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CEPT vs CF
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Agricultural Inputs
CEPT vs CF — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Shell Companies | Agricultural Inputs |
| Market Cap | $305M | $17.67B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $0.00 | $7.41B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $4M | $1.76B |
| Gross Margin | — | 40.4% |
| Operating Margin | — | 35.7% |
| Forward P/E | 119.7x | 7.8x |
| Total Debt | $80K | $3.95B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $0.00 | $1.98B |
CEPT vs CF — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 25 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cantor Equity Partn… (CEPT) | 100 | 104.4 | +4.4% |
| CF Industries Holdi… (CF) | 100 | 126.8 | +26.8% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: CEPT vs CF
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
In this particular matchup, CEPT is outpaced on most metrics by others in the set.
CF carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for long-term compounding.
- 325.8% 10Y total return vs CEPT's 8.0%
- Lower P/E (7.8x vs 119.7x)
- 1.7% yield; the other pay no meaningful dividend
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Value | Lower P/E (7.8x vs 119.7x) | |
| Dividends | 1.7% yield; the other pay no meaningful dividend | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +43.9% vs CEPT's +7.0% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 12.4% ROA vs CEPT's 1.5% |
CEPT vs CF — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
Segment breakdown not available.
CEPT vs CF — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
Insufficient data to determine a leader in this category.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
CF and CEPT operate at a comparable scale, with $7.4B and $0 in trailing revenue.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $0 | $7.4B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | -$337,834 | $3.5B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $4M | $1.8B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $26,572 | $1.6B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | — | +40.4% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | — | +35.7% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | — | +23.7% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | — | +21.9% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | — | +19.4% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | — | +115.1% |
Valuation Metrics
Evenly matched — CEPT and CF each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $305M | $17.7B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $305M | $19.6B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | -4275.00x | 12.82x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 119.70x | 7.79x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | 0.29x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | — | 6.02x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | — | 2.49x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | — | 2.40x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | — | 9.80x |
Profitability & Efficiency
Evenly matched — CEPT and CF each lead in 2 of 4 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), CF scores 8/9 vs CEPT's 2/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | — | +22.3% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +1.5% | +12.4% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | — | +18.7% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | — | +18.3% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 2 | 8 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | — | 0.51x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $79,900 | $2.0B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $0 | $2.0B |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $79,900 | $3.9B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | — | 16.31x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
CF leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in CF five years ago would be worth $22,598 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $10,803 for CEPT. Over the past 12 months, CF leads with a +43.9% total return vs CEPT's +7.0%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors CF at 21.3% vs CEPT's 2.6% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +6.4% | +44.1% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +7.0% | +43.9% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +8.0% | +78.6% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +8.0% | +126.0% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +8.0% | +325.8% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +2.6% | +21.3% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — CEPT and CF each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
CF is the less volatile stock with a -0.69 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than CEPT's 0.14 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. CEPT currently trades 87.1% from its 52-week high vs CF's 81.0% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.14x | -0.69x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $13.74 | $141.96 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $10.32 | $75.42 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +87.1% | +81.0% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 52.7 | 46.0 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 537K | 4.9M |
Analyst Outlook
Insufficient data to determine a leader in this category.
Analyst Outlook
CF is the only dividend payer here at 1.75% yield — a key consideration for income-focused portfolios.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | — | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | — | $108.89 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | — | 41 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | +1.7% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | — | 0 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | $2.01 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | 0.0% |
CF leads in 1 of 6 categories — strongest in Total Returns. 3 categories are tied.
CEPT vs CF: Frequently Asked Questions
9 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is CEPT or CF a better buy right now?
CF Industries Holdings, Inc.
(CF) offers the better valuation at 12. 8x trailing P/E (7. 8x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate CF Industries Holdings, Inc. (CF) a "Buy" — based on 41 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — CEPT or CF?
On forward P/E, CF Industries Holdings, Inc.
is actually cheaper at 7. 8x.
03Which is the better long-term investment — CEPT or CF?
Over the past 5 years, CF Industries Holdings, Inc.
(CF) delivered a total return of +126. 0%, compared to +8. 0% for Cantor Equity Partners II, Inc. Class A Ordinary Share (CEPT). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: CF returned +325. 8% versus CEPT's +8. 0%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — CEPT or CF?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), CF Industries Holdings, Inc.
(CF) is the lower-risk stock at -0. 69β versus Cantor Equity Partners II, Inc. Class A Ordinary Share's 0. 14β — meaning CEPT is approximately -121% more volatile than CF relative to the S&P 500.
05Which has better profit margins — CEPT or CF?
CF Industries Holdings, Inc.
(CF) is the more profitable company, earning 20. 5% net margin versus 0. 0% for Cantor Equity Partners II, Inc. Class A Ordinary Share — meaning it keeps 20. 5% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: CF leads at 33. 4% versus 0. 0% for CEPT. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — CF leads at 38. 5%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
06Is CEPT or CF more undervalued right now?
On forward earnings alone, CF Industries Holdings, Inc.
(CF) trades at 7. 8x forward P/E versus 119. 7x for Cantor Equity Partners II, Inc. Class A Ordinary Share — 111. 9x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis.
07Which pays a better dividend — CEPT or CF?
In this comparison, CF (1.
7% yield) pays a dividend. CEPT does not pay a meaningful dividend and should not be held primarily for income.
08Is CEPT or CF better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, CF Industries Holdings, Inc.
(CF) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β -0. 69), 1. 7% yield, +325. 8% 10Y return). Both have compounded well over 10 years (CF: +325. 8%, CEPT: +8. 0%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
09What are the main differences between CEPT and CF?
These companies operate in different sectors (CEPT (Financial Services) and CF (Basic Materials)), which means they face different economic cycles, regulatory environments, and macro sensitivities — making direct comparison nuanced.
In terms of investment character: CEPT is a small-cap quality compounder stock; CF is a mid-cap high-growth stock. CF pays a dividend while CEPT does not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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