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BAER vs EVTL
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Aerospace & Defense
BAER vs EVTL — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Security & Protection Services | Aerospace & Defense |
| Market Cap | $97M | $274M |
| Revenue (TTM) | $123M | $0.00 |
| Net Income (TTM) | $4M | $-245M |
| Gross Margin | 42.1% | — |
| Operating Margin | 12.5% | — |
| Total Debt | $245M | $191M |
| Cash & Equiv. | $31M | $70M |
BAER vs EVTL — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | Mar 21 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bridger Aerospace G… (BAER) | 100 | 17.9 | -82.1% |
| Vertical Aerospace … (EVTL) | 100 | 2.7 | -97.3% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: BAER vs EVTL
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
BAER carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and long-term compounding.
- beta 1.98
- -82.1% 10Y total return vs EVTL's -97.2%
- Lower volatility, beta 1.98, current ratio 2.43x
EVTL is the clearest fit if your priority is growth exposure.
- EPS growth 98.5%
- 92.7% revenue growth vs BAER's 24.6%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 92.7% revenue growth vs BAER's 24.6% | |
| Quality / Margins | 3.4% margin vs EVTL's 2.5% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 1.98 vs EVTL's 3.45 | |
| Dividends | Tie | Neither stock pays a meaningful dividend |
| Momentum (1Y) | +35.2% vs EVTL's -35.0% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 1.4% ROA vs EVTL's -229.7% |
BAER vs EVTL — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
BAER vs EVTL — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
BAER leads this category, winning 1 of 1 comparable metric.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
BAER and EVTL operate at a comparable scale, with $123M and $0 in trailing revenue.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $123M | $0 |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $31M | -$146M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $4M | -$245M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | -$64M | -$97M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +42.1% | — |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +12.5% | — |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +3.4% | — |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | -52.3% | — |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -45.2% | — |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -11.1% | -106.9% |
Valuation Metrics
BAER leads this category, winning 1 of 1 comparable metric.
Valuation Metrics
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $97M | $274M |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $310M | $439M |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | -4.12x | -3.52x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | — | — |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 10.05x | — |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 0.79x | — |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 1.45x | — |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | — | — |
Profitability & Efficiency
BAER leads this category, winning 3 of 5 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), BAER scores 6/9 vs EVTL's 2/9, reflecting solid financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +7.4% | — |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +1.4% | -2.3% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +4.6% | — |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +5.3% | — |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 6 | 2 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 3.79x | — |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $213M | $121M |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $31M | $70M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $245M | $191M |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 0.66x | -42.65x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
BAER leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in BAER five years ago would be worth $1,769 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $273 for EVTL. Over the past 12 months, BAER leads with a +35.2% total return vs EVTL's -35.0%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors BAER at -28.7% vs EVTL's -46.0% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -4.9% | -54.0% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +35.2% | -35.0% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -63.7% | -84.2% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -82.3% | -97.3% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -82.1% | -97.2% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | -28.7% | -46.0% |
Risk & Volatility
BAER leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
BAER is the less volatile stock with a 1.98 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than EVTL's 3.45 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. BAER currently trades 50.3% from its 52-week high vs EVTL's 35.3% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 1.98x | 3.45x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $3.44 | $7.60 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $1.22 | $1.90 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +50.3% | +35.3% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 43.6 | 51.9 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 574K | 3.1M |
Analyst Outlook
Insufficient data to determine a leader in this category.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates BAER as "Buy" and EVTL as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 310.4% upside for EVTL (target: $11) vs 189.0% for BAER (target: $5).
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $5.00 | $11.00 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 1 | 7 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | — |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | — | — |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | — |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | 0.0% |
BAER leads in 5 of 6 categories — strongest in Income & Cash Flow and Valuation Metrics.
BAER vs EVTL: Frequently Asked Questions
8 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is BAER or EVTL a better buy right now?
Analysts rate Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc.
Common Stock (BAER) a "Buy" — based on 1 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which is the better long-term investment — BAER or EVTL?
Over the past 5 years, Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc.
Common Stock (BAER) delivered a total return of -82. 3%, compared to -97. 3% for Vertical Aerospace Ltd. (EVTL). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: BAER returned -82. 1% versus EVTL's -97. 2%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
03Which is safer — BAER or EVTL?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc.
Common Stock (BAER) is the lower-risk stock at 1. 98β versus Vertical Aerospace Ltd. 's 3. 45β — meaning EVTL is approximately 74% more volatile than BAER relative to the S&P 500.
04Which is growing faster — BAER or EVTL?
On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Vertical Aerospace Ltd.
grew EPS 98. 5% year-over-year, compared to 48. 1% for Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
05Which has better profit margins — BAER or EVTL?
Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc.
Common Stock (BAER) is the more profitable company, earning 3. 4% net margin versus 0. 0% for Vertical Aerospace Ltd. — meaning it keeps 3. 4% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: BAER leads at 12. 5% versus 0. 0% for EVTL. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — BAER leads at 42. 1%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
06Which pays a better dividend — BAER or EVTL?
None of the stocks in this comparison currently pay a material dividend.
All are effectively zero-yield and should be held for capital appreciation rather than income.
07Is BAER or EVTL better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc.
Common Stock (BAER) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding. Vertical Aerospace Ltd. (EVTL) carries a higher beta of 3. 45 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (BAER: -82. 1%, EVTL: -97. 2%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
08What are the main differences between BAER and EVTL?
Both stocks operate in the Industrials sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: BAER is a small-cap high-growth stock; EVTL is a small-cap quality compounder stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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