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BAER vs EVTL vs JOBY vs ACHR vs SPCE
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
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Aerospace & Defense
BAER vs EVTL vs JOBY vs ACHR vs SPCE — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Industry | Security & Protection Services | Aerospace & Defense | Airlines, Airports & Air Services | Aerospace & Defense | Aerospace & Defense |
| Market Cap | $95M | $288M | $10.69B | $4.82B | $186M |
| Revenue (TTM) | $116M | $0.00 | $78M | $300K | $2M |
| Net Income (TTM) | $-12M | $-245M | $-957M | $-618M | $-293M |
| Gross Margin | 38.6% | — | 11.2% | — | -46.5% |
| Operating Margin | 0.2% | — | -10.2% | -2431.0% | -183.1% |
| Total Debt | $245M | $191M | $61M | $42M | $420M |
| Cash & Equiv. | $31M | $70M | $241M | $1.02B | $179M |
BAER vs EVTL vs JOBY vs ACHR vs SPCE — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | Mar 21 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bridger Aerospace G… (BAER) | 100 | 17.5 | -82.5% |
| Vertical Aerospace … (EVTL) | 100 | 2.9 | -97.1% |
| Joby Aviation, Inc. (JOBY) | 100 | 107.1 | +7.1% |
| Archer Aviation Inc. (ACHR) | 100 | 64.5 | -35.5% |
| Virgin Galactic Hol… (SPCE) | 100 | 0.5 | -99.5% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: BAER vs EVTL vs JOBY vs ACHR vs SPCE
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
BAER carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and growth exposure.
- beta 1.87
- Rev growth 24.6%, EPS growth 48.1%, 3Y rev CAGR 38.3%
- Beta 1.87 vs EVTL's 3.55
- -3.8% ROA vs EVTL's -229.7%
EVTL ranks third and is worth considering specifically for quality.
- 2.5% margin vs ACHR's -2.1K%
JOBY is the #2 pick in this set and the best alternative if long-term compounding and sleep-well-at-night is your priority.
- 3.5% 10Y total return vs ACHR's -35.0%
- Lower volatility, beta 2.84, Low D/E 4.3%, current ratio 24.09x
- Beta 2.84, current ratio 24.09x
- 391.8% revenue growth vs ACHR's -13.8%
ACHR lags the leaders in this set but could rank higher in a more targeted comparison.
Among these 5 stocks, SPCE doesn't own a clear edge in any measured category.
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 391.8% revenue growth vs ACHR's -13.8% | |
| Quality / Margins | 2.5% margin vs ACHR's -2.1K% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 1.87 vs EVTL's 3.55 | |
| Dividends | Tie | None of these 5 stocks pay a meaningful dividend |
| Momentum (1Y) | +63.5% vs EVTL's -33.7% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | -3.8% ROA vs EVTL's -229.7% |
BAER vs EVTL vs JOBY vs ACHR vs SPCE — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
Segment breakdown not available.
BAER vs EVTL vs JOBY vs ACHR vs SPCE — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 5 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Who Leads Where
BAER leads in 2 of 6 categories
JOBY leads 1 • EVTL leads 0 • ACHR leads 0 • SPCE leads 0 • 2 tied
Explore the data ↓Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
BAER leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
BAER and EVTL operate at a comparable scale, with $116M and $0 in trailing revenue. BAER is the more profitable business, keeping -10.0% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to ACHR's -2060.7%. On growth, SPCE holds the edge at -9.2% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $116M | $0 | $78M | $300,000 | $2M |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $16M | -$146M | -$759M | -$709M | -$287M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | -$12M | -$245M | -$957M | -$618M | -$293M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | -$70M | -$105M | -$661M | -$512M | -$460M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +38.6% | — | +11.2% | — | -46.5% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +0.2% | — | -10.2% | -2431.0% | -183.1% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | -10.0% | — | -12.3% | -2060.7% | -176.2% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | -60.6% | — | -8.5% | -1705.7% | -277.1% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -45.6% | — | — | — | -9.2% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -68.3% | -106.9% | -9.1% | +43.5% | +59.0% |
Valuation Metrics
Evenly matched — BAER and JOBY and SPCE each lead in 1 of 3 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
| Metric | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $95M | $288M | $10.7B | $4.8B | $186M |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $308M | $452M | $10.5B | $3.8B | $427M |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | -4.02x | -3.70x | -9.62x | -6.55x | -0.21x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | — | — | — | — | — |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | — | — | — | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 9.98x | — | — | — | — |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 0.77x | — | 200.04x | 9999.00x | 26.40x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 1.42x | — | 6.37x | 1.84x | 0.23x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | — | — | — | — | — |
Profitability & Efficiency
BAER leads this category, winning 6 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
BAER delivers a -21.2% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $-21 in annual profit, vs $-130 for SPCE. ACHR carries lower financial leverage with a 0.02x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to BAER's 3.79x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), BAER scores 6/9 vs SPCE's 2/9, reflecting solid financial health.
| Metric | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | -21.2% | — | -74.2% | -37.8% | -129.5% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | -3.8% | -2.3% | -52.1% | -32.9% | -34.3% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +4.6% | — | -54.7% | -89.6% | -42.0% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +5.3% | — | -49.8% | -44.3% | -41.7% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 2 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 3.79x | — | 0.04x | 0.02x | 1.30x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $213M | $121M | -$180M | -$979M | $242M |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $31M | $70M | $241M | $1.0B | $179M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $245M | $191M | $61M | $42M | $420M |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | -0.01x | -42.65x | — | — | -21.56x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
JOBY leads this category, winning 3 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in JOBY five years ago would be worth $10,991 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $82 for SPCE. Over the past 12 months, JOBY leads with a +63.5% total return vs EVTL's -33.7%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors ACHR at 44.7% vs SPCE's -67.0% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -7.1% | -51.8% | -24.3% | -20.3% | -10.6% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +19.9% | -33.7% | +63.5% | -26.0% | -6.4% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -64.6% | -83.5% | +148.7% | +202.8% | -96.4% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -82.7% | -97.1% | +9.9% | -34.3% | -99.2% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -82.6% | -97.1% | +3.5% | -35.0% | -98.5% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | -29.2% | -45.1% | +35.5% | +44.7% | -67.0% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — BAER and JOBY each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
BAER is the less volatile stock with a 1.87 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than EVTL's 3.55 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. JOBY currently trades 51.9% from its 52-week high vs EVTL's 37.0% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 1.87x | 3.55x | 2.84x | 2.95x | 2.03x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $3.44 | $7.60 | $20.95 | $14.62 | $6.64 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $1.22 | $1.90 | $6.42 | $4.80 | $2.13 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +49.1% | +37.0% | +51.9% | +44.3% | +44.3% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 30.6 | 50.8 | 58.9 | 58.3 | 45.8 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 580K | 3.1M | 24.5M | 27.8M | 6.4M |
Analyst Outlook
Insufficient data to determine a leader in this category.
Analyst Outlook
Analyst consensus: BAER as "Buy", EVTL as "Buy", JOBY as "Hold", ACHR as "Buy", SPCE as "Hold". Consensus price targets imply 282.6% upside for EVTL (target: $11) vs -9.9% for SPCE (target: $3).
| Metric | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Buy | Hold | Buy | Hold |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $5.00 | $10.75 | $15.42 | $12.33 | $2.65 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 1 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 17 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | — | — | — | — |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
BAER leads in 2 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Profitability & Efficiency). JOBY leads in 1 (Total Returns). 2 tied.
BAER vs EVTL vs JOBY vs ACHR vs SPCE: Key Questions Answered
8 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is BAER or EVTL or JOBY or ACHR or SPCE a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Joby Aviation, Inc.
(JOBY) is the stronger pick with 391. 8% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 3. 5% for Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. (SPCE). Analysts rate Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock (BAER) a "Buy" — based on 1 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which is the better long-term investment — BAER or EVTL or JOBY or ACHR or SPCE?
Over the past 5 years, Joby Aviation, Inc.
(JOBY) delivered a total return of +9. 9%, compared to -99. 2% for Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. (SPCE). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: JOBY returned +3. 5% versus SPCE's -98. 5%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
03Which is safer — BAER or EVTL or JOBY or ACHR or SPCE?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc.
Common Stock (BAER) is the lower-risk stock at 1. 87β versus Vertical Aerospace Ltd. 's 3. 55β — meaning EVTL is approximately 90% more volatile than BAER relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Archer Aviation Inc. (ACHR) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 2% versus 4% for Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
04Which is growing faster — BAER or EVTL or JOBY or ACHR or SPCE?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Joby Aviation, Inc.
(JOBY) is pulling ahead at 391. 8% versus 3. 5% for Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. (SPCE). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Vertical Aerospace Ltd. grew EPS 98. 5% year-over-year, compared to -29. 9% for Joby Aviation, Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, BAER leads at 38. 3% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
05Which has better profit margins — BAER or EVTL or JOBY or ACHR or SPCE?
Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc.
Common Stock (BAER) is the more profitable company, earning 3. 4% net margin versus -2060. 7% for Archer Aviation Inc. — meaning it keeps 3. 4% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: BAER leads at 12. 5% versus -2431. 0% for ACHR. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — BAER leads at 42. 1%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
06Which pays a better dividend — BAER or EVTL or JOBY or ACHR or SPCE?
None of the stocks in this comparison currently pay a material dividend.
All are effectively zero-yield and should be held for capital appreciation rather than income.
07Is BAER or EVTL or JOBY or ACHR or SPCE better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc.
Common Stock (BAER) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding. Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. (SPCE) carries a higher beta of 2. 03 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (BAER: -82. 6%, SPCE: -98. 5%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
08What are the main differences between BAER and EVTL and JOBY and ACHR and SPCE?
Both stocks operate in the Industrials sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: BAER is a small-cap high-growth stock; EVTL is a small-cap quality compounder stock; JOBY is a mid-cap high-growth stock; ACHR is a small-cap quality compounder stock; SPCE is a small-cap quality compounder stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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