Medical - Care Facilities
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ASTH vs AGL
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Medical - Care Facilities
ASTH vs AGL — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Medical - Care Facilities | Medical - Care Facilities |
| Market Cap | $2.01B | $1.01B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $3.53B | $5.82B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $30M | $-373M |
| Gross Margin | 6.8% | -3.9% |
| Operating Margin | 2.5% | -6.8% |
| Forward P/E | 29.1x | — |
| Total Debt | $1.08B | $37M |
| Cash & Equiv. | $429M | $174M |
ASTH vs AGL — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | Apr 21 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Astrana Health, Inc. (ASTH) | 100 | 121.5 | +21.5% |
| Agilon Health, Inc. (AGL) | 100 | 7.7 | -92.3% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: ASTH vs AGL
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
ASTH carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and growth exposure.
- Dividend streak 1 yrs, beta 1.11, yield 0.4%
- Rev growth 56.4%, EPS growth -48.9%, 3Y rev CAGR 40.6%
- 6.1% 10Y total return vs AGL's -92.2%
In this particular matchup, AGL is outpaced on most metrics by others in the set.
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 56.4% revenue growth vs AGL's -2.1% | |
| Quality / Margins | 0.9% margin vs AGL's -6.4% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 1.11 vs AGL's 2.98 | |
| Dividends | 0.4% yield; 1-year raise streak; the other pay no meaningful dividend | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +12.3% vs AGL's -28.4% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 1.5% ROA vs AGL's -24.5%, ROIC 6.2% vs -203.2% |
ASTH vs AGL — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
ASTH vs AGL — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
ASTH leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
AGL is the larger business by revenue, generating $5.8B annually — 1.7x ASTH's $3.5B. ASTH is the more profitable business, keeping 0.9% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to AGL's -6.4%. On growth, ASTH holds the edge at +55.6% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $3.5B | $5.8B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $141M | -$366M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $30M | -$373M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $158M | -$77M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +6.8% | -3.9% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +2.5% | -6.8% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +0.9% | -6.4% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +4.5% | -1.3% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +55.6% | -7.3% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +107.1% | +140.0% |
Valuation Metrics
AGL leads this category, winning 2 of 3 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $2.0B | $1.0B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $2.7B | $873M |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 78.43x | -2.48x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 29.12x | — |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 21.39x | — |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 0.63x | 0.17x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 3.19x | 7.92x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 19.24x | — |
Profitability & Efficiency
ASTH leads this category, winning 6 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
ASTH delivers a 4.9% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $5 in annual profit, vs $-146 for AGL. AGL carries lower financial leverage with a 0.29x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to ASTH's 1.93x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), ASTH scores 3/9 vs AGL's 2/9, reflecting mixed financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +4.9% | -146.0% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +1.5% | -24.5% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +6.2% | -2.0% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +6.1% | -108.4% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 3 | 2 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 1.93x | 0.29x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $649M | -$137M |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $429M | $174M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $1.1B | $37M |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 2.49x | -119.84x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
ASTH leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in ASTH five years ago would be worth $10,783 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $724 for AGL. Over the past 12 months, ASTH leads with a +12.3% total return vs AGL's -28.4%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors ASTH at 1.0% vs AGL's -54.6% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +43.1% | +260.1% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +12.3% | -28.4% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +3.1% | -90.6% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +7.8% | -92.8% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +614.5% | -92.2% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +1.0% | -54.6% |
Risk & Volatility
ASTH leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
ASTH is the less volatile stock with a 1.11 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than AGL's 2.98 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. ASTH currently trades 99.7% from its 52-week high vs AGL's 50.8% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 1.11x | 2.98x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $36.20 | $119.50 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $18.08 | $0.97 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +99.7% | +50.8% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 76.8 | 60.4 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 478K | 373K |
Analyst Outlook
Insufficient data to determine a leader in this category.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates ASTH as "Buy" and AGL as "Hold". Consensus price targets imply -5.2% upside for ASTH (target: $34) vs -59.6% for AGL (target: $25). ASTH is the only dividend payer here at 0.44% yield — a key consideration for income-focused portfolios.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Hold |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $34.20 | $24.50 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 9 | 25 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +0.4% | — |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 1 | — |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $0.16 | — |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +0.8% | +0.3% |
ASTH leads in 4 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Profitability & Efficiency). AGL leads in 1 (Valuation Metrics).
ASTH vs AGL: Frequently Asked Questions
9 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is ASTH or AGL a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Astrana Health, Inc.
(ASTH) is the stronger pick with 56. 4% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -2. 1% for Agilon Health, Inc. (AGL). Astrana Health, Inc. (ASTH) offers the better valuation at 78. 4x trailing P/E (29. 1x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Astrana Health, Inc. (ASTH) a "Buy" — based on 9 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which is the better long-term investment — ASTH or AGL?
Over the past 5 years, Astrana Health, Inc.
(ASTH) delivered a total return of +7. 8%, compared to -92. 8% for Agilon Health, Inc. (AGL). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: ASTH returned +614. 5% versus AGL's -92. 2%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
03Which is safer — ASTH or AGL?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Astrana Health, Inc.
(ASTH) is the lower-risk stock at 1. 11β versus Agilon Health, Inc. 's 2. 98β — meaning AGL is approximately 169% more volatile than ASTH relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Agilon Health, Inc. (AGL) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 29% versus 193% for Astrana Health, Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
04Which is growing faster — ASTH or AGL?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Astrana Health, Inc.
(ASTH) is pulling ahead at 56. 4% versus -2. 1% for Agilon Health, Inc. (AGL). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Astrana Health, Inc. grew EPS -48. 9% year-over-year, compared to -55. 6% for Agilon Health, Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, ASTH leads at 40. 6% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
05Which has better profit margins — ASTH or AGL?
Astrana Health, Inc.
(ASTH) is the more profitable company, earning 0. 7% net margin versus -6. 8% for Agilon Health, Inc. — meaning it keeps 0. 7% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: ASTH leads at 2. 5% versus -7. 1% for AGL. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — ASTH leads at 9. 3%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
06Is ASTH or AGL more undervalued right now?
Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for ASTH: -5.
2% to $34. 20.
07Which pays a better dividend — ASTH or AGL?
In this comparison, ASTH (0.
4% yield) pays a dividend. AGL does not pay a meaningful dividend and should not be held primarily for income.
08Is ASTH or AGL better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Astrana Health, Inc.
(ASTH) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 1. 11), +614. 5% 10Y return). Agilon Health, Inc. (AGL) carries a higher beta of 2. 98 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (ASTH: +614. 5%, AGL: -92. 2%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
09What are the main differences between ASTH and AGL?
Both stocks operate in the Healthcare sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: ASTH is a small-cap high-growth stock; AGL is a small-cap quality compounder stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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