Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
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HPK vs MTDR
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
HPK vs MTDR — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Oil & Gas Exploration & Production | Oil & Gas Exploration & Production |
| Market Cap | $706M | $6.90B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $813M | $3.36B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $19M | $483M |
| Gross Margin | 22.5% | 102.0% |
| Operating Margin | 18.5% | 26.3% |
| Forward P/E | 43.0x | 7.7x |
| Total Debt | $1.19B | $3.55B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $162M | $79M |
HPK vs MTDR — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| HighPeak Energy, In… (HPK) | 100 | 51.3 | -48.7% |
| Matador Resources C… (MTDR) | 100 | 708.8 | +608.8% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: HPK vs MTDR
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
HPK is the clearest fit if your priority is defensive.
- Beta 0.25, yield 3.3%, current ratio 1.13x
- 3.3% yield, 3-year raise streak, vs MTDR's 2.4%
MTDR carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and growth exposure.
- Dividend streak 5 yrs, beta 0.06, yield 2.4%
- Rev growth 5.1%, EPS growth -14.7%, 3Y rev CAGR 6.1%
- 201.8% 10Y total return vs HPK's -35.7%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 5.1% revenue growth vs HPK's -19.3% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (7.7x vs 43.0x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 14.4% margin vs HPK's 2.3% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.06 vs HPK's 0.25, lower leverage | |
| Dividends | 3.3% yield, 3-year raise streak, vs MTDR's 2.4% | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +42.2% vs HPK's -29.7% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 4.1% ROA vs HPK's 0.6%, ROIC 10.5% vs 4.3% |
HPK vs MTDR — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
HPK vs MTDR — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
MTDR leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
MTDR is the larger business by revenue, generating $3.4B annually — 4.1x HPK's $813M. MTDR is the more profitable business, keeping 14.4% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to HPK's 2.3%. On growth, HPK holds the edge at -29.4% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $813M | $3.4B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $572M | $2.1B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $19M | $483M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $46M | $518M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +22.5% | +102.0% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +18.5% | +26.3% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +2.3% | +14.4% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +5.6% | +15.4% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -29.4% | -33.2% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -4.3% | -115.1% |
Valuation Metrics
HPK leads this category, winning 3 of 4 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 9.1x trailing earnings, MTDR trades at a 79% valuation discount to HPK's 43.0x P/E. On an enterprise value basis, HPK's 3.0x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than MTDR's 4.3x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $706M | $6.9B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $1.7B | $10.4B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 43.00x | 9.12x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | — | 7.72x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 3.03x | 4.34x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 0.82x | 1.89x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 0.44x | 1.15x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | — | 28.57x |
Profitability & Efficiency
MTDR leads this category, winning 6 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
MTDR delivers a 8.2% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $8 in annual profit, vs $1 for HPK. MTDR carries lower financial leverage with a 0.59x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to HPK's 0.75x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), HPK scores 5/9 vs MTDR's 3/9, reflecting solid financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +1.2% | +8.2% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +0.6% | +4.1% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +4.3% | +10.5% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +5.1% | +11.5% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 5 | 3 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.75x | 0.59x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $1.0B | $3.5B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $162M | $79M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $1.2B | $3.5B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 1.01x | 7.88x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
MTDR leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in MTDR five years ago would be worth $20,548 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $6,428 for HPK. Over the past 12 months, MTDR leads with a +42.2% total return vs HPK's -29.7%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors MTDR at 9.1% vs HPK's -28.6% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +25.1% | +29.0% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | -29.7% | +42.2% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -63.7% | +29.9% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -35.7% | +105.5% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -35.7% | +201.8% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | -28.6% | +9.1% |
Risk & Volatility
MTDR leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
MTDR is the less volatile stock with a 0.06 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than HPK's 0.25 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. MTDR currently trades 83.1% from its 52-week high vs HPK's 46.6% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.25x | 0.06x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $12.00 | $66.84 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $3.85 | $37.14 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +46.6% | +83.1% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 46.8 | 43.6 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 1.1M | 1.8M |
Analyst Outlook
Evenly matched — HPK and MTDR each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates HPK as "Buy" and MTDR as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 114.7% upside for HPK (target: $12) vs 22.9% for MTDR (target: $68). For income investors, HPK offers the higher dividend yield at 3.29% vs MTDR's 2.36%.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $12.00 | $68.29 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 4 | 42 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +3.3% | +2.4% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 3 | 5 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $0.18 | $1.31 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | +0.8% |
MTDR leads in 4 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Profitability & Efficiency). HPK leads in 1 (Valuation Metrics). 1 tied.
HPK vs MTDR: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is HPK or MTDR a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Matador Resources Company (MTDR) is the stronger pick with 5.
1% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -19. 3% for HighPeak Energy, Inc. (HPK). Matador Resources Company (MTDR) offers the better valuation at 9. 1x trailing P/E (7. 7x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate HighPeak Energy, Inc. (HPK) a "Buy" — based on 4 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — HPK or MTDR?
On trailing P/E, Matador Resources Company (MTDR) is the cheapest at 9.
1x versus HighPeak Energy, Inc. at 43. 0x.
03Which is the better long-term investment — HPK or MTDR?
Over the past 5 years, Matador Resources Company (MTDR) delivered a total return of +105.
5%, compared to -35. 7% for HighPeak Energy, Inc. (HPK). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: MTDR returned +201. 8% versus HPK's -35. 7%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — HPK or MTDR?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Matador Resources Company (MTDR) is the lower-risk stock at 0.
06β versus HighPeak Energy, Inc. 's 0. 25β — meaning HPK is approximately 301% more volatile than MTDR relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Matador Resources Company (MTDR) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 59% versus 75% for HighPeak Energy, Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — HPK or MTDR?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Matador Resources Company (MTDR) is pulling ahead at 5.
1% versus -19. 3% for HighPeak Energy, Inc. (HPK). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Matador Resources Company grew EPS -14. 7% year-over-year, compared to -80. 6% for HighPeak Energy, Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, MTDR leads at 6. 1% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — HPK or MTDR?
Matador Resources Company (MTDR) is the more profitable company, earning 20.
8% net margin versus 2. 2% for HighPeak Energy, Inc. — meaning it keeps 20. 8% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: MTDR leads at 32. 5% versus 17. 4% for HPK. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — MTDR leads at 43. 7%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is HPK or MTDR more undervalued right now?
Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for HPK: 114.
7% to $12. 00.
08Which pays a better dividend — HPK or MTDR?
All stocks in this comparison pay dividends.
HighPeak Energy, Inc. (HPK) offers the highest yield at 3. 3%, versus 2. 4% for Matador Resources Company (MTDR).
09Is HPK or MTDR better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Matador Resources Company (MTDR) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0.
06), 2. 4% yield, +201. 8% 10Y return). Both have compounded well over 10 years (MTDR: +201. 8%, HPK: -35. 7%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between HPK and MTDR?
Both stocks operate in the Energy sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: HPK is a small-cap income-oriented stock; MTDR is a small-cap deep-value stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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