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SIRISirius XM Holdings Inc.
$32.40$10.9B
Overview & Tools
OverviewChart Terminal ↗Visualize
Valuation & Forecasts
Valuation ModelsEstimatesDCF Model
Price & Analyst Data
Analyst TargetsPrice History
Financial Statements
Income StatementBalance SheetCash FlowRatios & Margins
Performance
P/E HistoryRevenue HistoryEarnings HistoryDividend HistoryTotal Return
Discovery & Screens
Live BreakoutsStock ScreenerOwnership
SIRI logo

Sirius XM Holdings Inc.

SIRI
NASDAQ · Music & Audio
$32.40
At close - Nov 6, 4:00 PM EST - USD
Market Cap$10.91B
P/E13.1x
52W High$33.76
Volume6.7M
OverviewTerminalAnalysisFinancialsValuationEarningsBreakoutsOwnership
VCP Research Verdict2026Q3

Stable Subscription Cash Flows Offset Flat Revenue and Leverage

Sirius XM's revenue has held near $2.1B to $2.2B across the recent window with year-over-year growth between roughly -4.4% and +1.1%, suggesting a stable but non-accelerating subscriber base.

GrowthStable
ProfitabilityModerate
ValuationAttractive
TechnicalsStrong
Explore valuation models
MARKET ACTION

SIRI price & volume

Price trend, volume and key moving averages

Launch Terminal
Loading chart...
Decision Checklist4 Core Signals

What matters now

The signals most likely to change the investment case.

01

Earnings momentum

6/12 Beats

EPS beat 6 of last 12 quarters

02

Valuation risk

-42% Peers

P/E is 42% below peer median

03

Market leadership

RS 87 · Leader

High momentum (Outperforming 87% of market)

04

Strong Uptrend

Strong Trend

Price > 20DMA > 50DMA > 200DMA

Next CatalystEstimated earnings · Jan 29
01

Build the investment case

Start with the evidence for owning the stock and the risks that can break the thesis.

EXECUTIVE THESIS

The Investment Case

Full Analysis
Fundamental Trajectory

Revenue has been essentially flat near $2.1B to $2.2B while operating margin has clustered around 21% to 23% in most recent quarters, though gross margin volatility from 40.1% in 2026Q1 to 52.3% in 2026Q3 warrants scrutiny for timing effects.

Analyst Consensus+17.8% target
Buy(33 analysts)
22 Buy7 Hold4 Sell

The Bull Case

Upside Catalysts

Strong subscription model

The company's subscription model is highlighted as a key strength, with low churn rates and reliable revenue streams.

High-quality content

SiriusXM offers diverse content, including music, comedy, and sports, which attracts and retains subscribers.

Undervalued stock

The stock is considered undervalued relative to its fair value, with a strong free cash flow yield of 15%.

The Bear Case

Key Downside Risks

Market performance

Price History →

Trailing total returns as of 11/8/2026, which may include dividends or other distributions. Benchmark is S&P 500 (^GSPC).

YTD Return
SIRI+63.24%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+7.63%
1-Year Return
SIRI+54.79%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+9.69%
3-Year Return
SIRI-23.79%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+65.85%
5-Year Return
SIRI-38.35%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+54.16%
02

Test the fundamentals

Check whether operating performance supports the current valuation.

VALUATION & INTRINSIC VALUE

Valuation Scenarios

Valuation Analysis
Trailing P/E5Y Low
13.1x
Forward P/EExpansion
10.9x
EV/EBITDA25th %ile
9.0x
FCF YieldCash Flow
14.5%

Valuation vs 5-Year History

Multiple Range
Metric
Current
5Y Median
Historical Range
Percentile
P/E
13.1x
18.8x
25th· Low
EV/EBITDA
9.0x
12.6x
25th· Low
Price/FCF
6.9x
15.0x
20th· Low
Current Multiple
5Y Median (50th %ile)

Intrinsic Value Scenarios

DCF Projection
Bear$46.54+43.6%
Base (Fair)$102.33+215.8%
Bull$149.07+360.1%
$46.54 Bear$102.33 Base$149.07 Bull
Current Market Price: $32.40
Trades at a 68.3% discount to Base DCF ($102.33)
Open DCF & Valuation Models →Chart Terminal ↗

Growth & profitability

Annual revenue & EPS trend
Revenue FY25
$8.56B-1.6% YoY
Net income FY25
$805M+148.3% YoY
Free cash flow FY25
$1.25B+22.9% YoY
Operating margin FY25
17.2%+34.6 pts YoY
ROIC (FY25)5.2%
Avg ROIC 5Y11.3%
ROE (TTM)7.6%
Piotroski Score5 / 9
Financial Statements →
03

Monitor what changed

Recent results and news deserve attention only when they alter the forward view.

OPERATING RESULTS

Recent Earnings

Earnings History
EPS Beat Rate6/12 (50%)
Revenue Beat Rate5/12 (42%)
QuarterEPS (Act vs Est)Revenue (Act vs Est)
Q4 2026Latest
Oct 29, 2026
$0.78+0.9%
vs $0.77
$2.2B-0.1%
vs $2.2B
Q3 2026
Jul 30, 2026
$0.70-10.4%
vs $0.78
$2.2B+1.0%
vs $2.1B
Q2 2026
Apr 30, 2026
$0.72+2.9%
vs $0.70
$2.1B+1.0%
vs $2.1B
Q1 2026
Feb 5, 2026
$0.29-62.3%
vs $0.77
$2.2B+1.0%
vs $2.2B
Historical baseline: 12 quarters analyzedGAAP / Adjusted
MARKET COVERAGE

Latest News

4 Stories
24/7 Wall Street·Oct 30, 2026
Spotify Climbs 6% on Report of Paid AI Remix Service; Sirius XM Edges Higher, Warner Music and Netflix Hold Steady

On a day when the market is punishing heavy spenders on AI, Spotify (NYSE:SPOT | SPOT Price Prediction) is being rewarded for a plan to charge customers for it. Spotify stock is at $587.91, up 6% in afternoon trading.

Reuters·Oct 30, 2026
Fed's Barkin says US central bank's direction 'straightforward,' the question is pace, SiriusXM reports

Fed's Barkin says US central bank's direction 'straightforward,' the question is pace, SiriusXM reports

24/7 Wall Street·Oct 30, 2026
5 Dividend Stocks With November Payments. Three Go Ex-Dividend Monday

Five dividend stocks are paying out in November, but three of them stop accepting new buyers as early as today. Miss the window by even one day and the payment goes to whoever sold you the shares.

The Motley Fool·Oct 30, 2026
Sirius XM: 3 Key Takeaways for Long-Term Investors

Sirius XM raised its 2026 free cash flow guidance to $1.4 billion. Self-pay net additions reached 5,000 in the third quarter.

Filtered for Sirius XM Holdings Inc.More Headlines
04

Compare before deciding

Benchmark SIRI against direct peers instead of judging its metrics in isolation.

Peers Comparison

Key metrics vs top competitors for Sirius XM Holdings Inc. (SIRI)

Full Screener →
CompanyPriceMarket CapP/E RatioRev Growth (1Y)Net MarginROEDiv Yield
SIRI logoSIRISirius XM Holdings Inc.Current
$32.40$10.91B13.07-1.62%10.47%7.6%3.16%
IHRT logoIHRTiHeartMedia, Inc.
$1.77$230.21M-0.980.27%-7.17%——
AUDC logoAUDCAudioCodes Ltd.
$7.85$199.81M24.141.42%3.16%5.33%4.81%
SPOT logoSPOTSpotify Technology S.A.
$603.01$123.97B38.149.65%15.73%34.14%—
AAPL logoAAPLApple Inc.
$342.37$5.03T37.9015.06%27.6%127.61%0.31%
AMZN logoAMZNAmazon.com, Inc.
$259.30$2.79T21.0312.38%16.9%26.71%—

Compare SIRI vs Peers

Sirius XM Holdings Inc. (SIRI) vs competitors — business, growth, and fundamentals comparison against the closest industry rivals.

Closest Rival

vs IHRT

Most directly comparable listed peer for SIRI.

Scale Benchmark

vs AAPL

Larger-name benchmark to compare SIRI against a more recognizable public peer.

Peer Set

Compare Top 5

vs IHRT, AUDC, SPOT, AAPL

05

Keep researching

Verify the primary filings, follow material updates, and answer the remaining questions.

SIRI SEC Filings & Documents

Sirius XM Holdings Inc. (SIRI) SEC filings — annual & quarterly reports (10-K, 10-Q)

8-K Announcements

6
Material company update

Oct 29, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Jul 30, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Jul 30, 2026·SEC

10-K Annual Reports

2
FY 2026

Feb 5, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Jan 30, 2025·SEC

10-Q Quarterly Reports

6
FY 2026

Oct 29, 2026·SEC

FY 2026

Jul 30, 2026·SEC

FY 2026

Apr 30, 2026·SEC

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SIRI Frequently Asked Questions

Sirius XM Holdings Inc. (SIRI) stock FAQ — growth, dividends, profitability & financials explained

Growth & Financials
What is Sirius XM Holdings Inc.'s revenue?

Sirius XM Holdings Inc. (SIRI) reported $8.56B in revenue in fiscal year 2025, which is also its trailing twelve months.

How fast is Sirius XM Holdings Inc. growing?

Sirius XM Holdings Inc. (SIRI) grew revenue by 0.5% over the trailing twelve months, compared with the twelve months before.

Is SIRI profitable?

Yes. Sirius XM Holdings Inc. (SIRI) earned $900.0M in net income over the trailing twelve months (a 10.5% net margin).

Dividend & Returns
Does SIRI pay dividends?

Yes. Sirius XM Holdings Inc. (SIRI) pays a dividend that yields 3.16% at the current price, a moderate yield.

What is SIRI's return on equity?

Sirius XM Holdings Inc. (SIRI) had a return on equity (ROE) of 7.6% over the trailing twelve months. That is below the market's typical 10-15%.

What is Sirius XM Holdings Inc.'s free cash flow?

Sirius XM Holdings Inc. (SIRI) generated $1.58B in free cash flow over the trailing twelve months.

What if you invested $1,000 in SIRI back in 1996?

Total return calculator · dividends reinvested · 30+ years of data

See returns →