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ADT vs NSSC
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Security & Protection Services
ADT vs NSSC — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Security & Protection Services | Security & Protection Services |
| Market Cap | $5.24B | $1.47B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $5.14B | $197M |
| Net Income (TTM) | $623M | $37M |
| Gross Margin | 50.4% | 57.0% |
| Operating Margin | 25.6% | 19.9% |
| Forward P/E | 7.6x | 28.7x |
| Total Debt | $7.69B | $5M |
| Cash & Equiv. | $81M | $83M |
ADT vs NSSC — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| ADT Inc. (ADT) | 100 | 98.6 | -1.4% |
| Napco Security Tech… (NSSC) | 100 | 363.0 | +263.0% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: ADT vs NSSC
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
ADT carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and growth exposure.
- Dividend streak 3 yrs, beta 0.98, yield 3.0%
- Rev growth 4.7%, EPS growth 28.8%, 3Y rev CAGR -0.3%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.98, current ratio 0.93x
NSSC is the clearest fit if your priority is long-term compounding.
- 13.8% 10Y total return vs ADT's -27.2%
- 18.7% margin vs ADT's 12.1%
- +69.1% vs ADT's -12.3%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 4.7% revenue growth vs NSSC's -3.8% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (7.6x vs 28.7x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 18.7% margin vs ADT's 12.1% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.98 vs NSSC's 1.25 | |
| Dividends | 3.0% yield, 3-year raise streak, vs NSSC's 0.9% | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +69.1% vs ADT's -12.3% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 17.6% ROA vs ADT's 3.9%, ROIC 38.2% vs 8.8% |
ADT vs NSSC — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
ADT vs NSSC — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
Evenly matched — ADT and NSSC each lead in 3 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
ADT is the larger business by revenue, generating $5.1B annually — 26.1x NSSC's $197M. NSSC is the more profitable business, keeping 18.7% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to ADT's 12.1%. On growth, NSSC holds the edge at +11.8% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $5.1B | $197M |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $2.9B | $42M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $623M | $37M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $1.8B | $56M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +50.4% | +57.0% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +25.6% | +19.9% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +12.1% | +18.7% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +34.8% | +28.6% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +0.9% | +11.8% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +26.7% | -103.6% |
Valuation Metrics
ADT leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 10.4x trailing earnings, ADT trades at a 70% valuation discount to NSSC's 34.7x P/E. On an enterprise value basis, ADT's 4.4x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than NSSC's 28.7x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $5.2B | $1.5B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $12.9B | $1.4B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 10.42x | 34.66x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 7.63x | 28.74x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | 0.89x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 4.35x | 28.70x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 1.02x | 8.10x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 1.65x | 8.93x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 3.99x | 28.61x |
Profitability & Efficiency
NSSC leads this category, winning 7 of 8 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
NSSC delivers a 20.9% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $21 in annual profit, vs $17 for ADT. NSSC carries lower financial leverage with a 0.03x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to ADT's 2.03x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), ADT scores 8/9 vs NSSC's 5/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +16.7% | +20.9% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +3.9% | +17.6% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +8.8% | +38.2% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +9.0% | +26.6% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 8 | 5 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 2.03x | 0.03x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $7.6B | -$78M |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $81M | $83M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $7.7B | $5M |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 3.23x | — |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
NSSC leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in NSSC five years ago would be worth $25,331 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $8,256 for ADT. Over the past 12 months, NSSC leads with a +69.1% total return vs ADT's -12.3%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors ADT at 8.5% vs NSSC's 8.0% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -12.2% | +0.0% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | -12.3% | +69.1% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +27.6% | +25.9% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -17.4% | +153.3% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -27.2% | +1384.6% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +8.5% | +8.0% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — ADT and NSSC each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
ADT is the less volatile stock with a 0.98 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than NSSC's 1.25 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. NSSC currently trades 85.7% from its 52-week high vs ADT's 78.1% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.98x | 1.25x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $8.94 | $48.12 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $6.25 | $24.13 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +78.1% | +85.7% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 47.3 | 43.6 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 10.4M | 595K |
Analyst Outlook
ADT leads this category, winning 1 of 1 comparable metric.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates ADT as "Buy" and NSSC as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 28.5% upside for ADT (target: $9) vs 18.8% for NSSC (target: $49). For income investors, ADT offers the higher dividend yield at 2.99% vs NSSC's 0.91%.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $8.97 | $49.00 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 17 | 11 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +3.0% | +0.9% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 3 | 3 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $0.21 | $0.37 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +11.6% | +2.5% |
ADT leads in 2 of 6 categories (Valuation Metrics, Analyst Outlook). NSSC leads in 2 (Profitability & Efficiency, Total Returns). 2 tied.
ADT vs NSSC: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is ADT or NSSC a better buy right now?
For growth investors, ADT Inc.
(ADT) is the stronger pick with 4. 7% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -3. 8% for Napco Security Technologies, Inc. (NSSC). ADT Inc. (ADT) offers the better valuation at 10. 4x trailing P/E (7. 6x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate ADT Inc. (ADT) a "Buy" — based on 17 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — ADT or NSSC?
On trailing P/E, ADT Inc.
(ADT) is the cheapest at 10. 4x versus Napco Security Technologies, Inc. at 34. 7x. On forward P/E, ADT Inc. is actually cheaper at 7. 6x.
03Which is the better long-term investment — ADT or NSSC?
Over the past 5 years, Napco Security Technologies, Inc.
(NSSC) delivered a total return of +153. 3%, compared to -17. 4% for ADT Inc. (ADT). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: NSSC returned +1385% versus ADT's -27. 2%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — ADT or NSSC?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), ADT Inc.
(ADT) is the lower-risk stock at 0. 98β versus Napco Security Technologies, Inc. 's 1. 25β — meaning NSSC is approximately 28% more volatile than ADT relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Napco Security Technologies, Inc. (NSSC) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 3% versus 2% for ADT Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — ADT or NSSC?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), ADT Inc.
(ADT) is pulling ahead at 4. 7% versus -3. 8% for Napco Security Technologies, Inc. (NSSC). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: ADT Inc. grew EPS 28. 8% year-over-year, compared to -11. 2% for Napco Security Technologies, Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, NSSC leads at 8. 1% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — ADT or NSSC?
Napco Security Technologies, Inc.
(NSSC) is the more profitable company, earning 23. 9% net margin versus 11. 6% for ADT Inc. — meaning it keeps 23. 9% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: ADT leads at 26. 0% versus 25. 5% for NSSC. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — NSSC leads at 55. 6%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is ADT or NSSC more undervalued right now?
On forward earnings alone, ADT Inc.
(ADT) trades at 7. 6x forward P/E versus 28. 7x for Napco Security Technologies, Inc. — 21. 1x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for ADT: 28. 5% to $8. 97.
08Which pays a better dividend — ADT or NSSC?
All stocks in this comparison pay dividends.
ADT Inc. (ADT) offers the highest yield at 3. 0%, versus 0. 9% for Napco Security Technologies, Inc. (NSSC).
09Is ADT or NSSC better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Napco Security Technologies, Inc.
(NSSC) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 1. 25), 0. 9% yield, +1385% 10Y return). Both have compounded well over 10 years (NSSC: +1385%, ADT: -27. 2%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between ADT and NSSC?
Both stocks operate in the Industrials sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: ADT is a small-cap deep-value stock; NSSC is a small-cap quality compounder stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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