Packaging & Containers
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AMBP vs BALL
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Packaging & Containers
AMBP vs BALL — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Packaging & Containers | Packaging & Containers |
| Market Cap | $2.37B | $15.70B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $5.73B | $13.64B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $11M | $937M |
| Gross Margin | 10.0% | 11.0% |
| Operating Margin | 4.9% | 8.2% |
| Forward P/E | 16.0x | 14.9x |
| Total Debt | $4.42B | $7.01B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $522M | $1.21B |
AMBP vs BALL — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | Sep 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ardagh Metal Packag… (AMBP) | 100 | 39.3 | -60.7% |
| Ball Corporation (BALL) | 100 | 71.0 | -29.0% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: AMBP vs BALL
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
AMBP is the clearest fit if your priority is growth exposure.
- Rev growth 12.0%, EPS growth 59.3%, 3Y rev CAGR 5.4%
- 12.0% revenue growth vs BALL's 11.6%
- 11.0% yield, vs BALL's 1.4%
BALL carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and long-term compounding.
- Dividend streak 1 yrs, beta 0.40, yield 1.4%
- 82.6% 10Y total return vs AMBP's -44.3%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.40, current ratio 1.11x
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 12.0% revenue growth vs BALL's 11.6% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (14.9x vs 16.0x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 6.9% margin vs AMBP's 0.2% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.40 vs AMBP's 0.81 | |
| Dividends | 11.0% yield, vs BALL's 1.4% | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +21.3% vs BALL's +15.7% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 4.9% ROA vs AMBP's 0.2%, ROIC 9.4% vs 6.5% |
AMBP vs BALL — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
Segment breakdown not available.
AMBP vs BALL — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
BALL leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
BALL is the larger business by revenue, generating $13.6B annually — 2.4x AMBP's $5.7B. BALL is the more profitable business, keeping 6.9% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to AMBP's 0.2%.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $5.7B | $13.6B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $753M | $1.4B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $11M | $937M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $209M | $596M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +10.0% | +11.0% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +4.9% | +8.2% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +0.2% | +6.9% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +3.6% | +4.4% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +18.6% | +16.2% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +58.0% | +22.2% |
Valuation Metrics
AMBP leads this category, winning 4 of 5 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
On an enterprise value basis, AMBP's 8.5x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than BALL's 10.7x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $2.4B | $15.7B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $6.3B | $21.5B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | -215.76x | 17.88x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 16.03x | 14.89x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | 1.32x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 8.48x | 10.69x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 0.43x | 1.19x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | — | 3.00x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 8.95x | 19.93x |
Profitability & Efficiency
BALL leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | — | +16.1% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +0.2% | +4.9% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +6.5% | +9.4% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +6.9% | +10.4% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 6 | 6 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | — | 1.29x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $3.9B | $5.8B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $522M | $1.2B |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $4.4B | $7.0B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 1.08x | 6.99x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
Evenly matched — AMBP and BALL each lead in 3 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in BALL five years ago would be worth $6,951 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $5,413 for AMBP. Over the past 12 months, AMBP leads with a +21.3% total return vs BALL's +15.7%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors AMBP at 10.5% vs BALL's 2.1% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -1.9% | +11.0% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +21.3% | +15.7% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +35.0% | +6.4% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -45.9% | -30.5% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -44.3% | +82.6% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +10.5% | +2.1% |
Risk & Volatility
BALL leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
BALL is the less volatile stock with a 0.40 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than AMBP's 0.81 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. BALL currently trades 86.4% from its 52-week high vs AMBP's 78.9% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.81x | 0.40x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $5.03 | $68.29 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $3.29 | $44.83 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +78.9% | +86.4% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 43.9 | 32.9 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 1.5M | 2.1M |
Analyst Outlook
Evenly matched — AMBP and BALL each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates AMBP as "Hold" and BALL as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 19.1% upside for BALL (target: $70) vs 13.9% for AMBP (target: $5). For income investors, AMBP offers the higher dividend yield at 11.04% vs BALL's 1.35%.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Hold | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $4.52 | $70.25 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 6 | 23 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +11.0% | +1.4% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 0 | 1 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $0.44 | $0.80 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | +8.4% |
BALL leads in 3 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Profitability & Efficiency). AMBP leads in 1 (Valuation Metrics). 2 tied.
AMBP vs BALL: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is AMBP or BALL a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Ardagh Metal Packaging S.
A. (AMBP) is the stronger pick with 12. 0% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 11. 6% for Ball Corporation (BALL). Ball Corporation (BALL) offers the better valuation at 17. 9x trailing P/E (14. 9x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Ball Corporation (BALL) a "Buy" — based on 23 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — AMBP or BALL?
On forward P/E, Ball Corporation is actually cheaper at 14.
9x.
03Which is the better long-term investment — AMBP or BALL?
Over the past 5 years, Ball Corporation (BALL) delivered a total return of -30.
5%, compared to -45. 9% for Ardagh Metal Packaging S. A. (AMBP). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: BALL returned +82. 6% versus AMBP's -44. 3%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — AMBP or BALL?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Ball Corporation (BALL) is the lower-risk stock at 0.
40β versus Ardagh Metal Packaging S. A. 's 0. 81β — meaning AMBP is approximately 101% more volatile than BALL relative to the S&P 500.
05Which is growing faster — AMBP or BALL?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Ardagh Metal Packaging S.
A. (AMBP) is pulling ahead at 12. 0% versus 11. 6% for Ball Corporation (BALL). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Ardagh Metal Packaging S. A. grew EPS 59. 3% year-over-year, compared to -74. 6% for Ball Corporation. Over a 3-year CAGR, AMBP leads at 5. 4% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — AMBP or BALL?
Ball Corporation (BALL) is the more profitable company, earning 6.
9% net margin versus 0. 2% for Ardagh Metal Packaging S. A. — meaning it keeps 6. 9% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: BALL leads at 10. 6% versus 5. 0% for AMBP. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — BALL leads at 14. 9%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is AMBP or BALL more undervalued right now?
On forward earnings alone, Ball Corporation (BALL) trades at 14.
9x forward P/E versus 16. 0x for Ardagh Metal Packaging S. A. — 1. 1x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for BALL: 19. 1% to $70. 25.
08Which pays a better dividend — AMBP or BALL?
All stocks in this comparison pay dividends.
Ardagh Metal Packaging S. A. (AMBP) offers the highest yield at 11. 0%, versus 1. 4% for Ball Corporation (BALL).
09Is AMBP or BALL better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Ball Corporation (BALL) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0.
40), 1. 4% yield). Both have compounded well over 10 years (BALL: +82. 6%, AMBP: -44. 3%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between AMBP and BALL?
Both stocks operate in the Consumer Cyclical sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: AMBP is a small-cap income-oriented stock; BALL is a mid-cap deep-value stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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