Packaged Foods
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FLO vs BGS
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Packaged Foods
FLO vs BGS — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Packaged Foods | Packaged Foods |
| Market Cap | $1.82B | $430M |
| Revenue (TTM) | $5.26B | $1.83B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $84M | $-43M |
| Gross Margin | 48.1% | 21.8% |
| Operating Margin | 6.0% | 5.3% |
| Forward P/E | 10.4x | 9.6x |
| Total Debt | $2.33B | $2.00B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $12M | $56M |
FLO vs BGS — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Flowers Foods, Inc. (FLO) | 100 | 36.5 | -63.5% |
| B&G Foods, Inc. (BGS) | 100 | 23.2 | -76.8% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: FLO vs BGS
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
FLO carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and growth exposure.
- Dividend streak 19 yrs, beta 0.32, yield 11.4%
- Rev growth 3.0%, EPS growth -65.8%, 3Y rev CAGR 3.0%
- -13.0% 10Y total return vs BGS's -53.1%
BGS is the clearest fit if your priority is value and momentum.
- Lower P/E (9.6x vs 10.4x)
- -2.7% vs FLO's -44.8%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 3.0% revenue growth vs BGS's -5.4% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (9.6x vs 10.4x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 1.6% margin vs BGS's -2.4% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.32 vs BGS's 0.40, lower leverage | |
| Dividends | 11.4% yield; 19-year raise streak; the other pay no meaningful dividend | |
| Momentum (1Y) | -2.7% vs FLO's -44.8% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 2.0% ROA vs BGS's -1.5%, ROIC 8.1% vs 2.9% |
FLO vs BGS — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
FLO vs BGS — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
FLO leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
FLO is the larger business by revenue, generating $5.3B annually — 2.9x BGS's $1.8B. Profitability is closely matched — net margins range from 1.6% (FLO) to -2.4% (BGS). On growth, FLO holds the edge at +11.0% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $5.3B | $1.8B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $482M | $157M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $84M | -$43M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $329M | $79M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +48.1% | +21.8% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +6.0% | +5.3% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +1.6% | -2.4% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +6.3% | +4.3% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +11.0% | -2.2% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -2.6% | +93.2% |
Valuation Metrics
BGS leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
On an enterprise value basis, FLO's 8.1x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than BGS's 24.4x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $1.8B | $430M |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $4.1B | $2.4B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 21.55x | -9.96x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 10.37x | 9.57x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 8.08x | 24.45x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 0.35x | 0.24x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 1.40x | 0.95x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 5.70x | 6.08x |
Profitability & Efficiency
FLO leads this category, winning 6 of 8 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
FLO delivers a 6.4% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $6 in annual profit, vs $-9 for BGS. FLO carries lower financial leverage with a 1.79x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to BGS's 4.42x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +6.4% | -8.9% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +2.0% | -1.5% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +8.1% | +2.9% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +11.4% | +3.6% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 4 | 4 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 1.79x | 4.42x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $2.3B | $1.9B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $12M | $56M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $2.3B | $2.0B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 4.52x | 0.67x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
BGS leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in FLO five years ago would be worth $5,355 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $3,674 for BGS. Over the past 12 months, BGS leads with a -2.7% total return vs FLO's -44.8%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors BGS at -20.7% vs FLO's -26.2% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -17.8% | +32.6% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | -44.8% | -2.7% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -59.7% | -50.1% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -46.5% | -63.3% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -13.0% | -53.1% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | -26.2% | -20.7% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — FLO and BGS each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
FLO is the less volatile stock with a 0.32 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than BGS's 0.40 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. BGS currently trades 83.2% from its 52-week high vs FLO's 48.8% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.32x | 0.40x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $17.68 | $6.47 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $7.86 | $3.67 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +48.8% | +83.2% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 49.1 | 54.5 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 5.0M | 2.0M |
Analyst Outlook
FLO leads this category, winning 1 of 1 comparable metric.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates FLO as "Hold" and BGS as "Hold". Consensus price targets imply 16.0% upside for FLO (target: $10) vs 2.2% for BGS (target: $6). FLO is the only dividend payer here at 11.45% yield — a key consideration for income-focused portfolios.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Hold | Hold |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $10.00 | $5.50 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 20 | 17 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +11.4% | — |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 19 | 1 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $0.99 | — |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +0.3% | 0.0% |
FLO leads in 3 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Profitability & Efficiency). BGS leads in 2 (Valuation Metrics, Total Returns). 1 tied.
FLO vs BGS: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is FLO or BGS a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Flowers Foods, Inc.
(FLO) is the stronger pick with 3. 0% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -5. 4% for B&G Foods, Inc. (BGS). Flowers Foods, Inc. (FLO) offers the better valuation at 21. 6x trailing P/E (10. 4x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Flowers Foods, Inc. (FLO) a "Hold" — based on 20 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — FLO or BGS?
On forward P/E, B&G Foods, Inc.
is actually cheaper at 9. 6x — notably different from the trailing picture, reflecting expected earnings growth.
03Which is the better long-term investment — FLO or BGS?
Over the past 5 years, Flowers Foods, Inc.
(FLO) delivered a total return of -46. 5%, compared to -63. 3% for B&G Foods, Inc. (BGS). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: FLO returned -13. 0% versus BGS's -53. 1%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — FLO or BGS?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Flowers Foods, Inc.
(FLO) is the lower-risk stock at 0. 32β versus B&G Foods, Inc. 's 0. 40β — meaning BGS is approximately 25% more volatile than FLO relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Flowers Foods, Inc. (FLO) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 179% versus 4% for B&G Foods, Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — FLO or BGS?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Flowers Foods, Inc.
(FLO) is pulling ahead at 3. 0% versus -5. 4% for B&G Foods, Inc. (BGS). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: B&G Foods, Inc. grew EPS 83. 0% year-over-year, compared to -65. 8% for Flowers Foods, Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, FLO leads at 3. 0% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — FLO or BGS?
Flowers Foods, Inc.
(FLO) is the more profitable company, earning 1. 6% net margin versus -2. 4% for B&G Foods, Inc. — meaning it keeps 1. 6% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: FLO leads at 6. 6% versus 5. 3% for BGS. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — FLO leads at 45. 7%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is FLO or BGS more undervalued right now?
On forward earnings alone, B&G Foods, Inc.
(BGS) trades at 9. 6x forward P/E versus 10. 4x for Flowers Foods, Inc. — 0. 8x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for FLO: 16. 0% to $10. 00.
08Which pays a better dividend — FLO or BGS?
In this comparison, FLO (11.
4% yield) pays a dividend. BGS does not pay a meaningful dividend and should not be held primarily for income.
09Is FLO or BGS better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Flowers Foods, Inc.
(FLO) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0. 32), 11. 4% yield). Both have compounded well over 10 years (FLO: -13. 0%, BGS: -53. 1%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between FLO and BGS?
Both stocks operate in the Consumer Defensive sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: FLO is a small-cap income-oriented stock; BGS is a small-cap quality compounder stock. FLO pays a dividend while BGS does not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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