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RXO vs HUBG
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Integrated Freight & Logistics
RXO vs HUBG — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Trucking | Integrated Freight & Logistics |
| Market Cap | $3.23B | $2.62B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $5.74B | $3.73B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $-100M | $105M |
| Gross Margin | 17.2% | 48.7% |
| Operating Margin | -0.6% | 3.8% |
| Forward P/E | — | 26.2x |
| Total Debt | $861M | $509M |
| Cash & Equiv. | $18M | $98M |
RXO vs HUBG — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | Oct 22 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| RXO, Inc. (RXO) | 100 | 93.4 | -6.6% |
| Hub Group, Inc. (HUBG) | 100 | 113.0 | +13.0% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: RXO vs HUBG
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
RXO is the clearest fit if your priority is growth exposure.
- Rev growth 26.2%, EPS growth 72.8%, 3Y rev CAGR 6.2%
- 26.2% revenue growth vs HUBG's -6.1%
- +42.6% vs HUBG's +39.8%
HUBG carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and long-term compounding.
- Dividend streak 1 yrs, beta 1.21, yield 1.1%
- 126.4% 10Y total return vs RXO's -6.6%
- Lower volatility, beta 1.21, Low D/E 30.1%, current ratio 1.33x
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 26.2% revenue growth vs HUBG's -6.1% | |
| Quality / Margins | 2.8% margin vs RXO's -1.7% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 1.21 vs RXO's 2.74, lower leverage | |
| Dividends | 1.1% yield; 1-year raise streak; the other pay no meaningful dividend | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +42.6% vs HUBG's +39.8% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 3.7% ROA vs RXO's -3.1%, ROIC 5.1% vs -0.2% |
RXO vs HUBG — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
RXO vs HUBG — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
HUBG leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
RXO is the larger business by revenue, generating $5.7B annually — 1.5x HUBG's $3.7B. Profitability is closely matched — net margins range from 2.8% (HUBG) to -1.7% (RXO). On growth, HUBG holds the edge at -5.3% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $5.7B | $3.7B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $79M | $331M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | -$100M | $105M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | -$8M | $113M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +17.2% | +48.7% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | -0.6% | +3.8% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | -1.7% | +2.8% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | -0.1% | +3.0% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -11.9% | -5.3% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -80.0% | +20.5% |
Valuation Metrics
Evenly matched — RXO and HUBG each lead in 2 of 4 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
On an enterprise value basis, HUBG's 9.1x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than RXO's 37.4x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $3.2B | $2.6B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $4.1B | $3.0B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | -33.25x | 25.43x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | — | 26.22x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | 20.85x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 37.38x | 9.10x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 0.56x | 0.66x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 2.14x | 1.56x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | — | 18.24x |
Profitability & Efficiency
HUBG leads this category, winning 9 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
HUBG delivers a 6.1% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $6 in annual profit, vs $-6 for RXO. HUBG carries lower financial leverage with a 0.30x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to RXO's 0.56x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), HUBG scores 7/9 vs RXO's 6/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | -6.4% | +6.1% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | -3.1% | +3.7% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | -0.2% | +5.1% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | -0.3% | +6.1% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 6 | 7 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.56x | 0.30x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $843M | $410M |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $18M | $98M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $861M | $509M |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | -2.63x | 11.77x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
HUBG leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in HUBG five years ago would be worth $12,724 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $9,343 for RXO. Over the past 12 months, RXO leads with a +42.6% total return vs HUBG's +39.8%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors HUBG at 6.5% vs RXO's 0.5% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +52.8% | +1.4% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +42.6% | +39.8% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +1.4% | +20.8% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -6.6% | +27.2% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -6.6% | +126.4% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +0.5% | +6.5% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — RXO and HUBG each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
HUBG is the less volatile stock with a 1.21 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than RXO's 2.74 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. RXO currently trades 96.3% from its 52-week high vs HUBG's 81.2% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 2.74x | 1.21x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $20.38 | $53.26 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $10.43 | $30.75 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +96.3% | +81.2% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 54.3 | 53.0 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 1.8M | 723K |
Analyst Outlook
Insufficient data to determine a leader in this category.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates RXO as "Hold" and HUBG as "Hold". Consensus price targets imply 2.5% upside for HUBG (target: $44) vs -18.5% for RXO (target: $16). HUBG is the only dividend payer here at 1.15% yield — a key consideration for income-focused portfolios.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Hold | Hold |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $16.00 | $44.33 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 20 | 31 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | +1.1% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | — | 1 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | $0.49 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +0.0% | +3.0% |
HUBG leads in 3 of 6 categories — strongest in Income & Cash Flow and Profitability & Efficiency. 2 categories are tied.
RXO vs HUBG: Frequently Asked Questions
9 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is RXO or HUBG a better buy right now?
For growth investors, RXO, Inc.
(RXO) is the stronger pick with 26. 2% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -6. 1% for Hub Group, Inc. (HUBG). Hub Group, Inc. (HUBG) offers the better valuation at 25. 4x trailing P/E (26. 2x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate RXO, Inc. (RXO) a "Hold" — based on 20 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which is the better long-term investment — RXO or HUBG?
Over the past 5 years, Hub Group, Inc.
(HUBG) delivered a total return of +27. 2%, compared to -6. 6% for RXO, Inc. (RXO). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: HUBG returned +122. 3% versus RXO's -6. 6%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
03Which is safer — RXO or HUBG?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Hub Group, Inc.
(HUBG) is the lower-risk stock at 1. 21β versus RXO, Inc. 's 2. 74β — meaning RXO is approximately 126% more volatile than HUBG relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Hub Group, Inc. (HUBG) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 30% versus 56% for RXO, Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
04Which is growing faster — RXO or HUBG?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), RXO, Inc.
(RXO) is pulling ahead at 26. 2% versus -6. 1% for Hub Group, Inc. (HUBG). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: RXO, Inc. grew EPS 72. 8% year-over-year, compared to -35. 1% for Hub Group, Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, RXO leads at 6. 2% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
05Which has better profit margins — RXO or HUBG?
Hub Group, Inc.
(HUBG) is the more profitable company, earning 2. 6% net margin versus -1. 7% for RXO, Inc. — meaning it keeps 2. 6% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: HUBG leads at 3. 6% versus -0. 1% for RXO. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — HUBG leads at 85. 4%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
06Is RXO or HUBG more undervalued right now?
Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for HUBG: 2.
5% to $44. 33.
07Which pays a better dividend — RXO or HUBG?
In this comparison, HUBG (1.
1% yield) pays a dividend. RXO does not pay a meaningful dividend and should not be held primarily for income.
08Is RXO or HUBG better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Hub Group, Inc.
(HUBG) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 1. 21), 1. 1% yield, +122. 3% 10Y return). RXO, Inc. (RXO) carries a higher beta of 2. 74 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (HUBG: +122. 3%, RXO: -6. 6%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
09What are the main differences between RXO and HUBG?
Both stocks operate in the Industrials sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: RXO is a small-cap high-growth stock; HUBG is a small-cap quality compounder stock. HUBG pays a dividend while RXO does not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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