MODEL VERDICT
3D Systems Corporation (DDD)
Relative Valuation•Peer multiples, Monte Carlo simulation & quality-adjusted fair value
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Composite score derived from valuation, quality, and risk factors
Quantitative model thresholds · For educational and research purposes only
Each row records the model's monthly assessment. High Conviction = the model detected notable undervaluation vs peers. Neutral = no notable divergence was found. The return column shows the actual price change over 90 days for reference. This is a quantitative observation log — not investment advice.
| Date | Assessment | Score | Price | Status | 90d Fwd Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2026 | MODERATE | 0.63 | $2.36 | CURRENT | — |
| Apr 24, 2026 | MODERATE | 0.63 | $2.25 | CURRENT | — |
| Apr 17, 2026 | MODERATE | 0.63 | $2.24 | CURRENT | — |
| Mar 13, 2026 | MODERATE | 0.65 | $2.42 | Pending | -20.7% |
| Feb 21, 2026 | MODERATE | 0.63 | $2.09 | Pending | +13.4% |
Historical model observations for research purposes only. Past quantitative patterns do not predict future results. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.
| Methodology | Fair Value | vs Current | Weight | Quality | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Industry Median P/E 1 industry peers | $6.59 | +179.2% | 15% | A | Peer Data |
| EV To Revenue 4 industry peers | $5.84 | +147.5% | 4% | B | Data |
| Price / Sales 4 industry peers | $6.77 | +186.9% | 3% | B | Model Driven |
| Earnings Yield 1 industry peers | $6.74 | +185.6% | 2% | B | Data |
| Weighted Output Blended model output | $5.70 | +141.7% | 100% | 63 | SIGNIFICANTLY UNDERVALUED |
| EPS Growth ↓ | P/E Multiple → | 8× | 10× | 12× (Current) | 14× | 16× |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear Case (4%) | $2 | $2 | $2 | $3 | $3 |
| Conservative (7%) | $2 | $2 | $2 | $3 | $3 |
| Base Case (10.0%) | $2 | $2 | $3 | $3 | $3 |
| Bull Case (14%) | $2 | $2 | $3 | $3 | $3 |
Cross-sectional regression predicting expected multiples based on growth, margins, ROIC, and beta.
| Multiple | Avg | Median | Min | Max | Std |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/TBV | 3.78 | 3.42 | 1.48 | 6.03 | 1.49 |
| P/B Ratio | 2.13 | 1.94 | 1.26 | 3.23 | 0.75 |
| P/S Ratio | 1.92 | 1.69 | 0.80 | 4.42 | 1.20 |
Based on our peer multiples analysis with 9 valuation metrics, the model estimates DDD's fair value at $5.70 vs the current price of $2.36, implying +141.7% upside potential. Model verdict: Significantly Undervalued. Confidence: 63/100. This is a quantitative estimate, not a recommendation.
The blended fair value of $5.70 is calculated using four lenses: industry median multiples (40%), historical multiples (30%), forward estimates (20%), and quality-adjusted multiples (10%). Monte Carlo simulation (10,000 iterations) gives a range of $5.01 (P10) to $7.83 (P90), with a median of $6.41.
DDD's current P/E of 12.4x compares to the industry median of 34.7x (1 peers in the group). This represents a -64.2% discount to the industry. The historical average P/E is N/Ax over 0 years. Signal: Deep Discount.
36 analysts cover DDD with a consensus rating of Hold. The consensus price target is $5.00 (range: $5.00 — $5.00), implying +111.9% upside from the current price. Grade breakdown: Strong Buy (0), Buy (7), Hold (21), Sell (8), Strong Sell (0).
The model confidence score is 63/100, based on: data completeness (12), peer quality (22), historical depth (20), earnings stability (5), and model agreement (4). Cyclicality penalty: -0 points. The model shows moderate agreement across inputs.
The model flags several key risks: (1) Macro/regulatory risks are not captured in this model but remain material.
Peak earnings risk data is not available for DDD.
No. This dashboard is a quantitative research tool for educational and informational purposes only. It is not investment advice, a solicitation, or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. The operator of this platform is not a registered investment advisor (RIA), broker-dealer, or financial planner. All model outputs, fair value estimates, signals, and scenarios are the result of automated quantitative computations and should not be construed as professional financial guidance. You should consult a qualified, licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past model performance is not indicative of future results.