Specialty Business Services
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ARMK vs CAKE
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Restaurants
ARMK vs CAKE — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Specialty Business Services | Restaurants |
| Market Cap | $11.84B | $3.03B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $18.79B | $3.75B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $317M | $148M |
| Gross Margin | 7.0% | 78.3% |
| Operating Margin | 4.2% | 5.0% |
| Forward P/E | 20.3x | 15.0x |
| Total Debt | $5.72B | $3.46B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $639M | $216M |
ARMK vs CAKE — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aramark (ARMK) | 100 | 241.1 | +141.1% |
| The Cheesecake Fact… (CAKE) | 100 | 283.1 | +183.1% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: ARMK vs CAKE
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
ARMK is the clearest fit if your priority is income & stability and growth exposure.
- Dividend streak 1 yrs, beta 0.71, yield 0.9%
- Rev growth 6.4%, EPS growth 23.2%, 3Y rev CAGR 10.6%
- 97.1% 10Y total return vs CAKE's 35.6%
CAKE carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for value and quality.
- Lower P/E (15.0x vs 20.3x)
- 4.0% margin vs ARMK's 1.7%
- 1.8% yield, vs ARMK's 0.9%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 6.4% revenue growth vs CAKE's 4.7% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (15.0x vs 20.3x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 4.0% margin vs ARMK's 1.7% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.71 vs CAKE's 1.11, lower leverage | |
| Dividends | 1.8% yield, vs ARMK's 0.9% | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +23.5% vs ARMK's +19.0% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 4.7% ROA vs ARMK's 2.4%, ROIC 4.7% vs 7.3% |
ARMK vs CAKE — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
ARMK vs CAKE — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
CAKE leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
ARMK is the larger business by revenue, generating $18.8B annually — 5.0x CAKE's $3.8B. Profitability is closely matched — net margins range from 4.0% (CAKE) to 1.7% (ARMK).
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $18.8B | $3.8B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $1.3B | $296M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $317M | $148M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $257M | $155M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +7.0% | +78.3% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +4.2% | +5.0% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +1.7% | +4.0% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +1.4% | +4.1% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +6.1% | +4.4% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -7.7% | -28.6% |
Valuation Metrics
Evenly matched — ARMK and CAKE each lead in 3 of 6 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 19.8x trailing earnings, CAKE trades at a 46% valuation discount to ARMK's 36.9x P/E. On an enterprise value basis, ARMK's 13.3x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than CAKE's 21.2x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $11.8B | $3.0B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $16.9B | $6.3B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 36.93x | 19.80x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 20.26x | 15.04x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 13.35x | 21.19x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 0.64x | 0.81x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 3.81x | 6.74x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 26.06x | 19.55x |
Profitability & Efficiency
CAKE leads this category, winning 5 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
CAKE delivers a 37.1% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $37 in annual profit, vs $10 for ARMK. ARMK carries lower financial leverage with a 1.81x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to CAKE's 7.93x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), ARMK scores 7/9 vs CAKE's 6/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +9.8% | +37.1% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +2.4% | +4.7% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +7.3% | +4.7% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +8.7% | +7.8% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 7 | 6 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 1.81x | 7.93x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $5.1B | $3.2B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $639M | $216M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $5.7B | $3.5B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 2.20x | 16.15x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
Evenly matched — ARMK and CAKE each lead in 3 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in ARMK five years ago would be worth $17,052 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $10,215 for CAKE. Over the past 12 months, CAKE leads with a +23.5% total return vs ARMK's +19.0%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors CAKE at 24.3% vs ARMK's 23.3% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +23.5% | +15.7% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +19.0% | +23.5% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +87.4% | +92.1% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +70.5% | +2.1% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +97.1% | +35.6% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +23.3% | +24.3% |
Risk & Volatility
ARMK leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
ARMK is the less volatile stock with a 0.71 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than CAKE's 1.11 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. ARMK currently trades 96.1% from its 52-week high vs CAKE's 87.2% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.71x | 1.11x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $46.88 | $69.70 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $35.07 | $43.07 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +96.1% | +87.2% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 62.0 | 50.5 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 2.2M | 1.2M |
Analyst Outlook
Evenly matched — ARMK and CAKE each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates ARMK as "Buy" and CAKE as "Hold". Consensus price targets imply 7.7% upside for CAKE (target: $66) vs 4.7% for ARMK (target: $47). For income investors, CAKE offers the higher dividend yield at 1.78% vs ARMK's 0.92%.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Hold |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $47.20 | $65.50 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 24 | 48 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +0.9% | +1.8% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 1 | 0 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $0.41 | $1.08 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +1.2% | +5.1% |
CAKE leads in 2 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Profitability & Efficiency). ARMK leads in 1 (Risk & Volatility). 3 tied.
ARMK vs CAKE: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is ARMK or CAKE a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Aramark (ARMK) is the stronger pick with 6.
4% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 4. 7% for The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (CAKE). The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (CAKE) offers the better valuation at 19. 8x trailing P/E (15. 0x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Aramark (ARMK) a "Buy" — based on 24 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — ARMK or CAKE?
On trailing P/E, The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (CAKE) is the cheapest at 19.
8x versus Aramark at 36. 9x. On forward P/E, The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated is actually cheaper at 15. 0x.
03Which is the better long-term investment — ARMK or CAKE?
Over the past 5 years, Aramark (ARMK) delivered a total return of +70.
5%, compared to +2. 1% for The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (CAKE). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: ARMK returned +97. 1% versus CAKE's +35. 6%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — ARMK or CAKE?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Aramark (ARMK) is the lower-risk stock at 0.
71β versus The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated's 1. 11β — meaning CAKE is approximately 57% more volatile than ARMK relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Aramark (ARMK) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 181% versus 8% for The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — ARMK or CAKE?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Aramark (ARMK) is pulling ahead at 6.
4% versus 4. 7% for The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (CAKE). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Aramark grew EPS 23. 2% year-over-year, compared to -4. 1% for The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated. Over a 3-year CAGR, ARMK leads at 10. 6% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — ARMK or CAKE?
The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (CAKE) is the more profitable company, earning 4.
0% net margin versus 1. 8% for Aramark — meaning it keeps 4. 0% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: CAKE leads at 5. 0% versus 4. 3% for ARMK. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — CAKE leads at 78. 3%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is ARMK or CAKE more undervalued right now?
On forward earnings alone, The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (CAKE) trades at 15.
0x forward P/E versus 20. 3x for Aramark — 5. 2x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for CAKE: 7. 7% to $65. 50.
08Which pays a better dividend — ARMK or CAKE?
All stocks in this comparison pay dividends.
The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (CAKE) offers the highest yield at 1. 8%, versus 0. 9% for Aramark (ARMK).
09Is ARMK or CAKE better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Aramark (ARMK) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0.
71), 0. 9% yield). Both have compounded well over 10 years (ARMK: +97. 1%, CAKE: +35. 6%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between ARMK and CAKE?
These companies operate in different sectors (ARMK (Industrials) and CAKE (Consumer Cyclical)), which means they face different economic cycles, regulatory environments, and macro sensitivities — making direct comparison nuanced.
These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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