Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing
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AMTX vs GPRE
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Chemicals - Specialty
AMTX vs GPRE — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing | Chemicals - Specialty |
| Market Cap | $221M | $1.19B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $198M | $2.09B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $-77M | $-121M |
| Gross Margin | -0.4% | 1.8% |
| Operating Margin | -18.8% | -4.0% |
| Forward P/E | — | 48.1x |
| Total Debt | $318M | $508M |
| Cash & Equiv. | $5M | $230M |
AMTX vs GPRE — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aemetis, Inc. (AMTX) | 100 | 405.0 | +305.0% |
| Green Plains Inc. (GPRE) | 100 | 198.5 | +98.5% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: AMTX vs GPRE
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
AMTX is the clearest fit if your priority is growth exposure.
- Rev growth -22.3%, EPS growth 33.0%, 3Y rev CAGR -6.8%
GPRE carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and long-term compounding.
- Dividend streak 0 yrs, beta 1.22
- 17.1% 10Y total return vs AMTX's 12.1%
- Lower volatility, beta 1.22, Low D/E 65.9%, current ratio 1.79x
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | -14.9% revenue growth vs AMTX's -22.3% | |
| Quality / Margins | -5.8% margin vs AMTX's -39.0% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 1.22 vs AMTX's 1.46 | |
| Dividends | Tie | Neither stock pays a meaningful dividend |
| Momentum (1Y) | +363.7% vs AMTX's +159.2% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | -7.7% ROA vs AMTX's -31.3%, ROIC -5.3% vs -70.3% |
AMTX vs GPRE — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
AMTX vs GPRE — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
GPRE leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
GPRE is the larger business by revenue, generating $2.1B annually — 10.6x AMTX's $198M. GPRE is the more profitable business, keeping -5.8% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to AMTX's -39.0%. On growth, AMTX holds the edge at -7.9% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $198M | $2.1B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | -$28M | $14M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | -$77M | -$121M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | -$23M | $74M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | -0.4% | +1.8% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | -18.8% | -4.0% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | -39.0% | -5.8% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | -11.5% | +3.5% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -7.9% | -26.6% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +77.5% | +119.8% |
Valuation Metrics
GPRE leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $221M | $1.2B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $534M | $1.5B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | -2.53x | -9.43x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | — | 48.06x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | — | 102.96x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 1.06x | 0.57x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | — | 1.48x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | — | 16.09x |
Profitability & Efficiency
GPRE leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | — | -15.7% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | -31.3% | -7.7% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | -70.3% | -5.3% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | -19.0% | -6.2% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 4 | 4 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | — | 0.66x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $313M | $278M |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $5M | $230M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $318M | $508M |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | -0.61x | -0.88x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
Evenly matched — AMTX and GPRE each lead in 3 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in GPRE five years ago would be worth $5,303 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $1,952 for AMTX. Over the past 12 months, GPRE leads with a +363.7% total return vs AMTX's +159.2%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors AMTX at 12.6% vs GPRE's -18.2% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +103.8% | +65.1% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +159.2% | +363.7% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +42.7% | -45.2% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -80.5% | -47.0% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +12.1% | +17.1% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +12.6% | -18.2% |
Risk & Volatility
GPRE leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
GPRE is the less volatile stock with a 1.22 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than AMTX's 1.46 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. GPRE currently trades 89.6% from its 52-week high vs AMTX's 85.3% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 1.46x | 1.22x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $3.80 | $18.94 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $1.22 | $3.39 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +85.3% | +89.6% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 70.0 | 68.5 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 1.7M | 1.4M |
Analyst Outlook
Insufficient data to determine a leader in this category.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates AMTX as "Buy" and GPRE as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply -18.7% upside for GPRE (target: $14) vs -46.0% for AMTX (target: $2).
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $1.75 | $13.80 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 7 | 20 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | — |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | — | 0 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | — |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | +2.5% |
GPRE leads in 4 of 6 categories — strongest in Income & Cash Flow and Valuation Metrics. 1 category is tied.
AMTX vs GPRE: Frequently Asked Questions
9 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is AMTX or GPRE a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Green Plains Inc.
(GPRE) is the stronger pick with -14. 9% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -22. 3% for Aemetis, Inc. (AMTX). Analysts rate Aemetis, Inc. (AMTX) a "Buy" — based on 7 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which is the better long-term investment — AMTX or GPRE?
Over the past 5 years, Green Plains Inc.
(GPRE) delivered a total return of -47. 0%, compared to -80. 5% for Aemetis, Inc. (AMTX). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: GPRE returned +17. 1% versus AMTX's +12. 1%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
03Which is safer — AMTX or GPRE?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Green Plains Inc.
(GPRE) is the lower-risk stock at 1. 22β versus Aemetis, Inc. 's 1. 46β — meaning AMTX is approximately 20% more volatile than GPRE relative to the S&P 500.
04Which is growing faster — AMTX or GPRE?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Green Plains Inc.
(GPRE) is pulling ahead at -14. 9% versus -22. 3% for Aemetis, Inc. (AMTX). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Aemetis, Inc. grew EPS 33. 0% year-over-year, compared to -39. 5% for Green Plains Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, AMTX leads at -6. 8% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
05Which has better profit margins — AMTX or GPRE?
Green Plains Inc.
(GPRE) is the more profitable company, earning -5. 8% net margin versus -37. 0% for Aemetis, Inc. — meaning it keeps -5. 8% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: GPRE leads at -4. 0% versus -17. 9% for AMTX. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — GPRE leads at 1. 8%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
06Is AMTX or GPRE more undervalued right now?
Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for GPRE: -18.
7% to $13. 80.
07Which pays a better dividend — AMTX or GPRE?
None of the stocks in this comparison currently pay a material dividend.
All are effectively zero-yield and should be held for capital appreciation rather than income.
08Is AMTX or GPRE better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Green Plains Inc.
(GPRE) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 1. 22)). Both have compounded well over 10 years (GPRE: +17. 1%, AMTX: +12. 1%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
09What are the main differences between AMTX and GPRE?
These companies operate in different sectors (AMTX (Energy) and GPRE (Basic Materials)), which means they face different economic cycles, regulatory environments, and macro sensitivities — making direct comparison nuanced.
These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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