Airlines, Airports & Air Services
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JBLU vs ULCC
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Airlines, Airports & Air Services
JBLU vs ULCC — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Airlines, Airports & Air Services | Airlines, Airports & Air Services |
| Market Cap | $1.91B | $1.25B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $9.16B | $3.80B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $-713M | $-366M |
| Gross Margin | 39.7% | 31.2% |
| Operating Margin | -4.6% | -11.4% |
| Total Debt | $10.26B | $5.46B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $2.05B | $671M |
JBLU vs ULCC — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | Apr 21 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| JetBlue Airways Cor… (JBLU) | 100 | 25.2 | -74.8% |
| Frontier Group Hold… (ULCC) | 100 | 25.8 | -74.2% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: JBLU vs ULCC
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
JBLU carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and sleep-well-at-night.
- beta 2.11
- Lower volatility, beta 2.11, current ratio 0.74x
- Beta 2.11, current ratio 0.74x
ULCC is the clearest fit if your priority is growth exposure and long-term compounding.
- Rev growth -1.4%, EPS growth -257.9%, 3Y rev CAGR 3.8%
- -71.2% 10Y total return vs JBLU's -73.6%
- -1.4% revenue growth vs JBLU's -2.3%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | -1.4% revenue growth vs JBLU's -2.3% | |
| Quality / Margins | -7.8% margin vs ULCC's -9.6% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 2.11 vs ULCC's 2.84, lower leverage | |
| Dividends | Tie | Neither stock pays a meaningful dividend |
| Momentum (1Y) | +55.6% vs JBLU's +15.0% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | -4.1% ROA vs ULCC's -5.3%, ROIC -2.7% vs -2.3% |
JBLU vs ULCC — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
JBLU vs ULCC — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
JBLU leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
JBLU is the larger business by revenue, generating $9.2B annually — 2.4x ULCC's $3.8B. Profitability is closely matched — net margins range from -7.8% (JBLU) to -9.6% (ULCC). On growth, ULCC holds the edge at +8.8% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $9.2B | $3.8B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $281M | -$300M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | -$713M | -$366M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | -$950M | -$481M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +39.7% | +31.2% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | -4.6% | -11.4% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | -7.8% | -9.6% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | -10.4% | -12.6% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +4.7% | +8.8% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -47.5% | -5.2% |
Valuation Metrics
JBLU leads this category, winning 2 of 3 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $1.9B | $1.2B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $10.1B | $6.0B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | -3.09x | -9.05x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | — | — |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 31.62x | — |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 0.21x | 0.34x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 0.89x | 2.54x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | — | — |
Profitability & Efficiency
JBLU leads this category, winning 6 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
JBLU delivers a -33.1% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $-33 in annual profit, vs $-89 for ULCC. JBLU carries lower financial leverage with a 4.84x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to ULCC's 11.13x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), JBLU scores 3/9 vs ULCC's 0/9, reflecting mixed financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | -33.1% | -88.6% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | -4.1% | -5.3% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | -2.7% | -2.3% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | -2.7% | -3.2% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 3 | 0 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 4.84x | 11.13x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $8.2B | $4.8B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $2.0B | $671M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $10.3B | $5.5B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | -0.45x | -29.29x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
ULCC leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in ULCC five years ago would be worth $2,633 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $2,623 for JBLU. Over the past 12 months, ULCC leads with a +55.6% total return vs JBLU's +15.0%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors JBLU at -10.1% vs ULCC's -12.5% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +11.8% | +18.8% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +15.0% | +55.6% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -27.4% | -33.0% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -73.8% | -73.7% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -73.6% | -71.2% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | -10.1% | -12.5% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — JBLU and ULCC each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
JBLU is the less volatile stock with a 2.11 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than ULCC's 2.84 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 2.11x | 2.84x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $6.50 | $6.66 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $3.84 | $3.02 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +78.9% | +81.5% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 51.5 | 65.4 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 27.4M | 5.8M |
Analyst Outlook
Insufficient data to determine a leader in this category.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates JBLU as "Hold" and ULCC as "Hold". Consensus price targets imply 22.8% upside for ULCC (target: $7) vs 20.3% for JBLU (target: $6).
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Hold | Hold |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $6.17 | $6.67 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 36 | 13 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | — |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | — | 0 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | — |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +0.4% | 0.0% |
JBLU leads in 3 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Valuation Metrics). ULCC leads in 1 (Total Returns). 1 tied.
JBLU vs ULCC: Frequently Asked Questions
8 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is JBLU or ULCC a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Frontier Group Holdings, Inc.
(ULCC) is the stronger pick with -1. 4% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -2. 3% for JetBlue Airways Corporation (JBLU). Analysts rate JetBlue Airways Corporation (JBLU) a "Hold" — based on 36 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which is the better long-term investment — JBLU or ULCC?
Over the past 5 years, Frontier Group Holdings, Inc.
(ULCC) delivered a total return of -73. 7%, compared to -73. 8% for JetBlue Airways Corporation (JBLU). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: ULCC returned -71. 2% versus JBLU's -73. 6%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
03Which is safer — JBLU or ULCC?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), JetBlue Airways Corporation (JBLU) is the lower-risk stock at 2.
11β versus Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. 's 2. 84β — meaning ULCC is approximately 35% more volatile than JBLU relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, JetBlue Airways Corporation (JBLU) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 5% versus 11% for Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
04Which is growing faster — JBLU or ULCC?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Frontier Group Holdings, Inc.
(ULCC) is pulling ahead at -1. 4% versus -2. 3% for JetBlue Airways Corporation (JBLU). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: JetBlue Airways Corporation grew EPS 27. 5% year-over-year, compared to -257. 9% for Frontier Group Holdings, Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, ULCC leads at 3. 8% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
05Which has better profit margins — JBLU or ULCC?
Frontier Group Holdings, Inc.
(ULCC) is the more profitable company, earning -3. 7% net margin versus -6. 6% for JetBlue Airways Corporation — meaning it keeps -3. 7% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: ULCC leads at -4. 0% versus -4. 1% for JBLU. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — ULCC leads at 35. 5%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
06Which pays a better dividend — JBLU or ULCC?
None of the stocks in this comparison currently pay a material dividend.
All are effectively zero-yield and should be held for capital appreciation rather than income.
07Is JBLU or ULCC better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Frontier Group Holdings, Inc.
(ULCC) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding. JetBlue Airways Corporation (JBLU) carries a higher beta of 2. 11 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (ULCC: -71. 2%, JBLU: -73. 6%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
08What are the main differences between JBLU and ULCC?
Both stocks operate in the Industrials sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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