GuruFocus·6d ago
Is XEL Overvalued? DCF Says Worth $51On September 17, 2026, we conducted a DCF analysis for Xcel Energy Inc (XEL), a company currently trading at $72.71. The stock has experienced a decline of 3.8%
Xcel Energy's aggressive capital expenditure program, with net PPE expanding 27% from $53.9B in 2024Q1 to $70.1B in 2026Q1, is driving rate base growth that should support long-term earnings. However, the company's financial leverage is rising, with debt-to-eq...
Price trend, volume and key moving averages
Start with the evidence for owning the stock and the risks that can break the thesis.
Revenue growth has been uneven, with a 5.1% decline in 2026Q2, but operating margins expanded to 22.6% in 2026Q2, reflecting cost discipline and regulatory recovery.
Xcel Energy reported a 14.1% year‑over‑year revenue increase, with earnings per share meeting analyst expectations. Analysts project next‑year revenue to rise from $16.13 billion to $17.44 billion, underscoring continued financial momentum.
The company aims for 100% carbon‑free electricity by 2050 and has doubled its data‑center capacity target to 6 GW by 2027. A major clean‑energy agreement with Google further accelerates its renewable portfolio expansion.
Xcel Energy has committed $60 billion over five years to grid hardening, energy storage, and clean‑energy buildout, positioning it to meet future demand and resilience standards.
Trailing total returns as of 9/23/2026, which may include dividends or other distributions. Benchmark is S&P 500 (^GSPC).
Check whether operating performance supports the current valuation.
Recent results and news deserve attention only when they alter the forward view.
| Quarter | EPS (Act vs Est) | Revenue (Act vs Est) |
|---|---|---|
Q3 2026Latest Jul 30, 2026 | $0.93+17.7% vs $0.79 | $3.1B-12.0% vs $3.5B |
Q2 2026 Apr 30, 2026 | $0.91+0.3% vs $0.91 | $4.0B-4.5% vs $4.2B |
Q1 2026 Feb 5, 2026 | $0.96-0.2% vs $0.96 | $3.6B-1.8% vs $3.6B |
Q4 2025 Oct 30, 2025 | $1.24-6.1% vs $1.32 | $3.9B+0.6% vs $3.9B |
On September 17, 2026, we conducted a DCF analysis for Xcel Energy Inc (XEL), a company currently trading at $72.71. The stock has experienced a decline of 3.8%
Corient Private Wealth LP boosted its holdings in Xcel Energy Inc. (NASDAQ: XEL) by 38.2% in the undefined quarter, according to its most recent Form 13F filing with the SEC. The institutional investor owned 145,686 shares of the company's stock after acquiring an additional 40,239 shares during the quarter. Corient Private Wealth LP's
Bank of America Corp DE grew its stake in shares of Xcel Energy Inc. (NASDAQ: XEL) by 1.7% during the second quarter, according to the company in its most recent disclosure with the Securities and Exchange Commission. The fund owned 29,933,748 shares of the company's stock after buying an additional 491,937 shares during
Data centers are doubling their power demands almost overnight, and regulated utilities that lock in long-term supply contracts stand to collect that revenue for decades.
Benchmark XEL against direct peers instead of judging its metrics in isolation.
Key metrics vs top competitors for Xcel Energy Inc. (XEL)
| Company | Price | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | Rev Growth (1Y) | Net Margin | ROE | Div Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $72.06 | $44.98B | 21.07 | 9.14% | 13.76% | 9.36% | 3.02% | |
| $103.84 | $38.27B | 18.41 | 10.89% | 12.53% | 8.9% | — | |
| $102.83 | $33.49B | 21.29 | 13.96% | 16.69% | 11.84% | — | |
| $66.38 | $24.96B | 14.56 | 13.83% | 10.35% | 8.82% | — | |
| $125.41 | $26.1B | 17.76 | 26.95% | 8.12% | 10.78% | — | |
| $64.27 | $20.15B | 18.21 | 13.63% | 11.64% | 10.37% | — |
Xcel Energy Inc. (XEL) vs competitors — business, growth, and fundamentals comparison against the closest industry rivals.
Verify the primary filings, follow material updates, and answer the remaining questions.
Xcel Energy Inc. (XEL) SEC filings — annual & quarterly reports (10-K, 10-Q)
Jul 30, 2026·SEC
Jul 29, 2026·SEC
Jul 14, 2026·SEC
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Xcel Energy Inc. (XEL) stock FAQ — growth, dividends, profitability & financials explained
Xcel Energy Inc. (XEL) reported $14.62B in revenue for fiscal year 2025. This represents a 451% increase from $2.65B in 1996.
Xcel Energy Inc. (XEL) grew revenue by 9.1% over the past year. This is steady growth.
Yes, Xcel Energy Inc. (XEL) is profitable, generating $2.23B in net income for fiscal year 2025 (13.8% net margin).
Yes, Xcel Energy Inc. (XEL) pays a dividend with a yield of 3.02%. This makes it attractive for income-focused investors.
Xcel Energy Inc. (XEL) has a return on equity (ROE) of 9.4%. This is below average, suggesting room for improvement.
Xcel Energy Inc. (XEL) generated $1.00B in free cash flow for fiscal year 2025. Positive FCF indicates the company can fund dividends, buybacks, or reinvestment.
Xcel Energy Inc. (XEL) has a dividend payout ratio of 64%. This suggests the dividend is well-covered and sustainable.
