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BAER vs RCAT
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Computer Hardware
BAER vs RCAT — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Security & Protection Services | Computer Hardware |
| Market Cap | $97M | $1.02B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $123M | $26M |
| Net Income (TTM) | $4M | $-59M |
| Gross Margin | 42.1% | 7.9% |
| Operating Margin | 12.5% | -234.6% |
| Total Debt | $245M | $18M |
| Cash & Equiv. | $31M | $168M |
BAER vs RCAT — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | Mar 21 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bridger Aerospace G… (BAER) | 100 | 17.5 | -82.5% |
| Red Cat Holdings, I… (RCAT) | 100 | 222.5 | +122.5% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: BAER vs RCAT
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
BAER carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and long-term compounding.
- beta 1.98
- -82.1% 10Y total return vs RCAT's -97.8%
- Lower volatility, beta 1.98, current ratio 2.43x
RCAT is the clearest fit if your priority is growth exposure.
- Rev growth 459.8%, EPS growth 29.4%, 3Y rev CAGR 106.6%
- 459.8% revenue growth vs BAER's 24.6%
- +92.6% vs BAER's +35.2%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 459.8% revenue growth vs BAER's 24.6% | |
| Quality / Margins | 3.4% margin vs RCAT's -227.7% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 1.98 vs RCAT's 3.31 | |
| Dividends | Tie | Neither stock pays a meaningful dividend |
| Momentum (1Y) | +92.6% vs BAER's +35.2% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 1.4% ROA vs RCAT's -28.8%, ROIC 4.6% vs -71.0% |
BAER vs RCAT — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
BAER vs RCAT — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
BAER leads this category, winning 4 of 4 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
BAER is the larger business by revenue, generating $123M annually — 4.8x RCAT's $26M. BAER is the more profitable business, keeping 3.4% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to RCAT's -2.3%.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $123M | $26M |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $31M | -$58M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $4M | -$59M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | -$64M | -$75M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +42.1% | +7.9% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +12.5% | -2.3% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +3.4% | -2.3% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | -52.3% | -2.9% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -45.2% | — |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -11.1% | — |
Valuation Metrics
BAER leads this category, winning 2 of 3 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $97M | $1.0B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $310M | $875M |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | -4.12x | -17.27x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | — | — |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 10.05x | — |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 0.79x | 25.15x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 1.45x | 5.03x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | — | — |
Profitability & Efficiency
BAER leads this category, winning 5 of 8 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
BAER delivers a 7.4% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $7 in annual profit, vs $-34 for RCAT. RCAT carries lower financial leverage with a 0.07x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to BAER's 3.79x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), BAER scores 6/9 vs RCAT's 4/9, reflecting solid financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +7.4% | -33.6% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +1.4% | -28.8% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +4.6% | -71.0% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +5.3% | -42.9% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 6 | 4 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 3.79x | 0.07x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $213M | -$149M |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $31M | $168M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $245M | $18M |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 0.66x | — |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
RCAT leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in RCAT five years ago would be worth $26,979 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $1,769 for BAER. Over the past 12 months, RCAT leads with a +92.6% total return vs BAER's +35.2%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors RCAT at 125.5% vs BAER's -28.7% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -4.9% | +13.1% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +35.2% | +92.6% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -63.7% | +1047.3% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -82.3% | +169.8% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -82.1% | -97.8% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | -28.7% | +125.5% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — BAER and RCAT each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
BAER is the less volatile stock with a 1.98 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than RCAT's 3.31 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. RCAT currently trades 55.2% from its 52-week high vs BAER's 50.3% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 1.87x | 3.09x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $3.44 | $18.78 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $1.22 | $5.23 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +50.3% | +55.2% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 43.6 | 39.4 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 574K | 15.8M |
Analyst Outlook
Insufficient data to determine a leader in this category.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates BAER as "Buy" and RCAT as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 189.0% upside for BAER (target: $5) vs 64.1% for RCAT (target: $17).
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $5.00 | $17.00 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 1 | 2 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | — |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | — | — |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | — |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | 0.0% |
BAER leads in 3 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Valuation Metrics). RCAT leads in 1 (Total Returns). 1 tied.
BAER vs RCAT: Frequently Asked Questions
8 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is BAER or RCAT a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Red Cat Holdings, Inc.
(RCAT) is the stronger pick with 459. 8% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 24. 6% for Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock (BAER). Analysts rate Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock (BAER) a "Buy" — based on 1 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which is the better long-term investment — BAER or RCAT?
Over the past 5 years, Red Cat Holdings, Inc.
(RCAT) delivered a total return of +169. 8%, compared to -82. 3% for Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock (BAER). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: BAER returned -82. 6% versus RCAT's -97. 8%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
03Which is safer — BAER or RCAT?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc.
Common Stock (BAER) is the lower-risk stock at 1. 87β versus Red Cat Holdings, Inc. 's 3. 09β — meaning RCAT is approximately 65% more volatile than BAER relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Red Cat Holdings, Inc. (RCAT) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 7% versus 4% for Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
04Which is growing faster — BAER or RCAT?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Red Cat Holdings, Inc.
(RCAT) is pulling ahead at 459. 8% versus 24. 6% for Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock (BAER). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock grew EPS 48. 1% year-over-year, compared to 29. 4% for Red Cat Holdings, Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, RCAT leads at 106. 6% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
05Which has better profit margins — BAER or RCAT?
Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc.
Common Stock (BAER) is the more profitable company, earning 3. 4% net margin versus -177. 0% for Red Cat Holdings, Inc. — meaning it keeps 3. 4% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: BAER leads at 12. 5% versus -163. 5% for RCAT. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — BAER leads at 42. 1%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
06Which pays a better dividend — BAER or RCAT?
None of the stocks in this comparison currently pay a material dividend.
All are effectively zero-yield and should be held for capital appreciation rather than income.
07Is BAER or RCAT better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc.
Common Stock (BAER) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding. Red Cat Holdings, Inc. (RCAT) carries a higher beta of 3. 09 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (BAER: -82. 6%, RCAT: -97. 8%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
08What are the main differences between BAER and RCAT?
These companies operate in different sectors (BAER (Industrials) and RCAT (Technology)), which means they face different economic cycles, regulatory environments, and macro sensitivities — making direct comparison nuanced.
These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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