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BAER vs JOBY
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Airlines, Airports & Air Services
BAER vs JOBY — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Security & Protection Services | Airlines, Airports & Air Services |
| Market Cap | $97M | $9.83B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $123M | $78M |
| Net Income (TTM) | $4M | $-957M |
| Gross Margin | 42.1% | 11.2% |
| Operating Margin | 12.5% | -10.2% |
| Total Debt | $245M | $61M |
| Cash & Equiv. | $31M | $241M |
BAER vs JOBY — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | Mar 21 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bridger Aerospace G… (BAER) | 100 | 17.9 | -82.1% |
| Joby Aviation, Inc. (JOBY) | 100 | 98.5 | -1.5% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: BAER vs JOBY
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
BAER carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and sleep-well-at-night.
- beta 1.98
- Lower volatility, beta 1.98, current ratio 2.43x
- Beta 1.98, current ratio 2.43x
JOBY is the clearest fit if your priority is growth exposure and long-term compounding.
- Rev growth 391.8%, EPS growth -29.9%
- -4.8% 10Y total return vs BAER's -82.1%
- 391.8% revenue growth vs BAER's 24.6%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 391.8% revenue growth vs BAER's 24.6% | |
| Quality / Margins | 3.4% margin vs JOBY's -12.3% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 1.98 vs JOBY's 2.70 | |
| Dividends | Tie | Neither stock pays a meaningful dividend |
| Momentum (1Y) | +55.7% vs BAER's +35.2% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 1.4% ROA vs JOBY's -52.1%, ROIC 4.6% vs -54.7% |
BAER vs JOBY — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
BAER vs JOBY — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
BAER leads this category, winning 4 of 5 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
BAER is the larger business by revenue, generating $123M annually — 1.6x JOBY's $78M. BAER is the more profitable business, keeping 3.4% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to JOBY's -12.3%.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $123M | $78M |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $31M | -$759M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $4M | -$957M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | -$64M | -$661M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +42.1% | +11.2% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +12.5% | -10.2% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +3.4% | -12.3% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | -52.3% | -8.5% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -45.2% | — |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -11.1% | -9.1% |
Valuation Metrics
BAER leads this category, winning 2 of 3 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $97M | $9.8B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $310M | $9.6B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | -4.12x | -8.85x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | — | — |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 10.05x | — |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 0.79x | 183.94x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 1.45x | 5.86x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | — | — |
Profitability & Efficiency
BAER leads this category, winning 5 of 8 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
BAER delivers a 7.4% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $7 in annual profit, vs $-74 for JOBY. JOBY carries lower financial leverage with a 0.04x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to BAER's 3.79x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), BAER scores 6/9 vs JOBY's 3/9, reflecting solid financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +7.4% | -74.2% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +1.4% | -52.1% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +4.6% | -54.7% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +5.3% | -49.8% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 6 | 3 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 3.79x | 0.04x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $213M | -$180M |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $31M | $241M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $245M | $61M |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 0.66x | — |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
JOBY leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in JOBY five years ago would be worth $10,096 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $1,769 for BAER. Over the past 12 months, JOBY leads with a +55.7% total return vs BAER's +35.2%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors JOBY at 31.8% vs BAER's -28.7% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -4.9% | -30.4% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +35.2% | +55.7% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -63.7% | +128.7% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -82.3% | +1.0% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -82.1% | -4.8% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | -28.7% | +31.8% |
Risk & Volatility
BAER leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
BAER is the less volatile stock with a 1.98 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than JOBY's 2.70 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 1.98x | 2.70x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $3.44 | $20.95 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $1.22 | $6.32 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +50.3% | +47.7% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 43.6 | 65.5 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 574K | 24.7M |
Analyst Outlook
Insufficient data to determine a leader in this category.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates BAER as "Buy" and JOBY as "Hold". Consensus price targets imply 189.0% upside for BAER (target: $5) vs 59.1% for JOBY (target: $16).
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Hold |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $5.00 | $15.90 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 1 | 8 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | — |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | — | — |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | — |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | 0.0% |
BAER leads in 4 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Valuation Metrics). JOBY leads in 1 (Total Returns).
BAER vs JOBY: Frequently Asked Questions
8 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is BAER or JOBY a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Joby Aviation, Inc.
(JOBY) is the stronger pick with 391. 8% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 24. 6% for Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock (BAER). Analysts rate Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock (BAER) a "Buy" — based on 1 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which is the better long-term investment — BAER or JOBY?
Over the past 5 years, Joby Aviation, Inc.
(JOBY) delivered a total return of +1. 0%, compared to -82. 3% for Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock (BAER). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: JOBY returned -4. 8% versus BAER's -82. 1%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
03Which is safer — BAER or JOBY?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc.
Common Stock (BAER) is the lower-risk stock at 1. 98β versus Joby Aviation, Inc. 's 2. 70β — meaning JOBY is approximately 36% more volatile than BAER relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Joby Aviation, Inc. (JOBY) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 4% versus 4% for Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
04Which is growing faster — BAER or JOBY?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Joby Aviation, Inc.
(JOBY) is pulling ahead at 391. 8% versus 24. 6% for Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock (BAER). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock grew EPS 48. 1% year-over-year, compared to -29. 9% for Joby Aviation, Inc.. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
05Which has better profit margins — BAER or JOBY?
Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc.
Common Stock (BAER) is the more profitable company, earning 3. 4% net margin versus -1740. 5% for Joby Aviation, Inc. — meaning it keeps 3. 4% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: BAER leads at 12. 5% versus -1346. 9% for JOBY. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — BAER leads at 42. 1%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
06Which pays a better dividend — BAER or JOBY?
None of the stocks in this comparison currently pay a material dividend.
All are effectively zero-yield and should be held for capital appreciation rather than income.
07Is BAER or JOBY better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Joby Aviation, Inc.
(JOBY) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding. Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock (BAER) carries a higher beta of 1. 98 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (JOBY: -4. 8%, BAER: -82. 1%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
08What are the main differences between BAER and JOBY?
Both stocks operate in the Industrials sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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