Aerospace & Defense
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SPR vs TDG vs HXL
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Aerospace & Defense
Aerospace & Defense
SPR vs TDG vs HXL — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Industry | Aerospace & Defense | Aerospace & Defense | Aerospace & Defense |
| Market Cap | $4.64B | $70.14B | $7.22B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $6.39B | $9.11B | $1.93B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $-2.60B | $1.97B | $118M |
| Gross Margin | -27.7% | 59.0% | 24.2% |
| Operating Margin | -34.6% | 46.5% | 9.5% |
| Forward P/E | 31.5x | 32.0x | 41.8x |
| Total Debt | $5.38B | $30.03B | $993M |
| Cash & Equiv. | $537M | $2.81B | $71M |
SPR vs TDG vs HXL — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | Dec 25 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spirit AeroSystems … (SPR) | 100 | 182.3 | +82.3% |
| TransDigm Group Inc… (TDG) | 100 | 320.2 | +220.2% |
| Hexcel Corporation (HXL) | 100 | 210.6 | +110.6% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: SPR vs TDG vs HXL
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
SPR is the clearest fit if your priority is sleep-well-at-night.
- Lower volatility, beta 0.67, current ratio 1.05x
- Lower P/E (31.5x vs 41.8x)
- Beta 0.67 vs HXL's 1.05
TDG carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and growth exposure.
- Dividend streak 2 yrs, beta 0.79, yield 13.3%
- Rev growth 11.2%, EPS growth 25.2%, 3Y rev CAGR 17.6%
- 6.0% 10Y total return vs HXL's 127.9%
HXL is the clearest fit if your priority is momentum.
- +90.9% vs TDG's -3.7%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 11.2% revenue growth vs HXL's -0.5% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (31.5x vs 41.8x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 21.6% margin vs SPR's -40.7% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.67 vs HXL's 1.05 | |
| Dividends | 13.3% yield, 2-year raise streak, vs HXL's 0.7%, (1 stock pays no dividend) | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +90.9% vs TDG's -3.7% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 8.6% ROA vs SPR's -42.6%, ROIC 20.9% vs -50.9% |
SPR vs TDG vs HXL — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
SPR vs TDG vs HXL — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 3 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
TDG leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
TDG is the larger business by revenue, generating $9.1B annually — 4.7x HXL's $1.9B. TDG is the more profitable business, keeping 21.6% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to SPR's -40.7%. On growth, TDG holds the edge at +13.9% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $6.4B | $9.1B | $1.9B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | -$2.0B | $4.6B | $306M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | -$2.6B | $2.0B | $118M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | -$803M | $1.9B | $251M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | -27.7% | +59.0% | +24.2% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | -34.6% | +46.5% | +9.5% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | -40.7% | +21.6% | +6.1% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | -12.6% | +20.6% | +13.0% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +7.8% | +13.9% | +8.3% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -51.3% | -13.1% | +40.0% |
Valuation Metrics
SPR leads this category, winning 3 of 6 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 38.7x trailing earnings, TDG trades at a 45% valuation discount to HXL's 69.9x P/E. Adjusting for growth (PEG ratio), TDG offers better value at 1.24x vs HXL's 2.39x — a lower PEG means you pay less per unit of expected earnings growth.
| Metric | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $4.6B | $70.1B | $7.2B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $9.5B | $97.4B | $8.1B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | -2.16x | 38.72x | 69.91x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 31.52x | 32.01x | 41.76x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | 1.24x | 2.39x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | — | 21.48x | 27.72x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 0.73x | 7.94x | 3.81x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | — | — | 6.13x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | — | 38.63x | 23.51x |
Profitability & Efficiency
Evenly matched — TDG and HXL each lead in 4 of 7 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), TDG scores 6/9 vs SPR's 2/9, reflecting solid financial health.
| Metric | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | — | — | +8.4% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | -42.6% | +8.6% | +4.3% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | -50.9% | +20.9% | +6.0% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | -44.9% | +20.8% | +7.2% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 2 | 6 | 6 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | — | — | 0.79x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $4.8B | $27.2B | $922M |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $537M | $2.8B | $71M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $5.4B | $30.0B | $993M |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | -5.57x | 2.55x | 4.45x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
TDG leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in TDG five years ago would be worth $24,023 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $8,973 for SPR. Over the past 12 months, HXL leads with a +90.9% total return vs TDG's -3.7%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors TDG at 23.1% vs HXL's 10.2% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | — | -8.6% | +25.0% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +10.1% | -3.7% | +90.9% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +61.2% | +86.7% | +33.8% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -10.3% | +140.2% | +80.6% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -11.1% | +595.3% | +127.9% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +17.2% | +23.1% | +10.2% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — SPR and HXL each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
SPR is the less volatile stock with a 0.67 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than HXL's 1.05 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. HXL currently trades 97.5% from its 52-week high vs TDG's 76.5% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.67x | 0.79x | 1.05x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $42.33 | $1623.83 | $98.26 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $34.62 | $1123.61 | $50.40 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +93.3% | +76.5% | +97.5% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 67.1 | 56.5 | 65.1 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 5.8M | 370K | 1.2M |
Analyst Outlook
Evenly matched — TDG and HXL each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Analyst consensus: SPR as "Hold", TDG as "Buy", HXL as "Hold". Consensus price targets imply 30.3% upside for TDG (target: $1618) vs -5.8% for HXL (target: $90). For income investors, TDG offers the higher dividend yield at 13.32% vs HXL's 0.70%.
| Metric | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Hold | Buy | Hold |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $46.15 | $1617.88 | $90.25 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 43 | 39 | 36 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | +13.3% | +0.7% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 0 | 2 | 4 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | $165.45 | $0.67 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | +0.7% | +6.3% |
TDG leads in 2 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Total Returns). SPR leads in 1 (Valuation Metrics). 3 tied.
SPR vs TDG vs HXL: Key Questions Answered
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is SPR or TDG or HXL a better buy right now?
For growth investors, TransDigm Group Incorporated (TDG) is the stronger pick with 11.
2% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -0. 5% for Hexcel Corporation (HXL). TransDigm Group Incorporated (TDG) offers the better valuation at 38. 7x trailing P/E (32. 0x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate TransDigm Group Incorporated (TDG) a "Buy" — based on 39 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — SPR or TDG or HXL?
On trailing P/E, TransDigm Group Incorporated (TDG) is the cheapest at 38.
7x versus Hexcel Corporation at 69. 9x. On forward P/E, Spirit AeroSystems Holdings, Inc. is actually cheaper at 31. 5x — notably different from the trailing picture, reflecting expected earnings growth. The PEG ratio (P/E divided by earnings growth rate) is the most growth-adjusted single valuation metric: TransDigm Group Incorporated wins at 1. 03x versus Hexcel Corporation's 1. 43x — a reasonable growth-adjusted valuation.
03Which is the better long-term investment — SPR or TDG or HXL?
Over the past 5 years, TransDigm Group Incorporated (TDG) delivered a total return of +140.
2%, compared to -10. 3% for Spirit AeroSystems Holdings, Inc. (SPR). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: TDG returned +595. 3% versus SPR's -11. 1%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — SPR or TDG or HXL?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Spirit AeroSystems Holdings, Inc.
(SPR) is the lower-risk stock at 0. 67β versus Hexcel Corporation's 1. 05β — meaning HXL is approximately 58% more volatile than SPR relative to the S&P 500.
05Which is growing faster — SPR or TDG or HXL?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), TransDigm Group Incorporated (TDG) is pulling ahead at 11.
2% versus -0. 5% for Hexcel Corporation (HXL). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: TransDigm Group Incorporated grew EPS 25. 2% year-over-year, compared to -208. 4% for Spirit AeroSystems Holdings, Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, TDG leads at 17. 6% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — SPR or TDG or HXL?
TransDigm Group Incorporated (TDG) is the more profitable company, earning 23.
5% net margin versus -33. 9% for Spirit AeroSystems Holdings, Inc. — meaning it keeps 23. 5% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: TDG leads at 47. 2% versus -28. 3% for SPR. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — TDG leads at 60. 1%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is SPR or TDG or HXL more undervalued right now?
The PEG ratio (forward P/E divided by expected earnings growth rate) is the most precise measure of undervaluation relative to growth potential.
By this metric, TransDigm Group Incorporated (TDG) is the more undervalued stock at a PEG of 1. 03x versus Hexcel Corporation's 1. 43x. A PEG below 1. 5 suggests fair-to-attractive pricing relative to expected growth. On forward earnings alone, Spirit AeroSystems Holdings, Inc. (SPR) trades at 31. 5x forward P/E versus 41. 8x for Hexcel Corporation — 10. 2x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for TDG: 30. 3% to $1617. 88.
08Which pays a better dividend — SPR or TDG or HXL?
In this comparison, TDG (13.
3% yield), HXL (0. 7% yield) pay a dividend. SPR does not pay a meaningful dividend and should not be held primarily for income.
09Is SPR or TDG or HXL better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, TransDigm Group Incorporated (TDG) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0.
79), 13. 3% yield, +595. 3% 10Y return). Both have compounded well over 10 years (TDG: +595. 3%, SPR: -11. 1%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between SPR and TDG and HXL?
Both stocks operate in the Industrials sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: SPR is a small-cap quality compounder stock; TDG is a mid-cap income-oriented stock; HXL is a small-cap quality compounder stock. TDG, HXL pay a dividend while SPR does not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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