73%34.14%—
AAPL logoAAPLApple Inc.
$342.37$5.03T37.9015.06%27.6%127.61%0.31%

Compare WMG vs Peers

Warner Music Group Corp. (WMG) vs competitors — business, growth, and fundamentals comparison against the closest industry rivals.

Closest Rival

vs SONY

Most directly comparable listed peer for WMG.

Scale Benchmark

vs AAPL

Larger-name benchmark to compare WMG against a more recognizable public peer.

Peer Set

Compare Top 5

vs SONY, LYV, MMYT, SPOT

05

Keep researching

Verify the primary filings, follow material updates, and answer the remaining questions.

WMG SEC Filings & Documents

Warner Music Group Corp. (WMG) SEC filings — annual & quarterly reports (10-K, 10-Q)

8-K Announcements

6
Material company update

Aug 5, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Aug 3, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Jul 31, 2026·SEC

10-K Annual Reports

3
FY 2025

Nov 20, 2025·SEC

FY 2024

Nov 21, 2024·SEC

FY 2023

Nov 21, 2023·SEC

10-Q Quarterly Reports

6
FY 2026

Aug 5, 2026·SEC

FY 2026

May 7, 2026·SEC

FY 2026

Feb 9, 2026·SEC

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WMG Frequently Asked Questions

Warner Music Group Corp. (WMG) stock FAQ — growth, dividends, profitability & financials explained

Growth & Financials
What is Warner Music Group Corp.'s revenue?

Warner Music Group Corp. (WMG) reported $7.30B in revenue over the trailing twelve months. Revenue was $6.71B in fiscal year 2025. That is 104% more than the $3.29B of fiscal year 2002.

How fast is Warner Music Group Corp. growing?

Warner Music Group Corp. (WMG) grew revenue by 12.9% over the trailing twelve months, compared with the twelve months before.

Is WMG profitable?

Yes. Warner Music Group Corp. (WMG) earned $672.0M in net income over the trailing twelve months (a 9.2% net margin).

Dividend & Returns
Does WMG pay dividends?

Yes. Warner Music Group Corp. (WMG) pays a dividend that yields 2.36% at the current price, a moderate yield.

What is WMG's return on equity?

Warner Music Group Corp. (WMG) had a return on equity (ROE) of 73.8% over the trailing twelve months. That is well above the market's typical 10-15%.

What is Warner Music Group Corp.'s free cash flow?

Warner Music Group Corp. (WMG) generated $814.0M in free cash flow over the trailing twelve months.

What if you invested $1,000 in WMG back in 2002?

Total return calculator · dividends reinvested · 24+ years of data

See returns →