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OPAL vs GEVO
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Chemicals - Specialty
OPAL vs GEVO — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Regulated Gas | Chemicals - Specialty |
| Market Cap | $54M | $493M |
| Revenue (TTM) | $349M | $174M |
| Net Income (TTM) | $15M | $-11M |
| Gross Margin | 28.1% | 23.4% |
| Operating Margin | 1.4% | -4.6% |
| Forward P/E | 15.6x | — |
| Total Debt | $365M | $168M |
| Cash & Equiv. | $24M | $1M |
OPAL vs GEVO — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 21 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| OPAL Fuels Inc. (OPAL) | 100 | 24.0 | -76.0% |
| Gevo, Inc. (GEVO) | 100 | 26.9 | -73.1% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: OPAL vs GEVO
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
OPAL carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and long-term compounding.
- Dividend streak 0 yrs, beta 1.58, yield 15.3%
- -76.1% 10Y total return vs GEVO's -98.6%
- Lower volatility, beta 1.58, Low D/E 73.4%, current ratio 1.18x
GEVO is the clearest fit if your priority is growth exposure.
- Rev growth 8.5%, EPS growth 58.8%, 3Y rev CAGR 415.1%
- 8.5% revenue growth vs OPAL's 16.3%
- +88.0% vs OPAL's -0.4%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 8.5% revenue growth vs OPAL's 16.3% | |
| Quality / Margins | 4.2% margin vs GEVO's -6.6% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 1.58 vs GEVO's 1.64 | |
| Dividends | 15.3% yield; the other pay no meaningful dividend | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +88.0% vs OPAL's -0.4% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 1.6% ROA vs GEVO's -1.7%, ROIC 0.5% vs -2.8% |
OPAL vs GEVO — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
OPAL vs GEVO — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
OPAL leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
OPAL is the larger business by revenue, generating $349M annually — 2.0x GEVO's $174M. OPAL is the more profitable business, keeping 4.2% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to GEVO's -6.6%. On growth, GEVO holds the edge at +47.5% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $349M | $174M |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $28M | $18M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $15M | -$11M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | -$34M | -$35M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +28.1% | +23.4% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +1.4% | -4.6% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +4.2% | -6.6% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | -9.8% | -19.9% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +24.7% | +47.5% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +2.7% | +3.8% |
Valuation Metrics
OPAL leads this category, winning 3 of 4 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
On an enterprise value basis, OPAL's 14.0x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than GEVO's 102.1x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $54M | $493M |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $395M | $659M |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 15.60x | -14.50x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | — | — |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 14.03x | 102.12x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 0.15x | 3.07x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 0.14x | 1.01x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | — | — |
Profitability & Efficiency
OPAL leads this category, winning 6 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
OPAL delivers a 3.1% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $3 in annual profit, vs $-2 for GEVO. GEVO carries lower financial leverage with a 0.36x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to OPAL's 0.73x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), OPAL scores 5/9 vs GEVO's 4/9, reflecting solid financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +3.1% | -2.4% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +1.6% | -1.7% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +0.5% | -2.8% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +0.6% | -3.1% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 5 | 4 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.73x | 0.36x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $341M | $166M |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $24M | $1M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $365M | $168M |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 0.18x | -0.04x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
GEVO leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in GEVO five years ago would be worth $3,476 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $2,388 for OPAL. Over the past 12 months, GEVO leads with a +88.0% total return vs OPAL's -0.4%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors GEVO at 18.2% vs OPAL's -29.2% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -1.7% | -1.5% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | -0.4% | +88.0% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -64.5% | +65.0% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -76.1% | -65.2% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -76.1% | -98.6% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | -29.2% | +18.2% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — OPAL and GEVO each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
OPAL is the less volatile stock with a 1.58 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than GEVO's 1.64 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. GEVO currently trades 68.4% from its 52-week high vs OPAL's 57.4% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 1.58x | 1.64x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $4.08 | $2.97 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $1.65 | $1.01 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +57.4% | +68.4% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 48.0 | 53.5 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 198K | 4.5M |
Analyst Outlook
Insufficient data to determine a leader in this category.
Analyst Outlook
OPAL is the only dividend payer here at 15.29% yield — a key consideration for income-focused portfolios.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | — | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | — | $3.50 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | — | 14 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +15.3% | — |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 0 | — |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $0.36 | — |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | 0.0% |
OPAL leads in 3 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Valuation Metrics). GEVO leads in 1 (Total Returns). 1 tied.
OPAL vs GEVO: Frequently Asked Questions
8 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is OPAL or GEVO a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Gevo, Inc.
(GEVO) is the stronger pick with 849. 3% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 16. 3% for OPAL Fuels Inc. (OPAL). OPAL Fuels Inc. (OPAL) offers the better valuation at 15. 6x trailing P/E, making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Gevo, Inc. (GEVO) a "Buy" — based on 14 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which is the better long-term investment — OPAL or GEVO?
Over the past 5 years, Gevo, Inc.
(GEVO) delivered a total return of -65. 2%, compared to -76. 1% for OPAL Fuels Inc. (OPAL). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: OPAL returned -76. 1% versus GEVO's -98. 6%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
03Which is safer — OPAL or GEVO?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), OPAL Fuels Inc.
(OPAL) is the lower-risk stock at 1. 58β versus Gevo, Inc. 's 1. 64β — meaning GEVO is approximately 4% more volatile than OPAL relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Gevo, Inc. (GEVO) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 36% versus 73% for OPAL Fuels Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
04Which is growing faster — OPAL or GEVO?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Gevo, Inc.
(GEVO) is pulling ahead at 849. 3% versus 16. 3% for OPAL Fuels Inc. (OPAL). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: OPAL Fuels Inc. grew EPS 638. 9% year-over-year, compared to 58. 8% for Gevo, Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, GEVO leads at 415. 1% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
05Which has better profit margins — OPAL or GEVO?
OPAL Fuels Inc.
(OPAL) is the more profitable company, earning 1. 2% net margin versus -21. 1% for Gevo, Inc. — meaning it keeps 1. 2% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: OPAL leads at 1. 4% versus -11. 7% for GEVO. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — GEVO leads at 30. 2%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
06Which pays a better dividend — OPAL or GEVO?
In this comparison, OPAL (15.
3% yield) pays a dividend. GEVO does not pay a meaningful dividend and should not be held primarily for income.
07Is OPAL or GEVO better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, OPAL Fuels Inc.
(OPAL) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (15. 3% yield). Gevo, Inc. (GEVO) carries a higher beta of 1. 64 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (OPAL: -76. 1%, GEVO: -98. 6%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
08What are the main differences between OPAL and GEVO?
These companies operate in different sectors (OPAL (Utilities) and GEVO (Basic Materials)), which means they face different economic cycles, regulatory environments, and macro sensitivities — making direct comparison nuanced.
OPAL pays a dividend while GEVO does not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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