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ARI vs MS
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Financial - Capital Markets
ARI vs MS — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | REIT - Mortgage | Financial - Capital Markets |
| Market Cap | $1.45B | $307.53B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $709M | $103.14B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $127M | $16.18B |
| Gross Margin | 66.2% | 55.6% |
| Operating Margin | 56.0% | 17.1% |
| Forward P/E | 12.7x | 16.3x |
| Total Debt | $7.92B | $360.49B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $140M | $75.74B |
ARI vs MS — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apollo Commercial R… (ARI) | 100 | 133.0 | +33.0% |
| Morgan Stanley (MS) | 100 | 437.3 | +337.3% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: ARI vs MS
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
ARI carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and sleep-well-at-night.
- Dividend streak 0 yrs, beta 0.60, yield 9.3%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.60, current ratio 0.30x
- PEG 0.09 vs MS's 1.83
MS is the clearest fit if your priority is growth exposure and long-term compounding.
- Rev growth 16.8%, EPS growth 53.5%
- 7.4% 10Y total return vs ARI's 62.9%
- 16.8% NII/revenue growth vs ARI's 1.3%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 16.8% NII/revenue growth vs ARI's 1.3% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (12.7x vs 16.3x), PEG 0.09 vs 1.83 | |
| Quality / Margins | 17.9% margin vs MS's 13.0% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.60 vs MS's 1.37 | |
| Dividends | 9.3% yield, vs MS's 2.0% | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +66.7% vs ARI's +27.9% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 1.3% ROA vs MS's 1.2%, ROIC 4.0% vs 2.9% |
ARI vs MS — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
Segment breakdown not available.
ARI vs MS — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
ARI leads this category, winning 4 of 5 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
MS is the larger business by revenue, generating $103.1B annually — 145.4x ARI's $709M. Profitability is closely matched — net margins range from 17.9% (ARI) to 13.0% (MS).
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $709M | $103.1B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $410M | $26.3B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $127M | $16.2B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $40M | -$6.7B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +66.2% | +55.6% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +56.0% | +17.1% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +17.9% | +13.0% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +5.7% | -2.0% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -0.8% | — |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | 0.0% | +48.9% |
Valuation Metrics
ARI leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 13.5x trailing earnings, ARI trades at a 44% valuation discount to MS's 24.3x P/E. Adjusting for growth (PEG ratio), ARI offers better value at 0.09x vs MS's 2.73x — a lower PEG means you pay less per unit of expected earnings growth.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $1.5B | $307.5B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $9.2B | $592.3B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 13.52x | 24.31x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 12.66x | 16.28x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | 0.09x | 2.73x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 19.42x | 26.03x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 2.05x | 2.98x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 0.82x | 2.95x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 34.38x | — |
Profitability & Efficiency
ARI leads this category, winning 7 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
MS delivers a 14.6% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $15 in annual profit, vs $7 for ARI. MS carries lower financial leverage with a 3.42x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to ARI's 4.27x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), ARI scores 6/9 vs MS's 5/9, reflecting solid financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +6.9% | +14.6% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +1.3% | +1.2% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +4.0% | +2.9% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +5.6% | +3.8% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 6 | 5 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 4.27x | 3.42x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $7.8B | $284.7B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $140M | $75.7B |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $7.9B | $360.5B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 1.28x | 0.44x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
MS leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in MS five years ago would be worth $24,217 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $11,260 for ARI. Over the past 12 months, MS leads with a +66.7% total return vs ARI's +27.9%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors MS at 34.3% vs ARI's 14.8% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +13.6% | +7.4% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +27.9% | +66.7% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +51.3% | +142.1% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +12.6% | +142.2% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +62.9% | +739.4% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +14.8% | +34.3% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — ARI and MS each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
ARI is the less volatile stock with a 0.60 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than MS's 1.37 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.60x | 1.37x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $11.24 | $194.83 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $9.30 | $117.21 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +97.4% | +99.2% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 55.0 | 61.2 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 1.4M | 5.4M |
Analyst Outlook
Evenly matched — ARI and MS each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates ARI as "Hold" and MS as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 9.6% upside for ARI (target: $12) vs 6.5% for MS (target: $206). For income investors, ARI offers the higher dividend yield at 9.29% vs MS's 1.97%.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Hold | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $12.00 | $205.75 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 12 | 52 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +9.3% | +2.0% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 0 | 11 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $1.02 | $3.81 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | +1.4% |
ARI leads in 3 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Valuation Metrics). MS leads in 1 (Total Returns). 2 tied.
ARI vs MS: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is ARI or MS a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Morgan Stanley (MS) is the stronger pick with 16.
8% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 1. 3% for Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc. (ARI). Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc. (ARI) offers the better valuation at 13. 5x trailing P/E (12. 7x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Morgan Stanley (MS) a "Buy" — based on 52 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — ARI or MS?
On trailing P/E, Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc.
(ARI) is the cheapest at 13. 5x versus Morgan Stanley at 24. 3x. On forward P/E, Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc. is actually cheaper at 12. 7x. The PEG ratio (P/E divided by earnings growth rate) is the most growth-adjusted single valuation metric: Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc. wins at 0. 09x versus Morgan Stanley's 1. 83x — a PEG below 1. 0 traditionally signals the market is underpricing earnings growth.
03Which is the better long-term investment — ARI or MS?
Over the past 5 years, Morgan Stanley (MS) delivered a total return of +142.
2%, compared to +12. 6% for Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc. (ARI). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: MS returned +739. 4% versus ARI's +62. 9%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — ARI or MS?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc.
(ARI) is the lower-risk stock at 0. 60β versus Morgan Stanley's 1. 37β — meaning MS is approximately 129% more volatile than ARI relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Morgan Stanley (MS) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 3% versus 4% for Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — ARI or MS?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Morgan Stanley (MS) is pulling ahead at 16.
8% versus 1. 3% for Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc. (ARI). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc. grew EPS 183. 5% year-over-year, compared to 53. 5% for Morgan Stanley. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — ARI or MS?
Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc.
(ARI) is the more profitable company, earning 17. 8% net margin versus 13. 0% for Morgan Stanley — meaning it keeps 17. 8% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: ARI leads at 65. 4% versus 17. 1% for MS. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — ARI leads at 80. 1%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is ARI or MS more undervalued right now?
The PEG ratio (forward P/E divided by expected earnings growth rate) is the most precise measure of undervaluation relative to growth potential.
By this metric, Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc. (ARI) is the more undervalued stock at a PEG of 0. 09x versus Morgan Stanley's 1. 83x. A PEG below 1. 0 is traditionally considered the threshold for growth-adjusted undervaluation. On forward earnings alone, Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc. (ARI) trades at 12. 7x forward P/E versus 16. 3x for Morgan Stanley — 3. 6x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for ARI: 9. 6% to $12. 00.
08Which pays a better dividend — ARI or MS?
All stocks in this comparison pay dividends.
Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc. (ARI) offers the highest yield at 9. 3%, versus 2. 0% for Morgan Stanley (MS).
09Is ARI or MS better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc.
(ARI) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0. 60), 9. 3% yield). Both have compounded well over 10 years (ARI: +62. 9%, MS: +739. 4%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between ARI and MS?
These companies operate in different sectors (ARI (Real Estate) and MS (Financial Services)), which means they face different economic cycles, regulatory environments, and macro sensitivities — making direct comparison nuanced.
In terms of investment character: ARI is a small-cap deep-value stock; MS is a large-cap high-growth stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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