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AER vs SPIR
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Specialty Business Services
AER vs SPIR — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Rental & Leasing Services | Specialty Business Services |
| Market Cap | $25.21B | $601.52B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $8.11B | $72M |
| Net Income (TTM) | $3.93B | $-25.02B |
| Gross Margin | 52.9% | 40.8% |
| Operating Margin | 45.2% | -121.4% |
| Forward P/E | 8.8x | 11.4x |
| Total Debt | $43.57B | $8.76B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $1.48B | $24.81B |
AER vs SPIR — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | Nov 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| AerCap Holdings N.V. (AER) | 100 | 410.9 | +310.9% |
| Spire Global, Inc. (SPIR) | 100 | 23.2 | -76.8% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: AER vs SPIR
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
AER carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and growth exposure.
- Dividend streak 2 yrs, beta 0.74, yield 0.7%
- Rev growth 2.4%, EPS growth 97.4%, 3Y rev CAGR 5.3%
- 276.1% 10Y total return vs SPIR's -75.9%
SPIR is the clearest fit if your priority is momentum.
- +93.2% vs AER's +41.3%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 2.4% revenue growth vs SPIR's -35.2% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (8.8x vs 11.4x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 48.4% margin vs SPIR's -349.6% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.74 vs SPIR's 2.93 | |
| Dividends | 0.7% yield; 2-year raise streak; the other pay no meaningful dividend | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +93.2% vs AER's +41.3% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 5.4% ROA vs SPIR's -47.3%, ROIC 5.2% vs -0.1% |
AER vs SPIR — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
Segment breakdown not available.
AER vs SPIR — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
AER leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
AER is the larger business by revenue, generating $8.1B annually — 113.3x SPIR's $72M. AER is the more profitable business, keeping 48.4% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to SPIR's -349.6%. On growth, AER holds the edge at +4.1% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $8.1B | $72M |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $5.7B | -$74M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $3.9B | -$25.0B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $405M | -$16.2B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +52.9% | +40.8% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +45.2% | -121.4% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +48.4% | -349.6% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +5.0% | -227.0% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +4.1% | -26.9% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +42.5% | +59.5% |
Valuation Metrics
AER leads this category, winning 3 of 3 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 7.1x trailing earnings, AER trades at a 38% valuation discount to SPIR's 11.4x P/E.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $25.2B | $601.5B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $67.3B | $585.5B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 7.09x | 11.37x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 8.79x | — |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 9.76x | — |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 3.08x | 8406.65x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 1.45x | 5.18x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | — | — |
Profitability & Efficiency
AER leads this category, winning 5 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
AER delivers a 21.6% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $22 in annual profit, vs $-88 for SPIR. SPIR carries lower financial leverage with a 0.08x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to AER's 2.38x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), AER scores 8/9 vs SPIR's 5/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +21.6% | -88.4% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +5.4% | -47.3% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +5.2% | -0.1% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +6.2% | -0.1% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 8 | 5 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 2.38x | 0.08x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $42.1B | -$16.1B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $1.5B | $24.8B |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $43.6B | $8.8B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 2.42x | 9.20x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
SPIR leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in AER five years ago would be worth $25,787 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $2,311 for SPIR. Over the past 12 months, SPIR leads with a +93.2% total return vs AER's +41.3%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors SPIR at 50.1% vs AER's 40.7% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +4.7% | +134.3% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +41.3% | +93.2% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +178.5% | +238.4% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +157.9% | -76.9% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +276.1% | -75.9% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +40.7% | +50.1% |
Risk & Volatility
AER leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
AER is the less volatile stock with a 0.74 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than SPIR's 2.93 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. AER currently trades 97.5% from its 52-week high vs SPIR's 77.6% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.74x | 2.93x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $154.94 | $23.59 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $105.65 | $6.60 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +97.5% | +77.6% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 55.4 | 48.9 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 1.3M | 1.6M |
Analyst Outlook
Insufficient data to determine a leader in this category.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates AER as "Buy" and SPIR as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 9.2% upside for AER (target: $165) vs -5.7% for SPIR (target: $17). AER is the only dividend payer here at 0.72% yield — a key consideration for income-focused portfolios.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $165.00 | $17.25 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 25 | 12 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +0.7% | — |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 2 | — |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $1.09 | — |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | 0.0% |
AER leads in 4 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Valuation Metrics). SPIR leads in 1 (Total Returns).
AER vs SPIR: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is AER or SPIR a better buy right now?
For growth investors, AerCap Holdings N.
V. (AER) is the stronger pick with 2. 4% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -35. 2% for Spire Global, Inc. (SPIR). AerCap Holdings N. V. (AER) offers the better valuation at 7. 1x trailing P/E (8. 8x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate AerCap Holdings N. V. (AER) a "Buy" — based on 25 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — AER or SPIR?
On trailing P/E, AerCap Holdings N.
V. (AER) is the cheapest at 7. 1x versus Spire Global, Inc. at 11. 4x.
03Which is the better long-term investment — AER or SPIR?
Over the past 5 years, AerCap Holdings N.
V. (AER) delivered a total return of +157. 9%, compared to -76. 9% for Spire Global, Inc. (SPIR). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: AER returned +276. 1% versus SPIR's -75. 9%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — AER or SPIR?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), AerCap Holdings N.
V. (AER) is the lower-risk stock at 0. 74β versus Spire Global, Inc. 's 2. 93β — meaning SPIR is approximately 298% more volatile than AER relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Spire Global, Inc. (SPIR) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 8% versus 2% for AerCap Holdings N. V. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — AER or SPIR?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), AerCap Holdings N.
V. (AER) is pulling ahead at 2. 4% versus -35. 2% for Spire Global, Inc. (SPIR). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Spire Global, Inc. grew EPS 137. 8% year-over-year, compared to 97. 4% for AerCap Holdings N. V.. Over a 3-year CAGR, AER leads at 5. 3% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — AER or SPIR?
Spire Global, Inc.
(SPIR) is the more profitable company, earning 71. 7% net margin versus 45. 8% for AerCap Holdings N. V. — meaning it keeps 71. 7% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: AER leads at 51. 9% versus -121. 4% for SPIR. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — AER leads at 59. 8%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is AER or SPIR more undervalued right now?
Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for AER: 9.
2% to $165. 00.
08Which pays a better dividend — AER or SPIR?
In this comparison, AER (0.
7% yield) pays a dividend. SPIR does not pay a meaningful dividend and should not be held primarily for income.
09Is AER or SPIR better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, AerCap Holdings N.
V. (AER) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0. 74), 0. 7% yield, +276. 1% 10Y return). Spire Global, Inc. (SPIR) carries a higher beta of 2. 93 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (AER: +276. 1%, SPIR: -75. 9%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between AER and SPIR?
Both stocks operate in the Industrials sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
AER pays a dividend while SPIR does not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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